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16-07-2018, 20:27   #16
sryanbruen
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Cooler interlude for now bringing fresher temperatures than of late but not long until we'll find ourselves in double 850hPa temperatures again by the weekend.

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16-07-2018, 20:47   #17
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Best chance of a drop of rain this week Thurs evening into Fri according to the ICON and ECM . Not much for some but every drop counts in this dry spell.

ARPEGE, GFS show it mostly missing the country.









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17-07-2018, 14:58   #18
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American models not showing much if any rain on Thurs night/ Fri morning. ECM a bit less to what was modelled yesterday, ICON eased off a good bit on totals, ARPEGE showing a decent bit of rain overnight into Fri. Met Eireann's Harmonie showing light rain.


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17-07-2018, 23:26   #19
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Temperatures picking up again the weekend with Sunday and Monday looking like the warmest with the ECM showing 27C reachable.




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18-07-2018, 20:57   #20
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ECM 12z 850hPa temperatures for the coming weekend.



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18-07-2018, 21:08   #21
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23c and 26c in Cork on Saturday and Sunday respectively on the ECM 12z.



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18-07-2018, 21:09   #22
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ECM showing best temps in the S and SE in the coming days with Pressure highest in the S. Probably a big contrast between N and S over the weekend.








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18-07-2018, 21:18   #23
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The South on the edge of the HP over the Weekend. Hopefully cloud won't block too much sun further up the country over the weekend. Light rain / drizzle possible in Northern counties Sat night/ Sun morning. A weak dissipating front looks set to cross the country on Mon. Rainfall amounts low. Humid and muggy at times .










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18-07-2018, 23:41   #24
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Rain moving down from the NW to SE early Fri ,becoming lighter on its way. Amounts in general quite low apart from the NW/ N region.




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20-07-2018, 19:52   #25
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A noteworthy possible spell of rain for next Weds, which at present looks substantial, just at the edge of +120 hrs so a fair degree of uncertainty yet. A chance to get a decent fall of rain perhaps. Breezy along Atlantic Coasts.





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20-07-2018, 20:43   #26
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A noteworthy possible spell of rain for next Weds, which at present looks substantial, just at the edge of +120 hrs so a fair degree of uncertainty yet. A chance to get a decent fall of rain perhaps.
Fingers crossed at this stage.
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20-07-2018, 20:44   #27
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Fingers crossed at this stage.
Most definitely.
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21-07-2018, 20:58   #28
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Wednesday's rain band on the hi res models.

WRF-NMM barely has 1mm for most places.



Arpege shows it relatively heavier (keep in mind, this is rain averaged over 6 hours) with a little "ripple" on the front pushing up from the south Wednesday night into early Thursday.

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21-07-2018, 21:05   #29
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The SW soaking up a lot of it on the ICON

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22-07-2018, 11:25   #30
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All depends on the track of the messy frontal system determining what rainfall totals we get Weds /Thurs. Potential there for decent amounts and ECM leading the way in that respect. The American models keeping the track further W. HARMONIE showing SW, S and W probably getting the most but not showing as much as the ECM I would think.











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