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Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)
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Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.
Thursday, 19 September, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
Astronomy note: full moon is today at 12:14 IST (at that time, visible mainly from the Pacific regions).
TODAY ... Rain could be heavy at times in Ulster and nearby parts of Connacht and north Leinster, 10-15 mm further this morning ending by mid-day then somewhat clearer skies already present in parts of west and south should gradually replace the rain, leading to some breezy and partly cloudy conditions with a few additional showers and highs 12-15 C north and 15-18 C south.
TONIGHT ... Partly cloudy, isolated showers, lows 5-8 C.
FRIDAY ... Variable cloud, rather mild with highs 16-19 C.
SATURDAY ... Low cloud and some drizzle or light rain at times in north, hazy sunshine developing south, quite humid. Highs 15-20 C.
SUNDAY and into NEXT WEEK ... The current word on the warm spell appears to be that it may peak near 23 C early next week, cool off slightly under continuing sunny skies to 15-17 C range (quite chilly nights with dense fog patches) then another warmer interval would likely follow near end of month.
Forecasts for Britain
TODAY will be wet with rain likely to be heaviest in north Wales and north-central England where 20-40 mm could fall, highs near 16 C. A few thunderstorms could develop across the south, highs near 18 C.
From tonight on, the pattern is basically similar to Ireland.
Forecasts for North America
Warm and dry in the east, highs 22-25 C. Widespread showers and a few thunderstorms central plains and Midwest, highs 24-27 C. Much cooler in western prairies and northern plains, rain may change to sleet or wet snow in places, highs 4-8 C. Heavy rain eastern prairies, upper Midwest and western Great Lakes, highs 10-15 C. Mild to warm and dry in far west, rain spreading onto central B.C. coast. In Ottawa on Wednesday it was clear, warm (almost hot) in the sunshine and around 22 C.0 -
Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.
Friday, 20 September, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Some morning cloud but sunny intervals developing, with highs around 16-19 C warmest inland south and east.
TONIGHT ... Cloudy, mild, fog or mist developing, some drizzle on outer west coast. Lows around 10 C.
SATURDAY ... Low cloud and some drizzle or light rain at times in north, hazy sunshine developing south, quite humid. Highs 15-20 C.
SUNDAY ... Hazy sunshine, some coastal low cloud or mist, highs near 21 C inland and 17 C near some coasts, after morning lows of 8-11 C.
NEXT WEEK ... The warm spell still appears to be heading for a peak in temperature around 23 C early next week, and temperatures will then cool off slightly under continuing partly cloudy to sunny skies to about the 15-17 C range (quite chilly nights by then, 1-4 C with dense fog patches) then another warmer interval would likely follow near end of next week that may just fail to reach end of the month if colder air poised to north does manage to push south around then.
Forecasts for Britain
In general, the same outlook is valid for Britain, although some spots could reach 25 C early next week, notably south central, west Midlands, inland south Wales.
Forecasts for North America
Showers and thunderstorms will advance slowly east through the central Great Lakes and Ohio valley, while it remains very warm and sunny further east where highs may reach 25 C in places. A few heavy storms could develop but most places will see just a steady downpour with this frontal passage, 20 mm or so rainfall likely. Considerably cooler for the Midwest and plains states, trending to warm and dry on the west coast with late showers or thunderstorms near Vancouver and Seattle as a front edges inland.
My local weather in Ottawa on Thursday was sunny and warm, 25 C.0 -
Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.
Saturday, 21 September, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Low cloud and some drizzle or light rain at times in north and parts of west, hazy sunshine developing south and east, quite humid. Highs 16-22 C with the warmest likely to be inland southeast.
TONIGHT ... Extensive fog or mist, mild. Lows 11-14 C.
SUNDAY ... Hazy sunshine, some coastal low cloud or mist more persistent in west, highs near 22 C inland and 17 C near some coasts.
MONDAY ... Warm sunshine likely inland and east coast, fog or low cloud near most other coasts, morning lows 8-12 C and afternoon highs 17-23 C.
TUESDAY to THURSDAY ... Continued rather warm but probably more extensive low cloud each day across west and north, sunshine becoming more restricted to mid-day hours and only in parts of south and east. Highs falling somewhat into 17-20 C range, somewhat colder at night especially east-central and south inland where 3-7 C possible although cooler locations will then experience dense fog.
OUTLOOK ... It seems likely that relatively warm weather (17-21 C) will persist through the week and into the weekend but it could then turn much cooler (9-13 C) with gusty winds and showers developing.
Forecasts for Britain
In general, the same outlook is valid for Britain, although some spots could reach 25 C early next week, notably south central, west Midlands, inland south Wales. Dense fog will be widespread most nights for the next week and this could persist well into the daytime hours in some valley locations. Very light winds will lead to some persistence of fog or low cloud even into mid-day hours in a few locations.
Forecasts for North America
Heavy showers and thunderstorms will continue to move slowly east to reach a line from about Montreal to Washington DC by afternoon. To the east it will remain sunny and very warm, but the front is weakening and temperatures will fall only a few degrees after it passes (to 17-21 C). Another warm spell will quickly build up next week. Warm dry conditions prevail now almost to the west coast where a front is edging inland with moderate to heavy rainfalls approaching Vancouver and Seattle now. In Ottawa on Friday, the weather was sunny and quite warm (27 C) and at 0130h it is warm and sultry with a strong southwest breeze (21 C). Reports of heavy rainfalls further west with some local flooding around London, Ontario. The front is weakening and I expect to see about 10 mm rain here on Saturday.0 -
Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.
Sunday, 22 September, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Hazy sunshine, some coastal low cloud or mist more persistent in west and parts of south, very warm inland with highs near 22 or even 24 C, and 17 C near some coasts.
TONIGHT ... Mist or fog patches redeveloping, mild and humid, lows 12-16 C.
MONDAY ... Warm sunshine likely inland and east coast, fog or low cloud near most other coasts, morning lows 8-12 C and afternoon highs 17-25 C. The very warm inland readings could edge closer to the west coast as winds back more to southeasterly.
TUESDAY to THURSDAY ... Continued rather warm but probably more extensive low cloud each day across west and north, sunshine becoming more restricted to mid-day hours and only in parts of south and east. A few showers may develop most likely in parts of the southwest, and across the north. Highs falling somewhat into 17-20 C range, somewhat colder at night (inland southeast to northeast mainly) with some readings as low as 3-7 C possible although cooler locations will then experience dense fog.
OUTLOOK ... It seems likely that relatively warm weather (17-21 C) will persist through about Friday or Saturday, with increasing chances for rain spreading in from the southwest, after which Sunday and early next week may turn considerably cooler with the risk of strong winds at times, and highs falling into the more seasonable 11-13 C range.
Forecasts for Britain
In general, the same outlook is valid for Britain, although some spots could reach 25 C early next week, notably south central, west Midlands, inland south Wales. Dense fog will be widespread most nights for the next week and this could persist well into the daytime hours in some valley locations. Very light winds will lead to some persistence of fog or low cloud even into mid-day hours in a few locations. When rain does develop later in the week, it could take several additional days to spread into all parts of southeast England but will move more readily across Wales, northern England and Scotland.
Forecasts for North America
Rain continues to edge further east although weakening as it does so, and by later today only a few parts of Maine and eastern Canada will be warm and dry ahead of this front, which is followed by somewhat cooler air in the 10-15 C range. Further west, it gradually warms up into the 20s in southerly winds. Another area of rain is moving into the western prairies from inland B.C. and will also affect parts of the northwest U.S. ... My local weather in Ottawa on Saturday was wet most of the day with a high of about 17 C.0 -
Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.
