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After Time Ansell Thread

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Comments

  • #302
    yaboya1
    Registered Users Posts: 4,610 ✭✭✭yaboya1


    aidankkk wrote: »
    All i meant there was that over a 3 years period and over a 1000 selections, i only picked 14-15 4/1 or less shots and they all won. ( the vast majority of mine at over 25/1. So i only picked those at a rate of 1 every 3 months or so.

    Which is exactly what he's saying?

    Disregard the horses above 4/1.
    That's 100% strike rate on selections priced to win 50% (if you assume they were all evens) of the time. So according to the prices, only 7/8 of those should win (less than that if you're claiming they were bigger than evens) and you're claiming you backed 15/15.
    I think he has a point, but I don't think it matters because nobody else seems to follow so you're getting off lightly.

    Btw you said the brits had no chance of winning any of the novice chases at Cheltenham last March. I'm certain they were below 4/1 for that and you were spectacularly wrong there.


  • #303
    Fanny Wank
    Registered Users Posts: 1,288 ✭✭✭Fanny Wank


    Predicting the future in job interviews by the f*cling throat

    https://twitter.com/StateOfLinkedIn/status/1195428415060492288?s=19


  • #304
    mickey1979
    Registered Users Posts: 290 ✭✭mickey1979


    yaboya1 wrote: »
    Which is exactly what he's saying?

    Disregard the horses above 4/1.
    That's 100% strike rate on selections priced to win 50% (if you assume they were all evens) of the time. So according to the prices, only 7/8 of those should win (less than that if you're claiming they were bigger than evens) and you're claiming you backed 15/15.
    I think he has a point, but I don't think it matters because nobody else seems to follow so you're getting off lightly.

    Btw you said the brits had no chance of winning any of the novice chases at Cheltenham last March. I'm certain they were below 4/1 for that and you were spectacularly wrong there.

    I don’t remember how many Aidan had in a row but I backed a fair few of his horses over the years and I remember that run of 4/1 shots Sprint Sacre was one for sure.


  • #305
    Labhras OMurchu
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 11 ✭Labhras OMurchu


    Note to everyone, whether it (this or other aftertimes) happened or not its still aftertiming
    Shemale wrote: »
    Of course it is €1 on each selection is quite a way from a €1 accumulator in a three year period. You were calculating huge odds and prattling on about the lotto

    I'd strongly suggest you give up gambling tbh
    aidankkk wrote: »
    All i meant there was that over a 3 years period and over a 1000 selections, i only picked 14-15 4/1 or less shots and they all won. ( the vast majority of mine at over 25/1. So i only picked those at a rate of 1 every 3 months or so.

    Still a colossal aftertime, and the chances of it happening are still as I posted.
    yaboya1 wrote: »
    Which is exactly what he's saying?

    Disregard the horses above 4/1.
    That's 100% strike rate on selections priced to win 50% (if you assume they were all evens) of the time. So according to the prices, only 7/8 of those should win (less than that if you're claiming they were bigger than evens) and you're claiming you backed 15/15.
    I think he has a point, but I don't think it matters because nobody else seems to follow so you're getting off lightly.

    Btw you said the brits had no chance of winning any of the novice chases at Cheltenham last March. I'm certain they were below 4/1 for that and you were spectacularly wrong there.

    A sensible comment on this topic, surprising
    mickey1979 wrote: »
    I don’t remember how many Aidan had in a row but I backed a fair few of his horses over the years and I remember that run of 4/1 shots Sprint Sacre was one for sure.

    Still aftertiming

    Probably worth noting how many people abused Goat for not giving up gambling after some horse lost yet again nobody (bar me) pulls Clueless Aidan up for the same thing. He just can't stop seeking attention. Probably wasn't hugged enough as a child, or was hugged too much


  • #306
    IAMAMORON
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 9,078 ✭✭✭IAMAMORON


    Thanks Goat for reminding us all , any coinflips for today?

    goat.jpg


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  • #307
    Labhras OMurchu
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 11 ✭Labhras OMurchu


    IAMAMORON wrote: »
    Thanks Goat for reminding us all , any coinflips for today?

