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29-10-2018, 06:40   #5026
M.T. Cranium
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Monday, 29 October, 2018

Forecasts for Ireland



The latest guidance for the potential storm at the end of the week is slowing down its arrival somewhat to Saturday morning, although it may be quite windy for most of Friday before it arrives in full force. This situation is by no means "carved in stone" yet since we're dealing with a very distant hurricane (Oscar) that may continue to challenge the forecast models as it has been doing for the past 24 hours. For a while, the model consensus shifted away from Oscar making it all the way to the main westerlies in time, and showed it backing away to the south again. If that were to happen, a separate weather system would still bring some strong winds to Ireland around Friday or early Saturday. But this morning the theme has returned to a gradual approach of the hurricane's remnant low towards west coast counties of Ireland Friday night, with closest approach and strongest winds now most likely to occur on Saturday morning.


TODAY ... Mostly cloudy, some light rain in western counties, staying dry much of the time in central and eastern counties although some patchy drizzle is possible. Caution is advised in north central counties this morning for patchy black ice conditions on some side roads, as temperatures are near -2 C in some areas. Eventually today's highs will reach about 7 C in the east and 10 C in the west, with generally light south winds near the west coast and easterly breezes elsewhere.

TONIGHT ... Cloud with some clear spells, lows -2 to +4 C. Occasional drizzle may continue near west coast which will be the mildest region.

TUESDAY ... Variable cloud, some outbreaks of light rain mostly near west and south coasts, highs 7 to 10 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers, lows -2 to +3 C, highs 7 to 10 C.

THURSDAY ... Some rain at times, lows -1 to +4 C and highs 7 to 11 C.

FRIDAY ... Becoming windy, with rain at times, winds will depend on how intense the approaching low turns out to be, likely to be increasing gradually to 70 km/hr by late afternoon or evening from south to southwest. Highs near 11 C.

SATURDAY ... At this point, the stormy conditions are most likely to hit around sunrise on Saturday with gale to storm force southwest winds quite possible (this to be confirmed later in the week). Gusts to at least 110 km/hr appear quite possible, and highs near 10 C but turning colder again later in the day, with rain turning to mixed wintry showers in strong westerly winds and falling temperatures.

OUTLOOK ... Fast moving disturbances will bring further bouts of rain and wind for several days after the storm (Oscar if the hurricane remnant low is involved, possibly named Deirdre if not, but that name may be needed soon afterwards if the weekend low is indeed Oscar. Temperatures will average rather cold for mid-November but each passing low could bring in a few hours of milder temperatures 8 to 10 C, otherwise it will be in the 3 to 7 C range much of the time, so precipitation could be sleety or mixed wintry showers on higher ground.

My local weather on Sunday was overcast with periods of rain and highs near 10 C.
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30-10-2018, 06:37   #5027
M.T. Cranium
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Tuesday, 30 October, 2018

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Very cold this morning in Leinster where skies have cleared, and the sunshine may last to mid-day with frost slow to clear. Cloudy most other parts of the country with patchy light rain, possibly sleet on higher ground, but eventually this cloud will begin to spread back to the east as temperatures rise slowly in the east. Highs will range from 6 in some parts of Leinster and east Ulster to 10 C near the south and west coasts.

TONIGHT ... Variable cloud, rather cold still with sleety showers possible, lows -2 to +3 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Partly to mostly cloudy, outbreaks of rain (sleet on some higher ground), highs 7 to 10 C. Moderate southwest to westerly winds developing by afternoon.

THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy, some outbreaks of light rain possible, lows -3 to +2 C and highs near 9 C.

FRIDAY ... Breezy and much milder (briefly), winds south to southwest 50 to 80 km/hr by afternoon and some rain possible, especially towards coastal Connacht. Highs 12 to 14 C.