Monday, 23 September, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Warm sunshine likely inland and east coast, fog or low cloud near most other coasts, morning lows 8-12 C and afternoon highs 17-25 C. The very warm inland readings could edge closer to the west coast as winds back more to southeasterly.
TONIGHT ... Mist or fog patches redeveloping, mild and humid, lows 11-15 C.
TUESDAY to THURSDAY ... Continued rather warm but probably more extensive low cloud each day across west and north, sunshine becoming more restricted to mid-day hours and only in parts of south and east. A few showers may develop most likely in parts of the southwest, and across the north. Highs falling somewhat into 17-20 C range, somewhat colder at night (inland southeast to northeast mainly) with some readings as low as 3-7 C possible although cooler locations will then experience dense fog.
OUTLOOK ... It seems likely that relatively warm weather (17-21 C) will persist through about Friday or Saturday, with increasing chances for rain spreading in from the southwest, after which Sunday and early next week may turn considerably cooler with the risk of strong winds at times, and highs falling into the more seasonable 12-15 C range.
Forecasts for Britain
In general, the same outlook is valid for Britain, although some spots could reach 25+ C each day this week, notably south central, west Midlands, inland south Wales. Dense fog will be widespread most nights for the next week and this could persist well into the daytime hours in some valley locations. Very light winds will lead to some persistence of fog or low cloud even into mid-day hours in a few locations. When rain does develop later in the week, it could take several additional days to spread into all parts of southeast England but will move more readily across Wales, northern England and Scotland.
Forecasts for North America
Most of the eastern half is now under high pressure with gradually warming temperatures although it will be chilly from about Toronto to central PA eastward into the Maritimes where wind and rain continue from a slow-moving low. The western provinces of Canada and adjacent northwest U.S. are under troughs of low pressure and outbreaks of showery rainfall but it remains warm and dry further south. In Ottawa on Sunday, it was partly to mostly cloudy with brief showers and a cool high of 14 C.
I will be back to home base around Monday 30th, meanwhile there may be a few days of travel later this week and I may require a bit of assistance so get ready to repeat these words: "little change expected" works like a charm most of the autumn anyway.
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Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.
Tuesday, 24 September, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Cloudy with a few sunny intervals, continuing quite warm and rather humid, a few brief showers or periods of drizzle most likely in west Munster (rainfalls only 1-3 mm), highs inland around 19-22 C and closer to coasts 16-19 C.
TONIGHT ... Mist or fog patches redeveloping, mild and humid, lows 8-13 C.
WEDNESDAY ... Cloudy with some brighter intervals, mild to warm again, humid, isolated showers, highs 17-20 C.
THURSDAY ... Continued cloudy with a few sunny spells and rather warm although somewhat cooler in some inland regions during the overnight hours, lows 4-8 C, followed by highs of about 16-19 C. Patchy dense fog at night.
FRIDAY to SUNDAY ... Cloudy with highs generally 15-18 C and some outbreaks of light rain developing gradually from southwest to northeast, heavier rain likely to follow towards end of the month.
Forecasts for Britain
Warm and dry across the south for several days, with some sunshine each day and considerable mist or fog becoming rather dense in some places overnight and morning hours. Highs 17-22 C. Somewhat greater risk of showers in some north-central districts today and then clearing tomorrow. The further outlook calls for a slow increase in lower cloud and light rainfall followed by heavier rainfall about Tuesday 1st October.
Forecasts for North America
Pleasant fall weather continues in most of the east with rain moving northeast from the central Gulf coast towards the inland southeast states. Also warm and dry in most central regions with outbreaks of rain further west especially north of the U.S.-Canada border. My local weather in Ottawa on Monday was partly cloudy and cool, 14 C.0 -
Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.
Wednesday, 25 September, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Some dense fog inland east and central counties this morning, then becoming partly to mostly cloudy with some brighter intervals, mild to warm again, humid, isolated showers, highs 17-20 C.
TONIGHT ... Cloudy, fog patches, mild, lows 7-10 C.
THURSDAY ... Continued cloudy with a few sunny spells and continued rather warm, highs of about 16-19 C. Some light showers may develop in west.
FRIDAY to SUNDAY ... Cloudy with highs generally 16-19 C and some outbreaks of light rain developing gradually from southwest to northeast.
OUTLOOK ... Models are increasingly "warm" biased now with outbreaks of heavier rain likely to follow towards end of the month into early October in a continued southerly flow. Highs will likely remain around 16-19 C.
Forecasts for Britain
Most regions will have similar conditions to the above forecasts for Ireland, although rainfall will tend to spread more rapidly north than east when it does begin to arrive towards the weekend. Highs could also be slightly warmer in regions to south and east of about B'ham to south Yorkshire, and could reach about 22-23 C on occasion.
Forecasts for North America
Warm and dry in most of the eastern and central U.S. and adjacent parts of eastern Canada, with rain spreading towards the Carolinas and parts of southern Virginia. Outbreaks of rain continue in parts of western Canada and this turns to wet snow over some of the higher terrain. It was a warmer sunny day in Ottawa on Tuesday, high near 18 C and clear overnight with a view of the waning half moon close to Jupiter.
I begin the long trek home on Thursday with various stops en route, so will update the forecast tomorrow, possibly taking a few days off to around Monday after that.0 -
Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.
Thursday, 26 September, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Continued cloudy with a few sunny spells and continued rather warm, highs of about 16-19 C. Some light showers giving 2-4 mm rain will continue over various regions, mainly Leinster.
TONIGHT ... Cloudy, mild, humid with fog and drizzle, lows 11-13 C.
FRIDAY to SUNDAY ... Cloudy with highs generally 16-19 C and some outbreaks of light rain developing gradually from south to north. This rain could get a bit heavier at times later Sunday, 5-10 mm rain seems likely in many places by then.
OUTLOOK ... Not much change in this pattern is foreseen, with pulses of heavier rain likely by about Tuesday 1st October and into the second half of next week in a continued mild south to southeast flow.
MTC now on 3-4 days shore leave due to travel and I hope somebody will post a forecast or two during that time, meanwhile, I plan to resume from home base on Monday. Will just say that the Britain forecast looks about the same as above and yesterday's comments on North America are still more or less valid in general with heaviest rainfalls developing in the central Canadian prairies and eastern Montana. My local weather in Ottawa on Wednesday was sunny and about 21 C. I noticed after posting yesterday that the Moon was actually passing a bright star (Aldebaran) and not Jupiter as I thought last night, it must be closing in on passing Jupiter perhaps tomorrow night.
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Today Sunny spells in many places, especially further north. However, outbreaks of rain may occur in south Munster and south Leinster through the afternoon and evening. Temps 16 to 21 C
Tonight
Outbreaks of rain will affect much of the southern half of the country tonight and will spread further west later.
Tomorrow
Further outbreaks of light rain, temps 15 to 18 C.
Outlook
Outlook: It will remain very mild for the next few days, with outbreaks of rain while all the time remaining mild.0 -
Monday, 30 September, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
Good morning, I have returned home and had a look at the charts, would say that in general the week will turn out rather wet especially towards Wed-Thurs when 20-40 mm could fall in many places. I need a little more time and focus to really get back into the daily details (in other words severely jet lagged as well as feeling rather exhausted) so let's just say highs 15-18 C most days and mild nights, showery rainfalls turning heavier later in the week, then some improvement indicated towards Friday, staying rather warm.
