Looks like we will be having a fairly dry week to come for many, something we haven't seen in a long time. Temperatures also lifting up and what could be the final taste of late summer weather before Autumn really gets going.
This is the driest ensemble I've seen since probably May with very little in the way of rain over the next week. Western and north-western areas will be more unsettled at times due to a lingering band of rain moving very slowly from the west towards south-western Scotland and the western isles.
An area of high pressure will move across England and Wales from tomorrow with a warm push of south-westerly winds across Ireland and a trailing band of rain across the west and north-west.
Temperatures tomorrow generally high teens with mid teens along the west coast with rain/drizzle at times. 20 to 22C is possible across some eastern and southern areas especially if there are sunny spells, but I think tomorrow will see a good deal of cloud across most of the country.
Monday will be a cloudy day across the country with rain across the western half of the country but it doesn't look too heavy, dryer across the east and south and temperatures high teens to low 20s in eastern areas and low to mid teens across the wetter areas.
Tuesday will be similar to Monday, dry across the east and south but mostly cloudy and some patchy rain at times across the west and north.
Tuesday will be warmer day generally with high teens or low twenties.
Wednesday again mostly cloudy but there could be some sunny spells as well as patchy rain at times across the west, temperatures generally 16 to 20C.
From Thursday looks a bit more uncertain, there is the possibility of low pressure moving up from the Bay of Biscay and this could produce some fairly heavy showers particularly in western areas. Remaining dry across the east and still fairly mild at this stage but temperatures lowering as winds become more easterly.
By Thursday temperatures will be mid teens across a good part of the country but high teens still possible across the south and south-east.
Friday is quite similar but there could be another trailing band of rain across the west and north
After Friday ECM wants to bring in another area of high pressure for next weekend and temperatures may warm up again slightly, but we are getting into the 3rd week of September at this stage so proper warmth will begin to struggle as the sun begins moving into the southern hemisphere.
The GFS has us more unsettled from next Friday with the low pressure over the Bay of biscay anchoring over us for next weekend, if this happens we could be quite unsettled and cool at times.
All in all this week looks relatively dry across most eastern and southern areas and very mild for a time with cooler conditions from next Wednesday. It's all up in the air from Thursday with disagreement in the models for next weekend. This looks like a very good week to get gardening done, particularly across the east and south. The west and north-west will have a good deal of cloud and patchy rain at times from those trailing bands of rain and cloud. Unfortunately it doesn't look like we will be seeing much in the way of sunshine but if your lucky enough to get some decent sunny spells it could be rather warm, especially Monday to Wednesday.