SATURDAY ... Windy and turning colder. The remnant low of Hurricane Oscar is currently expected to be just far enough away as it moves between Donegal and Iceland to prevent damaging winds, but some gusts to 110 km/hr are quite possible in coastal areas. This outlook may change yet again before the actual event, but for now, it does not look quite as extreme as it might have been, on the track being shown a few days ago. With the strong winds, mixed wintry showers will develop over higher terrain, just rain or hail for most though, and temperatures slowly falling to about 5 C.

OUTLOOK ... Several more disturbances are likely to follow with bouts of rain and strong westerly winds, with quite cold conditions between the frontal systems. Timing on these will likely change from one day's guidance to the next, as they are racing along in quite a fast westerly flow, for now, it appears that Sunday night into Monday, and again around mid-week, will see the unsettled periods. Temperatures will be generally in the 3 to 7 C range, perhaps peaking around 10 C when frontal waves move through.

My local weather on Monday was mostly cloudy with occasional light rain, and a high near 9 C.

Hurricane Oscar is located to the east of Bermuda this morning, and is a category 2 hurricane expected to stay at that intensity until it runs into colder water in the central Atlantic on Thursday. After that, it should be an extratropical low with 50-70 knot winds near its core but those will be several hundred miles off the Donegal coast on Saturday if the models are right at the present time.
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31-10-2018, 07:03   #5028
M.T. Cranium
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Wednesday, 31 October, 2018

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Partly to mostly cloudy, showery outbreaks of rain (sleet possible on some higher ground), highs 7 to 10 C. Moderate southwest to westerly winds developing by afternoon. The most active band of showers will be moving into eastern counties around mid-day to early afternoon after giving western counties scattered 2-5 mm amounts this morning, so perhaps some sunshine at times by this afternoon around Galway and Mayo.

TONIGHT ... Rather cold with some clearing, fog patches, lows -3 to +2 C.

THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy, some rather isolated outbreaks of light rain possible, lows -3 to +2 C and highs near 9 C.

FRIDAY ... Breezy and much milder (briefly), winds south to southwest 50 to 80 km/hr by afternoon and some rain possible, especially towards coastal Connacht. Highs 12 to 14 C. Temperatures staying very mild all night in most areas in strong south to southwest winds.

SATURDAY ... Windy and turning a little colder. The remnant low of Hurricane Oscar will probably be just far enough away as it moves between Donegal and Iceland to prevent damaging winds, but some gusts from the southwest to 110 km/hr are quite possible in coastal areas, 90 km/hr in most other places. With the strong winds, temperatures will slowly fall off in western counties to about 8 C, while eastern counties may stay quite mild most of the day (11 or 12 C). The rain overnight will ease to scattered showers on Saturday, about 10 to 15 mm is likely on average.

SUNDAY ... Cloudy, rain developing, possibly rather windy again in southeast counties and some chance of heavy rain developing. Highs about 10 C.

MONDAY ... Rain tapering to showers or drizzle, highs near 9 C.

OUTLOOK ... Further rain at times during the week, possibly heavy, and blustery southwest winds, temperatures now expected to remain near or a little above normal (Oscar has done a bit of work to rebuild the jet stream or vice versa). There are signs of briefly colder conditions around mid-month but much of the first half of November looks rather typical, plenty of cloud, rain and gusty winds.

My local weather on Tuesday was misty with occasional light showers and highs near 11 C.
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01-11-2018, 06:48   #5029
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Thursday, 1 November, 2018

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers, some sleety on higher ground ... some lingering frost in central counties, patches of black ice may be hazardous on some secondary roads, eventually temperatures will reach about 7 or 8 C.

TONIGHT ... Some clear skies in east may allow a sharp frost to form, lows -4 to +1 C, while increasing cloud further west will keep temperatures there around 2 to 4 degrees.

FRIDAY ... Mostly cloudy except for some brighter intervals in the morning in the east, rain developing near Atlantic coasts, winds increasing slowly to reach southerly 60 to 90 km/hr by evening in western counties. Temperatures will be slowly climbing all day and into the overnight hours with readings near 7 C at mid-afternoon but 10 to 13 C by midnight.