On this side of "the pond" the pattern remains about the same as when I posted a few days ago, mild to warm in the east, wet and cooler in the west. Flying home earlier it was fairly evident that a strong front was crossing central Saskatchewan, there was a few minutes of quite heavy turbulence there, but further west it's just cloudy with light rain.
So I will try to get my normal routine back together and tackle the details of how much rain for what regions. -- MTC0 -
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Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.
Tuesday, 1 October, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Very mild and humid with bands of heavier showers moving north, with some thunder possible ... rainfalls of 10-20 mm on average although some places outside that range ... also a few brief sunny intervals ... winds generally SE 30-50 km/hr but some exposed areas could see much higher gusts at times (Malin Head has reported near 100-km/hr gusts this morning). Highs about 17-20 C. Some heavier rainfalls could develop north-central and inland eastern counties by late afternoon with local potential for 30 mm and flash flooding.
TONIGHT ... Further showers, heavy at times, very mild, moderate southeast winds. Lows 13-16 C. Some further rainfalls of 10-20 mm. Foggy on hills especially in parts of north.
WEDNESDAY ... Heavy showers or periods of rain, very mild, 20-30 mm rainfalls in some places, risk of spot flooding and thundery downpours. Highs about 16-19 C.
THURSDAY ... Continued mild, unsettled, 10 mm rain or more, lows 12-15 C and highs 16-19 C.
FRIDAY ... Showers more isolated, very mild, some sunny breaks developing, misty or foggy in some coastal regions, lows 10-13 C and highs 15-18 C.
SATURDAY ... Cloudy with light rain in parts of north, but hazy sunshine may develop in central and southern regions, very mild or warm, lows 8-11 C and highs 17-20 C.
SUNDAY 6th to TUESDAY 8th ... Very mild or warm, some sunshine, rain more likely in west and north although eventually another rain event for most of the country, highs 18-22 C.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... In general, somewhat cooler for a few days especially across the north but staying close to normal or a bit above, then warming back into high teens by mid-October.
Forecasts for Britain
In general, the same pattern will prevail, but at first, the rain predicted for Ireland will affect mainly western parts of Britain and much of Scotland. Later this week, heavier rainfalls will spread across eastern regions as well. Temperatures will be similar and warmer than average by 2-4 C deg.
Forecasts for North America
The pattern remains warm and dry in most of the eastern and central regions and cool but wet in the west. Some heavier showers are moving inland overnight and will reach the western prairies and northern plains after brief clearing once the current showers move further east towards northern Ontario. Highs today will range from 20-23 C in the Great Lakes and Midwest to around 26 C in the mid-Atlantic states, all about 5 deg above normal for early October. This warmth also covers large parts of the central states. Temperatures in western Canada are closer to 12-14 C at lower elevations and there has been some early snowfalls on higher terrain. My local weather (now back in Vancouver) was cloudy, windy and showery with highs only 13 C.0 -
Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.
Wednesday, 2 October, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Heavy showers or periods of rain, very mild, 20-30 mm rainfalls in some places, risk of spot flooding and thundery downpours. Highs 17-20 C. The heaviest rain is expected to develop this afternoon in north-central counties.
TONIGHT ... Further showers, heavy at times, very mild, moderate southeast winds. Lows 13-16 C. Some further rainfalls of 5-10 mm. Foggy on hills especially in parts of north.
THURSDAY ... Continued mild, unsettled, 10 mm rain or more, lows 12-15 C and highs 16-19 C. Some heavier rain is likely overnight into early Friday across Leinster. Fog may develop at that time in central counties.
FRIDAY ... Showers more isolated, very mild, some sunny breaks developing, misty or foggy in some coastal regions, lows 10-13 C and highs 15-18 C.
SATURDAY ... Cloudy with light rain in parts of north, but hazy sunshine may develop in central and southern regions, very mild or warm, lows 8-11 C and highs 17-20 C.
SUNDAY 6th to TUESDAY 8th ... Very mild or warm, some sunshine, rain more likely in west and north although eventually another rain event for most of the country, highs 18-23 C.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... In general, somewhat cooler for a few days especially across the north but staying close to normal or a bit above, then warming back into high teens by mid-October.
Forecasts for Britain
In general, the same pattern will prevail, but at first, the rain predicted for Ireland will affect mainly western parts of Britain and much of Scotland. Later this week, heavier rainfalls will spread across eastern regions as well. Temperatures will be similar and warmer than average by 2-4 C deg.
Forecasts for North America
Warm and sunny in most of eastern North America and some parts of the central U.S. although rain is slowly spreading northeast from the central Gulf coast. This system will eventually lead to some heavy rainfalls in the Midwest by later this week. Meanwhile, it continues cool, unsettled and windy across most of the west, with snow over higher terrain. My local weather on Tuesday was generally quite grim with rain, fog and occasional brighter intervals but as much as 30 mm of rain in total, highs near 13 C. Where I was last week (Ottawa and later Toronto) it was sunny and 24 C. :mad:0 -
Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.
Thursday, 3 October, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Continued mild, heavy rain (10-20 mm) at times in eastern counties with some thunder, 10-20 mm rain, and highs 16-19 C. Some hazy sunshine at times in west, scattered outbreaks of light rain developing later, 2-5 mm for most locations. Highs 17-20 C.
TONIGHT ... Some heavier rain is likely overnight into early Friday across Leinster. Fog may develop at that time in central counties. Misty or low cloud further west, some clearing inland towards morning. Lows 8-11 C west and about 12 C east.
FRIDAY ... Showers more isolated, very mild, some sunny breaks developing, misty or foggy in some coastal regions, and highs 15-18 C.
SATURDAY ... Cloudy with light rain in parts of north, but hazy sunshine may develop in central and southern regions, very mild or warm, lows 8-11 C and highs 17-20 C.
SUNDAY 6th to THURSDAY 10th ... Very mild or warm, some sunshine, rain more likely in west and north although eventually another rain event for most of the country, highs 18-23 C. Chance of some record high temperatures and very mild at night, lows 11-15 C. Risk of dense fog overnight and morning hours especially inland south and east.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Any return to more normal temperatures will perhaps be rather brief as the pattern remains very mild for October. There is some chance of a record warm monthly average (around 13-14 C) after a first half that will almost certainly exceed 15 C.
Forecasts for Britain
TODAY will be very mild to warm but some heavy thundery showers will develop later in the southwest. Highs 18-22 C.
Otherwise, the general outlook is very similar to Ireland with very warm temperatures almost every day for the foreseeable future, rain mostly in the western and northern regions.
Forecasts for North America
Continued very warm and sunny in the east, outbreaks of thundery rain in the Midwest, as systems are rather slow-moving. There is also some dry and warm weather in parts of the central and southwestern states. Rain is moving across the Rockies and other western mountains with some brief clearing on the west coast. My local weather on Wednesday was wet and chilly with highs only 11-12 C.0 -
Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.
Friday, 4 October, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
The new moon will occur tonight at 0136h Saturday 5th. There will not be a solar eclipse this month.
TODAY ... Showers or drizzle more isolated mostly in Leinster, very mild, some sunny breaks developing in central counties, misty or foggy in some coastal regions south, west and north, with highs 15-18 C.
