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25-04-2019, 19:15   #181
Mount Vesuvius
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And the heavens have indeed opened up Pad.
Gutters can't handle it. Patio like a river now. This will soften the ground abit before Hannah's arrival, trees in full leaf too. Winds won't be as strong this side of the country but might be enough to cause damage.
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25-04-2019, 19:32   #182
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Lovely CB over Athboy co Meath area
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25-04-2019, 19:37   #183
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Somebody posted a picture of a tornado forming on the ireland reddit.
No idea where it is or how real it is.. but its reddit so it might just be total BS.


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25-04-2019, 20:00   #184
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Well there was one in Mayo.

https://twitter.com/DonegalWeatherC/...84725640736768

https://twitter.com/DonegalWeatherC/...84149095845888
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25-04-2019, 21:59   #185
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Originally Posted by pad199207 View Post
Thunder here in Kildare. Heavens look like they are about to open.
Driving from Newbridge earlier and skies were so dark over Naas direction. Togher roundabout badly flooded(maybe it's always like that)
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25-04-2019, 22:23   #186
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well that turned out to be a damp squib ...one clap one flash east clare
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29-04-2019, 19:37   #187
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Perhaps some action tomorrow.. Perhaps.. https://twitter.com/convectivewx/sta...17064518324224
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01-05-2019, 10:38   #188
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See Met.ie are forecasting activity tomorrow for Kerry.
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06-05-2019, 20:57   #189
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ECM showing potential for thunderstorm along S / SE counties on Weds.

Not showing much shear in deep levels, better low level for a time, giving a relatively high CAPE reading up to 900 J/kg in the S / SE and high Theta E reading with high humidity and a DP over 10C, Temp of just about 10 to 12C perhaps. 850 hPa about 1 to 2C.

Convergence seems to be one of the main parameters for aiding thunderstorm development along or just after the occluded front I think. Still evolving . Could be interesting for a couple of hours in the afternoon .











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07-05-2019, 20:57   #190
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Not showing the same potential for thunderstorms tomorrow as was showing on earlier runs. Big convective showers could still occur producing gusty local winds.





Day 2 Convective Outlook
VALID 06:00 UTC Wed 08 May 2019 - 05:59 UTC Thu 09 May 2019

ISSUED 19:48 UTC Tue 07 May 2019

ISSUED BY: Dan

An upper trough will slowly migrate eastwards across the British Isles on Wednesday, becoming rather elongated as the original low centre fills and a new one develops on its eastern flank. This creates a rather complex upper pattern, with some uncertainty as to the exact shape / positioning / timing of various features crucial for the development of deep convection. Excessive cloud cover may inhibit thunderstorm potential somewhat, and will need monitoring.


Frontal rain will migrate northwards across the British Isles on Wednesday morning, with a clearance then developing across southern areas coinciding with peak daytime heating. Cold air aloft combined with surface heating will generate 300-600 J/kg CAPE within an environment with notably steep mid-level lapse rates. Scattered showers are expected to develop, initially over southern England on Wednesday morning, the risk then extending northeastwards across parts of the Midlands and East Anglia into the afternoon. A few thunderstorms will be possible, particularly focussed where low-level convergence is maximised (especially in a zone from SW England across the M4 towards East Anglia, bounded by the SLGT area). Shear is somewhat limited given similar wind speeds / direction through depth. Hail up to 1.5cm in diameter is possible from the most intense cells.

Some uncertainty exists over the potential for more cloud and showery outbreaks of rain that could develop over SW England during the afternoon hours, associated with an area of low pressure running eastwards nearby (over the western English Channel). NWP guidance differs in its handling of this feature, and if this cloud/rain does push into SW England (and further east later in the afternoon) then this may reduce the overall thunderstorm potential, especially in the southern portion of the SLGT. Meanwhile the far north of the SLGT area (i.e. Lincolnshire) is subject to slow cloud clearance following morning rain - some model guidance restricts instability to The Wash southwards.

Any showers/storms that do develop will tend to weaken during the second half of the evening as nocturnal cooling of the boundary layer commences - though some forcing from low-level convergence may persist along the axis of the elongated area of low pressure well into the night.
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09-05-2019, 09:29   #191
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Thunderstorm potential today in the Northern half of the country more so in the afternoon when some heating gets going. Some heavy downpours expected.
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09-05-2019, 13:09   #192
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Heavy hail shower Galway city, very unusual to see.
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09-05-2019, 13:18   #193
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Heavy prolonged showers are continually developing in north County Dublin (Dublin Airport and northwards to the Lusk area) and are moving very slowly south but are constantly back building. Wouldn't be too surprised if some sparks are reported in these areas soon as well as reports of flooding.
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09-05-2019, 13:22   #194
sryanbruen
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Heavy prolonged showers are continually developing in north County Dublin (Dublin Airport and northwards to the Lusk area) and are moving very slowly south but are constantly back building. Wouldn't be too surprised if some sparks are reported in these areas soon as well as reports of flooding.
Yeah, moderate rain been ongoing for the past few hours.
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09-05-2019, 14:55   #195
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Rumble of thunder in summerhill co meath
Lightning and hailstones too

Last edited by robclay26; 09-05-2019 at 15:01.
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