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Charts ( up to T120 ) Winter / Spring / Summer 2019 ** READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

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Comments

  • #152
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users Posts: 13,498 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Not sure if anybody noticed (I only seen now) that the HIRLAM model has now ceased operation.

    https://www.met.ie/end-of-hirlam-model

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/

    Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1



  • #153
    sunbeam
    Registered Users Posts: 1,802 ✭✭✭sunbeam


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    Not sure if anybody noticed (I only seen now) that the HIRLAM model has now ceased operation.

    There seems to be an up to date run of the Hirlam 0.1° 18z on Meteociel-or is this a completely different model?


  • #154
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,803 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Huge amount of rain forecast for the UK this week with warnings already in place for the middle of the week.

    Need to keep an eye on the E and NE this week, could be seeing warnings also especially Weds/ Thurs and into Fri in the E with slow moving frontal rain.

    Poor temps under the cloud.

    Another weather system possible coming into the SW on Fri.

    https://twitter.com/metoffice/status/1137669559291392001

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  • #155
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,803 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Coming in to the more reliable time frame and models showing some heavy rain next Sunday into Monday, specifics will firm up over the coming days but there is suggestion of some heavy falls, models differing on locations a bit at this stage. Looks mild and humid on Sunday in that SE / E 'ly flow. Will be monitoring the thunderstorm potential along with many others no doubt. High Theta E readings given the source. Monday looking warm, into the 20's in parts after potentially a lot of rain so probably feeling warm with the humidity.

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  • #156
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,803 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Charts all in fair agreement of high rainfall accumulations along S coastal counties. Could be heavy locally also where thunderstorms break out.

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  • #157
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,803 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Thurs looking hot in the Western half of the country, Add a bit of Foehn effect from Se'lys and perhaps see local temps touching 30C ?

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  • #158
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭[Deleted User]


    France for Thursday afternoon. 42C indicated for one area in the south-central region. Sizzling........


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  • #159
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,699 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    met eireann have lowered their temperature expectations for Thursday and Friday. Yesterday they were going with 28C, today on RTE they were mentioning highs of 25 or 26C for Thursday and Friday. Still I'll take it, once we get a few days over 20C this week i'll be happy.


  • #160
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users Posts: 18,096 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Gonzo wrote: »
    met eireann have lowered their temperature expectations for Thursday and Friday. Yesterday they were going with 28C, today on RTE they were mentioning highs of 25 or 26C for Thursday and Friday. Still I'll take it, once we get a few days over 20C this week i'll be happy.

    From the website Thursday is still 27°c as it was yesterday, Friday been lowered from 28 to 26.


  • #161
    eon1208
    Registered Users Posts: 282 ✭✭eon1208


    Can anyone firm up on precipitation between now and Sunday. Are these thundershowers a widespread certainty. It mentions rain Saturday. Is this weekend not likely to be dry. Any pointers at all be appreciated.


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  • #162
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,699 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    eon1208 wrote: »
    Can anyone firm up on precipitation between now and Sunday. Are these thundershowers a widespread certainty. It mentions rain Saturday. Is this weekend not likely to be dry. Any pointers at all be appreciated.

    Saturday will see fresher air moving in and a chance of rain or showers. Sunday will be back to average conditions.

    Looks mostly dry Wednesday to Friday, those should be the sunnier and warmer days.

    Thunderstorms will be very hit and miss with many places avoiding them altogether. Still can't rule out a few showers today and tomorrow.


  • #163
    Harry Palmr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 40,061 ✭✭✭✭Harry Palmr


    I wouldn't take any detail Met Eireann say too seriously, they contradict themselves in the space of a few paragraphs on many bulletins.


  • #164
    eon1208
    Registered Users Posts: 282 ✭✭eon1208


    What's the updated view on Saturday. Any update on yesterday. Could the the dry spell extend out even 1 day. Appreciate your wisdom.


  • #165
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,699 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    eon1208 wrote: »
    What's the updated view on Saturday. Any update on yesterday. Could the the dry spell extend out even 1 day. Appreciate your wisdom.

    Saturday is the breakdown of the warm snap, Met Eireann are forecasting heavy rain for Saturday morning clearing with fresher conditions following by the afternoon. Still a bit unclear with the timing as it's 3 days away.