TONIGHT ... Extensive fog or mist, drizzle in some northern counties, otherwise moisture from heavy dew will persist into the mid-morning hours, after lows near 8-10 C.
SATURDAY ... Cloudy with light rain in parts of north, but hazy sunshine may develop in central and southern regions, very mild or warm, and highs of 17-20 C.
SUNDAY 6th to THURSDAY 10th ... Very mild or warm, some sunshine, rain more likely in west and north although eventually another rain event for most of the country, highs 18-23 C. Chance of some record high temperatures and very mild at night, lows 11-15 C. Risk of dense fog overnight and morning hours especially inland south and east.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Any return to more normal temperatures will perhaps be rather brief as the pattern remains very mild for October. There is some chance of a record warm monthly average (around 13-14 C) after a first half that will almost certainly exceed 15 C in parts of the south.
Forecasts for Britain
TODAY will be very mild to warm with heavy rain at times in north Wales spreading across northern England and parts of southern Scotland, where highs of 17 C can be expected ... further south, partly cloudy and very mild to warm for this time of year with highs 18-22 C.
TONIGHT will be overcast with dense fog developing, lows 8-11 C.
Otherwise, the general outlook is very similar to Ireland with very warm temperatures near or above 20 C almost every day for the foreseeable future, rain mostly in the western and northern regions.
Forecasts for North America
Some parts of the east will remain dry and very warm, with cloud and some showers spreading through the Ohio valley, lower Great Lakes and inland northeast, while heavy showers and thunderstorms will continue to affect the Midwest. Highs will range from 25 C on the east coast to 18-21 C in the Midwest, and into the mid to high 20s in the southeast and south-central plains states. Strong tropical storm Karen is moving slowly north in the eastern Gulf of Mexico with an expected landfall by late Sunday or Monday near Mobile Bay (Alabama) bringing heavy rains to parts of eastern LA, MS, AL GA and nw FL later this weekend. The western regions had a bit of a break from persistent rain on Thursday (it was sunny and 13 C in my region) but cloud, wind and rain are slowly spreading south from the Alaska and northern BC coastal regions, and also inland.0 -
Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.
Saturday, 5 October, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Mostly cloudy with some brighter intervals across the south and east, a few outbreaks of drizzle or light rain at times in the north. Highs 17-20 in the south and east, 15-18 C north.
TONIGHT ... Cloudy, mild, drizzle in parts of north, fog or mist. Lows 9-13 C.
SUNDAY ... Cloudy with some intervals of hazy sunshine in the south and east, isolated showers but most places dry except for extensive morning dew, mild or warm with highs 18-21 C.
MONDAY ... Continuing warm with some risk of locally heavy showers across the far north, isolated showers elsewhere but also some hazy sunshine at times, lows 10-13 C and highs 18-21 C.
TUESDAY to THURSDAY ... Hazy sunshine and quite warm, light winds, mist or extensive fog may be slow to clear in morning hours inland, lows 8-11 C and highs 18-22 C.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The pattern seems likely to continue with only minor variations to produce one of the warmer Octobers in recent years.
Forecasts for Britain
The pattern will be similar to the above with temperatures generally running about five degrees above normal in most regions. On Monday, the heavier showers that might graze parts of Ulster will definitely head for western and central Scotland where 10-20 mm rain could develop. Otherwise most of England and Wales will be in a warm, dry pattern with risk of dense fog each night, increasing in coverage and severity as pressures rise mid-week.
Forecasts for North America
On Friday evening, severe storms with damaging tornadoes developed around Sioux City, Iowa, and these storms could redevelop later today in parts of Wisconsin, Illinois and western Michigan, northern Indiana. A snowstorm has brought 20-40 cm of snow to parts of the Dakotas and this will move into southern-central Minnesota but snow amounts will be reduced as temperatures will be a bit higher there, wet snow will turn to sleet or rain. Further south, it's likely to be a warm, dry weekend until one reaches the Gulf coast where Karen's rain and wind will arrive by Sunday. Western regions will see increasing cloud followed by rain. My local weather on Friday was cloudy with some sunny intervals and a high near 14 C.0 -
Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.
Sunday, 6 October, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Cloudy with some intervals of hazy sunshine in the south and east, isolated showers but most places dry except for extensive morning dew, mild or warm with highs 18-21 C.
TONIGHT ... Partly cloudy to overcast, some light rain at times in far north, lows about 10-13 C.
MONDAY ... Continuing warm with some risk of locally heavy showers across the far north, isolated showers elsewhere but also some hazy sunshine at times, highs 18-21 C.
TUESDAY ... Breezy, turning somewhat cooler (winds W 40-60 km/hr), a few showers mainly in northern regions, lows 8-10 C and highs 15-18 C.
WEDNESDAY ... Considerably cooler with moderate northerly breezes stronger over east Ulster and Leinster where 30-50 km/hr at times, isolated showers and highs 11-14 C.
THURSDAY-FRIDAY ... Sunny intervals each day with highs 13-16 C, cold at night under mainly clear skies with some fog patches, lows 0-4 C.
OUTLOOK ... Somewhat milder again (more so at night than daytime) in east to southeast breezes, lows 4-7 C and highs 13-16 C.
Forecasts for Britain
TODAY ... Hazy sunshine and warm, highs 18-22 C south and central, 15-18 C in Scotland where some showers possible.
TONIGHT ... Increasing cloud, mild, lows 8-12 C, some dense fog patches.
MONDAY ... Showers heavier in Scotland and parts of northern England, but some parts of southern England and Wales remaining dry with sunny intervals. Highs about 22 C in parts of south, 15-18 C in Scotland.
OUTLOOK ... Turning cooler in stages with strong northerly winds developing in eastern regions mid-week. Similar temperature trends to Ireland, somewhat stronger winds however.
Forecasts for North America
Widespread showers and thunderstorms in the Great Lakes and Midwest regions, spreading towards the east coast although it may stay dry for the larger cities under increasing cloud, highs 21-24 C. Karen, while weakening, will spread heavy rains inland today and tonight in the Gulf coast region. Further north, snow changing to sleet and rain in parts of the upper Midwest and western Great Lakes regions. Chilly in some parts of central Canada and the northern plains states, trending to warmer and dry over the Rockies, increasing cloud on the west coast. My local weather on Saturday was cloudy with a few sunny intervals, highs near 16 C.0 -
Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.
Monday, 7 October, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Continuing warm with some risk of locally heavy showers across the far north, isolated showers elsewhere but also some hazy sunshine at times, a more organized band of heavy showers is likely to move through north Connacht, Ulster and north Leinster late in the day, bringing about 5-10 mm rainfalls there. Highs 18-21 C.
TONIGHT ... Showers continuing in parts of the north, otherwise mainly partly cloudy and dry with isolated showers possible, winds picking up from a westerly direction 30-50 km/hr, lows 7-10 C.
TUESDAY ... Breezy, cloudy with sunny intervals (more frequent in south), turning somewhat cooler (winds W 40-60 km/hr), a few showers mainly in northern regions, and highs 15-18 C.
WEDNESDAY ... Considerably cooler with moderate northerly breezes stronger over east Ulster and Leinster where 30-50 km/hr at times, isolated showers and highs 11-14 C although could reach 16 C near south coast.
THURSDAY-FRIDAY ... Sunny intervals each day with highs 12-16 C, cold at night under mainly clear skies with some fog patches, lows 0-4 C. Moderate north to northeast breezes near Irish Sea coasts. Rather light northeast winds elsewhere.
