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20-10-2020, 22:23   #5296
Mellor
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The price on Gaethje is huge now at 11/4 and has been drifting all the time.

It's too hard not to back him at those odds!
What do you think his chances of winning are?
50%? 10%?

Dominant fighters/champions like Khabib become overvalued eventually.
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21-10-2020, 00:36   #5297
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If a knockout wasn't possible then about 4/1 but it's a big part of MMA so realistically I'd say his odds should be about 2/1 when you consider he's won four in a row by knockout.
We keep hearing about his wrestling ability, if he can stay on his feet he's going to get the knockout.
Being able to hear his coach was a huge help to him in the last fight too and he'll have that advantage again.
I think he's too good of value at his current price not to back him.
If you were getting these odds on similar fighters you'd make a lot of money over time.
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21-10-2020, 01:35   #5298
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when you consider he's won four in a row by knockout.
Plus 19 out of 22 wins by knockout overall.
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21-10-2020, 09:39   #5299
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What do you think his chances of winning are?
50%? 10%?

Dominant fighters/champions like Khabib become overvalued eventually.

I honestly don't know given how Khabib has dominated everyone he's faced but I'd be pricing Gaethje at around 7/4-2/1
He might take Justin down at will and he might struggle to take Justin down so it's very hard to know.

Gaethje does look like he could be his biggest test to date.
Can khabib take him down and keep him there?
My gut feeling tells me he may have to wrestle with Khabib for most
of this in order to win which doesn't bode well for him.

I think Khabibs striking will have improved so much since we last seen him also.

This is Khabibs last big test in the division really so everything after this
won't even be a contest as far as I can see.
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21-10-2020, 10:00   #5300
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My 2 cents on the fight.
Not sure about other sites, PP have the same odds for a Gaethje win as a points victory for Khabib: 5/2
I know which one I'd prefer.

Justin's 2 losses were by KO/TKO but I see this one going the distance. Big test for Khabib but I think that relentless pressure will eventually tell, and he'll get Justin down enough times to breeze to another decision win.

IMO the only way Justin wins is by a KO or TKO, which is 7/2. It would shock the world and I'd like to see it, but I just can't see past Khabib

Will the year he's had have any effect on the mental side of his fight? Probably not.
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21-10-2020, 11:28   #5301
Mellor
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My gut feeling tells me he may have to wrestle with Khabib for most of this in order to win which doesn't bode well for him.
That will tire Khabib out a lot too. If Justin has gas in round 4 and 5. It won’t be fun for Khabin
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21-10-2020, 13:56   #5302
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That will tire Khabib out a lot too. If Justin has gas in round 4 and 5. It won’t be fun for Khabin
Wittman might just be the difference between the two.


He'll have the perfect game plan for khabib if there is such a thing
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22-10-2020, 15:19   #5303
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Whittaker vs Cannonier priced as a flip stands out when looking at the prices. Now Cannonier is good but when he's moved up a level he's lost (Jan, Reyes and Glover) albeit that was at LHW. Whittaker is one of the best at MW and I'll be backing him to get the win here.
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22-10-2020, 18:30   #5304
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Whittaker vs Cannonier priced as a flip stands out when looking at the prices. Now Cannonier is good but when he's moved up a level he's lost (Jan, Reyes and Glover) albeit that was at LHW. Whittaker is one of the best at MW and I'll be backing him to get the win here.
Very hard time call. Cannonier looks like a beast at welterweight. Whittaker is a class act but he's taken punches in recent fights and he can't do that against Cannonier.
It's a flip between a Whittaker decision win and a Cannonier ko for me. I won't be betting on it.
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22-10-2020, 22:55   #5305
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I fancy Cannonier by ko

I wasn't impressed with whittaker against Till and I honestly think those
wars with Romero and the quick ko v izzy have left their mark
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23-10-2020, 09:36   #5306
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after that weight inn ill be putting more money on Justin Gaethje, Kahbib seemed relived to make weight
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23-10-2020, 10:20   #5307
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took the 11/4 on justin, don't think he drift anymore

going to back cannonier also at 10/11 (ko is only 13/8 so no value for me)

Tuivasa also for me at 10/11 but maybe the ko in round one at 7/2
If it goes past round two I think he'll tire and it's anyone fight but if he
connects he'll put struve away I think
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23-10-2020, 10:21   #5308
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I've seen bookies taking the piss but paddy power shame on you


aspinall 6/1, edwards sean o malley 4/1

The list goes on and on
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23-10-2020, 10:49   #5309
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I've seen bookies taking the piss but paddy power shame on you


aspinall 6/1, edwards sean o malley 4/1

The list goes on and on
Leon edwards not even ranked anymore..
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24-10-2020, 01:23   #5310
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I've seen bookies taking the piss but paddy power shame on you


aspinall 6/1, edwards sean o malley 4/1

The list goes on and on
McGregor to be welterweight champ is only 3/1. Tom Aspinall, who the fúck is that guy. How is he only 6/1 to be heavyweight champ. Anyone who takes these bets is mental.
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