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Storm Ciara - Strong Winds & Potential Snow **TECHNICAL DISCUSSION**

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Comments

  • #152
    Graces7
    Registered Users Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    snowgal wrote: »
    yes particularly quite here for what COULD happen over the next week...But, I do think with the elections, rugby etc going on its not been plastered in the media for once. Although ppl should take good notice, Im actually glad there's no sensationalist media crap on the front pages yet! Then the inevitable moans and groans cos we didnt get 3 feet of snow or the island didnt blow away!!

    shudders! If that kicks off I am outta here. I rather like it quiet and focussed like now. lol...


  • #153
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,707 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    on the latest RTE Forecast, Met Eireann said that warnings will possibly be updated again tomorrow.


  • #154
    RuthieRose
    Registered Users Posts: 437 ✭✭RuthieRose


    Gonzo wrote: »
    on the latest RTE Forecast, Met Eireann said that warnings will possibly be updated again tomorrow.


    When do the next charts run again?


  • #155
    SleetAndSnow
    Registered Users Posts: 4,677 ✭✭✭SleetAndSnow


    Gonzo wrote: »
    on the latest RTE Forecast, Met Eireann said that warnings will possibly be updated again tomorrow.

    I presume they will, I was surprised when j didn't see Kerry and cork included in them aswell as most charts show them as Orange aswell. Especially Kerry


  • #156
    highdef
    Registered Users Posts: 6,136 ✭✭✭highdef


    RuthieRose wrote: »
    When do the next charts run again?

    You didn't specify which charts so here's a schedule run of most of the main ones:

    https://weather.thedeskofmatthew.com/


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  • #157
    _Kaiser_
    Registered Users Posts: 28,661 ✭✭✭✭_Kaiser_


    harr wrote: »
    It’s not only this thread that is quite, the media In general have been quiet. Plenty of events happening Sunday that are currently going ahead and probably as mentioned the yellow warnings have given people the false sense of security.
    I know the voting tomorrow has the media preoccupied but maybe more should be done to let people know they might have plans or travel disrupted over the weekend.

    I think "warning fatigue" is setting in to be honest.

    Every few weeks at this stage there's a yellow/orange alert and for most of the country it's largely a non-event.

    The Boy who Cried Wolf comes to mind.


  • #158
    Dank Janniels
    Registered Users Posts: 641 ✭✭✭Dank Janniels


    There'l be afew out+about Sunday for the counting of votes, probly go on all week!


  • #159
    SAXA
    Registered Users Posts: 139 ✭✭SAXA


    _Kaiser_ wrote:
    Every few weeks at this stage there's a yellow/orange alert and for most of the country it's largely a non-event.

    _Kaiser_ wrote:
    The Boy who Cried Wolf comes to mind.


    With any warning system there has to be a graded approach.. Yellow is just the first grade. Yes it will be windy but life goes on as normal unless you work in a specific area... Orange obviously is a higher grade and precautions should be taken.. Red stay inside...


  • #160
    nthclare
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,316 ✭✭✭nthclare


    The bigger ocean swell will be coming in behind this, so Tuesday could be more dangerous out at sea than Sunday and Monday


  • #161
    Donegal Ken
    Registered Users Posts: 427 ✭✭Donegal Ken


    Going by the latest ECMWF Model this evening it shows up to 80mm of rainfall across parts of Galway, Mayo, Sligo, Leitrim and Donegal nearly within 24hours Saturday to Sunday.

    I would not be suprised to see a upgrade to a orange rainfall warning there by tonight from Met Éireann.

    High risk of localised flooding


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  • #162
    Gaoth Laidir
    Registered Users Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    Let's not lose the run of ourseves here. In reality, Ciara will be nothing out of the ordinary for us and nothing more than what we've already received this winter and others (strengthwise). However, it comes after a very quiet week. What will be different will be the duration of winds from tomorrow to Wednesday, plus the two cold days Monday and Tuesday. The Hebrides are where the real wind action will be at Sunday.


  • #163
    Donegal Ken
    Registered Users Posts: 427 ✭✭Donegal Ken


    Gaoth Laidir wrote: »
    Let's not lose the run of ourseves here. In reality, Ciara will be nothing out of the ordinary for us and nothing more than what we've already received this winter and others (strengthwise). However, it comes after a very quiet week. What will be different will be the duration of winds from tomorrow to Wednesday, plus the two cold days Monday and Tuesday. The Hebrides are where the real wind action will be at Sunday.

    Main impact from the storm could be the rainfall totals and flooding around northwestern counties.


  • #164
    Donegal Ken
    Registered Users Posts: 427 ✭✭Donegal Ken


    I can also see Met Eireann issuing a nationwide Orange warning for Sunday. Winds for many areas will be within a high yellow to low orange criteria.


  • #165
    Peterx
    Registered Users Posts: 2,116 ✭✭✭Peterx


    Donegal Ken wrote: »
    I can also see Met Eireann issuing a nationwide Orange warning for Sunday. Winds for many areas will be within a high yellow to low orange criteria.

    Approximately when would this warning* be issued?
    6pm Saturday?
    10am Saturday?

    *if they decide to issue an Orange wind warning nationwide for Sunday

    Thanks


  • #166
    Donegal Ken
    Registered Users Posts: 427 ✭✭Donegal Ken


    The Photos below displays the forecast winds for Saturday, 8th February using the Harmonie Forecast model.