OUTLOOK ... Somewhat milder again (more so at night than daytime) in east to southeast breezes, lows 4-7 C and highs 13-17 C. Some risk of drizzle or light rain spreading into south late weekend or next week. Eventually a milder southerly flow is likely to return.
Forecasts for Britain
TODAY ... Showers heavier in Scotland and parts of northern England (10-20 mm rainfalls), but some parts of southern England and Wales remaining dry with sunny intervals. Highs about 22 C in parts of south, 15-18 C in Scotland.
OUTLOOK ... Turning cooler in stages with strong northerly winds developing in eastern regions mid-week. Similar temperature trends to Ireland, somewhat stronger northwest to north winds mid-week.
Forecasts for North America
Rain or showers with some thunderstorms moving further east to reach large cities of east coast later today. Sporadic heavy showers from remnants of Karen moving inland throughout the southeast U.S. Mild and dry across much of the west as rain spreads into north-central B.C. My local weather on Sunday was sunny with increasing high cloud, highs near 19 C.0 -
Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.
Tuesday, 8 October, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Breezy, cloudy with sunny intervals (more frequent in south), turning somewhat cooler (winds W 40-60 km/hr), a few showers mainly in northern regions, and highs 15-18 C.
TONIGHT ... Cloudy with a few clear intervals, showers at times in north, strong west to northwest breezes 30-50 km/hr (50-70 km/hr near north coast of Ulster), lows 5-8 C.
WEDNESDAY ... Considerably cooler with moderate northerly breezes stronger over east Ulster and Leinster where 30-50 km/hr at times, isolated showers and highs 11-14 C although could reach 16 C near south coast.
THURSDAY-FRIDAY ... Sunny intervals each day with highs 12-16 C, cold at night under mainly clear skies with some fog patches, lows 0-4 C. Moderate north to northeast breezes near Irish Sea coasts. Rather light northeast winds elsewhere. The milder daytime readings will be across western counties both days.
OUTLOOK ... Somewhat milder again (more so at night than daytime) in east to southeast breezes, lows 4-7 C and highs 13-17 C. Some risk of drizzle or light rain spreading into south late weekend or next week. Eventually a milder southerly flow is likely to return, highs in the 16-19 C range are likely for most of the following week.
Forecasts for Britain
The pattern will be very similar to Ireland, except that Wednesday and Thursday could see stronger winds from the northeast, gusting to nearly gale force, and intervals of steady rain across the east and south, due to low pressure forming over the North Sea and drifting south into Belgium. Once that disturbance loses its circulation to a slack easterly flow by Friday and the weekend, the weather pattern over Britain should become more similar again and the risk of showers will also be greater in the south than further north. Temperatures will generally be a bit higher in western parts of Britain and daytime readings by the weekend could actually be higher in Scotland than further south, in part because of more frequent sunny intervals there. In general, highs will be near 17 C today and 13-15 C thereafter although it could be closer to 10 C in strong winds off the North Sea which will feel very cold (near 4 C). There could be a touch of frost in a few locations by Friday and the weekend, most likely inland north and Wales. However, there will likely be too much cloud in the easterly flow to encourage very widespread frost or fog to form.
Forecasts for North America
Very warm (23-27 C) in most of the east and central U.S. and Canada, although widespread heavy rain in the southeast is accompanied by more average October temperatures near 22 C. Rain is spreading through the west into Alberta and western Montana with touches of snow at high elevations.
My local weather on Monday was cloudy with occasional light rain and highs near 14 C.0 -
Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.
Wednesday, 9 October, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Considerably cooler with moderate northerly breezes stronger over east Ulster and Leinster where 30-50 km/hr at times, isolated showers across the north eventually reaching central counties by afternoon, and highs only 11-14 C for most, although the mid-day temperature could reach 16 C in parts of Munster and south Leinster, as some sunny intervals will develop in the south this morning. Winds becoming quite gusty near showers by mid-day.
TONIGHT ... Cloudy with clear intervals, isolated showers dying out, rather breezy especially near north and east coasts, as winds veer gradually into the NW to N at 30-50 km/hr. Lows 4-7 C.
THURSDAY ... Sunny intervals, more frequent cloudy spells in north and east, cool with moderate N to NE winds, 30-50 km/hr, highs 11-14 C milder in west and south.
FRIDAY ... Sunny with cloudy intervals, more frequent cloud in parts of the southeast, moderate northeast winds although lighter and more variable in west Ulster and north Connacht ... morning lows 0-4 C, afternoon highs about 12-16 C with the milder values in northwest counties.
WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Cloudy with some sunny breaks, these more frequent in west Ulster and north Connacht, slight risk of showers or intervals of light rain in parts of the southeast, but many places could remain dry until Sunday afternoon or evening when a more widespread light rain or drizzle could develop in light east winds. Lows 7-10 C and highs 12-16 C. Rainfall estimates at this early stage are quite uncertain, it could be trace to 3 mm amounts or somewhat heavier in places (5-15 mm possible inland south, but not certain).
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Temperatures will likely edge back up a degree or two and will therefore return to the above normal category as normal values tend to fall about that much each week at this time of year. Some highs of about 18 or 19 C are possible once winds turn more southerly again. There will also be a chance of heavier rainfalls returning.
Forecasts for Britain
TODAY ... Variable cloud, bands of showers developing in central and northern regions, turning colder by afternoon ... highs in south near 18 C, central 15 C and north 12-14 C. Winds becoming NW 40-60 km/hr.
TONIGHT ... Windy, showers, cold. Lows 4-7 C.
THURSDAY-FRIDAY ... Variable cloud, some sunshine at times in west and north, showers becoming more frequent then turning to steady rain in parts of eastern England, later southern England, highs generally near 12 C. Strong northeast winds developing in parts of east and inland south.
SATURDAY-SUNDAY ... Cloudy, drizzle or light rain in parts of south, east winds and highs 14-17 C.
Forecasts for North America
The remnants of Karen are now off the Carolina coast and heavy rain will move north into southern Virginia today and as far north as Long Island and New Jersey, Pennsylvania by tonight and Thursday, accompanied by strong east winds 50-80 km/hr. Highs of about 15 C can be expected in this marine flow, but the warm dry spell will continue further north and west with dense fog widespread under calm conditions at night. Highs of 23-27 C will continue for several more days. It has also warmed up considerably in parts of the west as the storm track there has shifted well to the north, but rain has spread inland over most of British Columbia. My local weather on Tuesday was partly cloudy with highs near 15 C.0 -
Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.
Thursday, 10 October, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Sunny intervals, more frequent cloudy spells in north and east, cool with moderate N to NE winds, 30-50 km/hr, highs 11-14 C milder in west and south. Winds inland west and south will tend to drop off at times to near calm and this will make it feel warmer in the sunshine.
TONIGHT ... Mostly clear, any cloud confined to a few coastal districts, some shallow fog patches in valleys especially near bodies of water. Lows 0-4 C.
FRIDAY ... Sunny with cloudy intervals, more frequent cloud in parts of the southeast, moderate northeast winds although lighter and more variable in west Ulster and north Connacht ... morning lows 0-4 C, with the chill lasting longer in some valleys if fog develops, then highs about 12-16 C with the milder values in northwest counties. This may turn out to be a warmer feeling day than the highs suggest as breezes in many places will be very light or even calm.
