Turning much colder - Snow showers in the East

darkman2 · 24-01-2011 5:55am #1

This is for the period Wednesday - Saturday. Increasingly cold East wind might bring harsher frost inland and snow showers to East coasts. ATM snow should not be significant and intially will be confiined to high ground. Risk of Ice developing. Very low inland night and day temperatures should be expected. This flow of air might be unstable at times leading to heavy hail and snow in the East. Quite severe minima temperatures are likely at night inland.

Rebelbrowser · 24-01-2011 9:54am

I love a darkman 2 thread!

pauldry · 24-01-2011 11:03am

yeah FI or what?:eek:

Tom Cruises Left Nut · 24-01-2011 11:05am

mike65 · 24-01-2011 11:13am

Oh dear here we go again!

This flow of air will be unstable at times leading to heavy hail and snow in the East. Quite severe minima temperatures are likely at night inland.

Yeah right. Is that heavy snow or just snow as in could be a few flakes on the high ground?

Define severe miniumum temps

oterra · 24-01-2011 11:23am

Didnt get a mention ME on the 7.55 on rte radio. Hopefully Darkman knows something they dont.

irishmotorist · 24-01-2011 11:33am

Jean Byrne mentioned last night that the winds would turn north-easterly in a few days an that it would get colder, but there'd be no snow. As soon as I saw the wind direction, I started thinking of the IOM, but she stated it plainly.

This will be a good one to keep an eye on so!

Min · 24-01-2011 11:38am

I just hope Met Eireann are correct.

24-01-2011 12:32pm

I hope Darkman2 is correct

BEASTERLY · 24-01-2011 12:41pm

I highly doubt anywhere below 200m will see anything other than A Vlight mixed wintry shower. Nothing lower than -4 850hpa coming up.

It is also unlikely there will be any precipitation around, i would suggest not to expect any snow this weekend. IMO the easterly wind will only serve to raise temps at night down the east coast.

BEASTERLY · 24-01-2011 12:47pm

Just seen the lowest the thickness at 500-1000hpa will get over is 540dam, you need 528 for snow at ground level. There is no hope of snow between now and friday.

24-01-2011 12:50pm

Jaze....

( unbuckles belt and gets of rollercoaster

)

Speak Now · 24-01-2011 12:52pm

Looks like another cold settled week, Darkman's post refers to the 0z UKMO of course. The 06z GFS ensemble models look to have it nailed out to next weekend. Into February we have a fair scatter

faktisperminute · 24-01-2011 1:02pm

winter please do not dissapoint us! :mad:

lucy2010 · 24-01-2011 1:32pm

Rebelbrowser wrote: »

I love a darkman 2 thread!

Yep they are always the best lol

patneve2 · 24-01-2011 1:35pm

Yeah, it doesn't really take much for convection to occur over the Irish sea, I'm expecting a few light rain showers with snow flurries over 300/400 meters so not very much...

MUSEIST · 24-01-2011 1:36pm

mike65 wrote: »

Oh dear here we go again!

Yeah right. Is that heavy snow or just snow as in could be a few flakes on the high ground?

Define severe miniumum temps

Booo:P

Take that negative skeptical attitude somewhere else please (the liverpool thread perhaps:P)

mike65 · 24-01-2011 1:40pm

Science -> Weather or Rec -> Weather?

Iancar29 · 24-01-2011 1:45pm

BEASTERLY wrote: »

I highly doubt anywhere below 200m will see anything other than A Vlight mixed wintry shower. Nothing lower than -4 850hpa coming up.

It is also unlikely there will be any precipitation around, i would suggest not to expect any snow this weekend. IMO the easterly wind will only serve to raise temps at night down the east coast.

Off to Mt. Leinster we go then BEASTERLY! ....:D

Weird tough... ME's 5 day predictive percip. run shows feck all for wednesday....

BEASTERLY · 24-01-2011 2:02pm

Iancar29 wrote: »

Off to Mt. Leinster we go then BEASTERLY! ....:D

Weird tough... ME's 5 day predictive percip. run shows feck all for wednesday....

