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19-04-2019, 07:08   #5206
M.T. Cranium
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Friday, 19 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland




TRENDS for the week ahead (19 to 25 April)

-- Temperatures will average 2 to 5 degrees above normal, highs 18 to 22 C will be common until Monday, then somewhat cooler. Also locations near east and south coasts may average closer to the 2 deg cited and highs more typically 14 to 18 C.

-- Rainfall will be either zero or very light to Monday then next week is likely to produce near normal rainfall for the interval at least in the south and west, amounts may only reach half the normal seven-day totals in the east and north.

-- Sunshine will be above normal overall with 6 to 12 hours a day in the first three days of the interval and possibly rather low sunshine totals thereafter, so that overall this coming seven day interval will be near normal for total sunshine. South and east coasts may not fare as well in the first part of the interval due to low cloud from the Irish Sea and Atlantic.

-- Winds will continue very light for most of this interval.

============

FORECASTS

TODAY ... Sunny and very warm except where local sea breezes cool parts of the south and east coasts. Highs for most 19 to 23 C. Near south and east coasts about 14 to 17 C. Some persistent low cloud, sea fog or mist could come and go near these coasts.

TONIGHT ... Clear intervals but extensive mist likely, lows 7 to 10 C.

SATURDAY ... Sunny with some afternoon cloud, more prevalent in the north. Very warm again, with sea breezes appearing on all coasts but otherwise highs 19 to 24 C. Some low cloud and isolated showers could brush parts of Donegal from a frontal system moving past to the north.

EASTER SUNDAY ... There may be some intervals of cloud and isolated showers but no real breakdown of the warm spell in general so that with at least some sunshine highs will likely reach 18 to 20 C and possibly higher in parts of the inland south and midlands. Early morning temperatures are likely to be in the 7 to 10 C range.

MONDAY ... Rain likely in the west and parts of the south, highs near 15 C, but partly cloudy to overcast further east and continued rather warm there with highs about 18 C.

OUTLOOK ... Frequent light rain seems likely but is more probable in the west as Britain may remain dry for most of the week, so the transitional zone could be Leinster and parts of Ulster with smaller amounts of rain possible. Highs will slowly cool to 12-14 C and it may be even cooler by end of the week, briefly though as warmer air is indicated by Sunday 28th.

My local weather was overcast with occasional light rain by afternoon, and the high was 14 C.
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20-04-2019, 06:23   #5207
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Saturday, 20 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week ahead 20 to 26 April, 2019

-- Temperatures will be 2 to 4 deg above normal, often around 20 C at first, then 15 to 18 C.

-- Rainfall will increase during the seven day interval to become near normal in some southern and western counties, but still a little below average in north and east.

-- Sunshine will average 5 to 8 hours a day, close to normal for late April.

-- Winds will freshen slowly during the period but will remain light for several more days.


===============


FORECASTS

TODAY ... Intervals of cloud and sunshine, hazy and warm for most, highs 18 to 22 C. Somewhat cooler near south coast with some low cloud and sea fog likely to encroach. This may also be the case on outer headlands of west and north coasts. Highs 13 to 16 C there.

TONIGHT ... Mostly cloudy, quite mild, foggy or misty. Some light rain or drizzle at times in Atlantic coastal districts. Lows 7 to 11 C.

EASTER SUNDAY ... Some brighter intervals likely in east, midlands, and north, rather cloudy to overcast in south and west, where light rain or drizzle may develop at times. Highs 17 to 21 C.

MONDAY ... Outbreaks of showery rain in west Munster, low cloud and sea fog near other parts of south and west coasts, variable cloud elsewhere with some brighter intervals, remaining quite warm. Lows 7 to 11 C and highs 16 to 20 C.

TUESDAY ... Little change from Monday overall, rain may spread a bit further east at times, and temperatures could be one or two degrees lower in most places but still above normal values.

OUTLOOK ... Frequent light rain, fresher temperatures in 13 to 16 C range.

My local weather on Good Friday was bad, low cloud, persistent rain, cool highs near 10 C. This is the first really wet soaking day we have had in a long time and it was probably necessary for growth but still, looking forward to sunshine and warm temperatures but will have to drive south for two days to get them, as we expect only minor improvements here on Saturday.
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21-04-2019, 07:01   #5208
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Sunday, 21 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week ahead 21 to 27 April

-- Temperatures will be 2 to 4 degrees above normal, but trending slowly back towards normal values by end of the week.