  • #167
    zell12
    Registered Users Posts: 23,329 ✭✭✭✭zell12


    giveitholly wrote: »
    Who in their right mind thought it was a good idea to put up scaffolding and tents for a public event in February on the west coast of Galway?
    In fairness, it's been a stunningly calm, dry, bright week, to hold same.. until tonight. T'would be a stunning fires display if it was held last night.
    https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=112424062&postcount=154


  • #168
    Oneiric 3
    Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    Tomorrow's frontal passage does look interesting alright. Slow moving convergence zone moving NW to SE. Could dump a lot of rain in a short space of time in places.

    New Moon



  • #169
    Oscar Bravo
    Registered Users Posts: 10,059 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    giveitholly wrote: »
    Who in their right mind thought it was a good idea to put up scaffolding and tents for a public event in February on the west coast of Galway?

    Galway 2020 twitter
    We aware of the current weather advisories. As public safety is our primary concern, we are keeping the situation under review. Our intention is that the Opening Ceremony will still go ahead, but may be subject to alteration. We will update further on Saturday morning.


  • #170
    nuac
    Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 6,769 Mod ✭✭✭✭nuac


    Asitis2019 wrote: »
    Will you go wan now and get out of the park ---

    Summary - a bit of wind, rain, and a few isolated snowflakes in those far hills.

    I'm absolutely sick of seeing these warnings - they mean nothing, and I pay not attention to them.

    Personally I will heed those warnings and am thankful for them. Will help to pick the safest times to vote tomorrow/.


    Fair play to all who put this info together. We live on the Atlantic coast. Can never be casual about the weather.


  • #171
    Donegal Ken
    Registered Users Posts: 427 ✭✭Donegal Ken


    Oneiric 3 wrote: »
    Tomorrow's frontal passage does look interesting alright. Slow moving convergence zone moving NW to SE. Could dump a lot of rain in a short space of time in places.

    Could be a possible squall line also keep a eye out for that.


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  • #172
    Graces7
    Registered Users Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    _Kaiser_ wrote: »
    I think "warning fatigue" is setting in to be honest.

    Every few weeks at this stage there's a yellow/orange alert and for most of the country it's largely a non-event.

    The Boy who Cried Wolf comes to mind.

    Never one false call given. Mostly misread as to where they apply to is all.


  • #173
    highdef
    Registered Users Posts: 6,136 ✭✭✭highdef


    Gaoth Laidir wrote: »
    Let's not lose the run of ourseves here. In reality, Ciara will be nothing out of the ordinary for us and nothing more than what we've already received this winter and others (strengthwise). However, it comes after a very quiet week. What will be different will be the duration of winds from tomorrow to Wednesday, plus the two cold days Monday and Tuesday. The Hebrides are where the real wind action will be at Sunday.

    Completely agree, this is looking like a typical winter storm but with a longer duration than normal. One of the reasons why it is getting a lot of attention here on Boards is that initially it was looking like being an extremely severe storm.....a storm that would have been the strongest in many years, had it materialised as such. However, the trajectory and intensity forecast has changed a lot over the past week or thereabouts and it is now looking like a long lived winter storm. Yes, there may be a few surprises and there is likely to be some flooding and wind damage in places but nothing that is not expected to occur at least a few times over any goven winter season.


  • #174
    Graces7
    Registered Users Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    nuac wrote: »
    Personally I will heed those warnings and am thankful for them. Will help to pick the safest times to vote tomorrow/.


    Fair play to all who put this info together. We live on the Atlantic coast. Can never be casual about the weather.

    Amen to that. Coastal and island life are governed by the weather. Lives and homes at risk


  • #175
    Graces7
    Registered Users Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    It has gone very quiet out here but the marine warning for later tonight is now orange.


  • #176
    m17
    Registered Users Posts: 4,322 ✭✭✭m17


    Storm ciara this morning off the us east coast
    67UPYcx.jpg


  • #177
    TTLF
    Registered Users Posts: 671 ✭✭✭TTLF
    save the trouble and jazz it up


    Any update on the Monday -> Wednesday Snow situation?

    Obviously want the E coast to get something for once hehe :D


  • #178
    squarecircles
    Registered Users Posts: 1,981 ✭✭✭squarecircles




  • #179
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,707 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    just taking a look at the latest charts, this time around the ECM, rather than the GFS, just to see what's possible on Sunday morning across the country.

    The ECM brings in strong winds and gusts up to 110km/h across large parts of the country. This begins around 6am Sunday with gusts averaging 130km/h with a few possibly getting close to 160km/h off the coasts of Galway and Mayo.

    6am Sunday:

    space.png

    space.png

    By 9am Sunday the storm will be raging for about 3 hours and winds still very strong across the country.

    space.png


    At the same time, winds remain very strong across all the country with the highest gusts possible in Kerry, the ECM is shooting for a 165km/h gust somewhere in the Kerry mountains.

    space.png

    By midday Sunday, not alot has changed, still very windy across the country, we would be at the 6 hour mark by this stage.


    Kerry still with gusts exceeding 130km/h
    space.png

    For some reason none of the images are showing up!


  • #180
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,116 ✭✭✭pad199207


    ESB Crews will have their work cut out for them


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  • #181
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,707 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    Sunday 3pm see's winds dropping slightly across much of the country, but if anything gaining strength across the south and far north.

    space.png

    Poor Kerry still getting hit hard:
    space.png

    6pm Sunday, the storm moves into the Uk, Ireland is still fairly windy with gusts up to 90km/h in many places, thats 12 hours of very gusty and windy conditions. Kerry still taking the brunt of it.

    space.png

    The ECM wants to keep gusts of over 100km/h in Kerry till 6am Monday morning, a full 24 hour window of gusts.

    The far western coastal areas still look very gusty all through Monday with winds over 100km/h for most of the day.


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