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03-12-2019, 13:27   #16
pauldry
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The first pulse of cold has already got less cold....the 2nd one will follow and instead of 2 or 3c we will get 5 to 8c

Always happens.....except in 2010 and the beast.
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03-12-2019, 13:29   #17
squarecircles
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and if it was a peppering of snow showers for the east coast somehow the tone and narrative would change completley.


otherwise throw a damp towel on the whole affair.


boards.ie weather forum in a nutshell.


gas place,must be one of the most myopic lop sided countires in western Europe.
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03-12-2019, 13:40   #18
MJohnston
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Model/Technical Discussion Only...
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03-12-2019, 13:42   #19
SeaBreezes
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That said those charts, while pure fantasy are lovely to look at!!

https://fs.nwstatic.co.uk/monthly_20...cdd2c74390.png
https://fs.nwstatic.co.uk/monthly_20...73f1355d60.png
https://fs.nwstatic.co.uk/monthly_20...9c559f0c7b.png
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03-12-2019, 16:46   #20
nacho libre
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Will that monster low over North America lead to jubilation or heartbreak? If it is forced south eastwards, there is only one way the displaced high can go then.
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03-12-2019, 17:02   #21
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Jestream off to Spain and Africa on its holidays is always good to see.
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03-12-2019, 17:17   #22
squarecircles
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12z gfs continues the cold northerly plunge next week, must be 4 or 5 runs now with this consistent theme.

the monster blizzard in south east England is gone of course,as it was absurd.


in the final frames the -10 isotherm starts to flood across the uk from the east,


battling against a push from the atlantic.








Last edited by squarecircles; 03-12-2019 at 17:27.
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03-12-2019, 19:40   #23
nacho libre
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So the ECM is more or less in agreement with the GFS tonight. The UKMO is not on board yet.
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03-12-2019, 20:19   #24
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The ECM 12Z back showing strong winds just outside of the +120hr time frame from Sunday afternoon/ evening into Monday morning with the strongest winds on the latest run occurring early Monday morning along the W / SW. Originally showed it very windy even stormy and moved away from that but has begun looking quite windy again. Unsettled few days coming up for early next week and keeping an eye on that sneaky Low showing up on Tues to see if anything comes of it, ECM showing it deepening but no doubt this will chop and change, the main thing is the potential for some unsettled /disturbed weather.














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03-12-2019, 20:31   #25
squarecircles
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[IMG][/IMG]



The reality of the cold artic plunge next week now begining to filter into the BBC forecast outlook.

'' A plume of cold air pushes out of the Artic across our shores''
''Things turning very much wintery...an increased chance of severe frosts and snow showers''



https://www.bbc.com/weather/features/50652225

Last edited by squarecircles; 03-12-2019 at 20:51.
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03-12-2019, 22:38   #26
Kermit.de.frog
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ICON is model of the day

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03-12-2019, 23:23   #27
pauldry
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God that chart is little over a week away

We might even get a few hours snow in the morning out of that one.

Then hail wind sleet rain sun more sleet hail rain more wind repeat and very wet footpaths
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04-12-2019, 07:46   #28
fred funk }{
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kermit.de.frog View Post
ICON is model of the day

Looks great 🙂
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04-12-2019, 07:50   #29
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The downgrades started overnight, you see you never back against the UKMO

Still could swing back and still looking cool but the "boom" charts aren't there this morning.
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04-12-2019, 10:54   #30
Mortelaro
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The downgrades started overnight, you see you never back against the UKMO

Still could swing back and still looking cool but the "boom" charts aren't there this morning.
To be honest most of the 'boom' charts were beyond the range of the UKMO,
I think trend might be your friend if its winter weather you want and the trend has not changed,Ergo,hold in that sneeze yet before we're bitten right back in the face?
Boom is some english phrase from prone to hope casting posters on netweather or Two anyway ,it jinx's everything, I hate it!
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