SATURDAY ... Increasing cloud across the south and east may be accompanied by some drizzle or light rain although most places should remain dry, partly cloudy with longer sunny intervals in west and north. Morning lows 2-5 C and highs near 15 C although 17 C possible inland west and north.
SUNDAY ... Cloudy with possible outbreaks of light rain mostly over the south until afternoon, then risk of some rain also affecting central and some northern counties, highs near 15 C in light to moderate east winds. There is some chance that the day will remain largely dry as the moisture could remain somewhat off to the south and then be pushed back further south on Monday before eventually making a more definite push north on Tuesday, so this entire period is somewhat uncertain. Different models have rainfall potential that ranges from zero to about 10 mm on Sunday.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Temperatures will likely edge back up a degree or two and will therefore return to the above normal category as normal values tend to fall about that much each week at this time of year. Some highs of about 18 or 19 C are possible once winds turn more southerly again. There will also be a chance of heavier rainfalls returning by mid-week and some chance of heavy rainfalls of 20-40 mm over a three-day period starting around Wednesday.
Forecasts for Britain
TODAY and FRIDAY ... Variable cloud, some sunshine at times in west and north, showers becoming more frequent then turning to steady rain in parts of eastern England, later southern England, highs generally near 12 C. Strong north backing to northeast winds (40-70 km/hr) developing in parts of east and inland south.
SATURDAY-SUNDAY ... Cloudy, drizzle or light rain in parts of south, east winds and highs 14-17 C.
OUTLOOK ... Mostly cloudy, further outbreaks of light rain mostly in south and west at first. Maximum temperatures mainly 15-18 C.
Forecasts for North America
Further rain and moderate to strong east winds will continue in the mid-Atlantic states with highs near 15 C. The warm, dry conditions will retreat a little further north, remain in place further west but will tend to spread back in from the south and southwest as the rain shield moves north (from remnants of Karen). An autumn storm is slowly gathering strength over the central Rockies with outbreaks of moderate rain at lower elevations of Utah, Colorado and Wyoming, and mountain snows. This system will move slowly northeast and may create a snowfall in the high plains although temperatures will remain mostly above freezing with a cold soaking rain likely by tonight and tomorrow in the western Dakotas and parts of the eastern Canadian prairies. Further west, it's partly cloudy and seasonably mild. My local weather on Wednesday was partly cloudy to overcast with highs near 14 C. Light rain is falling this evening.0 -
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UPDATE _ Friday 11 October 0600h
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MTC will be away from the internet over the weekend. This morning's updated forecast basically follows on from the above posted yesterday. Today should become quite pleasant in most regions once the morning chill is overcome by sunshine. The best temperatures of 14-15 C are likely to be recorded in places such as south Donegal and west Mayo, possibly parts of Clare and Kerry, west Cork and Limerick, where a land breeze downslopes a little over local hills.
I will be in a remote location for the next 72h and unable to log in, so perhaps someone will step in and post a forecast or two.
Anyway, the winter and its more interesting weather will come soon enough. Have a pleasant weekend, I hope to enjoy a change of scenery (back to the mountains).0 -
UPDATE _ Mon 14 Oct 2013 _ 0900h
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Just back to home base, weather pattern seems to be unfolding as expected, mild temperatures most of this coming week with relatively dry conditions for most today and Tuesday except for rain spreading into parts of the southwest, then generally showery and at times quite wet mid-week to late in the week and through the following weekend. The average highs will be 15-18 C and most nights will be quite mild also at 8-11 C. Total rainfall for the next seven days will average 20-30 mm and could reach 40-50 mm in a few parts of the inland south and west.
Just briefly, can say that the weather on the west coast of North America is mild and dry with mostly cloudy skies inland and mostly clear if misty skies west of the central plateau, had a constant view of the waxing gibbous moon on my drive back to what passes for civilization around here.
Will get back into my usual forecast routine by Tuesday.0 -
Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.
Tuesday, 15 October, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Rain will spread rather slowly northeastward across west Munster reaching parts of Connacht and Leinster by this evening. Elsewhere, some morning fog or low cloud may clear for a time but then more cloud will spread in. Winds will increase gradually from the southeast to reach 30-50 km/hr in exposed locations. Highs 14-16 C and rainfall amounts in southwest about 10 to 15 mm.
TONIGHT ... Rain may become rather heavy at times with some thunder towards morning, with heaviest amounts from Connacht to south-central Leinster, 10-20 mm. Lows about 10-12 C.
WEDNESDAY ... Periods of rain will continue rather heavy with thunder at times in Leinster, Ulster as more showery and variable conditions spread into Munster and Connacht. Further rainfalls of 15-30 mm possible. Highs about 15 to 17 C mildest inland southwest. Winds veering from E-SE 30-50 km/hr to SSW 25-45 km/hr although some higher gusts possible.
THURSDAY-SUNDAY ... This period will be mild and showery with winds generally from a southerly direction, sometimes increasing to 40-60 km/hr. Highs will be generally around 15-16 C and overnight lows not much cooler than the daytime highs, 9-12 C. Total rainfalls of about 20-30 mm likely.
OUTLOOK ... Very mild to start next week with highs 16-18 C, then returning to low to mid teens with showery conditions frequent.
Forecasts for Britain
The overall trends will be similar although today, there are more widespread showers across much of England and Wales, then tonight and Wednesday morning, some eastern sections of England will be under the dry slot now present in eastern Ireland. Other than those details, the trends will be similar and temperatures will generally average 2-3 C deg above normal.
Forecasts for North America
The west coast will continue to enjoy mild and sunny days and crisp, frosty nights under high pressure. As the flow amplifies, much colder air is moving south into central Canada and will reach the northern plains, western Great Lakes and Midwest U.S. by tonight and Wednesday, dropping temperatures into the 7-12 C range (2-5 C in parts of Canada). Relatively warm conditions prevail further east and across most of the southeast and south central states, with some rain lingering near the Long Island and New Jersey coasts. A possible tropical storm is being monitored south of Bermuda. Meanwhile, my local weather on Monday was sunny and about 14 C.0 -
Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.
Wednesday, 16 October, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
ALERT for locally heavy rainfalls and flooding on some roads especially in urban areas near underpasses, 20-30 mm rainfall could fall in a few hours' time in parts of Leinster and southeast Connacht, and has already fallen overnight in parts of Munster. Flash flooding is possible this morning in Cork and by mid-morning in parts of Leinster. There could be hydroplaning potential on some highways and also be alert for possible rapid changes in visibility if travelling mid-day or afternoon.
TODAY ... Periods of rain will continue rather heavy with thunder at times in Leinster, Ulster as more showery and variable conditions spread into Munster and Connacht. Further rainfalls of 15-30 mm possible. Highs about 15 to 17 C mildest inland southwest. Winds veering from E-SE 30-50 km/hr to SSW 25-45 km/hr and briefly westerly gale force near south coast then backing to southwest once again, as a weak low forms over south Leinster mid-day then moves away towards Britain. Conditions in many places will become highly variable with spells of heavy rain and brief sunny intervals. Drive with caution as some roads may become partially flooded, risk of mudslides in higher parts of Leinster and inland Connacht.
TONIGHT ... Rain tapering to drizzle in Ulster, partly cloudy elsewhere with showers more isolated but continued very mild and becoming misty or foggy with lows 10-13 C.