    Username checks out. Yet still nobody can actually rebut what I post, they just sling mud in solidarity with Clueless/Aftertiming Aidan

    Yesterday's effort
    aidankkk wrote: »
    ‪2.25‬

    ‪I’ve looked at this a few time and settled on Eamon on Cnoic as the value . He is weighted to turn around the firm on the fav here on his festival run and 20 on Betfair is certainly value . He also has form on heavy ‬

    Luckily Clueless Aidan has given up tipping. BSP 32 vs 20 advised :eek:

    Shur I forgot, beating SP doesn't mean anything :rolleyes:


  • #308
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Labhras OMurchu wrote: »
    Username checks out. Yet still nobody can actually rebut what I post, they just sling mud in solidarity with Clueless/Aftertiming Aidan

    Yesterday's effort



    Luckily Clueless Aidan has given up tipping. BSP 32 vs 20 advised :eek:

    Shur I forgot, beating SP doesn't mean anything :rolleyes:

    I’m only in this for the crack mate . It’s not like I’m being paid for tips . Shock horror I tipped a 20-1 looser, that fell at the second .

    Why doing you just lay all my tips . Easy money .


  • #309
    Francie Barrett
    Registered Users Posts: 16,373 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    Labhras OMurchu wrote: »
    Username checks out. Yet still nobody can actually rebut what I post, they just sling mud in solidarity with Clueless/Aftertiming Aidan

    Yesterday's effort



    Luckily Clueless Aidan has given up tipping. BSP 32 vs 20 advised :eek:

    Shur I forgot, beating SP doesn't mean anything :rolleyes:
    Would you ever just piss off - your contribution here is less than nothing.


  • #310
    Labhras OMurchu
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 11 ✭Labhras OMurchu


    Clueless Aidan I'm not sure if you're trying to deflect (away from your cluelessness) or you're illiterate (repeat after me it's "lose" not "loose". "LOSE" this is basic primary school stuff) but the point I was making wasn't around the fact your tip won/lost
    Francie Barrett wrote: »
    Would you ever just piss off - your contribution here is less than nothing.

    For the zillionth time, why is it ok for the forum to constantly pull up one clueless spoofing charlatan (Goat) but not another (Aidan)? At least everyone recognises Goat is a clown


  • #311
    IAMAMORON
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 9,078 ✭✭✭IAMAMORON


    When the fun stops.


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  • #312
    Shemale
    Registered Users Posts: 3,376 ✭✭✭Shemale


    aidankkk wrote: »
    All i meant there was that over a 3 years period and over a 1000 selections, i only picked 14-15 4/1 or less shots and they all won. ( the vast majority of mine at over 25/1. So i only picked those at a rate of 1 every 3 months or so.

    I understood you, I dont know how many thread you have had with tons of long priced winners, its clear you rarely back shorties.


  • #313
    Shemale
    Registered Users Posts: 3,376 ✭✭✭Shemale


    Labhras OMurchu wrote: »

    Luckily Clueless Aidan has given up tipping. BSP 32 vs 20 advised :eek:

    Shur I forgot, beating SP doesn't mean anything :rolleyes:

    Ruby gave the same horse a chance before the race, but sure he knows nothing :rolleyes:


  • #314
    Peintre Celebre
    Registered Users Posts: 2,484 ✭✭✭Peintre Celebre


    Shemale wrote: »
    Ruby gave the same horse a chance before the race, but sure he knows nothing :rolleyes:

    Former jockeys not known for their punting prowess in fairness. Nor would they be let near a trading room


  • #315
    BumperD
    Registered Users Posts: 5,681 ✭✭✭BumperD


    Neil knew

    https://www.independent.ie/sport/columnists/neil-francis-munster-should-have-thought-outside-the-box-instead-of-defending-with-their-lives-38711418.html

    “Neil Francis: 'Munster should have thought outside the box instead of defending with their lives'”


  • #316
    Fanny Wank
    Registered Users Posts: 1,288 ✭✭✭Fanny Wank


    Logistic regression by the bollox

    https://twitter.com/RufusPeabody/status/1197658028608241667?s=19

    https://twitter.com/MesutOatesil/status/1197659883480453120?s=19


  • #317
    mickey1979
    Registered Users Posts: 290 ✭✭mickey1979


    He Knew


  • #318
    Itziger
    Registered Users Posts: 4,012 ✭✭✭Itziger


    Lad calling himself HumtyDumpty on the Guardian Racing page....

