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29-12-2018, 20:01   #1
M.T. Cranium
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January 2019 Boards weather forecast contest

1. Predict the IMT (average 1981-2010 was 5.1).

2. Predict the MAX

3. Predict the MIN

4. Predict the PRC (% of normal)

5. Predict the SUN (% of normal)

6. BONUS -- predict the first day this winter with measurable snow at any of the 25 daily stations on met.ie website. If your prediction is not in January,and you're right, you'll get a provisional score to be adjusted later. If it happens in January, final scoring will be possible. A valid forecast is "none" but the final date acceptable in the contest is 1 April (all later will be considered equal).

If you need more information, please check the Jan 2018 thread, which was last updated on 2 Feb 2018 (on page 10 of my version of the weather forum archives).

Deadline is 0300h 1st of January, penalties will follow the usual schedule.

Placeholder in case I am delayed (4.0, 13.0, -10.0, 80, 120, 15 Jan)

Normal (5.1, 14.0, -7.0, 100, 100, 15 Feb)
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29-12-2018, 21:44   #2
derekon
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.

Last edited by derekon; 30-12-2018 at 22:58.
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30-12-2018, 03:15   #3
dacogawa
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Dacogawa 4.8, 14.1, -8.7, 110 , 103, 17 Jan

(provisional in case I can't adjust before New Year)

Happy New Year. Hope you all have a prosperous and wonderful 2019!
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30-12-2018, 18:37   #4
200motels
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200motels 4.7 13.2 -8.9 111 104 19th Jan
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30-12-2018, 18:40   #5
sdanseo
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sdanseo _____ 4.0 _ 13.6 _ -9.0 _ 90 _ 121 _ 21/01 Casement
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30-12-2018, 22:38   #6
Bsal
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Bsal___4.8__12.8__-8.5__97__115__25 Jan
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30-12-2018, 22:52   #7
derekon
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OK, instead of just pestering MT about his winter forecast, I will put my own neck on the line, for once!

Here goes!!

derekon_ 3.2_14_-11_67_120_19th Jan

Good luck to all!!

D

Last edited by derekon; 30-12-2018 at 22:59.
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31-12-2018, 00:02   #8
Tae laidir
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Tae laidir _____ 5.3 _ 13.3 _ -6.8 _ 95 _ 95 _ 2nd Feb

Last edited by Tae laidir; 31-12-2018 at 21:39.
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31-12-2018, 08:48   #9
DOCARCH
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DOCARCH _____ 5.4 _ 13.8 _ -7.2 _ 80 _ 110 _ 15 Jan Knock
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31-12-2018, 12:07   #10
Jpmarn
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Jpmarn ________ 6.1, 14.2, -6.5, 75, 110, 25 Jan.
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31-12-2018, 12:18   #11
sryanbruen
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sryanbruen ____________ 4.9 _ 15.3 _ -7.2 _ 085 _ 120 ___ 17 Jan
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31-12-2018, 13:28   #12
YanSno
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YanSno ___________ 6 _ 14.3 _ -6.6 _ 95 _ 110 ___ 16 Jan
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31-12-2018, 13:56   #13
pauldry
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pauldry ____________ 5.5 _ 14.3 _ -7.7 _ 084 _ 100 ___ 28 Jan
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31-12-2018, 14:43   #14
adam240610
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Adam240610_______4.8_13.1_-7.1_75_123_Jan 19th

Feeling less confident with this one compared with December, could realistically go anywhere near the end of the month

Last edited by adam240610; 01-01-2019 at 01:09. Reason: Increased sunshine decreased precipitation
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31-12-2018, 16:29   #15
sunflower3
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Sunflower3.......5.0, 13.5, -5.5, 85, 90, 28 Jan

(off topic ...Happy New Year everyone....thanks very much to all who contribute so brilliantly to the forum....looking forward to (any) change in weather soon! )
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