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Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 29 June, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 29 June to 5 July, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average about 2 deg below normal (which is near 20 C by day, and 10 C at night).
    -- Rainfall will average slightly above normal but will be quite frequent making it seem perhaps wetter than average.
    -- Sunshine will be quite infrequent compared to the normal 5 to 6 hours a day; possibly about half of that.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will see a bit of improvement as the winds die down gradually, and showers become increasingly confined to narrower bands and lighter falls of 3 to 6 mm. It won't get much warmer however with limited amounts of sunshine except possibly in parts of the inland south. Highs will be around 16 or 17 C.

    TONIGHT will be partly to mostly cloudy with a few showers and lows near 8 C.

    TUESDAY will see some rather persistent light rain in the south, and scattered showers elsewhere, staying rather cool with highs 15 to 17 C.

    WEDNESDAY will begin with a slight increase in the winds again, to moderate westerly, and fairly widespread light rain, then it will gradually begin to clear up later in the day, with lows near 8 C and highs near 16 C.

    THURSDAY could be slightly warmer in a narrow gap between weather systems, and there could be some sunny breaks as a result, before increasing cloud returns by afternoon and evening. Lows near 7 C and highs near 19 C.

    FRIDAY will be windy and wet with potential for 10-20 mm of rain, moderate southwest to west winds, and highs around 17 C.

    The unsettled trend will slowly fade out from next weekend on, with better conditions likely to materialize around the first half of the following week, when highs could creep up towards the low 20s. This won't turn into any prolonged dry spell or heat wave but at least the weather should be somewhat closer to average July conditions by about the 10th to 15th of July.

    My local weather included a bit of everything including some passing showers and a thunderstorm, and brief sunny breaks, with highs only reaching about 16 C. It is now slowly clearing as the disturbance has moved well south of the border into Idaho, Oregon, Utah and Wyoming where some heavy rain and thunderstorms are occurring. This storm will move out into the plains states bringing a high risk of severe storms later in the week.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Tuesday, 30 June, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 30 June to 6 July 2020

    -- Temperatures will average near normal values.
    -- Rainfall will average near normal in the northwest and inland south, a bit below normal in the midlands.
    -- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal.


    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be rather cloudy in most areas, with brief sunny intervals and passing showers of light rain although there may be rumbles of thunder at times. Rainfalls generally 3-5 mm at most, except nearer 10 mm in Donegal. Highs around 15 C north to 17 C south.

    TONIGHT will see misty and mostly cloudy conditions with drizzle at times, lows near 8 C.

    WEDNESDAY will be cloudy with showers, becoming heavier inland south by afternoon with chance of a thunderstorm there. Highs around 18 C.

    THURSDAY will see some sunny breaks despite a considerable amount of remnant cloud, but longer dry intervals and somewhat warmer at 19 C.

    FRIDAY will be windy and wet for the first half of the day, rain tapering to showers then clearing overnight. Highs around 17 C.

    SATURDAY is now looking quite warm as a low forms to the northwest of Ireland and pulls in some subtropical air, it may remain rather cloudy especially in central and northern counties which could hold temperatures to the low 20s but if any sun breaks through highs in the south could reach 24 C.

    SUNDAY will be back to blustery and showery conditions again with falling temperatures, highs near 17 C.

    The OUTLOOK for the following week is reasonably good with the weather not likely to be worse than average and possibly a bit better for some areas, highs in the vicinity of 20 C much of the time and only small amounts of rain expected.

    My local weather on Monday was sunny with cloudy intervals and rather warm again with highs back to 24 C after a one-day cool spell.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 1st of July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 1 to 7 July 2020

    -- Temperatures will average near normal values.
    -- Rainfall will be slightly above normal in many parts, except for the southeast.
    -- Sunshine will be 50 to 75 per cent of normal. The cloudy trend will improve slowly though.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be mostly cloudy with outbreaks of showers, one or two possibly rather heavy with thunder, that being most likely in the midlands and inland south. Rainfalls will be quite variable, between 5 and 15 mm for most places but possibly outside that range in a few. Rather cool again with highs 15 to 17 C.

    TONIGHT will be misty or foggy at times, with some partial clearing towards morning, lows near 9 C.

    THURSDAY will see a few brighter intervals developing and rain will become isolated to a few parts of the north mainly, with temperatures improving to around 19 C.

    FRIDAY will be quite wet to start, as 10-15 mm rain is expected in the late overnight and morning hours. This will slowly fragment to showers and a few brighter intervals will follow. Highs 15 to 17 C. Rather breezy to windy especially near Atlantic coasts, winds southwest to west 40 to 60 km/hr.

    SATURDAY will turn warmer especially south of a Galway to Dublin line, where any mid-day sunshine could boost temperatures to 20-23 C. Further north it's likely to stay overcast with occasional rain in the far north, and drizzle over higher terrain, with humid highs near 18 C. Showers and thunderstorms will break out by evening as a cold front arrives. Some strong winds are likely to develop ahead of this front near south and west coasts.

    SUNDAY will be blustery, rather cool and showery with highs near 17 C, westerly winds 50 to 80 km/hr. It will begin to clear by evening.

    MONDAY and TUESDAY are looking a bit better with sunny intervals and highs near average for July, around 20 C.

    This improved spell may slowly back off to something similar to the current pattern but that guidance is not entirely carved in stone and the trend may end up going in a better direction eventually. I'm expecting at least one fairly extended warm spell later this summer, the chances are probably best in late July and the first half of August.

    My local weather on Tuesday brought another round of thunderstorms and some of these were quite noisy although not much rain fell (about 5-10 mm perhaps). It was partly the optics of the clouds off to our north but around 1030 local time the sky was unusually black ahead of the first of these storms. Nothing would surprise us in 2020 I suppose.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 2 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 2 to 8 July, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average near normal to 1.0 deg above normal.
    -- Rainfall will average close to normal, except perhaps as low as 75% in the southeast.
    -- Sunshine will average 75% of normal, thanks to an improving trend after the weekend.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will have some hazy sunshine at times, with patchy low cloud near coasts and over some hills, also generally over northern counties most of the day. Cloud will tend to increase dimming any sunshine during the afternoon. It will be a bit warmer than recent days with highs of 19 or 20 C possible.

    TONIGHT will see rain developing, 10-15 mm likely by morning, in a steady downpour around and after midnight. Lows will fall to the 12-14 C range.

    FRIDAY will be humid with the rain slowly tapering to showers, in a moderate southwest wind 40-60 km/hr. Highs will reach 17 C.

    SATURDAY will bring a push of warm and moist air into the south, but that may not mix down to the surface in some central and most northern districts where it will remain overcast with light rain at times, and around 17 C. Where the clouds do break at times in the inland south and east, highs could reach 21 or 22 C. Winds will gradually increase to rather strong southwesterlies at 50 to 80 km/hr. Saturday night could prove rather stormy with an active cold front arriving, gusty winds and possible brief thunderstorms are in the mix especially for central counties during the evening.

