UFC/MMA Gambling. NO AFTER-TIMING

19-01-2020 4:42am

eagle eye wrote: »

My first serious bet of the night is on Osborne by finish at 11/8.

I have a little bit on him via sub.

eagle eye · 19-01-2020 4:47am

Alice Sweet Zipper wrote:

I have a little bit on him via sub.

Sub more likely but he is capable of the ko too.

Mr.burgess · 19-01-2020 4:54am

That was quick

simongurnick · 19-01-2020 5:06am

Mr.burgess wrote: »

That was quick

Thats what she said ....(sorry)

19-01-2020 5:15am

How are people betting in the Holm fight.

Mellor · 19-01-2020 5:24am

[Deleted User] wrote: »

How are people betting in the Holm fight.

Rocky by decision

19-01-2020 5:28am

Mellor wrote: »

Rocky by decision

Alright I'll copy you then

spix · 22-01-2020 5:03am

Did anyone bet on conor winning by kick knockout and get a payout? The UFC site has it listed by tko via kick but people seem to consider it by punches.

Mellor · 22-01-2020 6:20am

spix wrote: »

Did anyone bet on conor winning by kick knockout and get a payout? The UFC site has it listed by tko via kick but people seem to consider it by punches.

It was clearly a TKO by punches. Expecting to get paid for a kick is a stretch.

spix · 22-01-2020 9:46am

Mellor wrote: »

It was clearly a TKO by punches. Expecting to get paid for a kick is a stretch.

I agree but it made me wonder if the UFC considers the knock out caused by a kick, then shouldn't it be considered a winning bet? Is this how the UFC always does it when someone lands a good kick and then follows it up with punches, they still consider it a kick knockout? The punches were really just the finishers needed to get the ref to step in, it was really caused by the kick. It does make sense when I think about it, whichever strike sets up the finishing sequence and causes the other fighter to shell up in defense and not strike back once, should be considered the method of victory.

akelly02 · 22-01-2020 10:09am

tko by punches is the correct decision

EagererBeaver · 22-01-2020 10:10am

I saw tweets the other day (retweeted by Sean Sheehan I think) where sky weren't paying out of specific method of punches as they were calling it a head kick KO.

They settle their markets based on ufcstats.com, which lists magnet of victory as "Head Kick at a distance". Dunno whether they paid out on head kick KO though...

Mellor · 22-01-2020 11:55am

spix wrote: »

I agree but it made me wonder if the UFC considers the knock out caused by a kick, then shouldn't it be considered a winning bet?Is this how the UFC always does it when someone lands a good kick and then follows it up with punches, they still consider it a kick knockout? The punches were really just the finishers needed to get the ref to step in, it was really caused by the kick. It does make sense when I think about it, whichever strike sets up the finishing sequence and causes the other fighter to shell up in defense and not strike back once, should be considered the method of victory.

The fight stats on UFCs website come from fightmetric. No idea what their criteria are.
If the kick dropped him I’d agree. But he was standing for a good few strikes after.

He landed 20 strikes. I think the kick was 5th or so.

spix · 22-01-2020 6:40pm

Mellor wrote: »

The fight stats on UFCs website come from fightmetric. No idea what their criteria are.
If the kick dropped him I’d agree. But he was standing for a good few strikes after.

He landed 20 strikes. I think the kick was 5th or so.

Cowboy made no attempt to fight back after the head kick though, all the strikes afterwards were to someone just shelling up. So really it was the kick that got the job done, everything afterwards was just the ref giving him time to show something which he didn't. If cowboy attempted to fight back between the kick and the stoppage then it shouldn't be considered a kick ko, whichever strike causes the fighter to stop fighting should be the method of victory, imo. Kick was around the 9th, he had an accidental knee at start, 4 shoulders, 1 knee in the break, a lead uppercut followed by body shot, then the kick.

Mellor · 23-01-2020 8:00am

spix wrote: »

Cowboy made no attempt to fight back after the head kick though, all the strikes afterwards were to someone just shelling up. So really it was the kick that got the job done, everything afterwards was just the ref giving him time to show something which he didn't. If cowboy attempted to fight back between the kick and the stoppage then it shouldn't be considered a kick ko, whichever strike causes the fighter to stop fighting should be the method of victory, imo. Kick was around the 9th, he had an accidental knee at start, 4 shoulders, 1 knee in the break, a lead uppercut followed by body shot, then the kick.