-- Rainfall will be near normal for the week ahead, although somewhat unevenly distributed.

-- Sunshine will average 3 to 6 hours a day, slightly below normal, with a cloudier trend later in the week.

-- Winds will often be moderate south to southwest as the week progresses.


FORECASTS


TODAY ... Some hazy sunshine and warm in eastern and central counties, warm with highs 18 to 22 C except 14 to 17 C along east coast. South coast and some distance inland will be overcast with some fog and mist at times, highs 14 to 16 C. Western and some northern counties will also be mostly cloudy with a few breaks, and outbreaks of light rain possible although not in all locations. Highs 15 to 19 C.


TONIGHT ... Mostly cloudy with some clear breaks in north and east, mild, outbreaks of rain in west Munster. Lows 8 to 12 C.

MONDAY ... Partly cloudy to overcast, warm. The rain near west coast may back away into the Atlantic for a period then return to the south coast later. Highs generally near 20 C except cooler near most coasts where sea fog may drift inland.

TUESDAY ... Partly cloudy east and north, with isolated showers or thunderstorms developing. Variable cloud south and west with outbreaks of rain, some mist or fog. Lows near 12 C and highs near 18 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Rain at times (10-15 mm) and highs near 16 C.

THURSDAY ... Showers, breezy, rather cool with highs near 14 C.

OUTLOOK ... Frequent showers in an unsettled westerly flow, temperatures near normal.

My local weather started out misty but turned sunny in the afternoon, and the high was 16 C.

Happy Easter ... I will be posting a forecast on Monday then taking a week away, hoping to arrange for the posting of daily forecasts during that interval.
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22-04-2019, 07:22   #5209
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Monday, 22 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week ahead 22 to 28 April 2019 ...

-- Temperatures will average 1 or 2 deg above normal but the trend through the interval will be from above to below normal.

-- Rainfall will be at least average for the seven days and in some central regions may be as much as 50% above normal.

-- Sunshine will average 2 to 5 hours a day, below the normal for late April.

-- It will gradually become quite windy at times later in the week.


FORECASTS

TODAY ... Some hazy sunshine and warm, but cloud will begin to dominate and a few showers could develop mostly in south and midlands. Highs 18 to 21 C.

TONIGHT ... Mostly cloudy, humid, mild with a few light showers. Lows 11 to 13 C.

TUESDAY ... Variable cloud, outbreaks of showery rain and isolated thunderstorms possible, but rainfall only 1 to 3 mm for most places. Highs around 18 C.

WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY will become rather wet (10-15 mm rainfalls possible each day) with the track of the heaviest and most persistent rain through the southeast into the midlands and then north Connacht. Highs around 15 C Wednesday and 13 C Thursday.

FRIDAY will see stronger winds developing and some outbreaks of heavy rain, and it will not be very mild during this with highs of 9 to 12 C. Windy and colder late in the day, sleet or wet snow showers are possible in the north on higher terrain.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Although likely to stay rather cool, the weather will be somewhat more settled towards the end of the month, with rain less frequent. Highs will only be in the 9 to 12 C range even into early May.

My local weather on Easter Sunday was sunny with a high near 16 C. As I mentioned, heading out for a week of back country camping down south, back around the first of May but sryanbruen and perhaps one or two others will pitch in and keep you up to date. Thanks to them for their efforts.
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23-04-2019, 10:04   #5210
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Tuesday, 23 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead 23 to 29 April 2019 ...

-- Temperatures will average 0.5 to 1.5 degrees Celsius above normal for the period but differences from average will decrease as time passes with cooler conditions becoming dominant by the latter part of the week.

-- Rainfall will be on the rise with low pressure nearing our shores and increasingly dominant. Expected to be within 80 to 150% of average though locally intense showers or rain could mean even wetter for some isolated spots. Towards the end of the period, there is a signal for the winds to turn into the north which whilst cool would mean rather drier conditions for Ireland as the low pressure sets up to the east or southeast of the UK.

