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How Bout Dem Bears?

11718202223105

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,262 ✭✭✭✭Realt Dearg Sec


    I agree moving Shea is a good thing but I don't have faith in him anywhere. If he wasn't a first rounder they'd be looking at cutting their losses. He's a bust imo. But there's no place on defense that we don't need personnel, so I guess we're stuck with him.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,146 ✭✭✭aaronm13


    Confirmed,it's a front loaded deal. 18 million for the first three years but haven't heard the terms for the remaining four years. Hope it's not to high. Risky move by Emery for a injury prone player.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,966 ✭✭✭Syferus


    Oat23 wrote: »
    You should have put this at the start, then I wouldn't have bothered wasting my time reading the rest.

    McCown is a backup. He played well in the system and came out of the season with MVP numbers because he played bad teams.
    He doesn't stand a chance at any other team in the league looking for a QB.

    Which is exactly what a Bears fan would say.

    The Bears system is hardly unique or something that can't be replicated, and it should be remembered McCown out-played Culter in the same system. McCown isn't going to be a clear-cut start anywhere but with such money tied up at QB with Culter other teams will be able to offer McCown better money and a position where he is a damn sight closer to the starter.

    Plenty of teams with under-performing QBs who would be interested in a relatively cheap player who can pressurise the starter.

    Amazing that Emery didn't use McCown's form or the franchise tag to drag either a better deal out of Culter or simply hedging the Bears' bets for a year and giving him incentive to perform. Seems like very jumpy GMing from here.


  • Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 16,589 Mod ✭✭✭✭adrian522


    How did mcGown out play Cutler? Must have missed that. I could have sworn it was Cutler who played when both were healthy.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,335 ✭✭✭padraig_f


    Was on the fence about whether to do an extension and thought $18m was reaching the point where you say no, but I'm ok with the deal. You can put a number like $15m on his value, but then you ask yourself is it worth changing the direction of the franchise for $3m?

    There are also advantages to bringing him back over strictly player-value. It means the team is competitive from week 1 next season. You go the McCown/rookie route, and you're in for a year or two at least of uncertainty, which may or may not work out. The offense is built to win now, so I think it makes sense from that point of view.

    Putting a dollar value on a QB is difficult, it's the biggest cap hit, but it's by far the most important position on the team. You can guess at numbers based on what other QBs earn, but the position is so influential it's hard to be definitive. The decision looked so close to me I'd decided to bow to the better judgment of Emery/Trestman. They know more than I do about QB evaluation and cap implications, if they were good with it (and they acted very decisively) I'm happy to go along with it.

    I liked the process of the decision, didn't do an extension last year, took a year to work together with Trestman, and then acted very quickly and decisively. They did it from a position of strength too, with McCown performing well, so I think that bodes well for it being a good decision.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 805 ✭✭✭SameOleJay


    The tangible impact of the cap hit will be Peppers out the gate this off-season and one of Alshon or Marshall gone next I expect.

    With Peppers being so chronic and the noise coming out on Marquess Wilson I think we can sit pretty comfortable there.

    I'm happy with this I have to say.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,725 ✭✭✭kennyb3


    Anyone know what the deal is with peppers?

    Won't be cut till post 1 June 2014 as it lowers the cap hit.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,725 ✭✭✭kennyb3


    I was fine with $12-$15m, $18m per year for 3 years is nuts imho for 3 reasons - injury history, lack of playoffs made let alone big games won and our defence. Rodgers was out for 6/7 games this year creating a massive opening in the division, one we might not see for a good few years till rodgers retires and we still couldn't make a playoff. Jay played well last Sunday (for once against GB), but he also played pretty poor the week before in Philly.

    Anyway I think the main issue that's now $3-$5m dollars we are now short on the defensive side of the ball every year for the next 3 years. So when people moan about our safety play next year remember our FA safety is now invested in our QB. Emery is going to have to make some epic draft picks on the defensive side of the ball to get this defence right (and Shae Mc and Hardin don't inspire confidence)

    How will people feel if Jay goes down injured for 3-5 games next year? And I'll be bringing this back up when he does get injured!

