The Football Tips Thread IV

Twente - Willem II

Twente without:
Willem Janssen (geschorst), Sander Boschker (kuit), Denny Landzaat (kuit), Nacer Chadli (hamstring), Andrej Rendla (knie), Andreas Bjelland (voet) en Daniel Fernandes (rug). Doubtful: Edwin Gyasi (knie).

Willem II without:
Mitchell Piqué (knie), Ruud van der Rijt (knie), Mattijs Branderhorst (knie) en Ryan Sanusi (lies)

Twente hasnt won a match in 2013 so Willem II is the ideal opponent for them today
Question here will be, can Willem II score a goal?

I am rather confident they can despite Twente keeping 6 clean sheets in 10 home matches so far. 4 of those were in the 1st 5 home matches so 3x BTTS in their last 5
Willem II scores 50% in BTTS in their away games.2 in their last 5 but also 2 in their last 2

Bets i am looking at:
BTTS: Yes @2.25
Twente to win and over 3,5 @2.3
Where pick no2 will also depend heavily on a Willem II goal imo.

Any time scorer: Leroy Fer @2.4, rather low for a midfielder but he is dangerous in the air with set pieces.

NAC - Heracles

NAC without:
Jens Janse (geschorst) en Alex Schalk (enkel en voet).

Heracles:
Jeroen Veldmate (voet)

More or less full strenght both teams. Schalk is usually coming off the bench.

As always with Hercales, looking at goals

Really cant see this one staying under 2,5 but odds on overs are not worth it

Over 3/3.5 @2.05 but i think i ll leave this one for live betting, hope for no goals in the 1st 15/20 minutes and get around even for over 3

Either team to win could be profitable with over 2,5 combined NAC will give @3.1 and Hercales @4.25

RODA - AZ

RODA missing: Michell Donald (geschorst), Krisztian Németh (enkel) en Laurent Delorge (kuit). Doubtful: Frank Demouge (lies).

AZ: Adam Maher (bovenbeen), Nick Viergever (geschorst, foto), Mattias Johansson (lies), Ali Messaoud en Maarten Martens (beiden knie).

No one really important there missing for RODA. That is completely different for AZ who will really miss Viergever and certainly Maher.


Was actually looking at unders as much as i hate that bet till i found out that AZ has only 1 away match going unders so that is out of the window.
Odds on a RODA win look good with AZ's missings @1.75 for the DC, @2.5 for the DNB and @3.3 for the win.
Home record for Roda is crap, 3 wins in 10,AZ lost 5 out of 11 away matches.

Malki to score @2,4 looks more delicious after looking at those home stats for Roda.

PSV - Utrecht

PSV missing: Luciano Narsingh (knie), Erik Pieters (pols) en Ola Toivonen (hamstring).
All 3 long time absentees so will not be missed, they are used to play without them.
Utrecht: Mark van der Maarel (geschorst) en Adam Sarota (knie).
VAn der Maarel (22/0) is suspended and you really dont want a regular CD missing against PSV away.

Have no doubts about the win, question will be how many goals PSV will score

Might be worth it to leave this one, like NAC - Her, for live betting as PSV scorers 65% of their goals in the 2nd half
PSV - Den Haag was a nice example, 1-0 till 57th minute, 7-0 final result.

So for me the bets i ll take before kick off:

Twente - Willem II Twente and over 3,5 @2.3
RODA DNB @2.5
PSV - Utrecht: half with most goals: 2nd @2.04 (1.95 bet365)

Malki/Fer any time double @5.76