Convective/Thunderstorm Discussion : Spring/Summer 2020

darragh o meara · 31-07-2020 12:53pm

Captain_Crash wrote: »

Was just at the Applegreen on the M1 getting petrol and the station got hit by lightning! Power our and pumps off! Seems to be back online now

Wow. That must’ve scared the BeJaysus out of you.

Frankie19 · 31-07-2020 1:00pm

wirelessdude01 wrote: »

I'm wondering the same. About 20 queuing to get in at the moment.

I hope its worth it. No way id queue in that rain!

sparrowcar · 31-07-2020 1:12pm

Just out for a walk in Newbridge house, Donabate. Got caught in biblical rain and 5 or 6 big flashes and rumbles. Lasted about 15 mins, how sad is it that I have to say its the best I've seen in years. Delighted all the same and kids enjoyed it too.

Captain_Crash · 31-07-2020 1:48pm

darragh o meara wrote: »

Wow. That must’ve scared the BeJaysus out of you.

It’s funny, I had the pump in my hand but hadn’t started filling! A good few people were half way trough filling up and no one could pay! That’s the 2nd time I’ve been somewhere when it was hit by lightning!

pad199207 · 31-07-2020 1:51pm

Status Yellow - Thunder warning for Dublin and Louth

Met Éireann Weather Warning

Scattered thunderstorms for a time this afternoon

Valid: 13:00 Friday 31/07/2020 to 15:00 Friday 31/07/2020

Issued: 13:00 Friday 31/07/2020

To me the storms are well gone

esposito · 31-07-2020 1:52pm

pad199207 wrote: »

Status Yellow - Thunder warning for Dublin and Louth

Met Éireann Weather Warning

Scattered thunderstorms for a time this afternoon

Valid: 13:00 Friday 31/07/2020 to 15:00 Friday 31/07/2020

Issued: 13:00 Friday 31/07/2020

To me the storms are well gone

Exactly. They have just jinxed it - there will be no more now!

zom · 31-07-2020 1:55pm

pad199207 wrote: »

Status Yellow - Thunder warning for Dublin and Louth

Im in the office and I missed it but looks impressive:

PukkaStukka · 31-07-2020 5:24pm

Heavy TS over the Irish Sea passing between East Co Down and the IOM, and travelling towards Stranraer peninsula. This started out convecting just off the Arklow coast two hours ago and is sparking away merrily at the mo.

Meteorite58 · 31-07-2020 7:22pm

Decent amount of sferics showed up with so little CAPE available.

Netweather

Convergence up along the East coast did well to keep that storm firing away up past Belfast.

Meteorite58 · 31-07-2020 8:21pm

Surface temperatures not great tomorrow and Dp's about 11C or 12C at best and cloud cover may inhibit heating and lift but good levels of DLS and increasing cold uppers spreading in over the country associated with the trough look to produce heavy widespread convective showers across the country, heaviest rain in the W and NW where showers might merge into longer spells of rain. Could have some sporadic isolated thunderstorms also. Bit of a difference in the models, AROME interestingly keeping the heavy showers going well into the evening with decent CAPE values, will see if that translates into thunderstorms.

ECMWF sounding for near Carrick on Shannon.

Meteorite58 · 02-08-2020 5:22pm

Plenty of heavy showers yesterday , only sferics showed up in the SE early evening.

Netweather

Meteorite58 · 03-08-2020 5:17pm

ECMWF 06Z showing fairly high potential for thunderstorm activity early Weds morning into Weds day. Overnight temperatures of 16 to 18C, Dp's 15 to 16C .

Forcing along the front with plenty of instability, warm Theata W and Theta E readings, good lapse rates, LLS and DLS available. lift off the mountains in the SW and S, cool upper pool. Thunderstorm potential in the SW and S moving up into the country early morning.

The Fax chart showing Ireland within the 564 DAM line, Sticky night in store Tues into Weds.

Oscar Bravo · 03-08-2020 6:45pm

Mention of thunderstorms for tomorrow afternoon on Knock TAF,albeit small risk.
TAF

TAF EIKN 031700Z 0318/0418 27007KT 9999 BKN045
BECMG 0400/0402 18013KT 3000 -RA BKN005 TEMPO 0402/0418 1200 RA BR BKN002
BECMG 0406/0408 20016G30KT
PROB40 TEMPO 0413/0416 TSRA BKN018CB

Meteorite58 · 04-08-2020 11:24am

Surprised that Met Eireann has no mention of Thunderstorm potential for early Weds morning.