THURSDAY-SUNDAY ... This period will be mild and showery with winds generally from a southerly direction, sometimes increasing to 40-60 km/hr. Highs will be generally around 15-16 C and overnight lows not much cooler than the daytime highs, 9-12 C. Total rainfalls of about 20-30 mm likely. The heaviest rain is likely to come around Friday night with the weekend somewhat improved although further heavy rain could arrive later Sunday.
OUTLOOK ... Very mild to start next week and wet with highs 16-18 C, then returning to low to mid teens with showery conditions frequent and winds becoming somewhat more westerly.
Forecasts for Britain
TODAY ... Periods of rain becoming heavy across southern England, Wales, west Midlands, then by late afternoon also in northern and eastern England, southwest Scotland. Eastern Scotland could be somewhat windy but dry until tonight. Highs 14-17 C mildest inland south and east.
OUTLOOK ... Similar pattern to Ireland with plenty of mild weather, moderate south to southwest winds, showers or periods of rain. The heavier rainfalls will likely be in south Wales, west Midlands and inland southwest England.
Forecasts for North America
Rain spreading further east in the Ohio valley and lower Great Lakes will gradually put an end to the mild or warm spell there, with cooler weather already flooding south into the western Great Lakes, Midwest and northern to central plains states. Temperatures there will be steady in the 8-11 C range or slowly falling with drizzle or light showers in blustery north to northwest winds. A wedge of somewhat warmer air is moving southeast across Montana and North Dakota ahead of a reinforcing northerly airstream in western Canada but temperature contrasts are slight with 10-15 C ahead of this front and 6-9 C behind it. The west coast remains dry and mild. My local weather on Tuesday was hazy with afternoon cloud and a few raindrops from a very weak trough but essentially dry weather prevails.0 -
Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.
Thursday, 17 October, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
Winter forecast -- highlights -- generally a rather mild winter, especially December ... some colder than normal days likely in early to mid January, then more variable ... pattern favours strong winds and occasional heavy rainfalls, perhaps one snowy interval. All details can be found in the winter 2013-14 thread.
TODAY ... Some sunny breaks and very mild, occasional showers developing, somewhat heavier in western counties. Moderate southwest breezes and highs about 15-18 C.
TONIGHT ... Partly cloudy to overcast, mild, a few showers but heavier rain developing late overnight in west Munster ... lows 11-14 C.
FRIDAY ... Intervals of heavy rain, mist and fog, very mild. Highs 15-17 C and rainfalls 20-40 mm (including Friday night).
SATURDAY ... Heavier rain more confined to north Leinster and east Ulster then partial clearing to more isolated showers in partly cloudy south to southwest flow, very mild. Lows 9-12 C and highs 15-18 C.
SUNDAY ... Showers at times, turning to heavy rain by evening. Winds moderate southerly becoming strong S-SW on Sunday night, gusts to about 80 km/hr. Lows 8-11 C and highs 14-17 C.
MONDAY ... Windy, rain tapering to showers, some clearing later, gusty SW winds easing. Highs near 15 C.
OUTLOOK ... Further showers in occasionally strong SW winds, veering westerly at times, temperatures continuing somewhat above normal in the range of 13-15 C.
Forecasts for Britain
TODAY ... Partly cloudy with sunny intervals and very mild, highs near 18 C with some showers at times mainly in northern England and Scotland where closer to 15 C. SW wind gusts to 70 km/hr easing later.
OUTLOOK ... The same very mild and showery pattern will prevail in Britain as in Ireland, timing of most rain and wind events about the same or with a short lag time but heavier showers and stronger winds mainly confined to western and northern regions.
Forecasts for North America
Showery and rather cool across most of inland northeast states, lower Great Lakes, cloudy and cool in Midwest. Rain at times near Gulf coast as temperatures there drop below normal into low 20s. Florida remains very warm and the western regions are fair and warm with morning fog. My local weather on Wednesday was mainly sunny after some fog cleared away, and highs were near 15 C.0 -
Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.
Friday, 18 October, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
Astronomy note: Full moon occurs tonight at 00:39h IST
TODAY ... Intervals of rain, heavy in some parts of south, and fog, very mild. Highs 15-17 C and rainfalls 20-40 mm (including tonight).
TONIGHT ... Further rain, fog and mist, very mild. Lows 11-14 C.
SATURDAY ... Heavier rain more confined to north Leinster and east Ulster then partial clearing but rather widespread showers then redeveloping in mostly cloudy south to southwest flow, very mild. Highs 15-18 C. Rainfalls 10-15 mm.
SUNDAY ... Showers at times, turning to heavy rain by evening. Winds moderate southerly becoming strong S-SW on Sunday night, gusts to about 80 km/hr. Lows 8-11 C and highs 14-17 C. Rainfalls 15-30 mm.
MONDAY ... Windy, rain tapering to showers, some clearing later, gusty SW winds easing. Highs near 15 C. Rainfalls 5-15 mm.
OUTLOOK ... Further showers in occasionally strong SW winds, veering westerly at times, temperatures continuing somewhat above normal in the range of 13-15 C.
Forecasts for Britain
TODAY ... Rain gradually spreading into the southwest, otherwise partly to mostly cloudy, very mild. Rain will arrive in central regions by late afternoon. Highs 17-20 C.
OUTLOOK ... The same very mild and showery pattern will prevail in Britain as in Ireland, timing of most rain and wind events about the same or with a short lag time but heavier showers and stronger winds mainly confined to western and northern regions but also parts of south.
Forecasts for North America
Outbreaks of rain in eastern regions, turning cooler near east coast and remaining cool further inland and across most of the Midwest, central plains states. Very warm and dry in western regions but extensive morning fog in WA and BC. My local weather started foggy and became sunny with a high near 16 C. Expecting sunshine and 20 C over the weekend. :cool:0 -
Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.
Saturday, 19 October, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Partly cloudy with occasional showers or intervals of heavy rain as waves of moisture are moving north but rainfalls are likely to be heavier in Leinster and east Ulster (15-25 mm potential with afternoon thunder possible), showers not as heavy further west but in some isolated cases may also be heavy, but some brighter intervals also possible. Highs generally 16-18 C. Moderate SSE winds 35-55 km/hr.
TONIGHT ... Foggy, very mild, further showers (5-10 mm), lows 11-15 C.
SUNDAY ... Showers at times, turning to heavy rain in the south by evening. Winds moderate southerly 35-55 km/hr with some higher gusts in west by late afternoon and evening, and highs 14-17 C. Rainfalls 15-30 mm.
MONDAY ... Windy, rain (heaviest across southeast early in the day) tapering to showers, some clearing later, gusty SW winds easing. Highs near 15 C. Rainfalls 5-15 mm except 15-25 mm southeast.
TUESDAY ... Further bursts of heavy rain and very mild, lows 11-14 C and highs around 15-16 C.
WEDNESDAY ... Showers more isolated and some sunny intervals developing, not quite as mild. Lows 7-9 C and highs 11-15 C coolest in Connacht and west Ulster.
THURSDAY to SATURDAY will see another pulse of moisture and warmth heading northeast across Ireland, timing somewhat uncertain from model spread but expect about two days of wet weather near end of the week with highs 14-16 C.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... The last week of the month also looks very mild and could even feature some record warmth at times in a southwest flow.
Forecasts for Britain
TODAY ... Further showers and bursts of heavier rain in some western regions, highs 17-20 C.
OUTLOOK ... The same very mild and showery pattern will prevail in Britain as in Ireland, timing of most rain and wind events about the same or with a short lag time but heavier showers and stronger winds mainly confined to western and northern regions but also parts of south. Tuesday could see locally very heavy rainfalls and thunderstorms in south central England.