-- Sunshine will average 2 to 5 hours per day, dullest in the west, making it a rather dull end to April.

-- There is likely to be some very windy episodes to end the month especially later in the working week. Windiest conditions likely since mid-March.

FORECASTS

TODAY ... A mostly cloudy start to Tuesday with some showery outbreaks of rain pushing northwestwards in a moderate east to southeasterly wind flow. There could be the odd rumble of thunder associated with these showers. Clearer conditions expected to push in from the east of the country through the late morning and into the afternoon as the showers continue to push to the northwest. Staying rather cloudy in the west but even here there should be some sunny spells now and then. One final rather warm and humid day with maximum temperatures ranging from 13 to 21c, warmest in the west and coolest on eastern coasts.

TONIGHT ... Mostly dry to start with some mist forming as the southeasterly winds continue but showers will start to push in from the southeast later in the night affecting Leinster and Munster initially. A rather mild night with minimum temperatures getting down to 8-11c. There might be some saharan dust in the air so should make for quite the sunset if you can catch it this evening.

WEDNESDAY ... Showers will have made their way westwards into Connacht whilst continuing in Munster and south Leinster. Elsewhere, there is likely to be spells of sunshine to start Wednesday but it will be a showery Wednesday afternoon almost everywhere. Thunder is very possible in these showers. Maximum temperatures still on the relatively mild side reaching 17 or 18c in the north but in the showers dropping to more near normal values of 13-15c, winds moderate in easterly direction. Showers will continue on Wednesday night.

THURSDAY ... Very showery with scattered outbreaks of rain and thundery showers over the country. Southeasterly winds becoming gusty making for a blustery day and quite a change from recent days. Variable spells of sunshine and cloud in between the showers so it's not all doom and gloom. A cooler day everywhere with maximum temperatures ranging between 11-15c, over 10 degrees Celsius cooler for some places from the values achieved during the Easter weekend. It should become drier for a time Thursday night into early Friday morning with temperatures dropping to the low single figures in rural areas in clear skies.

FRIDAY ... A dry start on Friday with some early morning grass frost possible in sunny spells but this will be quickly replaced by a band of rain pushing in from the Atlantic with the wind veering westerly direction simultaneously. Maximum temperatures during the afternoon ranging between 10-14c. Becoming windy with this low but strongest gusts likely further north near Scotland and into Saturday. The rain should clear by Friday evening leaving scattered showers behind but temperatures will take a tumble during the night with grass frost again likely in the odd spot.

SATURDAY ... A blustery day with showers feeding in on a gusty west to northwesterly airflow. Maximum temperatures ranging between only 9-12c which is not too far off the average late April highs but compared to the Easter period, it will feel quite chilly particularly in the wind.

OUTLOOK ... The outlook is a familiar changeable one for Ireland with westerly winds for the end of April. There is some signals from the models to take high pressure up to Greenland during early May which would mean the wind direction turning northerly. This would result in cool and mainly dry conditions for Ireland bar the possibility of showers. This is nothing too unusual however as early May is often a time when Greenland blocking forms as was the case in Mays 2010 and 2017 for recent examples.
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24-04-2019, 10:21   #5211
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Wednesday, 24 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead 24 to 30 April 2019 ...

-- Temperatures will average 0.2 to 1.0 degrees Celsius above normal for the period but becoming cooler and cooler as time passes to the point where below average temperatures are likely by the weekend.

-- Rainfall will be above average for most places with low pressure circulating around our shores for the next few days. Expected to be within 80 to 150% of average though locally intense showers or rain could mean even wetter for some isolated spots. There is now the signal for high pressure to become influential by this time next week rather than northerly winds but whether it'd be a blocking anticyclone or northern blocking over Greenland/Scandinavia which would result in easterly winds is open to question.

-- Sunshine will average 2 to 4 hours per day, dullest in the west, making it a rather dull end to April.

-- Quite a windy period expected for late April during the next few days but it should start to become calmer by next week.

FORECASTS

TODAY ... Various sunny spells but mainly cloudy with outbreaks of showery rain tracking its way northwards with the risk of thunder. Warmest in the north today with maximum temperatures up to 17 or 18c but elsewhere, it will be cooler than recently with highs ranging between 13-15c though these are only closer to average. Some brightness will attempt to ascend from the south later in the day whilst some more showers cannot be ruled out. Winds moderate east to southeast in direction.