SATURDAY ... Windy and mild, some further rain bringing total accumulations to 5 to 10 mm, winds veering slowly to southwest 60 to 100 km/hr in more exposed areas, some higher gusts around western Mayo and Donegal. Highs 12 to 14 C.

SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, somewhat cooler, chance of light rain at times near south coast by afternoon and evening, but probably a rather dry day elsewhere. Lows near 4 C and highs near 9 or 10 C.

MONDAY ... Partly cloudy, breezy, lows near freezing and highs near 10 C.

TUESDAY ... Windy and rather mild with rain, possibly rather heavy at times. Highs near 12 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Unsettled and rather mild with occasional bouts of strong southwest winds and heavier rain, with little change in that pattern expected until about the middle of November.

My local weather on Wednesday was overcast with some rain and rather chilly, highs only about 6 C. Snow was falling about 300 metres higher up in the local hills.
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02-11-2018, 06:33   #5030
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Friday, 2 November, 2018

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Sunny intervals this morning in eastern counties, becoming mostly cloudy around mid-day as cloud already moving into the west arrives, then some rain developing near Atlantic coasts, as winds increase gradually to reach southerly 60 to 90 km/hr by evening in western counties. Temperatures will be slowly climbing all day and into the overnight hours with readings near 7 C at mid-afternoon but 10 to 13 C by midnight.

TONIGHT ... Breezy and mild, temperatures steady around 10 to 13 C, occasional rain, winds southerly 50 to 80 km/hr.

SATURDAY ... Windy and mild, some further rain bringing total accumulations to 5 to 10 mm, winds veering slowly to southwest 60 to 100 km/hr in more exposed areas, some higher gusts possible around western Mayo and Donegal. Highs 12 to 14 C. (Ex hurricane Oscar will produce stronger winds in marine areas northwest of Donegal Bay although the storm is stronger at forecast time in the central Atlantic, than it will be by its closest approach).

SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, somewhat cooler, chance of light rain at times near south coast by afternoon and evening, but probably a rather dry day elsewhere. Lows near 4 C and highs near 9 or 10 C.

MONDAY ... Partly cloudy, breezy, lows near freezing and highs near 10 C.

TUESDAY ... Windy and rather mild with rain, possibly rather heavy at times. Highs near 12 C.

OUTLOOK ... Unsettled with frequent intervals of rain, cloud and occasionally gusty winds, although nothing too extraordinary considering that it's November, so more or less a "normal" sort of pattern for the time being.

My local weather was rather wet on Thursday with fog and rain, highs about 8 C. We are going to see some slight improvements but not all the way back to the long dry spell in mid-October. Snow has been falling above 800 metres (above sea level) in this region and mountain highways are either slow for travel or closed.
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03-11-2018, 06:24   #5031
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Saturday, 3 November, 2018

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Windy and mild, a band of showery rain bringing total accumulations to 5 to 15 mm, reaching eastern counties later this morning to mid-day, with strong winds veering slowly to southwest 60 to 100 km/hr in more exposed areas, and some higher gusts possible around western Mayo and Donegal. Highs 12 to 15 C. (Ex hurricane Oscar will produce stronger winds of force 10-11 on the Beaufort scale in marine areas northwest of Donegal Bay and there will be some large swells and breaking waves on exposed coasts around Achill and Donegal).

TONIGHT ... Rain dying out with partial clearing, fog patches, lows 5 to 8 C.

SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, somewhat cooler, chance of light rain at times near south coast by afternoon and evening, but probably a rather dry day elsewhere. Highs 10 to 12 C. About 5-10 mm of rain expected in the southeast late afternoon and evening.

MONDAY ... Partly cloudy, breezy, lows near freezing and highs near 10 C.

TUESDAY ... Windy and rather mild with rain, possibly rather heavy at times. Highs near 12 C. Southerly winds 60 to 90 km/hr at times. Potential for 10-25 mm of rain.

WEDNESDAY ... Some further rain, not as mild, highs near 8 C.