  • #166
    klaaaz
    Registered Users Posts: 1,628 ✭✭✭klaaaz


    Rain for Saturday June 29th crossing West to East into Sunday according to the ECM

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  • #167
    klaaaz
    Registered Users Posts: 1,628 ✭✭✭klaaaz


    For sun worshippers, this is the cloud cover looking ahead from tomorrow Wednesday June 26th till Saturday June 29th. Thursday looks best for clear skies though it's suppose to get warmer from then on.

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  • #168
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,803 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Warm days and nights coming up, I see Kerry 18C at 02.00 Fri.


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  • #169
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,803 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Next Fri is interesting with the ECM showing LP systems drawing up a warm moisture laden air mass towards Ireland /UK under an active Jet . Todays Fax chart showing the frontal triple point over Ireland and some models showing very heavy rainfall. This set up could be quite convective. Of course this could change somewhat but worth keeping an eye on .

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  • #170
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,803 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Haven't seen windy weather for some time. Sun / Mon has LP systems moving up along the W coast . Sunday into Monday could be very wet especially in Atlantic coastal counties. Feeling warm and humid probably getting up to the low 20's.

    ECM showing a lot of rain to fall between now and Monday night.


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  • #171
    Storm 10
    Registered Users Posts: 5,871 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    Gerry mentioned on the forecast at 7pm that there was a system moving in Sunday and they would say more about it closer to the weekend , could it possibly be turning stormy


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  • #172
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,803 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    At the moment strongest winds staying well off shore and windiest up along Atlantic coasts but a bit of a difference in timing between the models.

    With the steering Jet so close to the systems on Monday it could lead to higher winds or could nudge them further out. Will see, bit off yet.





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  • #173
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,803 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    ECM showing it very wet in parts on Sunday , but not showing the rain for Monday that was shown in earlier runs.

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  • #174
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,803 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    ECM 12Z has big Temperatures showing up start of next week .

    Mon up to around 27C
    Tues up to around 26C

    Showing back to low 20's Weds and Thurs.

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  • #175
    squarecircles
    Registered Users Posts: 1,981 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    Jean Byrne alluded to mid to high twenties next week


    pig muck all along Atantic coasts however, so id imagined alot of low cloud,drizzle,intermitent outbreaks of rain,impingements of sea fog,and severely suppressed anaemic temperatures,perpetual sheets of grey white low stratus cloud in a cool damp southwesterly,low light that makes everything look grey or black and dark evenings.



    could be a very warm pleasant summery week the further away from the atlantic coast you are.


  • #176
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,803 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Around next Thurs the models showing a LP system moving up from the S and in the main has the center staying off the W coast and could be windy especially in the S and E of the country. Big draw of warm humid air which could be quite wet and bring possible thunderstorms. Will see over the coming days how it takes shape.

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  • #177
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,803 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    LP staying well to our S on Monday moving in over the UK into Tues and giving rainfall warnings there. Rainfall in the S and later SE E on Monday and again Eastern side of the country on Tues. Currently not showing huge amounts but maybe the S getting a good drop on Monday and locally heavy thundery showers possible in the SE, E and NE on Tues. Any strong winds way to our S more effecting the S of the UK for a time.



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  • #178
    Mortelaro
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,431 ✭✭✭Mortelaro


    That would be very welcome in east rain starved Wicklow
    Here's the UK met office tweet,they've also an early yellow out on widespread thunderstorms from that system which will be impacting our east at the same time

    https://twitter.com/metoffice/status/1155456023735537664?s=19


  • #179
    Donegal Storm
    Registered Users Posts: 2,023 ✭✭✭Donegal Storm


    I see meteociel now have the UK met office EURO4 model available with a decent amount of parameters, should be a nice addition to hi-res model watching

    http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/euro4.php?map=10

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  • #180
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,803 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Good to have the Euro 4 in the suite to compare with the others in the same map style.

    Models differing quite a bit this evening with the amount of rain to fall over the coming days. WRF showing fairly high totals up to Tuesday in the S, SE, E and parts of the Central counties. Others showing much less. Will see what the ECM has in the morning.


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  • #181
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,803 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Some of the current predicted rainfall totals until around late Tues night. 🌧🌧🌧🌧🌩 .

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This discussion has been closed.
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