I dont think the accidental quad/knee is counted. He hit him 20 times after the kick, many were blocked by cowboys arms.
I disagree that Cowboy was shelling up waiting for the ref. He was covering up, but that’s the intelligent way to defend. He was also trying to invert and establish a guard initially. He was hurt. Attempting to strike back from there would be dumb.
About half through the strikes, he balled up and froze. Fight over.

The way I see it, if Conor didn’t swarm him, it’s not stopped from the kick. But with TKOs it’s not always a single strike that ends it. It’s not a market I ever bet on.
Unlike specific sub which is a lot clearer, usually

tinpib · 25-01-2020 9:24pm

Doing my usual small stakes value hunting for interest, your eye is naturally drawn to the women's fights where you can use the "by decision" odds booster.

Hope Lina Lansberg's Indian summer continues at 3.5 by decision, neither lady is a spring chicken.

Lucie Padalova has a terrible record against poor fighters so was surprised to see her fav, Kish has a better record to my eye so have her at 3.0 by decision

From memory Angela Hill looked better in her last fight, but her opponent Hannah Cifer's record isn't terrible so 3.1 by decision

In the main and co-main I was very surprised at the odds, I thought they would be a lot closer so went with the outsider in both, Chiesa at 2.9 and dos Santos at 3.3

Should Blaydes really be that strong a fav? I guess we will find out. First fight is at 10pm.

eagle eye · 26-01-2020 1:24am

Nice call on Fish.

Mehaffey1 · 28-01-2020 9:42pm

117-1 as a Treble for Ilir Latifi to beat Derrick Lewis, Chookagian to beat Shevchenko and Reyes to beat Jones.

Huge underdogs but stranger things have happened in MMA.

MUFC91CS · 28-01-2020 11:31pm

Mehaffey1 wrote: »

117-1 as a Treble for Ilir Latifi to beat Derrick Lewis, Chookagian to beat Shevchenko and Reyes to beat Jones.

Huge underdogs but stranger things have happened in MMA.

Those should be the odds on Chookagian alone. Can't see anyway she wins tbh

smilerf · 08-02-2020 11:57am

My outside bet for tonight

Hello 2D Person Below · 08-02-2020 1:38pm

Chookagian is 10/1 to win via decision...absurd price. Nom nom.

I've done it as a single and also double it with Jones decision (23/10). 36/1.

mailburner · 09-02-2020 12:51am

jones and shevchenko fights to go distance at 4.24

jones pts 2/1

very small singles/double on reyes pts and chook pts, have a sneaking feeling I'll get a run for my money on one of them, reyes more than likely
prices too tempting for me to ignore (11s)

thought latifi had a shot but in lewis backyard I'm not so sure

Mr. Manager · 09-02-2020 1:54am

Dbl on Shevcenko KO/TKO and Jones pts.

Mr. Manager · 09-02-2020 7:18am

Mr. Manager wrote: »

Dbl on Shevcenko KO/TKO and Jones pts.

My Bets
Congrats! You have won €562.50
Double (x1)
W
Valentina Shevchenko v Katlyn Chookagian - Method of Victory
Valentina Shevchenko by KO/TKO
3.75
W
Jon Jones v Dominick Reyes - Method of Victory
Jon Jones by Points
3.00
Stake:
€50.00
Returns:
€562.50

Saweeeeet!

mailburner · 15-02-2020 10:05am

anyone tempted by diego at 11/8 or pts 5/2 might even have a small bet on diego round 3 20/1

the way perreira tired last time out against a fairly average
fighter has to be a worry
Of course all his flips and showmanship probably didn't help his cause

will he do enough in the first 7/8 minutes to win the rest of the fight is probably the question to ask?

Mellor · 15-02-2020 10:26am

No way I could bet on Diego at this point in his career

Mehaffey1 · 15-02-2020 3:22pm

Got Diego to win in my accumulator for tonight

Mehaffey1 · 15-02-2020 3:43pm

Diego beats Pereira
Means beats Rodriguez
Dvalishvili beats Kenney
Devin Clark beats Townsend
Jim Miller beats Holtzman
Borg beats Bontorin
Medeiros beats Vannata
Andersob beats Blachowicz

100/1

mailburner · 16-02-2020 1:49am

change of heart on diego, mate is on perreira pts which is huge at 7/1

could win the first two and hold on for dear life in the third

gone for the double of vannata medeiros to go the distance and corey to win at 17/10

Hello 2D Person Below · 16-02-2020 2:08am

I have a friend that has sparred with Mara Romero Borella (back around 2016) and she's a beast.

I'll have her with Pereira and Borg in a treble @6s. All to win.

UFC/MMA Gambling. **NO AFTER-TIMING**

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UFC/MMA Gambling. NO AFTER-TIMING