    SUNDAY will turn considerably fresher and (where it warmed up on Saturday) cooler, with highs near 17 C after a mild overnight low of 14 C. Winds will be southwest to west 50 to 80 km/hr, and some further showers are likely but also some sunny breaks, probably rather misty over northern hills at times.

    MONDAY will be a relatively pleasant day with sunny intervals, isolated showers possible, and highs near 20 C.

    TUESDAY will also be rather sunny with highs 20 to 22 C.

    The OUTLOOK for later next week is more unsettled with rain due in around Wednesday and again around Friday in the current model guidance. Temperatures will stay fairly warm, in the 19-23 C range from north to south.

    My local weather on Wednesday was overcast with occasional rain and highs near 17 C. There is almost no forest fire potential in most of the region, the one good thing we can say about recent weather trends here. The Fraser River has not retreated from its spring flood levels (achieved at the usual time, early June) as heavy rain replaces the snow melt, and the river remains high if not totally in flood all the way from central B.C. to the lower Fraser valley near the coast. However, there are no severe floods in progress, just unusually high water making it difficult for the salmon to get upstream to spawning grounds. The ones that make it will be muscular anyway.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 3 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 3 to 9 July 2020

    -- Temperatures will average near normal to 1.0 deg above normal.
    -- Rainfall will average close to normal, except perhaps as low as 75% in the southeast.
    -- Sunshine will average 75% of normal, thanks to an improving trend after the weekend.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be humid with patchy light rain becoming more showery, in a moderate southwest wind 40-60 km/hr. Highs will reach 17 C. Some afternoon and evening sunny breaks possible in parts of the southwest.

    TONIGHT will be mostly cloudy and muggy with lows falling to about 12 C. Some drizzle or mist will develop across parts of the northwest, spreading across Ulster in the early morning hours.

    SATURDAY will bring a push of warm and moist air into the south, but that may not mix down to the surface in some central and most northern districts where it will remain overcast with light rain at times, and around 17 C. Where the clouds do break at times in the inland south and east, highs could reach 21 or 22 C. Winds will gradually increase to rather strong southwesterlies at 50 to 80 km/hr. Saturday night could prove rather stormy with an active cold front arriving, gusty winds and possible brief thunderstorms are in the mix especially for central counties during the evening. The timing for this front is approximately 5 p.m. for Connacht to 8 p.m. Dublin. It may become squally with its passage.

    SUNDAY will turn considerably fresher and (where it warmed up on Saturday) cooler, with highs near 17 C after a mild overnight low of 14 C. Winds will be southwest to west 50 to 80 km/hr, and some further showers are likely but also some sunny breaks, probably rather misty over northern hills at times.

    MONDAY will be a relatively pleasant day with sunny intervals, isolated showers possible, and highs near 20 C.

    TUESDAY will also be rather sunny with highs 20 to 22 C.

    WEDNESDAY will turn partly to mostly cloudy with isolated showers and highs near 20 C.

    There is a mixed set of guidance maps beyond mid-week, it may turn just a couple of degrees cooler for the end of the week before warming back up over the weekend of 11th-12th. That warm spell could last for a while, but in any case it should produce at least a few days in the 23-26 C range.

    My local weather was mostly cloudy with passing sprinkles of light rain, not much accumulation, but the cloud kept temperatures in the mid-teens. We are also looking at a warming trend here for mid-July (and could use one).


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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 4 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS will return in a day or two, the main item on the agenda is a developing strong cold frontal passage timed for about 5 p.m. in Connacht to 8 p.m. in Leinster, with a significant interval of very strong winds expected to set in with the frontal passage, and continue for about twelve hours into mid-day Sunday.

    TODAY will start out rather cloudy but the sun may manage to break through for longer intervals by late morning and early afternoon. This will push temperatures up into the low 20s in parts of the inland south and east, with high humidity and humidex readings (it may feel closer to 25 C). Winds will begin to pick up in advance of the cold front and could reach 40 to 70 km/hr by afternoon across much of the country. The north will remain cloudy and somewhat cooler (around 18 C) with occasional drizzle or light rain.

    THIS EVENING and OVERNIGHT strong westerly winds will develop, and there may be a few isolated thunderstorms although the actual cold front may be dry in many parts. A secondary cold front will develop timed for about midnight to 0300h and this may be more active. Expect temperatures to remain fairly high between the fronts, then drop sharply with the passage of the secondary. This may be accompanied by wind gusts of 90 to 120 km/hr and lead to some damage to trees and unsecured loose objects. These winds will be strongest in a path from about Westport to Mullingar to Dublin and some distance on either side, and may not be as strong near the south coast or in some parts of north Ulster although strong winds will arrive there later. Temperatures will drop to about 12 C by morning. Some gusty thunderstorms could produce hail and severe wind gusts.

    SUNDAY will continue very windy (especially for July) with westerlies 70 to 110 km/hr and possible locally higher and damaging gusts. There may be some active bands of showers and thunderstorms with sunny breaks in between those. Temperatures will remain steady in the 14 to 16 C range but it will feel quite chilly due to the strong winds. Higher altitude hiking or marine excursions could be unusually hazardous for a summer weekend and caution is advised.

    MONDAY will be a much more settled day with the strong winds dying down during the early morning hours and relative calm prevailing with sunny intervals and isolated showers, highs near 20 C.

    The outlook beyond Monday calls for rather bland weather conditions in general, some rain may hit parts of the north by Tuesday afternoon but it could avoid the south, and highs again near 20 C. By mid-week it will become more settled again for a time, and weather variations for the rest of the outlook period look fairly tame compared to what's on the way in this evening. I will probably post an update around 5-6 p.m. on developments, also I would turn to the forum threads for further discussions.

    My local weather was hazy and partly cloudy with a warmish high around 24 C and southwest winds that became rather gusty especially over hilly areas. It has turned quite hot in eastern regions of North America, Toronto for example has hit 36 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    UPDATE _ Sat 4 July 2020 __ 5:45 p.m.
    ____________________________________

    No significant change to my thinking about this, I still think it requires an alert and will produce some scattered reports of strong wind gusts and thunderstorms over the period 8 p.m. this evening to 4 p.m. Sunday, with Connacht, Ulster and central Leinster more at risk but only by a slight differential compared to the inland south. The cold front is presently approaching the west coast and shows some signs of generating a few thunderstorm cells. However the main potential for squally conditions will come in the unstable westerly flow that sets in overnight and lasts through much of Sunday. Will give the same advice as earlier, including keeping an eye on discussion in the forum threads, partly because I am heading off on a day trip here (at 0945 local time) and won't be in touch again until well after midnight.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 5 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 5 to 11 July

    -- Temperatures will average near normal values.
    -- Rainfall will average about 50 per cent of normal, trending to 75 per cent in the north.
    -- Sunshine will average close to normal which is an improvement over the past three weeks.