    I think it's pretty obvious that we overpaid for an injury prone QB when you hear the vast majority of other teams fans delighted with the news.

    Aaron Rodgers makes an average of $20.83m per year for his first 3 years, I'm a bears fan but Cutler isn't even close to the same league as Rodgers. Not right imho.

    We've basically handicapped our defence for the next few years for a non elite QB.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,426 ✭✭✭Jolly Red Giant


    Wow - serious contract for Cutler - the Bears are pinning their future completely on him.

    I think its crazy money - and some of the money being paid for QBs is way out of proportion. The contract Manning signed with Denver a couple of years ago does not seem as outlandish as it did at the time.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,262 ✭✭✭✭Realt Dearg Sec


    Wow - serious contract for Cutler - the Bears are pinning their future completely on him.

    I think its crazy money - and some of the money being paid for QBs is way out of proportion. The contract Manning signed with Denver a couple of years ago does not seem as outlandish as it did at the time.

    Yeah and once cam, kaep, rgiii, and Wilson come up for negotiation, and with probably raised salary caps, Cutler will be getting paid about the middle range again, relative to the league as a whole, and nobody will remember this discussion.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,725 ✭✭✭kennyb3


    Yeah and once cam, kaep, rgiii, and Wilson come up for negotiation, and with probably raised salary caps, Cutler will be getting paid about the middle range again, relative to the league as a whole, and nobody will remember this discussion.

    Absolutely no way to know this - pure speculation, we can only compare to those who've been paid recently. And you can delete RGknee from that list imho (no way he'll be getting $20m+ per annum and to be honest i'm not sure all the others will either) and add Luck. The other 3 (4 with Luck) have led their franchises to the playoffs this season (3 of the 4 did last year too), have age on their side and haven't had any injuries of note.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,724 ✭✭✭✭Oat23


    We should have let both McCown and Cutler walk then got Kordell Stewart out of retirement on a vet minimum deal to save money.

    Kenny: Do you not believe the Bears can win a Superbowl with Cutler running Trestmans offense? If like the team you believe they can, you DO NOT let him hit free agency. Simple as that.

    There is still enough cap room to take care of the D in the draft and free agency. If Peppers is cut, there should be around $20m left after putting money aside for the draft class and estimating the cap hits from Jennings, Slauson and Cutler. Instead of letting Pep go and eating the dead money (think it is around $8m?), you could restructure with a cap hit around that amount if he would agree to it. That would be one less position needed and he could be better in 2014 with another good pass rusher the other side. He was basically the only threat this year and every team knew it.

    Edit: According to pro football talk, Cutler just has a base salary and no signing bonus or anything else. So his cap hits don't need to be estimated and are $22.5m, $15m and $16m the next 3 seasons if I understand it right? It's big this year but the next two years are good. I always had confidence that Cliff Stein would make it work for the team.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,369 ✭✭✭UnitedIrishman


    Is that not the issue though Oat? The way the game has gone and the manner of the new CBA, you're better off gambling on a decent rookie QB and investing in other areas of the team if you don't have an elite QB. Even with Wilson, Kaep and Luck (although could be argued these three are currently on route to the top bracket of QB's if they continue their development) the time will come to decide whether their worth to the team is enough to carry a poor defence or be able to carry a poor receiving corps. The answer will most likely be yes in their cases, but I don't think Cutler warrants that kind of money. That's just an opinion of course and the Bears FO obviously have banked on him being the answer.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,875 ✭✭✭Spongey1975


    Interesting article on the Cutler contract here

    Ok so we will be tight against the cap this year but i trust Phil Emery to get the job done on defense. The offense is set now bar Garza at centre. I do believe that we overpaid in year one for Cutler but i've been looking at what would happen if we allowed Cutler to reach free agency. He is the best QB in this years free agent class and there are a few QB needy teams so i'd say one of them would have stumped up the cash for him. With Cutler gone then you look at Brandon Marshall, will he stay beyond the final year of his contract or go where Cutler is. I just dont see our offense nowhere near as effective without those two.

