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Atlantic Storm Watch 2014: February/March

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Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    Though I'd rather some weather like today ( sunny and crisp ) for a good few days at this stage ....

    Sure have to say that this next storm is a BEAUTY on Sat!

    292263.png


  • Registered Users Posts: 33,709 ✭✭✭✭Cantona's Collars


    High tide in New Ross will be about 1ft lower tonight than yesterday morning and the winds will be more southeasterly and less of a straight southerly than yesterday so the tidal surge may not be as bad there. Wexford town might be more likely to flood due to the wind direction. What are the council saying?

    I'm here in Enniscorthy,it's low tide and the river is running very high,it would take very little rain to flood the town,not a sandbag in sight.Over Xmas there were loads left around to be used but we escaped the worst of it as the storms were more focused along the West,this time with this neck of the woods in the firing line there seems to be zero preparation.Of course we'll see the usual handwringing & get soundbites from councillors as once more the town is innundated with water.

    Starting to cloud over here already after blue skies earlier.


  • Registered Users Posts: 227 ✭✭diceyd


    how long is this likely to last?


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,884 ✭✭✭Tzardine




  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,576 ✭✭✭patneve2


    diceyd wrote: »
    how long is this likely to last?

    Winds will be strong starting this afternoon until tomorrow morning. Peak on E Coast will be sometime between 8 pm and 11 pm. Possible gusts I'd say of about 58 knots at Dublin airport and 65 knots on exposed coastal areas. Wouldn't be surprised if a location like Rosslare saw 65-68 kt gusts


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  • Registered Users Posts: 194 ✭✭daelight


    Strituck wrote: »
    I love this map. It looks like we are going to be bashed

    http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/1000hPa/orthographic=-2.35,54.25,1087

    Need to set to 'Sfc' otherwise looking at winds 1000hpa (330 ft) above sea level, which are a few km/h higher...


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,572 ✭✭✭Colser


    Wind definitely starting to pick up here sth side Cork city..gone from very calm to howling around the chimney...could this be the start of the big one ?:)


  • Registered Users Posts: 921 ✭✭✭MiNdGaM3


    Yep, those dark circles often appear between 30W and 10W on Atlantic lows, something I've been researching because I have the hunch they are connected to geomagnetic field variables. They are features on infra-red rather than visible images where you would see more low-level cloud disguising the features.

    Any chance of elaborating on this? The connection of the dry air patches to geomagnetic field variables.


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,059 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    A 1200 update from Met Eireann

    Dry in many areas at first with some bright or sunny spells. Heavy rain accompanied by strong to gale force Southeast winds will move in to Munster and South Leinster this afternoon and will spread countrywide this evening. Further flooding is likely to occur, especially in exposed coastal counties of the South and Southeast at times of the high tides. Some severe gusts are likely on exposed coasts also. Top temperatures will range 5 to 9 C.
    Tonight

    It will be extremely windy and blustery for much of tonight, with the winds moderating later. There will be further heavy rain or thundery showers also, with some further flooding in places, especially on the east coast during the early hours at the time of the high tides. Lowest temperatures will range 3 to 5 degrees.
    hr.gif

    Tomorrow

    Very showery tomorrow, Wednesday, with some heavy, prolonged and sometimes thundery showers at times. Some further local spot flooding is possible. Strong West to Northwest winds will affect the West and South of the country but winds will be lighter elsewhere. Top temperatures of 6 to 9 C.

    Outlook

    General : Cold, changeable weather, with occasional showers and frosty conditions at night. But late Friday, Friday night and Saturday will be extremely windy and very wet too, with a risk of some stormy weather developing.
    Cold, windy and showery for much of Wednesday night, with some hail at times. Lowest temperatures zero to plus 3 C., with some frost around dawn.
    Thursday will be a cool, breezy day with fresh and gusty southwest winds. Some bright or sunny spells, but some rain hail or sleet showers at times too. Top temperatures of just 4 to 7 C. Cold overnight with slack winds and just isolated wintry showers. Lowest temperatures -1 to plus 2 C., with a sharp frost and some icy patches.
    Friday will start off cool and bright, with sunny spells and just a few showers. Highs of 5 to 7 C., are expected. But present indications suggest that an extremely windy and very wet period of weather, will sweep in off the Atlantic late in the day and overnight. Saturday looks like being an extremely windy, blustery day, with further rain or showers too, heavy at times. Some severe gusts are possible and there is an ongoing risk of some flooding in this period.
    Sunday looks like being a cold, windy day, with occasional showers, a few possibly wintry.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,315 ✭✭✭sunbabe08


    college of commerce and school of music closing at 6 and half 6 this evening.


