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01-06-2021, 21:34   #16
JanuarySnowstor
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Interesting 24hours with surely some storms cracking off!!
Plenty warmth in the air down in Cork this evening.
History would say yes, these biscay lows nearly always deliver...
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01-06-2021, 21:58   #17
Gaoth Laidir
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I doubt we'll see any lightning from this tomorrow. Only the southeast might have a slight chance in the morning, but there just aren't the dynamics in place to force the elevated convection enough for lightning. It's a similar type of setup to the one at the end of June last year, just a lot less favourable.
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01-06-2021, 23:56   #18
Kermit.de.frog
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I'd be a little more confident but not by much. There'll probably be a bit of a shadow through Wicklow which didn't work out so well last time up wind. Inland southeast and hugging Irish sea coasts are the best bet.

No active thunderstorm activity at the moment between north west France and the south coast.


Last edited by Kermit.de.frog; 02-06-2021 at 00:17.
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02-06-2021, 00:47   #19
Gaoth Laidir
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Latest TAF for Waterford Airport, valid to 10 am.

TAF EIWF 012300Z 0200/0209 06006KT 9999 FEW030
PROB30 TEMPO 0200/0202 4000 BR
TEMPO 0208/0209 4000 SHRA BKN010 SCT050CB=
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02-06-2021, 08:24   #20
PukkaStukka
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@convectivewx not massively confident either

https://twitter.com/convectivewx/sta...083478021?s=19
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02-06-2021, 11:30   #21
Marine Layer
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Lightning off Pembroke now in the batch headed for wexford
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02-06-2021, 11:53   #22
RubyK
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I can hear a few rumbles in the Waterford/Kilkenny border, here in work.
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02-06-2021, 12:43   #23
PukkaStukka
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Marine Layer View Post
Lightning off Pembroke now in the batch headed for wexford
I've been watching that. The showers are loosing intensity as they cross the sea, and on SAT24, those clouds don't appear to have any significant heights in them or are showing significant signs of convection,
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02-06-2021, 18:59   #24
Gaoth Laidir
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Some nice surface-based thunderstorms going all afternoon over northern France. Our system just ran out of steam overnight, but at least it made for another decent day.
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02-06-2021, 20:06   #25
PukkaStukka
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Well not only no thunder but no rain either !
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02-06-2021, 20:33   #26
Meteorite58
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Yeah very little convective activity even in the UK. Still a chance of some activity off the SW tonight and early morning and possibly up along the coasts. Lapse rates are best here with good deep layer shear and a pronounced convergence zone with high K index readings. ECM showing the far NW with possibility of some thunderstorms also in the early morning. Tomorrow up along the W, maybe Kerry also showing the highest chance of some convective activity with Thunderstorm's possible if somewhat a low chance.










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02-06-2021, 21:43   #27
Kermit.de.frog
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A total dud. Ah well. That's the way the cookie crumbles.

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03-06-2021, 03:11   #28
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Epic thunderstorm alright, think we got around two drops of light rain around lunchtime.
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03-06-2021, 08:06   #29
eastmayo
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There was 1 very loud clap off thunder last nite at 3 45 which has knocked the power out kilmovee in eastmayo..
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03-06-2021, 10:23   #30
lolie
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Quote:
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There was 1 very loud clap off thunder last nite at 3 45 which has knocked the power out kilmovee in eastmayo..
Thats probably the culprit there.
3.35am cloud to ground strike.

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