Oscars Best Picture-Boyhood

costadeldole · 24-12-2014 8:16pm #1

Oscars Best Picture (22nd February 2015) Boyhood.
Short odds, but its a dead cert to win.
The market is only up on Betfair's sportsbook at the moment, so I am waiting until its up on their exchange to lump on.
Here is a link to show all bookies with a market on it:
http://www.oddschecker.com/awards/oscars/best-picture

the whole year inn · 25-12-2014 9:03am

i havens seen it or birdman but from what I hear Birdman is real oscar bait and @11/1 worth a shot.Ill watch both later.
Why you think boyhood is a cert?

costadeldole · 25-12-2014 2:08pm

the whole year inn wrote: »

i havens seen it or birdman but from what I hear Birdman is real oscar bait and @11/1 worth a shot.Ill watch both later.
Why you think boyhood is a cert?

Rave reviews from critics. And its due to win at the Golden Globes (January 11th). Generally speaking films that win at the Golden Globes also win at the Oscars.
Its fits the profile of a winning film, that the aged judging panel of the Oscars will vote for.
Birdman is in the comedy category, and Boyhood in drama; so they wont be going head to head anyway.
I am 100% sure on Boyhood. The early short odds indicates massive money being lumped on, so the insiders know already.

costadeldole · 26-12-2014 2:56pm

When the Golden Globes are finished Betfair will be putting a market up on their exchange.

When you see 10k on it that's me. A nice easy 2000 net profit in a day.

When I go in, its balls deep.

You heard it here first.

Thank me later.

ziedth · 26-12-2014 5:38pm

ALLOT of buzz gathering around Birdman and there have been a couple of upsets over the years (Crash, The English Patient and Shakespeare in Love to name a few)

Ethan Hawke has ruffled some feathers in his time too. Im fairly sure he called the Oscars "Asinine" not even two years ago.

Anyway, FWIW I think your probably right it's the kind of film the academy will eat up and the production of it is so high concept they deserve it. I disagree it's the set in stone conclusion you think it is.

ianburke · 15-01-2015 8:15pm

1/16 best price. not sure why OP thought it would be 1/5?

Dan Chipowski · 17-01-2015 9:24pm

In fairness it was a general 1/5 shot up until last week, and you can still get 1.18 on Betfair (so in or around 2/11, 1/6).

As for the OP's claims of having 10k on it, there's only been just over four grand traded on it, so he hasn't made his move yet. (Which may not be a surprise

)

ianburke · 17-01-2015 9:48pm

nope was never 1/5 anywhere. it was 1/7 to win the tv awards which it did but shortest ive seen it in a bookie was 1/14 and ive been checking for wks. i reckon the OP will put 10k on he seems like a bit of a header. it does look a sure thing tho so hes tipping well. hope to hear from him once his ban is lifted.

Dan Chipowski · 17-01-2015 10:25pm

ianburke wrote: »

nope was never 1/5 anywhere. it was 1/7 to win the tv awards which it did but shortest ive seen it in a bookie was 1/14 and ive been checking for wks. i reckon the OP will put 10k on he seems like a bit of a header. it does look a sure thing tho so hes tipping well. hope to hear from him once his ban is lifted.

Eh, you're wrong. Click on 'All History' on the link below to see the historical bookies prices. It was generally a 1/5 shot for a number of weeks. So you haven't been checking too hard.

http://www.oddschecker.com/awards/oscars/best-picture/bet-history/boyhood/today

ianburke · 18-01-2015 2:48am

Dan Chipowski wrote: »

Eh, you're wrong. Click on 'All History' on the link below to see the historical bookies prices. It was generally a 1/5 shot for a number of weeks. So you haven't been checking too hard.

http://www.oddschecker.com/awards/oscars/best-picture/bet-history/boyhood/today

only been checking since late december. nice work kid. those who got on at those prices must be laughing now. great shout again OP. we need this guys ban lifted!

insidertips · 20-01-2015 1:48am

Best Picture-Boyhood.

Sure as night follows day.

insidertips · 21-01-2015 10:10am

Bookies should start settling on this already.
Just look at the odds across the board on oddschecker.
Odds are 1.06 now on Betfair, I expect 1.01 on finals night.
For odds to be that short at this stage, it means the results have already been leaked to insiders.
Boyhood has already won it.

the whole year inn · 21-01-2015 11:54am

ianburke wrote: »

only been checking since late december. nice work kid. those who got on at those prices must be laughing now. great shout again OP. we need this guys ban lifted!

In the Mrs Brown boys thread he was unhelpful and was delighted that a few of us didn't get paid out.He was rude to a few posters and he deserves the ban.