TONIGHT ... Further risk of heavy or thundery showers tonight for a time as they clear their way northward with some clear skies in the south. Fresher than recent nights but still not faring too badly with minimum temperatures in the 4-7c range, coolest in the south.

THURSDAY ... Blustery with widespread showers scattered about over the country. Some of these could form into longer spells of rain with heavy and prolonged periods, possibility of thunder again. Southeasterly winds becoming gusty with maximum temperatures by this time ranging between 11-15c. Now, there's the likelihood that a band of rain will push across the country later on Thursday night into Friday morning after some temporary clearer skies develop once the showers fizzle out. Cloud from the rain will prevent the grass frost from forming with minimum temperatures holding up to mid single figures.

FRIDAY ... Some rain to start Friday clearing the east will be followed by another band of rain pushing in from the Atlantic and make its way across the country through the day. This one will be associated with stronger winds, unlikely to be a named storm however right now though it is a possibility. Brighter conditions will come in behind the rain later on Friday but also the possibility of some showers. Maximum temperatures ranging between 9-14c.

SATURDAY ... Sunshine and scattered showers with fairly gusty northwesterly winds, becoming moderate as the day goes on. Maximum temperatures ranging between 9-12c by this point, below average for April though not exceptionally so.

SUNDAY ... Ridge of high pressure from the Azores attempting to assert itself to the south and east of the country but currently it looks as though it will fail in its process with more wet and windy weather pushing its way into the west of Ireland. Relatively milder as winds veer southwesterly with maximum temperatures ranging between 11-13c, any sunshine could help temperatures rise a bit more.

OUTLOOK ... Latest models are quite different to what they were showing yesterday and the past few days with the exception of the ECM operational run.

One scenario is Sunday's low stalling in the west and then sinking southwards with a Scandinavian High setting up turning the winds into the east by the start of May. This would result in dry conditions and mainly average temperatures though as the sun is strong at this time of year, some spells of sunshine can make all the difference. Low cloud possible. This is shown by the current GFS but is unlikely.

Another scenario is the aforementioned northerly winds with Greenland blocking developing which would be mainly dry but also cool. This is the scenario shown recently and by this morning's ECM but models seem to have gone away with it generally.

The third scenario is Azores High ridging taking over the pattern with the jet stream being forced northwards. This is the least likely scenario at the moment.

The exact scenario is important for the kind of temperatures that one would expect but they all have one thing in common, there is a lack of unsettled weather with each of them. It's a case of wait and see.

Last edited by sryanbruen; 24-04-2019 at 15:02.
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25-04-2019, 08:59   #5212
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Thursday, 25 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead 25 April to 1 May 2019 ...

-- Temperatures will average 0.2 degrees Celsius below normal to 0.5 degrees Celsius above normal for the period. These anomalies to average will continue to drop the next few days towards cooler than average.

-- Rainfall will be above average for most places during the period and this will largely be down to the next few days as the current signal is for drier conditions to return by early May.

-- Sunshine will average 2 to 3 hours per day which is rather below average for the end of April.

-- Friday's low pressure system has now been named Storm Hannah by Met Éireann with quite a windy episode for the time of year expected. Models showing this now running along the south and southwest of the country with gusty westerly winds including severe gales in places driven by a strong jet stream.

Warnings for Storm Hannah from Met Éireann.

Status Orange - Wind warning for Clare, Cork, Kerry and Limerick

Becoming stormy on Friday evening and overnight as Storm Hannah moves in. Southerly winds, later veering northwesterly will reach mean speeds of 65-80 km/h with gusts of 110 to 130 km/h.

Be prepared for possible disruption and power outages


Status Yellow - Wind warning for Connacht, Carlow, Kildare, Kilkenny, Laois, Longford, Wexford, Wicklow, Offaly, Donegal, Tipperary and Waterford

Becoming very windy on Friday night and for a time on Saturday morning. Southerly winds will veer northwesterly and reach mean speeds of 50-65km/h with gusts of 90 to 110 km/h.


