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06-03-2021, 22:37   #5461
mailburner
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askarov win
cruz kenny to go the distance
6/4

can't decide on yan or sterling, yan pts maybe but if sterling could get him down it could get interesting

might chance jan by ko also
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06-03-2021, 23:36   #5462
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sterling to land 120 or more signfiicant strikes 6/1
sterling to land 110 or more sig str 7/2
would sail in surely if this remains standing

he had 174+101 strikes in his last 2 pts wins which were 3 rounds


nunes to land 100 or more ss 5/2
124+79 in last 2 with 6+8 takedowns so a she might take anderson down, hard to see it not landing if stays standing
Betfred




nunes pts 5/1
sterling pts 7/2
rakic ko 9/4
askar pts 6/4
Jan ko 4/1

Last edited by mailburner; 07-03-2021 at 00:07.
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07-03-2021, 10:56   #5463
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Had a accumulator on Islam, Nunes, Jan and Petyr Yan. Was pretty pissed at Yan for a silly DQ when he was cruising. But at least it wasn’t the last fight pending.

But logged on to account there, and see I was paid out. With the DQ labelled a void bet. Around half the original return. But free money really.
Normally wouldn’t aftertime, but just in case anyone else though they lost a bet that was actually paid out.
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07-03-2021, 13:33   #5464
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great start to the night but nothing after
Sterling had 97 sig str so very likely that would have landed had it gone 5


always wonder what prices were after an event?
best prices were

jan pts 10/1
nunes sub 9/4
sterling ko/tko/disq 10/1
rakic pts 13/5
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07-03-2021, 15:07   #5465
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mellor View Post
Had a accumulator on Islam, Nunes, Jan and Petyr Yan. Was pretty pissed at Yan for a silly DQ when he was cruising. But at least it wasn’t the last fight pending.

But logged on to account there, and see I was paid out. With the DQ labelled a void bet. Around half the original return. But free money really.
Normally wouldn’t aftertime, but just in case anyone else though they lost a bet that was actually paid out.
Nice one. Dq shouldn't be a void as it's a legit option for a fight finish. Fair play though
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07-03-2021, 15:20   #5466
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mellor View Post
Had a accumulator on Islam, Nunes, Jan and Petyr Yan. Was pretty pissed at Yan for a silly DQ when he was cruising. But at least it wasn’t the last fight pending.

But logged on to account there, and see I was paid out. With the DQ labelled a void bet. Around half the original return. But free money really.
Normally wouldn’t aftertime, but just in case anyone else though they lost a bet that was actually paid out.
Heh, I just checked there and I did 3 bets, in 2 of them I had 1 up but in the one I did Sterling I had him paired with Blachowicz by KO/TKO so got nothing back. :L
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07-03-2021, 20:10   #5467
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Did anyone back Yan with paddy in a single or multiple bet and have the bet voided?

I backed sterling on pts there but got my money back but yan let a mate down for an accum which was pretty harsh.
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08-03-2021, 06:42   #5468
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I only do tiny stakes for the laugh, so hadn't checked my PP a/c, my Petr Yan win bet was a loser not voided.
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13-03-2021, 17:39   #5469
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Went for a lot of decisions tonight for value:

De Paula evens
Courtney Casey 3.0
Darren Stewart 2.25
Matheus Nicloau 3.5
Dan Ige 2.5
Leon Edwards evens

And then Davey Grant regular vanilla single at 3.4, they have vaguely similar records, that price looks good.
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13-03-2021, 22:08   #5470
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stewart and edwards for me at around 11/10 or throw in angela hill to make it around 7/4


steward because anders is not ufc standard and hasn't been for a long time, tough and thats about it.
That split loss to kevin holland looks pretty good now.

If edwards can't beat belal he may as well go to bellator, should outclass belal who isn't in leons league surely but is durable so this could go all the way.

angela hill beat yoder back in 2017, much better fighter now...yoder not so much


like pts on all three also but prices are crap on these


like kape also but maybe on pts at 10/3 lost to pantoja last time where he was simply too inactive...was pretty sore about the loss even if it was deserved so now he gets to make amends
Tucker pts also 12/5

Last edited by mailburner; 13-03-2021 at 22:18.
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20-03-2021, 07:56   #5471
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Probably lots of excess capital after Cheltenham looking for a home in my big priced picks in a run of the mill UFC card:

JP Buys on pts 3.0, flyweight bouts often go to decision
Montel Jackson on pts 3.75, one of shortest priced fighters on card and at bantamweight I thought points at that price was worth it
Trevin Giles at evens, looks close on paper too
Macy Chiasson pts evens, Reneau looks totally past it at 43, lost to poor fighters recently
Kenan Song pts 6.0, looks a close fight to me, points seems a good bet at that price
Montserrat Ruiz pts 6.5, both girls are inexperienced, know nothing about them, went for the outsider on pts for the laugh
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26-03-2021, 12:42   #5472
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Surprised to see that Stipe is a 5/4 underdog. Seems like he has NGannou's number based on their last fight. I dont' think NGannou has learned how to beat Stipe from K.O.'ing people in the first round.
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27-03-2021, 06:47   #5473
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Tonight's big priced picks:

Barriault has a lot of UFC losses, went with Azaitar at evens even though he hasn't foght in yonks.
Thought Jared Gooden at 2.88 was a good price.
Gillian Robertson on pts at 5.5, she looked good up until her last fight.
Like many people I think, I don't want to see either of Stipe/Francis lose, went for Stipe at 2.1. I backed him first time round at 2.5 when he schooled Francis derailing the hypetrain.

Not a big price but Woodley is a shadow of his former self, so went for Luque at 1.4

Only 10 fights tonight, a weak enough PPV card bar the main event.
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27-03-2021, 18:26   #5474
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Luque pts 6/4 all I'm seeing so far
woodley not been finished in almost 9 yrs bar the injury last time and luque not been finished since 2013, should outwork woodley who can't be backed on recent showings


got badly burnt last time with ngannou against stipe, fancy him to come more prepared but the value is with stipe now
It's one fight I think I'll just be happy to watch

pp going 7/2 on o malley luque and stipe

hard to see past o malley and luque so looks like a decent price. It's a bs ehancement though (2/1 to 7/2) when a lot are around 3/1 but still worth taking imo
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27-03-2021, 19:10   #5475
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Never even looked at Woodley/Luque's records, so took that pts bet, sounds good. As it gets closer to fight time I think I'll be cheering on Francis. Would love to see him win tonight and then take Jon Jones' head clean off his shoulders when they meet.
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