OUTLOOK ... Two or three more active frontal systems will sweep in behind the previous one and bring further rainfalls of 10-20 mm around Thursday and next weekend (10th-11th). After that, high pressure over Russia will begin to expand its influence west and the unsettled trend will likely give way to a dry spell although it could remain reasonably mild as winds come in more from the southeast than a colder easterly direction.

My local weather on Friday featured some bursts of heavy rain and while I don't measure rainfall it seemed like 30 or 40 mm had fallen by the time some clearing skies arrived in the late afternoon. Highs reached about 10 C. There is another heavy rainfall producing front near the east coast of the U.S. that brought severe storms to parts of the Washington D.C. region earlier Friday.
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04-11-2018, 07:13   #5032
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Sunday, 4 November, 2018

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Some sunny breaks this morning as winds continue to ease, although still a few widely scattered showers in western counties, then increasing cloud during the afternoon leading to rain near the south and southeast coasts, highs 11 to 13 C.

TONIGHT ... Rain persistent in south and east, 20 to 30 mm could fall in some areas, more of a drizzly intermittent light rain in west and north with much less accumulation (2 to 10 mm). Lows 8 to 10 C. Fog developing on higher ground.

MONDAY ... The rain is now expected to continue through the morning in Leinster and parts of east Munster, while a gradual clearing develops in far north and west. There may be some sunny breaks following the end of the rainfall but it will tend to become foggy after sunset with the moist ground surfaces. Highs 9 to 12 C.

TUESDAY ... Rain becoming heavy at times in south, a further 10-20 mm likely. This rain will once again be more showery and give smaller accumulations in some parts of the west and north. Moderate southerly winds 50 to 80 km/hr during the morning will ease later.

WEDNESDAY ... Cloudy with a few breaks, cool with occasional outbreaks of light rain, then another heavier spell towards evening, lows about 5 C and highs about 8 C.

THURSDAY to SUNDAY ... Very unsettled with frequent rain and occasional strong south to southwest winds with several frontal systems lining up to move quickly through, in a pattern like this at four to seven days, timing can change so the main point to underline is the unsettled theme of the period with temperatures staying close to 8 or 9 C throughout. There could be some very strong winds by the weekend of the 10th and 11th. If that strong wind event develops, it could turn a bit colder for two or three days afterwards, but not unusually cold by mid-November standards.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... It doesn't get any better looking further ahead, with more strong disturbances racing in from the west during the following week(s). The total rainfall expected during the next two weeks may be quite a large total especially in east Munster and the midlands, but so far the models seem to be indicating higher potential in Wales and northwest England where serious flooding looks to be a possibility by mid-month (reminded somewhat of November 2009 when this happened but Ireland was certainly included in the brunt of that rainfall event, this one may not draw in quite such a powerful draw from the subtropical air masses).

My local weather on Saturday was cloudy with drizzle at times but light enough to encourage a bit of yard work (most of the leaves have come down here now but they are soaked by all the rain). The high was about 8 C.
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05-11-2018, 06:59   #5033
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Monday, 5 November, 2018

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Rain will continue to fragment to patchy drizzle during the morning, with some clearing possible by mid-day in parts of central and eastern counties, while more light rain appears near the west coast this afternoon. Highs 9 to 12 C.

TONIGHT ... Rain becoming heavier towards morning, 10-20 mm likely in many parts of the south and central, eastern counties. Lows 6 to 8 C.

TUESDAY ... Moderate southerly winds 40-70 km/hr will tend to die off during the day with a slow clearing trend edging inland from the west coast. It will then turn foggy in many areas after dark. Highs 8 to 11 C.

WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY ... Rather cool and mostly cloudy with brief brighter intervals, outbreaks of light rain but some heavier rain briefly on Wednesday night. Highs both days about 8 C. Morning lows about 5 C.

FRIDAY ... Variable cloud, isolated showers, lows -1 to +3 C and highs near 9 C.