FORECASTS

TODAY ... After a dry start for some this morning, heavy showers will spread in from the southeast in moderate southeast breezes. These could be associated with thunder and hail in places, heaviest in the south and west. Maximum temperatures close to average for late April reaching afternoon values of 11-15c.

TONIGHT ... Showers will gradually peter out tonight but these will only be replaced by a band of rain pushing in from the west so the cloud and rain will prevent grass frost from developing with a mild night expected. Minimum temperatures likely to range between 4-7c.

FRIDAY ... Mostly cloudy with rain clearing eastwards during the morning will be followed by Storm Hannah pushing in from the Atlantic and make its way across the country later in the day. Hannah is likely to bring severe gales among southern counties particularly on exposed coasts with gusts in excess of 110 km/h for various places of the southwest Friday evening and Friday night. There has been several changes in the possibility for Hannah's track which made it important to see if we would be impacted heavily but now it's looking that she will push along the south of the country during Friday evening and night into Saturday morning resulting in some very gusty west to northwesterly winds. Maximum temperatures for Friday ranging between 10-13c.

SATURDAY ... Continuing very windy to start off Saturday morning but rain should clear eastern regions by the latter part of the period with brighter conditions developing behind. It will however be blustery in strong northwesterly winds, easing somewhat later on, with some scattered showers feeding in. Maximum temperatures ranging between 9-12c.

SUNDAY / MONDAY ... An area of low pressure in the Atlantic is trying to push eastwards but is being forced to stay just out west for Sunday on the latest models with ridging from the Azores trying to build to the southeast of us and link up with blocking over Greenland and Scandinavia. Sunday is likely to be a cloudy day with winds veering southwesterly meaning it is expected to be a milder day. Maximum temperatures on Sunday ranging between 12-15c. Limited amounts of brightness with patches of drizzle though amounts will be small. There is some uncertainty surrounding when this band of rain is going to push in from the west as well as if it's going to make full progress eastward or just fizzle out as high pressure becomes established after making the outlook somewhat complicated.

OUTLOOK ... The signals now favour an easterly flow for early May but instead of a Scandinavian High, models are showing an Icelandic High with a scenario sort of similar to early May 2017 which was very dry and sunny. Initially, there is the possibility of showers as low pressure attempts to fizzle out but then high pressure ridges in from the north, east to northeast winds being the mean wind direction. This would mean that eastern regions would be relatively cool but in the west under any sunshine, temperatures could get into the very respectable teens of up to 16-18c or even more.

The outlook for early May will not be resolved however until Sunday / Monday's low is as it puts complications in the forecast.

Last edited by sryanbruen; 25-04-2019 at 10:45.
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26-04-2019, 10:21   #5213
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Friday, 26 April, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead 26 April to 2 May 2019 ...

-- Temperatures will average 0.5 degrees Celsius below normal to average temperatures for the period.

-- Rainfall will be relatively above average for most places but not exceptionally so.

-- Sunshine will average 2 to 3 hours per day, rather dull to conclude April.

-- Storm Hannah is set to make landfall to the southwest of Ireland this evening. Models have continued to upgrade its expected gusts meaning there is likely going to be severe impacts felt in counties especially in the south. More details below. After Hannah, conditions are going to become much calmer with higher or slacker pressure gradients.

Warnings for Storm Hannah from Met Éireann.

Status Red - Wind warning for Clare

Northwesterly winds, associated with Storm Hannah, will reach mean speeds in excess of 80km/h with violent gusts of 130 to 150 km/h for a time this evening.

Valid: Friday 26 April 2019 20:00 to Friday 26 April 2019 23:00


---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Status Orange - Wind warning for Clare, Cork, Kerry and Limerick

Becoming stormy on Friday evening and overnight as Storm Hannah moves in. Southerly winds, later veering northwesterly will reach mean speeds of 65-80 km/h with gusts of 110 to 130 km/h.


Valid: Friday 26 April 2019 16:00 to Saturday 27 April 2019 01:00

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Status Orange - Wind warning for Galway

Northwesterly winds, associated with Storm Hannah, will reach mean speeds of 65-80 km/h with gusts of 110 to 130 km/h this evening/early tonight, strongest along the coast.