Ian Whelan · 25-01-2015 10:30pm

2/7 now.

ianburke · 26-01-2015 1:42am

0P will not be happy. hes on at around 1.2 ish....out to 1.5 now. yikes crazy stuff

ianburke · 26-01-2015 6:02am

last price matched 1.78 betfair. birdman into 7/5 in some books. ouch.

Ian Whelan · 27-01-2015 6:06pm

4/5 or 1.8 in a place now. Original poster must be in distress.

ianburke · 27-01-2015 6:55pm

Ian Whelan wrote: »

4/5 or 1.8 in a place now. Original poster must be in distress.

and were matched at 2.4 also. a restless few wks sleep in store it would appear

4068ac1elhodqr · 27-01-2015 7:58pm

Oscars 22nd Feb, still a wee while off to load on at @ x1.8.

/ On the other hand, Costa Book of the Year to be announced (today) 27th January 2015.
/ Also CBB still with about x10 contenders, with Keith Chegwin @ x4.5. To be fair he's probably the least annoying of them all. Might get a bit of a 'sympathy vote %' also as wasn't he the fella who's good looking wife left/cheated fair few years ago.

ianburke · 27-01-2015 8:23pm

insidertips wrote: »

Bookies should start settling on this already.
Just look at the odds across the board on oddschecker.
Odds are 1.06 now on Betfair, I expect 1.01 on finals night.
For odds to be that short at this stage, it means the results have already been leaked to insiders.
Boyhood has already won it.

:eek: :eek:

fair play to ziedth and whole year inn. im sure u guys can lay off having backed birdman at long odds. great shout whether it wins or not. nearly odds on now

the whole year inn · 27-01-2015 9:50pm

ianburke wrote: »

:eek: :eek:

fair play to ziedth and whole year inn. im sure u guys can lay off having backed birdman at long odds. great shout whether it wins or not. nearly odds on now

Didnt back anything,not untill I have watched them both,I seen birdman today and it is a great movie and is pure oscar bait.

Juwwi · 27-01-2015 10:38pm

:eek:

we need to get a petition going to get the OP unbanned

Mezcita · 08-02-2015 6:19pm

Birdman won the best picture prize at the Director's Guild Awards last night. Boyhood now out to 2/1 with Ladbrokes.

ianburke · 08-02-2015 6:59pm

Mezcita wrote: »

Birdman won the best picture prize at the Director's Guild Awards last night. Boyhood now out to 2/1 with Ladbrokes.[/QUOTE=

OP must be getting nervous...

4068ac1elhodqr · 08-02-2015 10:48pm

Reckon OP has moved (whatever's left) over on to EddieSherrydin, to win a few gongs at the BritAwards.

1. Brit Awards - Best British Album Betting Odds
Ed Sheeran - X
88.64 % popularity
x1.67 (BP Bwin)

2. Brit Awards - Best British Male Betting Odds
Ed Sheeran
84 % popularity
x1.57c. (all)

You heard it hear first/again. Odds bit too short for me to consider all the same, (as a single market anyway).

ianburke · 09-02-2015 12:03am

Ariel Hallowed Bread wrote: »

Reckon OP has moved (whatever's left) over on to EddieSherrydin, to win a few gongs at the BritAwards.

1. Brit Awards - Best British Album Betting Odds
Ed Sheeran - X
88.64 % popularity
x1.67 (BP Bwin)

2. Brit Awards - Best British Male Betting Odds
Ed Sheeran
84 % popularity
x1.57c. (all)

You heard it hear first/again. Odds bit too short for me to consider all the same, (as a single market anyway).

he hasnt a pot to whizz in now mate. doubt we will ever hear from him again tbh. maybe its not such a bad thing.

the whole year inn · 09-02-2015 2:05am

Dont want anyone to lose money to the bookies but it was far from a cert bet.

ianburke · 09-02-2015 3:26am

the whole year inn wrote: »

Dont want anyone to lose money to the bookies but it was far from a cert bet.

yep its weird how everywhere it was like 1/16,1/20 etc...amazing how a market can move like that. its probably a decent bet now at what 2/1 or so? saw it at 3.45 betfair earlier. i have a feeling it will still win

Bateman · 09-02-2015 10:00pm

Anyone else on the ill-fated Beyoncé gamble last night?

A fairly respected Vegas-based lad put it up on Twitter that there's been a gamble on her to win best album and some books over there had pulled the market. Bet365 were 5/4, and Powers held 4/5 for a good while before pulling it after midnight.

****ing Beck at 10/1!!!

4068ac1elhodqr · 09-02-2015 10:17pm

Sure Beck any day, a musical multi-talented genius vs 'annoying diva-drivel' soley limited to the 'female teenage pop segment',
always dancing around in those big heels/tights. Wouldn't have backed 'er at 100/1.
Good stuff.

Bateman · 09-02-2015 11:28pm

I wouldn't be a fan of her music, I just wanted to get with the money!

Oscars Best Picture-Boyhood

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