Boards.ie uses cookies. By continuing to browse this site you are agreeing to our use of cookies. Click here to find out more x
Post Reply  
 
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
22-07-2018, 19:40   #31
Meteorite58
Moderator
 
Meteorite58's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: Kerry
Posts: 5,656
Big shift on the ECM 12Z with the heaviest rainfall staying offshore with Atlantic coastal counties getting the most rain, not much moving inland on this run.









Meteorite58 is offline  
Advertisement
23-07-2018, 20:47   #32
Meteorite58
Moderator
 
Meteorite58's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: Kerry
Posts: 5,656
Much of the rain missing the country on Weds apart from what looks like a weak occluded front, Thurs looking like a better chance of rain with a trailing cold front moving slowly up over the country. LP moving closer leading in to spells of windy wet weather at times over the weekend.






















Meteorite58 is offline  
(2) thanks from:
23-07-2018, 20:50   #33
Meteorite58
Moderator
 
Meteorite58's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: Kerry
Posts: 5,656
We would be doing well in the Western half of the country if we got all that rain predicted by the ECM up to Sunday.

Meteorite58 is offline  
Thanks from:
23-07-2018, 20:54   #34
sdanseo
Registered User
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Co. Dublin 20m ASL
Posts: 7,678
Quote:
Originally Posted by Meteorite58 View Post
We would be doing well in the Western half of the country if we got all that rain predicted by the ECM up to Sunday.
East and southeast still at a huge defecit, and almost every day on the ECM will be >20 degrees. 20mm over that period is less than 2mm a day and there has been a worrying trend whereby rainfall predictions have been consistently downgraded.

The UK faring much worse though, little or nothing in sight for England and parts of Wales:

sdanseo is offline  
(3) thanks from:
25-07-2018, 16:27   #35
Villain
Registered User
 
Villain's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: www.carlowweather.com
Posts: 15,171
The latest update to met.ie NWP forecast for Carlow removes all rain for Carlow up to Saturday 7am wtf??!!
Villain is offline  
Advertisement
25-07-2018, 16:46   #36
Villain
Registered User
 
Villain's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: www.carlowweather.com
Posts: 15,171
Ah OK I see why, Harmonie explains

https://twitter.com/CarlowWeather/st...45678863204352
Villain is offline  
(2) thanks from:
25-07-2018, 17:36   #37
Donegal Storm
Registered User
 
Donegal Storm's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2016
Location: Letterkenny
Posts: 870
Same here in Kildare, just checked met.ie to see what time to expect rain tomorrow evening and its showing sun from morning to night!

That stuff in the Irish Sea looks thundery on that graphic, something to keep an eye on..
Donegal Storm is offline  
Thanks from:
25-07-2018, 19:58   #38
Meteorite58
Moderator
 
Meteorite58's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: Kerry
Posts: 5,656
ECM showing rain approaching the SW around 3.00 - 4.00AM Predicted to be just light as it moves across the Eastern half of the country. Some heavy falls showing up for the SW. Some convective possibility also embedded in the front possibly producing some locally heavy rain also as it advances inland.

American Models similar to the ICON. I think it will be more like a cross between the ECM and HIRLAM.








ICON very light prediction, think this is an Outlier



Meteorite58 is offline  
(3) thanks from:
25-07-2018, 20:14   #39
Meteorite58
Moderator
 
Meteorite58's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: Kerry
Posts: 5,656
Getting windy overnight up along Atlantic coasts and breezy up through the country tomorrow.

Meteorite58 is offline  
Advertisement
26-07-2018, 20:03   #40
Meteorite58
Moderator
 
Meteorite58's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: Kerry
Posts: 5,656
I think all the models underestimated the rainfall totals for today , ECM probably closest.

Tomorrow rain arriving on the W/ SW coasts early morning as light rain peters out in E . Heavy rain moving in from the S Fri evening and moving up over much of the country in the early hours of Sat and clearing the N mid morning. Good totals predicted.




6 hour totals







Sat 07.00Predicted Total precipitation for the previous 24 hrs.

Meteorite58 is offline  
(3) thanks from:
26-07-2018, 20:11   #41
Meteorite58
Moderator
 
Meteorite58's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: Kerry
Posts: 5,656
HIRLAM Rainfall prediction up until early Sat



Predicted accumulation up until early Sat.

Meteorite58 is offline  
(3) thanks from:
26-07-2018, 20:21   #42
Meteorite58
Moderator
 
Meteorite58's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: Kerry
Posts: 5,656
Windy again tomorrow on Atlantic coasts and breezy across the country through the day. A spell of windy blustery weather Saturday .

Meteorite58 is offline  
(2) thanks from:
26-07-2018, 20:29   #43
Meteorite58
Moderator
 
Meteorite58's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: Kerry
Posts: 5,656
Low Pressure systems over the weekend from a mobile Atlantic . Should get a good share of rain by next Weds.



Meteorite58 is offline  
Thanks from:
28-07-2018, 12:53   #44
Meteorite58
Moderator
 
Meteorite58's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: Kerry
Posts: 5,656
ECM showing the next main band of rain missing us in the early hours part from the S and SE coasts. The ARPEGE and HIRLAM bring more of it over the country. Met Eireann going with Rain along southern coastal counties spreading inland to much of East Munster and West Leinster by morning. Heavy in places.












Meteorite58 is offline  
Thanks from:
28-07-2018, 12:58   #45
Meteorite58
Moderator
 
Meteorite58's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: Kerry
Posts: 5,656
Another band of rain Sun night/ Monday morning. Models differing with this in amount of rain but looks to sweep across the country during the early hours.






Last edited by Meteorite58; 28-07-2018 at 13:11.
Meteorite58 is offline  
(3) thanks from:
Post Reply

Quick Reply
Message:
Remove Text Formatting
Bold
Italic
Underline

Insert Image
Wrap [QUOTE] tags around selected text
 
Decrease Size
Increase Size
Please sign up or log in to join the discussion

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search



Share Tweet