SATURDAY ... Early morning strong winds and heavy rain possible, then breezy with further showers. Details of this disturbance may change but for now would expect wind gusts of about 100 km/hr so not expected to be too extreme by November standards. Highs around 11 C but temperatures falling steadily later Saturday.

OUTLOOK ... Rather cool for several days with partly cloudy skies and isolated showers, then a return to more unsettled and at times possibly stormy conditions around mid-month.

My local weather on Sunday started out with heavy rain but it cleared up nicely around lunch time with highs reaching 10 C.
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06-11-2018, 07:24   #5034
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Tuesday, 6 November, 2018

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... A sharply defined front is making steady progress east into the midlands and will reach the east coast around mid-day. Heavy bursts of rain and even a weak thunderstorm will accompany this front with gusty southeast to south winds 50 to 70 km/hr ahead of it, 15-25 mm of rain during its passage possibly flooding some roadways briefly. After its passage, variable cloud and some further light rain will move from west to east. Highs about 13 C ahead of the front, 10 or 11 C in western counties.

TONIGHT ... Some further showers and turning fresher with west to northwest winds picking up towards morning, lows 5 to 8 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Intervals of cloud and sunshine, passing showers, and perhaps an interval of heavier rain mid-afternoon, with more to follow in the evening. Highs 8 to 11 C.

THURSDAY ... Variable cloud, showers, lows 2 to 5 C and highs 8 to 11 C.

FRIDAY ... Wet and windy, highs near 11 C. Potential for 20-30 mm rain and southwest winds 70 to 110 km/hr.

OUTLOOK ... Rather cool and slightly unsettled during the weekend of 10th-11th and into Monday 12th. More strong winds and rain likely around Tuesday to Thursday of the following week. Highs throughout 8 to 10 C. Not much if any frost likely.

My local weather on Monday was overcast and chilly, with a low cloud ceiling. Rain started to fall and snow could be seen just above our elevation by sunset (we are now back to standard time so it's now getting quite dark around 4 p.m.). Highs only about 5 C.
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07-11-2018, 07:14   #5035
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Wednesday, 7 November, 2018

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Rain will continue in eastern counties to mid-day or early afternoon before briefly ending but more rain will then arrive from the south west by late in the day. Elsewhere, some sunny breaks at first, then outbreaks of rain, highs generally about 9 C.

TONIGHT ... Rain becoming showery then ending, some clearing by dawn, lows 2 to 5 C.

THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers, moderate southwest winds at times, highs near 10 C.

FRIDAY ... Windy and wet, 10 to 20 mm rainfalls, winds southwest 60 to 100 km/hr with higher gusts possible, rain heavy at times becoming more showery by afternoon. Highs near 11 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Partly cloudy, slightly cooler again with isolated showers, moderate westerly winds, lows 2-4 C and highs 8-10 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Milder mid-week, chance of some heavier rain especially in western counties, then a dry interval may follow with somewhat cooler temperatures although staying near normal for November.

My local weather on Tuesday was overcast with a few brighter intervals, and there was some rain by afternoon, highs near 7 C.
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08-11-2018, 07:24   #5036
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Thursday, 8 November, 2018

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Partly cloudy at first, then more overcast by mid-day with rain moving into southeast then up the east coast during the afternoon. About 10 to 15 mm is expected by this evening in those areas, but further west some places will remain dry and at most there will be some light scattered showers. Highs around 10 C.

TONIGHT ... Cloudy, becoming windy around midnight, rain becoming heavy near southwest coast, lows 6 to 8 C.

FRIDAY ... Windy with intervals of heavy rain, 20 mm on average is expected, and winds south to southwest 60 to 100 km/hr at times, easing slightly later in the day with variable cloud and scattered showers following the end of steady rainfall. Highs about 11 C.

SATURDAY ... Partly cloudy, passing showers, some brighter intervals too, lows near 4 C and highs near 9 C, moderate southwest winds at about 50 to 60 km/hr.

SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy, a few showers, lows near 3 C and highs near 9 C.

MONDAY ... Some sunny intervals, highs near 10 C.

OUTLOOK ... Milder mid-week with chance of heavy rainfall in western counties, highs 11 to 13 C, then somewhat cooler with a few dry days, eventually back to the unsettled theme as we pass mid-month.

My local weather on Wednesday was rather windy and cool with highs near 6 C, but at least we saw some sunshine for a change. We are expecting a couple of clear, cool days followed by light snow, although I can see fresh snow that fell yesterday, from my window, lying about 500 metres higher up the local hills. We have yet to see any snow at our elevation (which is 500 metres above sea level).
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09-11-2018, 06:58   #5037
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Friday, 9 November, 2018

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Windy with outbreaks of rain becoming heavier as they move gradually east, reaching the east coast by early to mid afternoon although some lighter rain is likely before this arrives. Some parts of north and east Connacht, west Ulster, and Leinster may see 20-25 mm of rain, other areas closer to 15 mm. Winds southerly 60 to 100 km/hr with some higher gusts possible, then slowly veering to southwest this afternoon and abating somewhat, with partly cloudy skies to follow, and isolated showers. Highs 11 to 13 C.

TONIGHT ... Breezy, a few more passing showers, winds southwest 40 to 70 km/hr, lows 5 to 7 C.

SATURDAY ... Partly cloudy, a few passing showers, moderate southwest winds 40 to 60 km/hr and highs near 11 C.

SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers, lows 3 to 6 C and highs 8 to 10 C.

MONDAY ... Sunny intervals, isolated showers mostly in north, lows 2 to 5 C and highs 9 to 12 C.

TUESDAY ... Mild with some rain at times, heavier in west coast counties. Lows near 6 C and highs near 13 C.

WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY will continue mild but the rain may back off into the Atlantic as a southeast wind flow develops, highs will continue in the 11 to 13 C range.

OUTLOOK ... About a week of relatively mild and sometimes unsettled weather will follow, then eventually the continental colder air masses present throughout will start to move west and could clip at least eastern counties of Ireland with somewhat colder air, but this is a long way off yet, so it may change considerably closer to the time (in either direction).

My local weather on Thursday was sunny and quite cold, frost lingered all day in shaded spots and the high was about 4 C. We are expecting a light snowfall to begin here this afternoon and then more clear and cool weather on the weekend once that moves southeast. The system is weak but looks like it wants to develop gradually over the plains states this weekend into a snowfall event for parts of the Great Lakes region by Sunday-Monday.
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10-11-2018, 06:36   #5038
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Saturday, 10 November, 2018

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Partly cloudy, a few passing showers, more frequent in western counties where one or two could become heavy, slight risk of hail or thunder, and moderate southwest winds 40 to 60 km/hr with highs near 11 C.

TONIGHT ... Partly cloudy, some lingering showers and misty with some local fog patches, lows 3 to 6 C.

SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers, breezy with south to southwest winds increasing to 50 to 70 km/hr by afternoon, lows 3 to 6 C and highs 8 to 10 C.

MONDAY ... Sunny intervals, isolated showers mostly in north, lows 2 to 5 C and highs 9 to 12 C.

TUESDAY ... Becoming milder with some rain at times, heavier in south coast counties. Lows near 6 C and highs near 13 C.

WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY will continue mild with some outbreaks of heavy rain in the west but by Thursday the rain may back off into the Atlantic as a southeast wind flow develops, highs will continue in the 11 to 13 C range. Nights will be mild especially in west and north (near 10 C).

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... This looks like a pattern subject to change at some point about a week down the road, so I am not really that willing to buy into current 10-15 day model output any more than to say there are no strong indications of colder weather yet, but ways that it could start to develop from either an easterly source or a northerly, however it would probably require about a week to extinguish the milder regime set to dominate next week.