Valid: Friday 26 April 2019 19:00 to Friday 26 April 2019 23:59


----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Status Orange - Wind warning for Tipperary and Waterford

In addition to the yellow wind alert for these counties: Southwest winds veering northwest will reach mean speed of 65 to 80km/h and gusts of 110 to 120km/h for a time tonight.


Valid: Friday 26 April 2019 22:00 to Saturday 27 April 2019 02:00

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Status Yellow - Wind warning for Connacht, Carlow, Kildare, Kilkenny, Laois, Longford, Wexford, Wicklow, Offaly, Donegal, Tipperary and Waterford

Becoming very windy on Friday night and for a time on Saturday morning. Southerly winds will veer northwesterly and reach mean speeds of 50-65km/h with gusts of 90 to 110 km/h.


Valid: Friday 26 April 2019 23:00 to Saturday 27 April 2019 09:00

FORECASTS

TODAY ... Rain clearing eastwards will be followed by another band of rain associated with Storm Hannah pushing in from the west through the day with a window of calmer and brighter conditions in between. Becoming windier and windier through the afternoon and evening with maximum temperatures ranging between 8-13c.

Severe gale gusts are likely in the southwest and south of the country with violent storm force winds on exposed coasts or mountain tops to the west and southwest. This is looking like the windiest period of April weather in a long time and with trees in leaf, damaging impacts will be felt. There is the possibility of the orange wind warning in the southwest turning red later on which would be the first red warning for Ireland since Storm Emma back at the start of March 2018. There is certainly a danger to life with the expected wind gusts in the southwest if you're not extra careful through this evening. Try not to make unnecessary journeys and do not wait around for a red warning to come if you're residing in the south and southwest. Better safe than sorry as they say.

TONIGHT ... Severe gales will blow their way across the southwest during the evening and for a time tonight before dying down somewhat though remaining very windy through the period. Showery outbreaks of rain continue to push across the country but becoming isolated and clearing eastward later on. A relatively mild night under the windy conditions with minimum temperatures ranging between 4-7c.

SATURDAY ... Once the last of the rain clears the east or northeast, Saturday will be a blustery day with sunshine and scattered showers. Northwesterly wind gusts still strong in nature though easing as the day goes on. Maximum temperatures on the cool side reaching afternoon highs of between 8-12c.

SUNDAY / MONDAY ... Now it looks as though that both Sunday and Monday will be mainly dry and cloudy days as the rain attempts to stay out west for a time before pushing in later on Monday. Patches of light rain, drizzle and mist forming with the cloud on both days. Wind direction veering southwest to southeasterly meaning it will be milder than recent days with maximum temperatures ranging between 12-16c on both days.

TUESDAY ... Currently, Tuesday looks to get off to a wet start as rain clears eastwards but brighter conditions following on from behind with well scattered showers. Maximum temperatures around average for late April ranging between 11-14c.

OUTLOOK ... Some huge differences with the models this morning as the GFS shows largely settled conditions to start off May as pressure rises after initial showers from slack pressure. It even shows a very pleasant May Day bank holiday weekend with sunny spells and conditions turning warmer. The ECM in contrast develops a proper northerly flow for a time with low pressure over Scandinavia, wouldn't be wet for Ireland but very cool. It then goes on to develop a southwesterly flow near the end of the first week with low pressure spreading in from the west. Questions still to be answered regarding early May it seems.

Last edited by sryanbruen; 26-04-2019 at 12:51.
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27-04-2019, 11:18   #5214
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Just to fill the gap....

TODAY ... A blustery/windy day with sunshine and scattered showers with a risk of thunder. Northwesterly winds will ease as the day goes on. Temperatures ranging between 8c and 12c.

TONIGHT ... Mostly dry with wind easing further allowing some shallow mist and fog patches to form. Patchy outbreaks of light rain or drizzle may develop in the south and west. Overnight temperatures ranging 3c to 6c.

SUNDAY ... Some isolated/patchy outbreaks of light rain or drizzle in places, but predominantly dry for most areas. Moderate southwesterly breezes and milder than recent days, with temperatures ranging between 12c and up to 17c where any sunny spells develop (sunny spells most likely to the south and south west).
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28-04-2019, 19:47   #5215
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Forecsts:

Monday... Overcast with light rain and drizzle in the morning. Brightening up as the day progresses with sunny spells through broken cloud. Temperatures ranging from 10C to 16C, warmest in the Western half of the country, coolest closest to E, NE coasts where cloud and drizzle could persist and feeling the cooling effects of an onshore SE breeze. Rain spreading from the SW towards evening and becoming widespread through the night, becoming windy along coasts gusting to 60 km/h and breezy overland gusting 30 to 45 km/h, temperatures overnight staying up around 6 to 10 C .