    wind also picking up now. it's very cold as well


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  • Registered Users Posts: 15,944 ✭✭✭✭Villain


    Oh dear I expect a LOT of flooding tonight and tomorrow

    viewimage.pbx?type=nmmhi;date=20140204;time=06;ext=00;file=nmmukprec24hr;sess=30d651243dd74c1e597549970b36d598


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,463 ✭✭✭Mr Cumulonimbus


    Here it comes.........

    292277.jpg


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    One bit of good news for Cork is that it looks like the strongest winds will have moved to the east/southeast coasts by the time of high tide in Cork city tonight.

    nmmuk-11-15-0.png?04-12


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,059 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    Although it wont be extremely windy in the west it will certainly be unusual to have winds that strong from the E/SE.


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,059 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    And winds now beginning to pick up in the south ,Sherkin and Kinsale with a gust of 39kts and Valentia 35kts.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,342 ✭✭✭red_bairn


    One bit of good news for Cork is that it looks like the strongest winds will have moved to the east/southeast coasts by the time of high tide in Cork city tonight.

    Are those 120 KM/h gusts over Greystones? :(


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,203 ✭✭✭Poochie05


    Wind just beginning to pick up here in Wexford and a very squally shower just passed by. Sun is back out now though.


  • Registered Users Posts: 33,709 ✭✭✭✭Cantona's Collars


    red_bairn wrote: »
    Are those 120 KM/h gusts over Greystones? :(

    Make sure not to leave the bins out.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,463 ✭✭✭Mr Cumulonimbus


    Continues to be a beautiful day here in Dundalk. One of the most cloudless days I've seen in weeks!


  • Registered Users Posts: 978 ✭✭✭earthwormjack


    Do you think this one will be not as bad as the last few storms we've had - for the southeast?


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  • Registered Users Posts: 9,268 ✭✭✭Macy0161


    Villain wrote: »
    Oh dear I expect a LOT of flooding tonight and tomorrow
    The focus is (understandably) on coastal flooding on the east coast, but with the land so saturated and the rainfall forecast, flooding must be an issue for any of the rivers and streams fed from the Wicklow Mountains? Actually in my back yard, water has been running off the grass into the paved area the last week or so during rainfall as it is.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    red_bairn wrote: »
    Are those 120 KM/h gusts over Greystones? :(

    100-110 km/h.

    A slight upgrade in winds from Met Eireann, the gale warning now mentions storm force winds on the coast. The 6am Sea Area forecast didn't have anything above Force 9.
    Gale Warning

    East to Southeast gales or strong gales will develop this afternoon and evening on all Irish Sea coasts and on the Irish Sea, with winds occasionally reaching storm force on Southern, Southeastern and Southwestern coasts.

    Issued at 12:00 on 4-Feb-2014


  • Registered Users Posts: 394 ✭✭MichealD


    zerks wrote: »
    I'm here in Enniscorthy,it's low tide and the river is running very high,it would take very little rain to flood the town,not a sandbag in sight.Over Xmas there were loads left around to be used but we escaped the worst of it as the storms were more focused along the West,this time with this neck of the woods in the firing line there seems to be zero preparation.Of course we'll see the usual handwringing & get soundbites from councillors as once more the town is innundated with water.

    Starting to cloud over here already after blue skies earlier.

    I'm also very familiar with Enniscorthy and would fear the worst as regards a flooding event. High tide in Wexford Harbour is at 22.02 with Enniscorthy being the furthest point of its tidal reach about 1 hour 20 later. I would expect Wensdesdays higher tide at 10.25 (11.45 approx. in Enniscorthy) to be of more concern as rainfall from upstream Slaney areas of Carlow/Wicklow reach town although the SE wind may not be as bad then. In general a flood event in Enniscorthy is maybe 12/18 hours behind major rainfall events upstream.