Oh no, lesson has been learned from early december lol!(confidence in 4x4 still damaged:o)

Lugnaquilla looks better for a dusting this weekend, thats it lug it is!:D

ANNOUNCEMENT: Snow hunting this weekend on lugnaquilla, bring your freezer bags!

OH Wait forget it, its unlikely that even there will see snow...sigh

fr wishy washy · 24-01-2011 2:06pm

How about Blessington are we likely to see any snow?

BEASTERLY · 24-01-2011 2:07pm

fr wishy washy wrote: »

How about Blessington are we likely to see any snow?

Thers a 97.12% chance that you w..........

....on't

darkman2 · 24-01-2011 2:09pm

Changed OP to "might";) I think there is a good chance. Of course could be completely wrong but we'll see! Back later, must work!:D

Iancar29 · 24-01-2011 2:10pm

BEASTERLY wrote: »

Oh no, lesson has been learned from early december lol!(confidence in 4x4 still damaged:o)

Lugnaquilla looks better for a dusting this weekend, thats it lug it is!:D

ANNOUNCEMENT: Snow hunting this weekend on lugnaquilla, bring your freezer bags!

OH Wait forget it, its unlikely that even there will see snow...sigh

ANNOUNCEMENT: Snow hunting this weekend on lugnaquilla, bring your freezer bags!
...... gladly , its the reason i booked the week from sunday onwards off ! ha

BEASTERLY · 24-01-2011 2:12pm

Iancar29 wrote: »

ANNOUNCEMENT: Snow hunting this weekend on lugnaquilla, bring your freezer bags!
...... gladly , its the reason i booked the week from sunday onwards off ! ha

A new sport in the offing?:pac:

Iancar29 · 24-01-2011 2:15pm

BEASTERLY wrote: »

A new sport in the offing?:pac:

I thinks so!, we can use the extreme SNOW SENSE of the Mals to help us hunt down every single flake!

:D:D

BEASTERLY · 24-01-2011 2:37pm

Iancar29 wrote: »

I thinks so!, we can use the extreme SNOW SENSE of the Mals to help us hunt down every single flake! :D:D

LOL

Another one is where you get the telescope and point it at a mountain to check for snow patches, although it always turns out to be a white rock:(

delw · 24-01-2011 2:45pm

well even if it doesnt snow below 200m lets see if this week is a move in the right direction with Feb still to come,heres hoping anyway

Rebelbrowser · 24-01-2011 2:49pm

I'm confident of snow this weekend..........

............admittedly I will be in the Austrian Alps (sorry couldn't resist)!

Iancar29 · 24-01-2011 2:59pm

BEASTERLY wrote: »

LOL

Another one is where you get the telescope and point it at a mountain to check for snow patches, although it always turns out to be a white rock:(

I always hav my trusty bins on my window ledge for any odd sight of white that i see on the mountains ha!

24-01-2011 3:20pm

Iancar29 wrote: »

ANNOUNCEMENT: Snow hunting this weekend on lugnaquilla, bring your freezer bags!
...... gladly , its the reason i booked the week from sunday onwards off ! ha

Theres actually a small patch of snow left on the top of Lugnaquilla.
The uk forecasts on bbc24 have been following their ukmo model today and yesterday but they're not too excited.

One thing I will say is,theres not a lot of surface cold to tap into over Europe at the moment for an easterly or in a northeasterly either.
So air from there will not have a cold last 1000ft to the surface, so that means any snow that forms up at the 850mb level will melt easily,especially over the irish sea before it gets to sea level.

Copenhagen -max around zero
Berlin max around zero
stockholm around zero
Oslo around -1c to -4c for the week

Northern Britain[newcastle],the immediate source +6c down to +4c by next weekend.
That kind of surface air advecting over us does not a snow storm make.
Dewpoints in those cities are also mirroring the air temps so no help there as the moisture over the north and irish sea will kill that aspect of the thing.

In short I'm not terribly excited.You'd need a week of advection to pull in the cold from where it has been allowed to retreat to over the last month and thats way up to the north east and way to the east of poland.

On the positive side though,this high still could decide to sit long enough in an orientation that could deliver that but it won't be this week if at all,I think anyway.

Turning much colder - Snow showers in the East

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