    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be a blustery and changeable day with some sunny intervals (quite frequent in the south), and passing showers, some of which may become thundery with hail and strong wind gusts. Away from the strongest gusts of these storm cells, quite windy in general with westerly winds 50 to 80 km/hr. Local storms and more exposed terrain could see gusts to 110 km/hr. Hail up to 2 cm in diameter is possible especially around mid-day in parts of Connacht, Ulster and north/west Leinster. One or two cells could show up in Munster also. Less likely locations for storms would include the south coast, southeast and east coasts. Highs around 16 or 17 C, feeling quite chilly in the wind, but balanced to some extent by strong sunshine at times.

    TONIGHT will see a gradual reduction in the strong winds as they shift to a northwest direction 30 to 50 km/hr. Showers will become widely separated and infrequent with some clearing towards morning. Anyone with clear skies around midnight will find the full moon very close in the sky to Jupiter (Saturn off to their left). Lows around 8 C.

    MONDAY will be a much more settled day with a mixture of cloud and sun, isolated showers, and considerably less windy conditions. Highs near 20 C.

    TUESDAY a weak disturbance will track across the north bringing 5-10 mm of rain to Ulster and some parts of north Connacht and north Leinster. It may remain dry on the south coast with smaller amounts in between. Skies will be mostly cloudy in the north and partly cloudy in the south with westerly breezes 30 to 50 km/hr veering northwest by late in the day. Lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C north, 19 C south.

    WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with another interval of rain likely in the north by evening, moderate southwest winds, lows near 10 C and highs near 19 C.

    THURSDAY will be partly cloudy with a few showers, lows near 7 C and highs near 18 C.

    The weather looks to be into an improving trend after that with showers around for a while on Friday, clearing later, then prospects for a sunny weekend with highs in the low 20s, and perhaps even a touch warmer into the following week.

    My local weather on Saturday was partly cloudy with a high near 24 C. I have clear skies at the moment and can see the full moon off to the right of Jupiter, by tonight it should have moved much closer in the sky (if in reality, then we would not see our moon at all as it's smaller than three moons of Jupiter). The moon was timed at full around 0545h IST (today's date). But it will look full again tonight.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 6 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 6 to 12 July, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average about 1 to 1.5 deg above normal values.
    -- Rainfall will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal with the higher values in Ulster and Connacht.
    -- Sunshine will struggle up to near normal finally.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY ... Although considerable cloud remains in lower levels across central, eastern and northern counties, a gradual clearing trend will develop and some sunny intervals are likely in most places, perhaps leading to about an equal measure of cloud and sun in most places. Pleasantly mild and not nearly as windy, highs near 20 C.

    TONIGHT ... Overcast with rain spreading into most of the north and some central counties, probably remaining mostly dry in Munster (except Clare) and south Leinster. Lows near 12 C.

    TUESDAY ... Most areas will be overcast with light rain or showers, and moderate westerly winds. The south coast may see brighter intervals and some occasional sunshine with the track of the precipitation more towards Wales and southern Britain than Ireland's south coast. Highs therefore close to 20 C again in the south but 16 to 18 C further north. About 5-10 mm rain could fall in some places but only briefly heavy showers embedded in a generally light rainfall system.

    WEDNESDAY ... After a short break between systems, a second weak disturbance will follow the Tuesday low and produce a similar outcome for later Wednesday into early Thursday morning. Once again, lows near 12 C and highs in the 16 to 20 C range.

    THURSDAY ... Breezy and showery, feeling rather cool in a moderate west to northwest wind. Lows near 9 C and highs near 17 C.

    FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy, rather cool, lows near 7 C and highs near 18 C.

    The weekend outlook is promising with sunshine and highs into the lower to mid 20s.

    That warm spell could hang on for a while as winds turn more easterly for a time, but some moisture will be trying to move in from France when that sets up, a similar situation in June saw much of the rain missing all but Kerry's outer peninsulas. This one may catch a bit more of the south next week but even so the weather should remain fairly warm and settled most of the time.

    My local weather on Sunday was partly cloudy and pleasant with highs around 22 C. We seem to be getting a bit of smoke from distant fires in the southwestern U.S. adding a bit of haze. It remains very warm in eastern regions of North America.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Tuesday, 7 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 7 to 13 July, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average near normal values.
    -- Rainfall will be near normal in some central counties, a bit below normal in parts of the north, to only 25% of normal near the south coast. Most of this rain will come today and tomorrow, so a dry trend in general for all regions after that.
    -- Sunshine will be 25% above normal values thanks to lots of sunshine by Friday, this weekend and following Monday.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will bring persistent rain across the central counties with a few heavier bursts likely, 15 to 25 mm amounts in a zone from Galway to Dublin. It will not rain as hard in the north but will also be persistent there, 5 to 10 mm. Some parts of the south coast will have only a few intervals of drizzle with some brighter intervals possible. Highs will reach 18 C in the south, 14 to 16 C elsewhere.

    TONIGHT will be overcast with light rain or drizzle ending for a while, lows near 11 C.

    WEDNESDAY will see a resumption of the light rain, this time more south-central for the track, and not as heavy in general, so that some parts of the north may remain dry although mostly cloudy. Highs near 16 C.

    THURSDAY will bring a rather cool northwest breeze and gradual clearing with just a few isolated showers left over, with lows near 7 C and highs near 16 C.

    FRIDAY will also be cool and dry, with at least equal mixtures of cloud and sunshine, isolated showers for parts of the north, and lows 5 to 8 C, highs 16 to 18 C.

    The WEEKEND is looking quite good with settled conditions under high pressure, quite a bit of sunshine is likely with banks of higher cloud perhaps dimming that sunshine in the west and north at times. Lows 6 to 9 C and highs 19 to 22 C.

    The OUTLOOK for the following week is rather warm compared to recent days, highs may reach 22 to 25 C at times, and staying mainly dry despite more cloud and isolated showers. Eventually this rather warm interval will give way to more persistent cloud and rain perhaps by the end of the week (around the 17th to 19th by then).

    My local weather was sunny with a few clouds, and pleasantly warm at around 25 C.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 8 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 8 to 14 July, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average about 1 deg above normal values.
    -- Rainfall will average about 50 to 75% of normal now that we've had yesterday's amounts. Most of this is expected today plus a little more around Monday.
    -- Sunshine will average near normal values.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be another rather wet day in the south-central counties about as far north as Mayo to Louth, but Ulster will be drier although with some light showers at times. Amounts will be 15-25 mm across south central counties, heaviest from about Clare to Carlow and Wexford this time around. Rather cool with the rain falling, highs only about 15 or 16 C. It could be slightly warmer anywhere to the north where the sun does manage to break through. This is not a very windy frontal system but some moderate northwest winds will develop by evening on Atlantic coasts.

    TONIGHT will see the rain moving gradually away to the east with a partial clearing trend, moderate northwest winds and lows 7 to 9 C.

    THURSDAY will be a bright and rather breezy day with passing showers, one or two could develop some hail or thunder, but amounts mainly in the 3 to 7 mm range. Highs 14 to 17 C from north to south.