Another day of increasing interest is Fri. We will see how it pans out but for the moment it looks like a cold front associated with a LP tracking up off the W , NW coast will track slowly up over the country. Temperatures in the low 20's with very high Dp's of 16 to 18C. could be a lively day up over the country with some locally heavy falls. One to keep an eye on

jimmynokia · 04-08-2020 3:16pm

https://twitter.com/MetEireann/status/1290580405922541569?s=20

https://twitter.com/convectivewx/status/1290541971237408768?s=20

Gonzo · 05-08-2020 12:21am

A chance of some thunderstorms on Friday, looks fairly low risk but the chance is there.

69-505UK.GIF?04-18

temperatures into the low 20's as well on Friday before cooler air takes over the weekend.

arpegeuk-41-74-0.png?04-18

spookwoman · 05-08-2020 3:22am

Strike on Blitzortung west of Castletownbere

Meteorite58 · 06-08-2020 11:03am

A lot less potential for thunderstorms on Fri would think, some low chance more towards the East perhaps, front not as active in recent runs.

PukkaStukka · 07-08-2020 8:33am

Siobhán Ryan on the Radio1 forecast before 8am said Monday has the potential for heavy thundery rain and spot flooding.

Met É's website says "Very mild and heavy overnight. Scattered thunderstorms and widespread falls of heavy rain will lead to localised flooding."

spookwoman · 07-08-2020 10:41am

Latest
https://twitter.com/convectivewx/status/1291669942744514565?s=20
largethumb.php?date=2020-08-07

Danno · 07-08-2020 12:25pm

Bit of a squall line crossing the midlands and north of Ireland at the moment, with the heat building across the east (21°c to 22°c) this might pep up and spark?

Oneiric 3 · 07-08-2020 1:22pm

PukkaStukka wrote: »

Siobhán Ryan on the Radio1 forecast before 8am said Monday has the potential for heavy thundery rain and spot flooding.

Met É's website says "Very mild and heavy overnight. Scattered thunderstorms and widespread falls of heavy rain will lead to localised flooding."

From Sunday morning onwards looks like it could enter 'Welsh import' terrotiry for the SE and E of Ireland with Monday in particular looking good:

Danno · 07-08-2020 4:30pm

Radar showing development over Carlow town.

pad199207 · 08-08-2020 1:04pm

Met Eireann mentioning the UK met office warning for thunderstorms over there making their way here on the lunchtime forecast .

PukkaStukka · 08-08-2020 6:33pm

pad199207 wrote: »

Met Eireann mentioning the UK met office warning for thunderstorms over there making their way here on the lunchtime forecast .

Same restated by JoDo on RTE1 at 6:30. Her forecast was gas

wirelessdude01 · 08-08-2020 6:36pm

PukkaStukka wrote: »

Same restated by JoDo on RTE1 at 6:30. Her forecast was gas

Couldn't remember all the NI counties.

PukkaStukka · 08-08-2020 6:42pm

wirelessdude01 wrote: »

Couldn't remember all the NI counties.

Couldn't remember "Ulster" I think. Well rescued though

StackSteevens · 08-08-2020 6:46pm

PukkaStukka wrote: »

Same restated by JoDo on RTE1 at 6:30. Her forecast was gas

She consistently annoys both me and the missus!

The frequent lack of structure in her forecasts which seem poorly planned and scripted is both sloppy and very unprofessional. And the wink and the cúpla focail at the end is no compensation for a shoddy job.

typhoony · 08-08-2020 8:56pm

end of the week looks interesting, cape values nothing special but with slack winds, low pressure and temps in the 20's I think we should see some activity

pauldry · 08-08-2020 9:10pm

Monday could be interesting

Or Tuesday.

Malin Heads total might be beaten in a few hours.

Joanna was on the gargle obviously. Ya wouldnt trip over your words that much in sobriety unless you were Michael Martin

Convective/Thunderstorm Discussion : Spring/Summer 2020

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