Forecasts for North America
A fresh batch of colder air is streaming south behind a showery disturbance now located in the lower Great Lakes and Ohio valley. This front will reach the east coast late this afternoon but out ahead it will be partly cloudy and 18-20 deg C. Highs closer to 10 C will be the rule in the Midwest and even closer to freezing further north where a snowfall is expected in parts of Manitoba and northern North Dakota. Further west, the warm and dry pattern continues with extensive morning fog that in some places is very slow to disperse even at mid-day. My local weather on Friday was foggy to start, sunny mid-day then foggy again this evening. The high was 14 C -- we have very warm air aloft creating a very strong inversion.0 -
UPDATE _ Sat 19 Oct 2013 _ 10:15 p.m.
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ALERT for locally heavy rainfalls and possible thunderstorms embedded, heaviest after midnight to about 0500h in south-central, southeast counties generally to the south of Cork-Meath, probably some road flooding will develop especially in flatter low-lying sections of the inland southeast. Potential for about 25 mm rain overnight in places.0 -
Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.
Sunday, 20 October, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... Showers at times, one or two heavy and thundery, but also some dry intervals and even a bit of sunshine, before afternoon cloud and showers turn to heavy rain in the south by evening. Winds gradually increasing to become moderate southerly 35-55 km/hr with some higher gusts in west by late afternoon and evening, and highs 14-17 C. Rainfalls 10-20 mm.
TONIGHT ... Heavy rain at times across the south and east although this will tend to move rather slowly once north of a Dublin-Galway line, thus rainfall amounts 10-20 mm south, 3-6 mm north and mostly later overnight there. Very mild with lows 10-13 C.
MONDAY ... Windy, rain (heaviest across southeast early in the day) tapering to showers, some clearing later, gusty SW winds easing. Highs near 15 C. Rainfalls 5-15 mm except 15-25 mm southeast.
TUESDAY ... Further bursts of heavy rain and very mild, lows 11-14 C and highs around 15-16 C. Rainfall potential 15-30 mm.
WEDNESDAY ... Showers, still heavy in Leinster during the morning, otherwise more isolated with some sunny intervals developing, not quite as mild. Lows 7-9 C and highs 11-15 C coolest in Connacht and west Ulster. Further rainfalls of about 5-10 mm east mainly.
THURSDAY ... Some sunshine to start, increasing cloud, morning lows 4-8 C for most, 10 C south coast, highs 12-16 C. Rain may arrive in west Munster before evening, then will spread to other regions overnight.
FRIDAY ... Rain will be heavy at times and possibly thundery in places, with a cool east wind for Ulster until late in the day (highs there near 10 C) but otherwise another warm and muggy day will develop in the south and then central counties, highs 14-17 C. Winds becoming southerly 30-50 km/hr.
NEXT WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Rain should begin to ease Saturday morning and there could be some brighter spells by afternoon with highs 12-14 C, fresh westerly breezes developing, then Sunday will be a partly to mostly cloudy day with a few showers in fresh backing southwesterly winds, highs 12-14 C.
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... It seems likely that the last few days of the month will be very mild again but it could turn windy or even stormy around the start of November. Highs may be into the mid-teens at times.
I will pause the Britain and North America forecasts for one day as nothing much has changed from the previous report, even my weather is about the same as the previous day, morning fog and afternoon sunny spells with highs in the 14-17 C range. Some dense fog persisted all day closer to the coast.0 -
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Important: Please note legal disclaimer which can be seen at bottom of post 2565 dated 24 July 2012.
Monday, 21 October, 2013
Forecasts for Ireland
TODAY ... A band of moderate to heavy rain will reach a Dublin-Galway line around 0800-0900h and will then continue to drift further north, with any morning sunshine in Ulster fading behind the advancing cloud by mid-day. Once this band moves north, skies will become partly cloudy but further showers or outbreaks of rain can be expected. Highs 14-16 C in the south and about 12 C north where winds will be mostly from an easterly direction until late afternoon, for other regions, winds southeast veering to southwest at about 20-40 km/hr. Further rainfalls 5-15 mm except 15-25 mm in some central to inland southeast counties during the morning -- the amounts with the rainfall band may diminish in Ulster.
TONIGHT ... Mostly cloudy, fog patches, showers and very mild, lows 11-14 C.
TUESDAY ... Further bursts of heavy rain with slight risk of thunder, and very mild, with highs around 15-16 C. Rainfall potential 15-30 mm. A second band of heavy rain will approach the northwest by evening.
WEDNESDAY ... Showers, still heavy in Leinster and east Ulster during the morning, otherwise more isolated with some sunny intervals developing, not quite as mild. Lows 7-9 C and highs 11-15 C coolest in Connacht and west Ulster. Further rainfalls of about 5-10 mm east mainly. Fresh southwest to west winds developing 35-55 km/hr with some higher gusts near west coast.
THURSDAY ... Some sunshine to start, increasing cloud, morning lows 4-8 C for most, 10 C south coast, highs 12-16 C. Rain may arrive in west Munster before evening, then will spread to other regions overnight.
FRIDAY ... Rain will be heavy at times and possibly thundery in places, with a cool east wind for Ulster until late in the day (highs there near 10 C) but otherwise another warm and muggy day will develop in the south and then east-central counties, highs 14-17 C. Winds becoming southerly 30-50 km/hr. Parts of Connacht and west Ulster may remain closer to 10-12 C in northeast backing to northwest winds as low pressure tracks through west-central counties.
NEXT WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... Rain should begin to ease Saturday morning and there could be some brighter spells by afternoon with highs 12-14 C, fresh westerly breezes developing, then Sunday will be a partly to mostly cloudy day with a few showers in fresh backing southwesterly winds, highs 12-14 C. Monday (28th) could see stronger winds (GFS and ECM models have very strong winds, with gusts over 100 km/hr possible so we'll be keeping a close eye on how this develops closer to the time).
FURTHER OUTLOOK ... It seems likely that the last few days of the month will be very mild again but it could turn windy or even stormy around the start of November. Highs may be into the mid-teens at times.
Forecasts for Britain
TODAY .... Rain, heavy at times, moving slowly north through south Wales and the Midlands, showers continuing across the south but with some brighter intervals. Further north, the day will start bright and this band of rainfall will arrive by afternoon in northern England and by evening or overnight in most of Scotland. Rainfalls of 15-30 mm and highs 14-17 C.
In general, the outlook from Tuesday would be similar to Ireland with a slight lag time for each system mentioned to arrive over Britain (6 hours on average). There could be some locally heavy or flooding rainfalls by Tuesday in south central counties of England.
Forecasts for North America
Showers or periods of rain across parts of the inland northeast and Great Lakes, turning colder, with highs near the coast about 17-20 C but falling from 15 to about 10 C inland, 8-10 C through the Midwest and 5-8 C northwest of Great Lakes and into eastern prairies. Dry and seasonable further south trending to very warm and sunny in the southwest and inland western U.S., and at higher elevations in western Canada but fog trapped near coasts and in some valleys. My local weather was like that on Sunday, cloud stayed locked in below 500m and the temperature was near 10-12 C so we drove up a local ski hill (Mount Seymour) to find warm sunshine and readings near 20 C. Instead of the usual view of the city and nearby Fraser valley, it was just a flat blanket of white cloud with just the higher peaks in Washington state visible in the distance. Here's a picture:0
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