    Just in general terms while the council definitely have their responsibilities to protect premises a little bit of a more proactive response from business owners in flood prone areas wouldn't go amiss. I could probably name now the commercial premises that will be affected by flooding on both sides of the Slaney quays in Enniscorthy (barring a very serious flood event). If I owned one of these premises I wouldn't be waiting for the council to provide me with sandbags when I have 12/18 hours warning.

    Finally Enniscorthy is very lucky to have large, undeveloped flood plains both north and south of the town which allows countless million litres of water to inundate these areas with no threat to the public.

    And finally, finally http://www.wexfordharbour.info/ is a great resource for weather info in Wexford harbour area including wind/pressure/tides etc. if anyone is interested.


  • Registered Users Posts: 33,709 ✭✭✭✭Cantona's Collars


    Do you think this one will be not as bad as the last few storms we've had - for the southeast?

    It'll be worse,all the other big storms have been hitting the West moreso than us,this one is coming the other way so the SE & East will get the brunt of it.Have a look at the charts posted over the last couple of pages.


  • Registered Users Posts: 408 ✭✭RoisinD


    Good luck to everyone in the south and east, looks like we will have a little respite here in the west although we will get something. Please take care and don't take any chances like this eejit http://www.thesun.ie/irishsol/homepage/news/5421477/Floody-moron-Toddlers-close-call-on-reckless-day-out.html

    Remember no matter how well you think you know the sea always respect it.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,342 ✭✭✭red_bairn


    zerks wrote: »
    Make sure not to leave the bins out.

    They go out on Thursdays. =)

    My cats go out after dinner >:]


  • Registered Users Posts: 33,709 ✭✭✭✭Cantona's Collars


    MichealD wrote: »
    I'm also very familiar with Enniscorthy and would fear the worst as regards a flooding event. High tide in Wexford Harbour is at 22.02 with Enniscorthy being the furthest point of its tidal reach about 1 hour 20 later. I would expect Wensdesdays higher tide at 10.25 (11.45 approx. in Enniscorthy) to be of more concern as rainfall from upstream Slaney areas of Carlow/Wicklow reach town although the SE wind may not be as bad then. In general a flood event in Enniscorthy is maybe 12/18 hours behind major rainfall events upstream.

    Just in general terms while the council definitely have their responsibilities to protect premises a little bit of a more proactive response from business owners in flood prone areas wouldn't go amiss. I could probably name now the commercial premises that will be affected by flooding on both sides of the Slaney quays in Enniscorthy (barring a very serious flood event). If I owned one of these premises I wouldn't be waiting for the council to provide me with sandbags when I have 12/18 hours warning.

    Finally Enniscorthy is very lucky to have large, undeveloped flood plains both north and south of the town which allows countless million litres of water to inundate these areas with no threat to the public.

    And finally, finally http://www.wexfordharbour.info/ is a great resource for weather info in Wexford harbour area including wind/pressure/tides etc. if anyone is interested.

    The Council are monitoring how this develops and will take action,my point was that over Xmas they had everything in place but we got lucky.This time I doubt the town will escape as the river is so high already.
    You are right about the businesses being more pro-active,if I owned a shop along the river I'd have flood barriers installed and a stock of sandbags stored & ready to use.
    The first rain has started to fall here now.


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,059 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo




  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,567 ✭✭✭Red Pepper


    Continues to be a beautiful day here in Dundalk. One of the most cloudless days I've seen in weeks!

    Yeah it was a cracker morning here in Galway. Still nice too.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,576 ✭✭✭patneve2


    100-110 km/h.

    A slight upgrade in winds from Met Eireann, the gale warning now mentions storm force winds on the coast. The 6am Sea Area forecast didn't have anything above Force 9.

    There will probably be a 1 hr (max 2 hours) window of storm force winds in the most exposed areas. IMO strongest winds of the season in coastal SE and E this evening/early tonight.


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