    FRIDAY will be a more settled day, still with some chance of isolated showers, but equal mixtures of cloud and sunshine are likely, lows near 7 C and highs near 19 C.

    SATURDAY should be mostly sunny with lows 6 to 9 C and highs 18 to 21 C.

    SUNDAY will be cloudy in parts of the west and north where some light rain is possible, along with moderate south to southwest breezes. The east and south should hold dry for most of the day with some sunny intervals, lows near 9 and highs near 20 C.

    MONDAY will bring a few showers and highs around 18 C.

    TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY are looking fairly dry with some chance of rain in the far north mainly, and breezy with highs around 19 or 20 C.

    Later next week it could warm up further for a few days, before turning quite unsettled towards the weekend of the 18th-19th and beyond.

    My local weather was overcast with showers and thunderstorms passing by, highs around 19 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 9 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS all remain close to average values, rainfall may be a bit below normal in the south.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be partly to mostly cloudy after a few brighter intervals this morning. A few showers will develop and some will become heavy this afternoon in Leinster. Moderate northwest winds and feeling rather cool, highs 14 to 17 C.

    TONIGHT will have a few residual showers but a slow clearing trend and it will be quite chilly for this time of year with lows 6 to 9 C.

    FRIDAY will be partly cloudy with showers developing more over the north and west of the country, leaving some parts of the south and east dry. Highs will be around 16 C.

    SATURDAY is looking dry and at least partly sunny, although high cloud layers could dim the sun at times in the west and north. Morning lows quite chilly at 4 to 7 C, afternoon highs pleasant, 18 to 21 C.

    SUNDAY will become overcast with occasional rain in the west and north. This looks likely to hold off all day for most of the south and east, arriving finally overnight. Lows near 8 C and highs near 19 C.

    MONDAY will be rather wet in some places as a weak front stalls and develops a wave over the south, leading to some downpours in central and east Munster moving towards inland central Leinster. About 15 mm of rain is possible with this feature. Other parts of the country will only get small amounts of rain. Lows near 12 C and highs around 17 C.

    From Tuesday to about Friday of next week, relatively dry and pleasant weather expected with temperatures up slightly from this week, into the 19 to 23 C range. That will end with a more unsettled pattern by weekend of the 18th and 19th, when showers and temperatures near 18 C can be expected according to current indications. Beyond that it begins to look as though unsettled weather may yield to much warmer weather near the end of the month.

    My local weather on Wednesday was cloudy with a few sunny breaks, and the high was around 24 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 10 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 10 to 16 July, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average slightly below normal (about 0.5 to 1.5 deg).
    -- Rainfall will average 40 to 70 per cent of normal.
    -- Sunshine will average near normal or in some areas about 25 per cent below normal values.


    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be partly cloudy across the south and central counties, mostly overcast in the north with frequent light showers there. Only isolated showers are likely further south. Cool with moderate northwest breezes, highs about 15 in the north to 17 C in the south.

    TONIGHT will see a clearing trend and it could be unusually chilly for July, lows of 3 to 7 C are possible.

    SATURDAY will be generally dry, with some sunny spells across the south and east, rather cloudy to the west and north. Highs 16 to 20 C in light winds.

    SUNDAY will be overcast for most areas, best chance for any sunshine in the southeast, as rain slowly advances into the western, central and northern regions, 3 to 7 mm expected there. The light rain should hold off until evening and overnight hours for the east and southeast. Lows 10 to 13 C and highs 15 to 18 C.

    MONDAY will be partly cloudy with showers or longer intervals of rain, lows near 10 C and highs near 17 C.

    TUESDAY will be overcast with a few intervals of light rain or drizzle, lows near 12 C and highs near 17 C.

    WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY of next week will turn somewhat warmer, with dry intervals and generally light rainfall totals, with highs near or slightly above 20 C.

    The pattern beyond that is somewhat undefined as some guidance seems to be hinting at a steady warming trend while other recent maps have gone in the other direction. Warmer late in the month has been a theme in the last few months.

    My local weather was partly to mostly cloudy and dry to about 4 p.m., with a high near 24 C, then light rain moved in from a weak upper level low moving by to our north. It was good golfing weather anyway.

    Apparently there's quite a bright comet visible in the pre-dawn skies, I may have seen it the other day and thought it was Venus making its first appearance as a morning star (which is going to happen soon), only heard about the comet today. But the best part is that it should appear in the evening skies later this month after it passes near the Sun on its orbit a few days from now (it will be briefly invisible from the earth at that point). If I can get some more precise info on this, in time for any clear spells of weather later in July, I will post some times and directions (probably quite close to where the Sun recently set). For tonight, it should remain an early morning object if it hasn't moved too close to the Sun yet, maybe check with the astronomy forum. I will post an update if I can get some reliable info on where to look and any possible confusion with identification of comet and Venus.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 11 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    Trends for the next week will be fairly dry although enough rain should fall in western and northern counties to reach about half of the weekly normal; some other parts of the country may remain essentially dry. Temperatures will be near normal after a cool start and warmer finish to the coming week, and sunshine should be reasonably close to the July normal values too, perhaps a bit below in the west however.

    It was a cool start to the day with 4 degrees reported from Claremorris and Mountdillon earlier (more exact values will be known later), but by the time most people are out and about, it will be 10 to 12 degrees and slowly climbing towards a high of about 19 or 20 C in areas that remain or become sunny, although closer to 17 in parts of Ulster and north Connacht where cloud may be more prevalent.

    Tonight and Sunday will see more cloud around in general, although there could still be some brighter intervals in Leinster and east Munster allowing highs to reach 19 or 20 C after overnight lows near 12 C. Light rain will move into some parts of the west and north overnight and on Sunday, 3 to 7 mm can be expected in a few places.

    Monday will see another weak frontal system moving through and producing another rainfall of similar amounts, this time more widespread however. Highs will be around 17 or 18 C.

    Tuesday should be the last of the cloudy and unsettled days as high pressure begins to build up to the west of Ireland, and the cloud on Tuesday may be broken to allow a few sunny intervals, with just a few light showers mostly in the morning. Highs will be around 19 C.

    The rest of the week is looking dry and fairly warm with highs pushing up into the low 20s except for parts of the north and Atlantic coastal counties where 18 C might be more likely. Nights will not be all that cold despite some clear intervals, lows of 8 to 12 C will prevail. This settled spell might lead to even warmer temperatures at some point before the end of July.

    My local weather on Friday was sunny and quite warm with highs reaching 25 C.