My local weather featured our first snowfall and it turned out to be 7 cms of heavy, wet snow that has partly melted on contact although the ground is still covered, and temperatures have been in the 0.5 to 1.5 C range all day. We should see some clearing late tonight and mostly sunny but cold weather for about three days after this moves further east, where the snow will cover parts of the northern plains states into the western Great Lakes in the next two days.
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11-11-2018, 07:26   #5039
M.T. Cranium
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Sunday, 11 November, 2018

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Some sunny intervals with showers developing from the west this morning, a few likely to become heavy with hail or thunder. Moderate south to southwest winds 50 to 80 km/hr. Highs 8 to 11 C.

TONIGHT ... Showers ending, rather blustery in westerly winds 40 to 70 km/hr. Lows 4 to 7 C.

MONDAY ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers, breezy, rather cool. Highs near 9 or 10 C.

TUESDAY ... Breezy and milder, rain developing with some heavier bursts in south (10-20 mm locally), lows near 5 C and highs near 12 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Outbreaks of rain, 10-20 mm likely, some fog at times, mild. Lows 8 to 10 C and highs 12 to 14 C.

THURSDAY to SATURDAY will bring mild southerly winds and some light rain at times on Thursday, mostly dry on Friday and possibly on Saturday with another interval of rain later in the weekend. Highs throughout will be 12 to 14 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... After one more bout of wind and rain, a somewhat colder pattern may develop with high pressure close to Ireland and temperatures closer to mid to late November normals, 6 to 8 C by day and slight frosts returning at night.

My local weather on Saturday was overcast with mist from the slowly melting snow that fell on Friday. Some brighter intervals were noted just off to our south and much of the province was sunny, the cloud was trapped in our valley by light winds and it remained quite cold with the high just 4 C. Despite that, most of the snow has disappeared as the ground was a bit warmer. A strong disturbance is forming over the south central U.S. and this will bring heavy rainfalls and some inland higher elevation snows as it moves up the east coast on Monday into Tuesday. It could be quite an unpleasant day on Tuesday for the large cities of the northeast as this cold rain moves through. Very cold air is flooding south behind that storm which is going to pull in the remnants of the weaker low over the Great Lakes region bringing light snow there.
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Yesterday, 06:59   #5040
M.T. Cranium
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Monday, 12 November, 2018

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Partly cloudy, a few passing showers, but amounts only 2 or 3 mm, moderate southwest to westerly winds 40 to 60 km/hr, with highs 8 to 11 C.

TONIGHT ... Partly cloudy with showers ending, lows 4 to 7 C.

TUESDAY ... Breezy and mild, rain arriving in the west by late afternoon and spreading across most regions overnight. Highs 11 to 13 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Intervals of rain, 10 to 15 mm on average, mild. Lows 8 to 11 C and highs 12 to 15 C.

THURSDAY ... Rain will back off to the west coast and eventually out to sea, leaving most regions dry and still quite mild in a moderate southerly wind 40 to 60 km/hr. Lows near 10 C and highs near 14 C.

FRIDAY ... Hazy, some low cloud but dry with lows near 8 C and highs near 13 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... The wind flow will gradually back to a southeast direction and temperatures will fall slightly as cooler air from central Europe begins to seep in, however, this will not turn into a cold spell of a wintry nature. Highs will remain near average for the time of year at about 8 to 10 C, nights will become colder with lows 2 to 5 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The cooler trend seems likely to continue with winds more easterly and this may begin to moisten the flow at lower levels from the North Sea and Irish Sea, so that by midweek it may be cloudy much of the time despite high pressure nearby to the north. Rather cold with highs 5 to 8 C and lows near or slightly below freezing. Some drizzle may be expected near east coast. This regime will most likely begin to break down as the high pressure either sinks south or withdraws to the west, either way the next stage may be a colder flow from a northerly direction before the end of November. It should be noted that this general outlook is now rather dry compared to earlier indications as the Atlantic frontal systems are blocked from approaching Ireland after this coming Wednesday.

My local weather on Sunday was partly cloudy with a rather chilly high of 5 C.
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