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Weds 30th early hours + morning: Munster/south Leinster snow and ice

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Comments

  • #62
    davidsr20
    Registered Users Posts: 768 ✭✭✭davidsr20


    Meteorite58 wrote: »
    The European 06Z Hi Res models not really making much of this at all, little precipitation and keeping it much further S.

    The WRF would tally most with the Met Eireann forecast. Very cold day and night to follow with icy road and footpath conditions being a possible issue.

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    I’m not very good at reading charts but is east Galway looking good here


  • #63
    Rikand
    Registered Users Posts: 20,336 ✭✭✭✭Rikand


    Come on Athlone!


  • #64
    davidsr20
    Registered Users Posts: 768 ✭✭✭davidsr20


    Rikand wrote: »
    Come on Athlone!
    I’m down that way tomorrow hopefully I’ll see some flakes.


  • #65
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,803 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    ECM 06Z rolling out and keeping to the same track and amounts as the 0Z which are far less than the WRF and more S.

    I wonder could freezing rain be an issue. Again biggest issue I think would be icy roads and surfaces later Weds.

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  • #66
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,803 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    davidsr20 wrote: »
    I’m not very good at reading charts but is east Galway looking good here


    Looks like could get mostly rain and perhaps a sleety mix but not much snow I reckon ( best chance of lower level snow further E Galway if any ) but again looks to freeze early in the evening. Such a marginal event will need to see tonight's charts to see if any shift in track.

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  • #67
    Nqp15hhu
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,254 ✭✭✭Nqp15hhu


    Is that -8c 850hPa over me tonight? That guarantees snow


  • #68
    Gaoth Laidir
    Registered Users Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    Fax for 06Z tomorrow morning. Normally, the best snow is to be found at around 10 o'clock of the direction of travel, so in this case to the low's north or northeast, around the outer edge of the warm sector.

    ukmo_nat_fax_2020122906_024.png

    The Icon shows best chance of snow inland southeast at around dawn tomorrow morning. The sounding for around Thomastown shows good precipitation rates (deep saturated layer up to around 700 hPa), with a shallow unsaturated surface layer capable of cooling evaporatively. However it is a very localised set of conditions and in reality for many it may turn out to be just the wrong side of marginal again. Depending on overnight cooling, freezing rain could indeed be possible.

    The Knockmealdowns and Comeraghs could be the place to be for snow, though.

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  • #69
    polarhullar
    Registered Users Posts: 32 ✭polarhullar


    Nqp15hhu wrote: »
    Is that -8c 850hPa over me tonight? That guarantees snow

    I hope so! Benevenagh always nearly guaranteed snow, I'll be up tomorrow morning :D


  • #70
    pauldry
    Registered Users Posts: 6,870 ✭✭✭pauldry


    I think this will be a wet mess. It's far too windy. It's far too mild. So probably 2 or 3c with wet snow falling where it does. The world is too warm now. Theres no real cold anywhere.


  • #71
    Nqp15hhu
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,254 ✭✭✭Nqp15hhu


    Lol don’t be daft. It can snow hard when it wants to.


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  • #72
    Nqp15hhu
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,254 ✭✭✭Nqp15hhu


    polarhullar wrote: »
    I hope so! Benevenagh always nearly guaranteed snow, I'll be up tomorrow morning :D

    Yes. Though showers need to come from the north not the west, as they can fizzle out over Donegal.


  • #73
    Nqp15hhu
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,254 ✭✭✭Nqp15hhu


    Gaoth Laidir wrote: »
    Fax for 06Z tomorrow morning. Normally, the best snow is to be found at around 10 o'clock of the direction of travel, so in this case to the low's north or northeast, around the outer edge of the warm sector.

    ukmo_nat_fax_2020122906_024.png

    The Icon shows best chance of snow inland southeast at around dawn tomorrow morning. The sounding for around Thomastown shows good precipitation rates (deep saturated layer up to around 700 hPa), with a shallow unsaturated surface layer capable of cooling evaporatively. However it is a very localised set of conditions and in reality for many it may turn out to be just the wrong side of marginal again. Depending on overnight cooling, freezing rain could indeed be possible.

    The Knockmealdowns and Comeraghs could be the place to be for snow, though.

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    Could you produce two of those soundings for me? Please? One for 55N, 7W at midnight tonight and 12pm tomorrow


  • #74
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users Posts: 6,142 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    pauldry wrote: »
    I think this will be a wet mess. It's far too windy. It's far too mild. So probably 2 or 3c with wet snow falling where it does. The world is too warm now. Theres no real cold anywhere.

    Snowing away in England readily enough.