    I was able to find better info on comet Neowise, among which is this article with a sky map showing positions each night for the rest of July.

    https://skyandtelescope.org/astronomy-news/anticipation-grows-for-comets-neowise-and-lemmon/

    You can read a discussion in the astronomy forum as well as here on the weather forum. I think in general the comet is far enough to the north (above our orbital plane) that it travels from west to east across the northern skies just as the Sun does behind the curvature of the earth (if you are really far north in Ireland the Sun is only down below the horizon for a few hours at this time of year). In about a week to ten days, the comet will be more of an evening object crossing the handle of the "Big Dipper" (Ursa Major) around the 25th. Before that it would be in a fairly wide open portion of the sky without a lot of competing bright objects but the comet itself is only about as bright as the average star (between 2nd and 3rd magnitude) that you can see, so look for one with a tail pointing north (binoculars should help you find it). If you know how to read the sky map in the link provided, that should also help a lot. I am going to give it a try in a day or two the next time clear skies are available.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 12 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    The trends for the coming week will be slightly improved over recent weeks, temperatures will average a little above mid-July averages although only by fractions of a degree probably, and rainfall will average about half of normal. Sunshine may manage to hold even with mid-July averages despite fairly frequent cloud.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be rather cloudy although the cloud mass is broken and some brief sunny breaks are possible. Rain will gradually move inland from the west coast, but may not reach parts of Leinster or east Munster until this evening. Highs will be 17 to 19 C.

    TONIGHT will be overcast with occasional light rain, lows will be 12 to 14 C.

    MONDAY will be cloudy with occasional light rain, but some clearing may begin in the west by late afternoon or evening. Total amounts of rain over Sunday and Monday will likely be 5 to 8 mm in most places. Highs on Monday will reach 17 to 19 C.

    TUESDAY will remain rather cloudy, another weak pulse of frontal rain will hit some northern counties mainly, with patchy drizzle further south. Moderate westerly winds and humid conditions with lows near 12 C and highs near 18 C.

    WEDNESDAY will become partly cloudy and rather warm especially for inland southern counties, highs could reach the low 20s in some places. Generally though highs of 18 to 20 C can be expected.

    THURSDAY will also be partly cloudy to sunny and rather warm, highs 19 to 23 C.

    FRIDAY will bring increasing high cloud and then some outbreaks of light rain by late in the day in west-central counties, still rather warm at 20-23 C.

    The trend next weekend (18th-19th) and into the following week may be somewhat more unsettled but the pattern is looking rather bland and only slight model errors would lead to a continued warming trend which I would not entirely rule out at this point.

    My local weather on Saturday was overcast but dry and rather warm with highs reaching 23 C. Just enough high cloud around to postpone my own attempts to see the comet later tonight, may still give it a go at 0330h now that I know where to look and roughly what to expect to see, thanks to several reports from Irish sky watchers. The word is that you can find the comet relatively easily during the early morning hours as a "naked eye object" and outside of urban light polluted areas you can make out the tail. It is not stunningly bright but similar to easily seen stars of second to third magnitude. Venus is off to the right by its own rising time (the comet is there all night at Irish latitude) and is much brighter. If you're familiar with the constellation Cassiopeia (the W formation in the northern skies) then the comet's nucleus will be roughly the same brightness as those stars, or most of the seven primary stars in Ursa Major, not quite as bright as Arcturus or Vega. The comet's tail may be a bit fainter and binoculars are recommended to get a better view of that.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 13 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 13 to 19 July will include temperatures near normal values, rainfall about half of normal or less in some places, and sunshine between 50 and 75 per cent of July averages.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be mostly cloudy until mid-afternoon, with areas of rain developing across the south and east mainly, then followed by partial clearing with highs 17 to 19 C. Rainfalls of 5-10 mm may occur in some parts of Munster and south Leinster. Lesser amounts are likely further north.

    TONIGHT will remain partly cloudy then will turn more overcast towards dawn, with light rain at times in parts of the north. Lows 10 to 13 C.

    TUESDAY will be a rather cloudy day with outbreaks of light rain moving through Ulster and north Connacht into north and central Leinster. Other areas could remain largely dry with a few sunny breaks by afternoon. Highs will reach about 16 C in the north, and 18 C in the south.

    WEDNESDAY will be cloudy with sunny breaks, generally dry although a few isolated light showers possible in Ulster, lows near 12 C and highs 18 to 21 C, best values inland south.

    THURSDAY will be partly cloudy and rather warm with lows near 12 C and highs near 22 C.

    FRIDAY will be partly cloudy in the south, more overcast in the north with outbreaks of light rain developing there by evening. Lows near 13 C and highs 19 to 22 C.

    The trend next weekend will be slightly cooler although only by a degree or so each day, with moderate westerly breezes and a few showers here and there, no large rainfall accumulations expected however, highs near 19 C.

    The maps hint at a warmer outcome during the following week (20th to 24th) and possibly some sunny breaks with the warmer temperatures, 21 to 24 C appears possible.

    My local weather on Sunday was partly cloudy with passing showers and one brief rumble of thunder at mid-afternoon, rather cool and breezy with highs near 20 C. Skies are clearing tonight so I may get that chance to go comet hunting later.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Tuesday, 14 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 14 to 20 July will be near normal for temperatures, about half of normal amounts of rain although closer to average in the north, and about 75% of typical July sunshine with cloud quite frequent today and tomorrow, after which somewhat improved for sunshine.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be mostly cloudy with a few brighter intervals in west Munster. Light rain will spread into some parts of the north and central counties, sometimes extending into Leinster. Amounts generally 2 to 5 mm. Rather humid with highs 17 to 19 C.

    TONIGHT will be overcast with lows near 12 C and spotty drizzle or light rain.

    WEDNESDAY will continue rather cloudy but with somewhat more extensive breaks in the overcast across some parts of the south and east, still a few showers further north, highs 18 to 21 C.

    THURSDAY will be partly cloudy, warm with lows 12 to 14 C and highs 19 to 23 C.

    FRIDAY will bring increasing cloud again with some rain spreading into west and north, amounts rather slight, lows near 14 C and highs near 21 C.

    SATURDAY and SUNDAY will become a bit cooler with moderate westerly breezes and isolated showers, highs around 18 C.

    The outlook calls for a slight warming trend to resume next week, back into the low 20s by mid-week, then becoming more unsettled towards the end of that week. All of these variations are going to be rather slight and some might find the pattern almost featureless.

    My local weather on Monday was bright but cool with highs around 19 C. It is clear and quite chilly at present (approaching midnight), possibly as low as 3 or 4 degrees, but the clear skies may tempt me out anyway as I did not have good viewing conditions last night here. The earth is passing Jupiter today and will pass Saturn on the 20th, as their conjunction begins to tighten up (quite easy to find them in the southern skies around 11 p.m. to 1 a.m. these coming nights, the Moon rises later on so is not reducing the darkness of skies at those hours this week).


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 15 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS continue similar to previous days' reports, near normal for temperature, rather dry for most with 25 to 50 per cent of normal rainfall, and rather cloudy with 75% of normal sunshine expected.


    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be rather cloudy in general, with patchy light rain or drizzle in a few parts of the north. Some longer bright spells are likely to develop boosting temperatures to about 21 or 22 C in the south, 19 or 20 C in central Leinster, and 18 C for the west and north.

