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28-11-2018, 18:52   #31
Larbre34
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-9.4C, Mullingar, 15th January.
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28-11-2018, 19:45   #32
Meteorite58
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Jan 25th

Ballyhaise

- 7.6C
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29-11-2018, 15:16   #33
konman
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February 18th
knock
-7.4
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29-11-2018, 16:23   #34
M.T. Cranium
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bazlers View Post
So 10 days left to get your entries in and also to edit your entry if you wish.
With MTC possibly starting his winter thread soon, mods if you want to merge with that thread or as MT himself suggests have this more of a discussion thread. Anyhow I guess we will see how it goes and if it starts to cause confusion just scrap it.
This thread is fine, don't merge it with the contest thread, I put the winter forecast contest in with the December forecast contest because most of the people who have entered that in previous years were regular monthly forecasters (not all though) ... so if you're looking for that contest thread, look for the December forecast contest and enter there. You don't have to enter our December contest to submit a winter forecast.
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29-11-2018, 17:01   #35
Captain Red Beard
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Really cold. The Midlands.
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29-11-2018, 20:47   #36
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Nice one , just seeing this thread now.
Well nothing will happen anytime too soon but there looks to be a considerable wave attack on the Stratosphere, forecast for mid December.
So if that does indeed knock the hell out of it , I'll include a 3 week time lag for effects to take place, hopefully in the right place, then allow another week for snowfall and cold to deepen. So my guess is,

January 15th
Oak park
Minus 11.4

Fingers crossed.
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29-11-2018, 20:51   #37
Beechwoodspark
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Jan 10th

-14.7

Oak Park
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29-11-2018, 22:51   #38
bazlers
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Excellent. We will keep this thread separate.
I will post the entries in order on Saturday.
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29-11-2018, 23:00   #39
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These are previous years' minima for Ireland to have some perspective.

2018 (so far); -9.7c at Durrow on March 1st
2017; -6.6c at Casement Aerodrome on December 11th
2016; -7.3c at Markree Castle on November 25th
2015; -7.9c at Dublin Airport on February 3rd
2014; -7.5c at Thomastown on December 29th
2013; -7.6c at Markree Castle on March 12th
2012; -6.7c at Thomastown on February 2nd & Carrickmacross (Dunoge) on February 3rd
2011; -8.3c at Thomastown on January 29th
2010; -17.5c at Straide on December 25th
2009; -10.0c at Mullingar on December 25th
2008; -7.8c at Derrygreenagh on January 4th
2007; -8.0c at Cavan on February 7th
2006; -8.6c at Straide on March 3rd
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30-11-2018, 12:57   #40
bazlers
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Ok this is the official list of entries for now. If there are more to come between now and tonight i will amend tomorrow. Think i have everyone but let me know if not..

Bazlers -13.5 _Mullingar_Jan 6th

Tazio -16.5_OAK PARK CARLOW_JAN 11th.

Sryanbruen -7.2c at Mullingar on January 1st

Esposito -8.3 c Oak Park 13th Jan

Rikand -19.1 .... 25th December ...... Mt. Dillon

Pauldry -17.7c Jan 10th Markree

Artane2002 -8.1 Mount Dillon January 11th

Nacho Libre January 5th -13.2 at Oak Park

JCX BXC December 27th -7.6c Oak Park

Wine Goddess Jan 9th -6C Oak Park

MT Cranium -12.8 at Ballyhaise January 7th (possibly 3rd 4th Feb)

Gaoth Laidir -7.5 at Ballyhaise, Feb 11th

Tech85 4th january -10.3 Gurteen

Up For Anything 13th January in Kilkenny city -15C

Cirrus Business -11.6 at OAK PARK, 9th January.

Reversal -8.9, Ballyhaise, December 17th

BLIZZARD7 -18.3c, 31st of December and/or the 11th of January. Markree Castle.

Villian Official -15.6c Oak Park January 9th (he has an unofficial one too)

Rebelbrowser Moore Park; -8.4c; 29 January

Conerstonelad Oak Park, - 13.1, 21Feb.

Larbre -9.4C, Mullingar, 15th January

Meteorite58 Jan 25th Ballyhaise- 7.6C

Konman February 18th knock -7.4

Mount Vesuvius January 15th Oak park -11.4

Beechwoodspark Jan 10th -14.7 Oak Park
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30-11-2018, 21:14   #41
M.T. Cranium
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Just a question, when you say "official met E station" does that include climat stations that report away from the website daily and monthly reporting? For example, I see Kilkenny City among the list of stations chosen, that's not visible on the met E "yesterday's weather" or "monthly data" or "daily data" sites. In the contest thread, we ignore all these stations that report eventually somewhere else (the Bulletin I believe is where they come to light unless somebody here knows about their readings -- this happened with the Dec 2010 cold spell, the coldest reading anywhere was a few degrees lower than the value we used for the contest minimum). For example I think Danno's station at Durrow has been colder than any of the "main" stations in some previous winters.