  • #75
    Slashermcguirk
    Registered Users Posts: 1,979 ✭✭✭Slashermcguirk


    Where? Certainly been no snow so far this winter in the south or south east of England. Scotland highlands have been the only place to get any real snow yet

    quote="munsterlegend;115734389"]Snowing away in England readily enough.[/quote]


  • #76
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users Posts: 6,142 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    Slashermcguirk wrote: »
    Where? Certainly been no snow so far this winter in the south or south east of England. Scotland highlands have been the only place to get any real snow yet

    quote="munsterlegend;115734389"]Snowing away in England readily enough.
    [/quote]

    It’s snowing in parts of England such as Gloucestershire Telford Sheffield. Just look at twitter or sky news. It’s not huge amounts but it can snow even if not frigid cold which was the point.


  • #77
    Slashermcguirk
    Registered Users Posts: 1,979 ✭✭✭Slashermcguirk


    I thought you meant proper sticking snow. Sure a lot of counties here have had snow showers. Here is hoping plenty on the way over coming weeks
    munsterlegend wrote: »

    It’s snowing in parts of England such as Gloucestershire Telford Sheffield. Just look at twitter or sky news. It’s not huge amounts but it can snow even if not frigid cold which was the point.[/quote]


  • #78
    Nqp15hhu
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,254 ✭✭✭Nqp15hhu


    The snow started to stick here on the 3rd


  • #79
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users Posts: 6,142 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    Slashermcguirk wrote: »
    I thought you meant proper sticking snow. Sure a lot of counties here have had snow showers. Here is hoping plenty on the way over coming weeks



    It’s snowing in parts of England such as Gloucestershire Telford Sheffield. Just look at twitter or sky news. It’s not huge amounts but it can snow even if not frigid cold which was the point.
    [/quote]

    Looks proper sticking snow on twitter!


  • #80
    CirrusBusiness
    Registered Users Posts: 202 ✭✭CirrusBusiness


    GFS still showing some snow potential for some at least (Carlow looks good) with more in the way of precipitation (snow) during the day. Freezing rain could be an issue in other places and icy surfaces.


  • #81
    RobertKK
    Registered Users Posts: 33,722 ✭✭✭✭RobertKK


    Feeling very positive for the Castlecomer plateau area.
    Should be nice scenic views of snow covered hills when it all clears away.


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  • #82
    irishfeen
    Registered Users Posts: 8,061 ✭✭✭irishfeen


    Yellow warning issued for Cork - surely given these charts that’s a bit premature?


  • #83
    lulublue22
    Registered Users Posts: 1,475 ✭✭✭lulublue22


    irishfeen wrote: »
    Yellow warning issued for Cork - surely given these charts that’s a bit premature?

    fingers crossed there’s a breach in the snow shield esp the city and surrounding areas - it would be a great end to this crap year ðŸ™


  • #84
    irishfeen
    Registered Users Posts: 8,061 ✭✭✭irishfeen


    lulublue22 wrote: »
    fingers crossed there’s a breach in the snow shield esp the city and surrounding areas - it would be a great end to this crap year ðŸ™

    Looking very optimistic for that to happen :)


  • #85
    Mimon
    Registered Users Posts: 1,474 ✭✭✭Mimon


    munsterlegend wrote: »

    Looks proper sticking snow on twitter!

    Yep, not piles but the niece and nephew in English midlands had enough to build a small snowman in their garden.


  • #86
    lulublue22
    Registered Users Posts: 1,475 ✭✭✭lulublue22


    irishfeen wrote: »
    Looking very optimistic for that to happen :)

    OMG - I’d given up hope and in the long tradition of disappointment after disappointment had this written off as well. Will be stalking this thread like a loon now 😄


  • #87
    Nqp15hhu
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,254 ✭✭✭Nqp15hhu


    Lots of showers forming to the north of Northern Ireland.


  • #88
    daheff
    Registered Users Posts: 5,833 ✭✭✭daheff


    Lads...North Kildare gonna get snow? Please say yes???:D


  • #89
    Snowbiee21
    Registered Users Posts: 788 ✭✭✭Snowbiee21


    daheff wrote: »
    Lads...North Kildare gonna get snow? Please say yes???:D

    No


  • #90
    YanSno
    Registered Users Posts: 358 ✭✭YanSno


    Another downgrade from ICON it's moving further south, precipitation light and patchy. High grounds Tipperary, Wexford, Waterford and south Kilkenny might get a dusting that's about it.


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  • #91
    Nqp15hhu
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,254 ✭✭✭Nqp15hhu


    I am no expert but it does not look productive for snow in the Southwest (County Kerry and Cork).

    The 850hPa is barely below 0c. Perhaps there could be some back edge snow.


This discussion has been closed.
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