    I had £1,106.29 on Cyrname @ 5/2 which constituted my entire accumulated winnings from Chris Froome's 2016 and 2017 Tour de France victories; I'd been impatiently waiting for the right opportunity.

    Chris Froome!!!!!! :):)


  • #319
    BoldReason
    Closed Accounts Posts: 704 ✭✭✭BoldReason


    Mother of christ they are 2 absolute crackers


  • #320
    IAMAMORON
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 9,078 ✭✭✭IAMAMORON


    Itziger wrote: »
    Lad calling himself HumtyDumpty on the Guardian Racing page....

    I had £1,106.29 on Cyrname @ 5/2 which constituted my entire accumulated winnings from Chris Froome's 2016 and 2017 Tour de France victories; I'd been impatiently waiting for the right opportunity.

    Chris Froome!!!!!! :):)

    Long grass sniping by the L'Alpe d'Huez 's.


  • #321
    BoldReason
    Closed Accounts Posts: 704 ✭✭✭BoldReason


    https://twitter.com/TipsterFollow/status/1198360894838673408?s=19


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  • #322
    Fanny Wank
    Registered Users Posts: 1,288 ✭✭✭Fanny Wank


    https://twitter.com/Billy5plus2/status/1201126878024785920?s=19


  • #323
    Fanny Wank
    Registered Users Posts: 1,288 ✭✭✭Fanny Wank


    Must throw up Stings latest whopper next time I'm on my laptop


  • #324
    BoldReason
    Closed Accounts Posts: 704 ✭✭✭BoldReason


    Kauto wrote: »
    Had 100E/W on Rightdownthemiddle when trained by Mulvanny at 20/1 on Friday night in Ladbrokes for a race in Fairyhouse next day. Woman put price on docket for me no bother. Horse won at 5/1 I think. Went to collect they offered me SP.
    Got in contact with Hayley o'Connor who worked for them at the time and she sorted payment. Any threat of bad publicity they pay immediately.

    Game by the Rightdownthemiddle's


  • #325
    Fanny Wank
    Registered Users Posts: 1,288 ✭✭✭Fanny Wank


    Paul Carberry repeatedly saving your festival by the bollox


    https://twitter.com/david_brayshaw/status/1231332169341075456?s=19


  • #326
    Fanny Wank
    Registered Users Posts: 1,288 ✭✭✭Fanny Wank


    Good few on the same conversation FFS

    https://twitter.com/weatherpunter/status/1231333384565252097?s=19

    https://twitter.com/Iamyoz/status/1231331092487114753?s=19


  • #327
    Peintre Celebre
    Registered Users Posts: 2,484 ✭✭✭Peintre Celebre


    BoldReason wrote: »
    https://twitter.com/TipsterFollow/status/1198360894838673408?s=19

    Sting is that you?


  • #328
    Fanny Wank
    Registered Users Posts: 1,288 ✭✭✭Fanny Wank


    Too much after timing on that Frenchman's Creek conversation to post them all FFS


  • #329
    IAMAMORON
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 9,078 ✭✭✭IAMAMORON


    Are you all set for Cheltenham Fanny ****?

    Do you fancy anything at a price or has anything caught your eye over the last 6 months?


  • #330
    Clique
    Registered Users Posts: 162 ✭✭Clique


    IAMAMORON wrote: »
    Are you all set for Cheltenham Fanny ****?

    Do you fancy anything at a price or has anything caught your eye over the last 6 months?

    Could you at least wait until some races are over before spouting out winners :pac:


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  • #331
    Gavin "shels"
    Registered Users Posts: 17,962 ✭✭✭✭Gavin "shels"


    Damon has the game by the absolute bollox

    https://twitter.com/MoffattDamon/status/1237499544423841794


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