    TONIGHT will be partly cloudy with some mist or fog patches forming, lows 12 to 14 C.

    THURSDAY will be warm and humid with some sunny breaks and highs 21 to 23 C. There may be some persistent low cloud with drizzle in a few coastal areas especially around the north coasts.

    FRIDAY will have some sunny intervals at first then increasing cloud with rain developing across parts of the west and north, only 2 to 5 mm expected though, lows near 13 C and highs 19 to 21 C.

    SATURDAY will turn a bit fresher with isolated showers, moderate westerly winds and lows near 12 C, highs 18 to 20 C.

    SUNDAY will also be somewhat cooler with isolated showers and highs near 18 C.

    By MONDAY the slightly breezy and cooler interval will transition to a calmer and less overcast regime as high pressure develops just off to the west of Ireland. There should be about equal amounts of sunshine and cloud with only a few isolated light showers each day for the week. Highs will be in the range of 20 to 23 C. This looks like the sort of pattern that the models could start to develop into a warmer spell as the upper level conditions become quite bland for a long spell.

    My local weather was sunny with increasing high cloudiness and a bit on the cool side at 21 C.

    I had a good look at the clear skies last night and determined the comet would be below the northern horizon (which is hilly here) until about 0230, had the intention of going back out but dozed off and woke up to the sunrise. Oh well, maybe tonight will work out as skies seem to have cleared again. I did notice that Mars was rising around 0130h in the east, at least equally bright with Jupiter and noticeably "ruddy" in appearance. Anyone out looking for the comet before sunrise will have that and Venus as additional spectacles. I also noticed that Andromeda is almost overhead in the northeast at midnight to 0100h if you've ever wanted to find the Andromeda galaxy, you'll need binoculars and a good star chart to do that. (I had a bit too much light pollution to go for that find).


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 16 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 16 to 22 July include rather cool temperatures a bit below average by 1-2 deg, not much rain eventually 25 to 50 per cent of normal amounts but quite frequent drizzle involved in that, and very poor sunshine, would be fortunate to reach 75% of normal if last two days of the interval produce decent amounts, about 50 per cent for the five days before those.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will remain mostly cloudy with a few brighter intervals developing in the southeast, therefore turning a bit warmer there, highs to about 20 C (17 or 18 C for other regions). Just patchy drizzle in some parts of the country this morning.

    TONIGHT will see overcast skies for most and rain developing in the north and northwest, 2 to 5 mm expected there, staying dry further south, lows 11 to 13 C.

    FRIDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy in the south, with showers by afternoon and evening. It will start out damp and overcast in other regions and perhaps brighten up somewhat later afternoon or evening. Highs near 19 C in the south and 16 C north.

    SATURDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers and moderate westerly winds, highs near 18 C.

    SUNDAY will also be partly to mostly cloudy with isolated showers and moderate west to northwest winds, a bit cooler with highs only 15 or 16 C.

    MONDAY will be mostly cloudy with a little light rain at times, highs near 17 C.

    TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY of next week may improve somewhat to sunny intervals and highs 19 to 23 C. That will be cut off by another unsettled interval arriving about Thursday 24th with frequent rain expected in the last seven days of July and rather cool temperatures.

    Hopefully August will see an improvement over what is turning into the coolest July since 2012.

    My local weather was partly sunny and quite warm, highs near 25 C. I have now seen the comet both morning and evening (see comet thread for details).


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 17 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 17 to 23 July 2020

    -- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg below normal values.
    -- Rainfall will average about 50 per cent of normal.
    -- Sunshine hours will need help to reach even half of normal with persistent cloud cover sometimes breaking to partly cloudy skies.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will start out dry with a few brighter intervals in the south and east, while a damp cloudy regime spreads slowly into the midlands from the west and north. Once established, that frontal band of light rain and drizzle appears likely to persist for about twelve hours or longer as it sags further south. Highs near 16 C north, to 21 C in the southeast.

    TONIGHT will be overcast with light rain or drizzle in most places, some partial clearing for the far north and northwest. Lows 10 to 12 C.

    SATURDAY the rain band will drift along through the south and east before breaking up around mid-day, skies will then turn partly cloudy as they had already done further west and north during the morning. Highs 16 to 18 C. Total rainfalls from this frontal band only about 5 mm.

    SUNDAY will be partly cloudy and rather cool with isolated showers, morning lows 6 to 10 C and afternoon highs about 16 to 19 C.

    MONDAY will be similar with a few showers, lows near 8 C and highs near 18 C.

    TUESDAY could be a brief respite with longer sunny intervals, lows near 7 C and highs near 20 C.

    WEDNESDAY looks more overcast again with occasional light rain and highs near 17 C.

    The OUTLOOK beyond mid-week is not very promising if you're looking for real summer-like weather, it will be more overcast again with fairly frequent shower activity, albeit no large totals expected. Typical highs only 15 to 19 C.

    Maybe the second half of August into September will prove to be this summer's best portion (unless we already saw that in mid-June).

    My local weather was partly cloudy and very warm with highs near 29 C. A broken line of showers and thunderstorms is passing by with a weak cold front overnight, so far no activity right over my location. Skies too overcast for comet hunting tonight.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 18 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS remain similar to yesterday's report, cool, not a lot of rain (after this morning's rain ends across the south) and generally rather dull but with somewhat improved sunshine prospects next week.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY the rain band will continue to drift along through the south and east before breaking up around mid-day, skies will then turn partly cloudy as they have already done further west and north during the morning. Highs 16 to 18 C. Total rainfalls from this frontal band only about 5 mm.

    TONIGHT will be partly cloudy allowing some to have a chance to see comet Neowise (look to the north-northwest to the lower right of the "Plough" (Big Dipper for some readers). Lows around 6 to 10 C.

    SUNDAY will be partly cloudy and rather cool with isolated showers becoming more widespread around mid-day, mostly confined to north, parts of midlands and inland west, morning lows 6 to 10 C and afternoon highs about 16 to 19 C.

    MONDAY will be similar with a few showers, lows near 8 C and highs near 18 C.

    TUESDAY could be a brief respite with longer sunny intervals, lows near 7 C and highs near 20 C.

    WEDNESDAY looks more overcast again with occasional light rain and highs near 17 C.

    The OUTLOOK beyond mid-week is rather unsettled with occasional showers most days and rather cloudy in general with highs 17 to 20 C.

    My local weather on Friday was stormy, we had the heaviest thunderstorm of several years in this area with 2 cm hail bouncing off the windows for about five minutes, and frequent close lightning strikes. That rolled through about 2 p.m., otherwise it was a mostly cloudy day with highs near 23 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 19 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS remain about the same, expect temperatures near or slightly below normal values, rainfall about half of an average weekly amount, and sunshine 75 per cent to near normal values.

    TODAY will start out sunny, then turn partly to mostly cloudy with scattered light showers, most likely in north central to inland western counties. Highs 17 to 20 C.

    TONIGHT will be partly cloudy with clear intervals, chilly with lows 4 to 8 C.