Tuesday... Rain clearing the E and NE coasts in the morning and winds easing , a few showers breaking out during the day but staying dry for most of the country with good bright sunny spells, temperatures 10 to 16C , warmest in the E, SE and coolest along coasts, a cool night following 4 to 6C.

Wednesday... Windy along coasts from the W, some heavy showers breaking out across the country during the afternoon, some of hail and perhaps a few thundery. Temperatures just reaching the low teens.

Thurs... looks set to be windy, showers and possibly longer spells of rain in Western half of the country as the day progresses, drier in the E, temperatures reaching the low teens again.

Friday... Looking drier as we move into the weekend.
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29-04-2019, 21:41   #5216
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Forecast:

Tuesday... Rain which will be heavy in places clearing from the SW, W early morning, looks likely to linger in the E / NE until late evening, 10 to 20mm likely in the E/ SE/ NE , 7 to 15 mm in the SW /W, least amount in the midlands. Dry clear spells with sunshine in places for the rest of the country after the front clears early in the day apart from the aforementioned E and N , a few showers in the W through the day. Temperatures 10 to 15C, best in the S and NW. Light variable breezes . A cool night to follow , 2 to 7C

Wednesday... Temperatures falling to low single figures early morning , dry in most places early until cloud followed by rain / drizzle and mist spreads in from the W dissipating as it moves into the midlands with the E remaining largely dry , breezy in the W becoming lighter towards evening . Temperatures 10 to 14C , warmest in the Eastern half and coolest in the Western half of the country. Cool night to follow 5 to 8C.

Thursday... Breezy along coasts and looking like showers and some heavy or more prolonged spells of rain, in general 10 to 13C, cool night to follow with lows of 3 to 6C.

Friday...Breezy turning to a N/ly direction, temperatures 10 to 15C, best in the Southern half of the country, cooler further N . Some uncertainty but showers possible from a N/ly direction. Cool night .

Weekend... Looks largely dry , Temps 10 to 14C , Sat. variable light winds over land and breezy along coasts, turning fresher on Sunday as winds switch to a S'ly direction. Cool nights.
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30-04-2019, 09:03   #5217
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Today
Wet in most of the country but a clearance in the west will extend eastwards but it will stay cloudy with showers in the east and northeast, temps 11 to 15 at best.

Tonight
Mostly dry with temps 1 to 5 feeling rather cold.

Tomorrow
A cold start for the first day of May, dry at first but showers will become widespread by afternoon. Temps 11 to 15.

Thursday
Another cold start but dry early on but again showers will become widespread with hail and thunder. Temps again 11 to 15.

Outlook
Some rain about on Friday but a good deal of dry weather, temps around the same as previous days. The weekend will be mostly dry but cool for this time of the year with grass frost in places.
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01-05-2019, 06:28   #5218
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Wednesday, 1 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



First of all, many thanks to the guest forecasters who had their hands full with very active weather while I was away. Your efforts are greatly appreciated by me and I would suspect also by the regular readers of this thread.

I enjoyed some very pleasant warm and mostly sunny weather in the southwestern U.S., with highs mostly in the 24 to 28 C range in southern Utah. We drove back through steadily falling temperatures but it stayed dry and in fact the only rain I saw all week was from a couple of evening thunderstorms.

TRENDS for the week ahead ... 1 to 7 May

Temperatures will average about 2 degrees below normal, with highs mostly in the 10 to 13 C range, and some risk of frosts on some nights.

Rainfall will average below normal amounts although just after this interval ends, it may become quite wet.

Sunshine will probably be at least normal and could be a bit above average.

No strong winds are expected and the flow will be generally northerly in direction.

FORECASTS ...

TODAY will see increasing cloud by mid-day and afternoon with showers developing in parts of the west, spreading somewhat further east by late in the day. Amounts of 2 to 5 mm are possible where it does rain. Rather cool with highs only 10 to 13 C.

