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Atlantic Storm Watch: December 2013
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11-12-2013 4:08pm#1A substantial upgrade on this mornings 06z in terms of tightening of isobars off the West coast merits a level 2 warning in my opinion.
Whats giving rise to this stormy spell is the low pressure making its way East across the atlantic is getting squashed by the strong high pressure over europe .
Winds will start picking up in the Kerry, Clare regions from sunrise saturday morning and increase right up to midday as the low centre move NNE .
Winds of up to 95kph and severe Gusts of 125 , perhaps 130kmh are possible on exposed coast in the west , Galway possibly taking the brunt of this storm.
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The severe gusts then will be more concentrated in the NW but still high winds country wide with gusts to 95kmh .
Due to the Northerly component of these winds , western areas might not get anything out of the norm for them but still something to watch for. High winds in areas of the wicklow mountains would be noticeable in S Dublin especially .
PIty i will be working all day saturday and wont get to be out to enjoy it
All eyes on the 12z to see if it keeps things in line with the 6z.12
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Another deep deep feature rapidly intensifies behind Saturday's system but does so so fast that it heads to our north-west. However the positioning and/or intensity of this is very much open to big changes.
This one bombs from a little kink in the 1000hPa Isobar to a 950hPa storm in 24 hours.
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Weathercheck wrote: »GFS 12z interesting. Low doesn't deepen as quickly and pushes closer to Ireland. Isobars even more tightly packed over Ireland.
Widespread gusts to 120 km/hr possible almost anywhere on this run, coastal counties at risk of greater gusts.
Yep , has lessened the isolate severe gusts but spreads out the overall high gusts to all of us . Expect ferry cancellations is this is to come off.
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NOT RELATED TO THIS STORM
But look at what the GFs has popped up near us for next week?! :eek:
956 hp i make that out as?
:eek:
It's 943mb on the GFS at that point (153 hours). It bottoms out at 938mb (162 hours). No danger to us though a secondary low might be.
The other low at 96 hours gets down to 944mb too, but that too is a different low again to the one this thread is about.
A very active period of weather coming up for sure, though the more serious looking stuff looks to be staying clear of us on the models for the moment.0 -
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Sounds like turkey by candlelight
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Saturday looking windy on the latest GFS. ~130km/h gusts possible on the west coast. ~110km/h gusts possible inland and on the east coast.
Need to keep an eye on the other lows in the following days though, as that could be more severe if one of them tracked close to us.
Thankfully Sunday's low is staying well to our northwest.
90 mph (145 km/h) sustained winds there.0
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This discussion has been closed.
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