It's not a big issue, just thought it would be better to clarify the rules before rather than after the fact.
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30-11-2018, 21:26   #42
sryanbruen
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Quote:
Originally Posted by M.T. Cranium View Post
Just a question, when you say "official met E station" does that include climat stations that report away from the website daily and monthly reporting? For example, I see Kilkenny City among the list of stations chosen, that's not visible on the met E "yesterday's weather" or "monthly data" or "daily data" sites. In the contest thread, we ignore all these stations that report eventually somewhere else (the Bulletin I believe is where they come to light unless somebody here knows about their readings -- this happened with the Dec 2010 cold spell, the coldest reading anywhere was a few degrees lower than the value we used for the contest minimum). For example I think Danno's station at Durrow has been colder than any of the "main" stations in some previous winters.

It's not a big issue, just thought it would be better to clarify the rules before rather than after the fact.
They do not do the monthly weather bulletins anymore and instead add the historical data for climate stations online a few months after in the historical database. I think most of the climate stations have their data available up to June at this point. I'm waiting on their data to come in for the full Summer period to do my final and full Summer 2018 report - I think Met Éireann is too.
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01-12-2018, 02:00   #43
bazlers
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Quote:
Originally Posted by M.T. Cranium View Post
Just a question, when you say "official met E station" does that include climat stations that report away from the website daily and monthly reporting? For example, I see Kilkenny City among the list of stations chosen, that's not visible on the met E "yesterday's weather" or "monthly data" or "daily data" sites. In the contest thread, we ignore all these stations that report eventually somewhere else (the Bulletin I believe is where they come to light unless somebody here knows about their readings -- this happened with the Dec 2010 cold spell, the coldest reading anywhere was a few degrees lower than the value we used for the contest minimum). For example I think Danno's station at Durrow has been colder than any of the "main" stations in some previous winters.

It's not a big issue, just thought it would be better to clarify the rules before rather than after the fact.
Yes I noticed that myself at the time but wasn't sure of age profile of entrant and wouldn't like to discount it and ruin a young persons interest in this science. Im probably been very soft here and mellowing with age maybe!
I'm going to allow it as dead line is up now so its the only that got through. He/she can count their lucky stars :-) in fairness this competition is only a poor a relation to the December /Winter forecast competition, although I guess if it comes down to the wire, arguments have started on lesser things. On my head be it now anyhow. :-/
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01-12-2018, 02:14   #44
Ultimate Seduction
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I'm a few hours late, please let me in.

-8.8 at Casement on 21 January 2019
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01-12-2018, 14:52   #45
bazlers
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This is the official entries for this Winter so competition closed. Ultimate Seduction is lucky to get in! I like MTCs idea of penalties after closing time. The way to go.
Anyhow best of luck to everyone and I bet the Kilkenny forecast will come in to play. Sods law.
Here's hoping for a cold and snowy one.

Bazlers -13.5 _Mullingar_Jan 6th

Tazio -16.5_OAK PARK CARLOW_JAN 11th.

Sryanbruen -7.2c at Mullingar on January 1st

Esposito -8.3 c Oak Park 13th Jan

Rikand -19.1 .... 25th December ...... Mt. Dillon

Pauldry -17.7c Jan 10th Markree

Artane2002 -8.1 Mount Dillon January 11th

Nacho Libre January 5th -13.2 at Oak Park

JCX BXC December 27th -7.6c Oak Park

Wine Goddess Jan 9th -6C Oak Park

MT Cranium -12.8 at Ballyhaise January 7th (possibly 3rd 4th Feb)

Gaoth Laidir -7.5 at Ballyhaise, Feb 11th

Tech85 4th january -10.3 Gurteen

Up For Anything 13th January in Kilkenny city -15C

Cirrus Business -11.6 at OAK PARK, 9th January.

Reversal -8.9, Ballyhaise, December 17th

BLIZZARD7 -18.3c, 31st of December and/or the 11th of January. Markree Castle.

Villian Official -15.6c Oak Park January 9th (he has an unofficial one too)

Rebelbrowser Moore Park; -8.4c; 29 January

Conerstonelad Oak Park, - 13.1, 21Feb.

Larbre -9.4C, Mullingar, 15th January

Meteorite58 Jan 25th Ballyhaise- 7.6C

Konman February 18th knock -7.4

Mount Vesuvius January 15th Oak park -11.4

Beechwoodspark Jan 10th -14.7 Oak Park

Ultimate Seduction -8.8 casement 21st January

Last edited by bazlers; 01-12-2018 at 14:58.
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