TONIGHT will remain cloudy with a few showers, lows 4 to 8 C.

THURSDAY will bring a mixture of cloud and sunshine, and scattered showers, highs 11 to 14 C.

FRIDAY will become somewhat cooler with occasional showers, more frequent in north and parts of the midlands. Highs 10 to 13 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK is for dry and rather cool weather, generous amounts of sunshine but risk of frosts, lows -2 to +3 C and highs 9 to 13 C.

NEXT WEEK will begin to turn very cool and at times rather wet as colder air moves in from the north while the storm track drops to the south of Munster, sometimes providing moderate northeast winds and rain. Highs most days will only be around 10 to 12 C and could be even cooler in some places.

My local weather on Tuesday was partly to mostly cloudy and cool with highs near 10 C.
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02-05-2019, 06:26   #5219
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Thursday, 2 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week ahead ... 2 to 8 May

Temperatures will average about 2 or 3 degrees below normal, with highs mostly in the 10 to 13 C range, and some risk of frosts on some nights.

Rainfall will average about normal amounts although most of that will fall after the weekend. The following week looks quite wet also, especially in north Leinster and south/east Ulster.

Sunshine will probably be around normal amounts with the weekend (including holiday Monday) a bit above average.

No strong winds are expected until about Tuesday when moderate northeast winds are possible.


FORECASTS ...

TODAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with outbreaks of light rain in various places, both north and south, but amounts fairly slight, 2 to 5 mm on average. It will remain rather cool with highs 11 to 14 C.

TONIGHT will be overcast at first with a slight clearing trend, as showers become more isolated, lows 3 to 6 C.

FRIDAY will remain quite cool with occasional showers, more frequent in north and parts of the midlands. Highs 10 to 13 C.

SATURDAY will bring a gradual clearing trend with some scattered morning frosts, lows -1 to +3 C, then highs of about 10 to 13 C under partly cloudy to sunny skies.

SUNDAY and MONDAY will continue fair but colder than average for early May, with frosts, lows -2 to +3 C, and highs only 9 to 13 C despite generous amounts of sunshine.

TUESDAY will become cloudy and chilly with rain developing in northeast winds. Lows near 5 C and highs 8 to 12 C.

The outlook calls for similar weather at times in the following week and only a slight warming trend into the second week of May.

My local weather is about the same, overcast with light rain and chilly daytime highs of only 9 or 10 C. The progress of spring blooming around here is quite slow and leaves are just slowly opening out then deciding it's not a good idea.
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03-05-2019, 07:16   #5220
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Friday, 3 May, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TRENDS for the week of 3 to 9 May

-- Temperatures will average 2 to 4 deg below normal.

-- Rainfall will average near normal (most of it will occur Tuesday into Wednesday) but above normal in parts of the south.

-- Sunshine will average a little below normal, with more generous amounts at first followed by persistent cloud.

-- Winds will be generally light north to northeast until Tuesday then moderate northeast to east in direction.


FORECASTS ...


TODAY will be mostly cloudy with some sunny breaks, and isolated showers giving trace amounts to perhaps 2 mm of rain. Highs will be close to 10 C in the north, to about 14 C in the south.

TONIGHT will see partial clearing and chilly temperatures including some frosts inland, lows -2 to +2 C.

SATURDAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals and cool, with fresh northeast breezes at times, highs 9 to 13 C.

SUNDAY will start out frosty in places again, with a gradual increase in higher cloud in parts of the west and south, cool with light winds, and lows -2 to +3 C, highs 9 to 13 C.

MONDAY will be cloudy with some sunny breaks, and showery outbreaks of light rain in parts of Ulster and Connacht mostly, lows 1 to 4 C and highs 10 to 14 C.

TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY will bring stronger east to northeast winds, possibly reaching 50 to 80 km/hr in exposed parts of the south, and outbreaks of rain becoming persistent and heavy in some places in south Leinster and Munster. Highs only about 8 to 11 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK calls for rather cloudy and cool weather to persist with more rain at times, highs staying in the 10 to 15 C range.

My local weather on Thursday was mostly cloudy with some rain at first, followed by partial clearing, and cool temperatures only reaching highs of about 11 C.
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