    MONDAY will see a mixture of cloud and sunshine with a few scattered showers, highs near 18 C.

    TUESDAY will be partly cloudy to sunny at times, hazy with lows near 7 C and highs near 19 or 20 C.

    WEDNESDAY will turn rather cloudy as a weak front moves through, with 2 to 5 mm rainfalls likely in many areas, from occasional showers. Lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.

    THURSDAY will become partly cloudy and dry again with lows near 7 C and highs near 18 C.

    FRIDAY will see increasing cloud, rain late in the day, lows near 7 C and highs near 19 C.

    The weekend outlook (for 25-26 July) will be overcast with showers at times, and rather cool, highs 15 to 18 C.

    The following week looks unsettled with temperatures in the same general range as this week.

    My local weather on Saturday was sunny with a few clouds, and the high was about 25 C. Have been out to check on comet Neowise, which seems to be losing brightness after peaking a few days ago. It's only worth your effort to see it if you have dark rural skies and binoculars for magnified viewing, but you can still see it faintly with the naked eye, in the north-northwest after sunset glow ends around 10:30-11:00 p.m. local times. It is moving west quite rapidly and is now beneath the bowl of the "dipper" or the plough; in a few days it will be under the handle (although a bit higher in the sky due to the tilt of the constellation after sunset).


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 20 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 20 to 26 July, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average about one degree below normal.
    -- Rainfall will total about half the weekly average amount.
    -- Sunshine will be 75 to 100 per cent of normal.


    FORECASTS

    TODAY will start out sunny but cool, with clouds increasing to almost a full overcast by mid-day to early afternoon, followed by a few scattered showers. Partial clearing will set in by late afternoon. Highs 15 to 18 C.

    TONIGHT will be partly cloudy with some clear intervals. Lows near 7 C.

    TUESDAY will be hazy, with some sunny intervals, and isolated showers mainly in the north. Highs 17 to 20 C.

    WEDNESDAY will be mostly cloudy with occasional rain, 3 to 5 mm expected, lows near 7 C and highs near 18 C.

    THURSDAY will become partly cloudy with highs near 20 C.

    FRIDAY will be partly cloudy, to overcast by late in the day with rain by evening, highs near 20 C.

    The outlook for the weekend is partly to mostly cloudy with some rain both days, also some brighter intervals, and highs dropping back to around 18 C.

    At the present time, the maps for the week following, towards the end of July, are quite unsettled with heavy rainfall potential. Hoping those maps are going to change for the better in the ten to fifteen days available.

    My local weather on Sunday was a mixture of cloud and sunshine, improving to mostly sunny by evening and almost clear at this late hour, high near 24 C. We are having a decent enough summer although not as warm as some years here, and June rainfalls have kept the fire hazards low so far although this past week has turned drier.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Tuesday, 21 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 21 to 27 July will be fairly close to late July averages in all regards, although a bit drier than normal (around 50 to 75 per cent).

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals across most of the south and east, partly to mostly cloudy further north, but generally dry with highs 18 to 22 C, highest values inland south.

    TONIGHT will see increasing cloud with light rain at times in parts of the north and northwest, lows near 11 C.

    WEDNESDAY will bring a band of showers giving rainfalls of 3 to 5 mm in most places, with a few brighter intervals possible too. Rather humid, highs near 19 C.

    THURSDAY will become sunny again by afternoon, lows near 12 C and highs near 20 C.

    FRIDAY will see increasing cloud with some rain developing in the west by late afternoon and evening, lows near 12 and highs near 19 C. Some heavier rain may develop overnight with 10 mm possible by Saturday morning.

    SATURDAY will be partly cloudy after the morning rain moves east, with further isolated showers, moderate westerly breezes, and highs near 17 C.

    SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers and highs near 18 C.

    MONDAY and TUESDAY of next week are looking quite good with sunny intervals and highs 20 to 23 C.

    WEDNESDAY of next week will become overcast with showers, and after that a rather unsettled period is signalled, hopefully we can get some changes in that before the time comes because maps currently show quite a bit of rain and cool temperatures for about a week starting Thursday 30th of July.

    My local weather on Monday was sunny and hot, highs near 31 C. With clear skies in the evening, I can still just barely see comet Neowise with unaided eyesight but it's still a fairly good object in binoculars. It has moved to a position almost directly below the Plough (still a bit off to the lower right of that constellation).


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 22 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 22 to 28 July 2020

    -- Temperatures will be near normal for late July, rainfall about 50 per cent of average, and sunshine in the range of 75 to 100 per cent of normal.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will bring further showers giving rainfalls of 3 to 5 mm in most places, with a few brighter intervals possible too. One fairly heavy band has moved through the north already, but more clusters of showers are likely, with a slight chance of a thunderstorm developing. Rather humid, highs near 19 C.

    TONIGHT will be overcast with further light rain at times, lows near 12 C.

    THURSDAY will start out cloudy with morning showers then will become partly sunny by afternoon, lows near 12 C and highs near 20 C.

    FRIDAY will see increasing cloud with some rain developing in the west by late afternoon and evening, lows near 12 and highs near 19 C. Some heavier rain may develop overnight with 10 mm possible by Saturday morning.

    SATURDAY will be partly cloudy after the morning rain moves east, with further isolated showers and perhaps a thunderstorm, moderate westerly breezes, and highs near 17 C.

    SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers and highs near 18 C.

    MONDAY will remain partly cloudy to overcast and rather cool with isolated showers, highs near 18 C.

    TUESDAY of next week will feature some sunny intervals and highs 20 to 23 C.

    WEDNESDAY will then become cloudy with a few showers, highs near 18 C.

    The outlook continues to look rather unsettled with highs possibly dropping back below average and frequent rain depicted, as I've been saying, hopefully this will change for the better as some of the days look quite unseasonable (but all of that is in the ten days to two week time frame).

    My local weather on Tuesday was sunny and very warm with a high near 30 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 23 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 23 to 29 July 2020:

    -- Temperatures will average near normal values, or slightly below in some places.
    -- Rainfall will average 75 to 100 per cent of normal (Monday is now looking wetter than previously).
    -- Sunshine will average about 75 per cent of normal (that means about 4 hours a day instead of 5.3 which is a late July average value).

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will see the end of the current round of showers and some mid-day to afternoon sunny breaks. It will be rather warm and humid in any sunshine with highs 19 to 22 C.

    TONIGHT will have a few clear intervals with increasing high cloud. Lows 8 to 12 C.

    FRIDAY will see a continued increase and thickening of the cloud cover ahead of a frontal band of rain which has shown signs of speeding up so it may arrive now before late afternoon in western and some north-central counties. The rain will reach Leinster by evening. Highs near 18 C. The overnight period will be rather wet with 10-15 mm rain expected by Saturday morning, lows of about 13 C.

    SATURDAY will start out cloudy and wet but should improve around mid-day to partly cloudy, breezy with highs around 17 C.

    SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers and highs near 17 C.

    MONDAY will bring some more rain, possibly a few heavy showers embedded, for totals of 10-15 mm. Highs will reach about 17 C again.

    TUESDAY will see a slow clearing trend with cool northwest winds and highs near 16 C.

    WEDNESDAY will have some sunny intervals and highs near 20 C, rain by evening seems likely, as THURSDAY is looking rather unsettled, around 18 C.

    The trend after this still appears quite unsettled with potential for heavier rainfalls resuming.

    My local weather was sunny and hot on Wednesday with a high near 32 C. Expecting this to lead to some isolated thunderstorms on Thursday with similar temperatures. Meanwhile, Gonzalo is likely to become the first hurricane after six named storms all peaked as tropical storms earlier in the season. It's on a far southern course through the Windward Islands around Barbados and Grenada on its way into the southern Caribbean Sea.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 24 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 24 to 30 July, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average about 1 deg below normal, daytimes closer to 2 deg below as nights will remain mild.
    -- Rainfall will be close to average in the south, about 50 to 75 per cent of normal in the north which will largely avoid the rainfall on Monday.
    -- Sunshine will average about 75% of normal values.


    FORECASTS

    TODAY will have a few sunny intervals this morning in eastern counties, with the cloud already increasing in western regions moving steadily east, followed a few hours later by rain which will be heavier by late afternoon in some places. Highs 17 to 20 C.

    TONIGHT will see further bursts of rainfall giving totals for the event of about 10-15 mm. Lows 12 to 14 C.

    SATURDAY will become partly to mostly cloudy with scattered showers after the main body of rainfall moves east during the morning. One or two thunderstorms may develop in moderate southwest to west winds 30 to 50 km/hr. Highs near 17 C.

    SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers and highs near 17 C.

    MONDAY some rain will hit the south coast although this disturbance is beginning to trend further south, which may mean that eventually it will be largely offshore. Further north, variable cloud with a few showers. Rather cool in general with highs near 16 C.

    TUESDAY will see gradual improvements after cloudy skies and scattered showers in the morning, still rather cool with highs 16 to 18 C.

    WEDNESDAY will be a more settled day with some sunshine and highs near 20 C. Rain by evening however.

    The OUTLOOK is for more frequent rain and temperatures near normal, in a southwest Atlantic flow that may try to warm up for Britain and France but that could just lead to heavier showers and thunderstorms from the frontal waves in the flow crossing Ireland and northern Britain.

    My local weather on Thursday was sunny and breezy with a slightly cooler high of 27 C. Showers are still well to our north in a developing frontal zone.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 25 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 25 to 31 July 2020

    -- Temperatures will average close to normal values for late July.
    -- Rainfall will be near normal in the south and east, somewhat less than average further north.
    -- Sunshine will be 75 per cent of normal values, or possibly closer to average in some parts.


    FORECASTS

    TODAY will have a bright start this morning but cloud will rapidly increase before mid-day then showers and a few thunderstorms will return for the afternoon, highs 18 to 20 C. About 5 to 10 mm rainfall expected.

    TONIGHT will see partial clearing and moderate westerly breezes, lows about 13 C.

    SUNDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with a few passing showers, rather cool with highs 16 to 18 C.

    MONDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers and moderate west to northwest breezes, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.

    TUESDAY will become sunny at times with highs near 20 C.

    WEDNESDAY will bring increasing cloud leading to outbreaks of rain late in the day, highs near 20 C.

    From Thursday through the weekend of 1-2 August, the weather looks rather warm but unsettled with a risk of showers or thunderstorms at times, highs near or slightly above normal values. An even warmer spell is possible after this, but not necessarily settled as weak disturbances will continue to move through.

    My local weather on Friday was partly cloudy and breezy, somewhat cooler than recent days with a high near 24 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 26 July, 2020 _ Forecasts for Ireland

    Trends remain close to normal values in all elements.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be partly cloudy with scattered showers and moderate westerly breezes, rather cool, highs near 17 C.

    TONIGHT will bring rain across most of the country with 10 to 15 mm likely, lows near 13 C.

    MONDAY will start out wet as the rain pushes further east, then will see some slight improvements to partly or mostly cloudy skies with intermittent showers, highs near 17 C.

    TUESDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers, longer sunny intervals by afternoon, highs near 18 C.

    WEDNESDAY will become cloudy after some morning sunshine, rain by evening in the west, highs near 20 C.

    THURSDAY will be rather muggy and humid with occasional rain, highs 19 to 22 C.

    The OUTLOOK into early August calls for somewhat warmer weather than of late, but also rather unsettled at times, with risk of some thunderstorms at times.

    My local weather on Saturday was sunny with a high of 26 C. We are expecting low 30s on Sunday here. Meanwhile, Gonzalo fizzled out near Barbados but Hanna did manage to become a hurricane before moving inland over south Texas in flat, open country south of Corpus Christi which got the tropical storm force portion of the storm's east winds while Brownsville and the Rio Grande valley got the westerly winds at tropical storm intensity. Rainfalls of 3 to 6 inches were fairly widespread but probably beneficial in most cases. Storms on this trajectory sometimes produce damaging floods in mountain regions of northern Mexico outside of Monterrey, as they die out moving further inland. A new tropical storm could form soon in the Atlantic and move near the Bahamas in about five days' time then up the east coast of the U.S. This has been a very active tropical season albeit most of the storms have so far been quite weak.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,279 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 27 July, 2020 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS for the week of 27 July to 2 August

    -- Temperatures will be near normal values.
    -- Rainfall will be normal to 25 per cent above in some parts.
    -- Sunshine will be around 75 per cent of normal.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will see any remaining heavy rain moving east soon, watch for isolated road and stream flooding after 30-40 mm fell overnight in a few parts of the southeast. Variable cloud and further showers are likely with intervals of strong northwest winds moving from Atlantic coasts at present to central counties later this morning and Leinster by late morning to mid-day. Some gusts to 70 km/hr have occurred recently on the west coast and this may continue for a while before the fronts move through. Highs today around
    17 or 18 C.

    TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to overcast at times with isolated light showers, still rather breezy from the northwest and cool, lows near 9 C.

    TUESDAY will have a lot of cloud for the morning then some improvements after mid-day as a ridge builds in from the west, with winds dropping off finally, and highs 17 to 19 C.

    WEDNESDAY will start out warm and dry, but some rather sporadic rain will move into western counties after mid-afternoon, possibly not reaching eastern counties until well into the overnight hours. Lows near 10 C and highs near 20 C.

    THURSDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy, humid, and rather warm with occasional light rain with moderate south to southwest winds, highs near 21 C.

    FRIDAY will also be rather warm and humid with highs near 22 C.

    The WEEKEND currently looks rather unsettled with pulses of heavy rain moving in from the southwest. Temperatures will be around normal, 18 to 21 C. The following week is looking similar to that.

    My local weather on Sunday was sunny and hot with a high of 30 C, clear skies at present too.


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