    This contract will have people on both sides and we will never agree. I'm just glad we still have him. Our offense has been the best i've seen since the 80's and i think we can get better. Its going to be an interesting offseason watching the moves Emery makes


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,724 ✭✭✭✭Oat23


    Is that not the issue though Oat? The way the game has gone and the manner of the new CBA, you're better off gambling on a decent rookie QB and investing in other areas of the team if you don't have an elite QB. Even with Wilson, Kaep and Luck (although could be argued these three are currently on route to the top bracket of QB's if they continue

    No way. Letting a QB like Cutler walk and gambling on getting a Wilson/Kaep would be ridiculous. You might end up with a Ponder, Sanchez, Weeden, Freeman, Gabbert...I could keep going. This is an offensive league and you need a QB. Cutler is expensive, but he can get the job done imo.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,262 ✭✭✭✭Realt Dearg Sec


    Oat23 wrote: »
    We should have let both McCown and Cutler walk then got Kordell Stewart out of retirement on a vet minimum deal to save money.

    Kenny: Do you not believe the Bears can win a Superbowl with Cutler running Trestmans offense? If like the team you believe they can, you DO NOT let him hit free agency. Simple as that.

    There is still enough cap room to take care of the D in the draft and free agency. If Peppers is cut, there should be around $20m left after putting money aside for the draft class and estimating the cap hits from Jennings, Slauson and Cutler. Instead of letting Pep go and eating the dead money (think it is around $8m?), you could restructure with a cap hit around that amount if he would agree to it. That would be one less position needed and he could be better in 2014 with another good pass rusher the other side. He was basically the only threat this year and every team knew it.

    Edit: According to pro football talk, Cutler just has a base salary and no signing bonus or anything else. So his cap hits don't need to be estimated and are $22.5m, $15m and $16m the next 3 seasons if I understand it right? It's big this year but the next two years are good. I always had confidence that Cliff Stein would make it work for the team.

    If that's the deal then it's pretty good. He's obviously not worth 22 million but we can absorb that this year with the space we have.

    Kenny, I'm not saying by any means that Cutler is an ideal quarter back but we are paying market value. He had his best season so far this year, with a good o line for one. Presumably emery and trest regard his production this year as indicative of his future potential. They may be wrong, I dunno. Personally I think the big gamble here is not on his ability, I think he well get things done and continue to improve. The real risk, and its a big one, is his health. If he can't stay upright fir 16 games or as close as possible, year on year, then we are basically screwed. But his playoff record notwithstanding I agree with the decision.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 805 ✭✭✭SameOleJay


    Is that not the issue though Oat? The way the game has gone and the manner of the new CBA, you're better off gambling on a decent rookie QB and investing in other areas of the team if you don't have an elite QB. Even with Wilson, Kaep and Luck (although could be argued these three are currently on route to the top bracket of QB's if they continue their development) the time will come to decide whether their worth to the team is enough to carry a poor defence or be able to carry a poor receiving corps. The answer will most likely be yes in their cases, but I don't think Cutler warrants that kind of money. That's just an opinion of course and the Bears FO obviously have banked on him being the answer.

    Fair play, at least you’ve offered an alternative- I’ve read pages and pages of rabble with no other ideas put forward.

    I’m with Oat though and disagree entirely. There is NOTHING in free agency and we just don’t have the draft position for a top end rookie. Let’s say we offer Jay 14 mill, he hits the open market and Tennessee throw the wallet at him (someone will). We’re then f*cked

    What potential defensive recruits would offset the fact we have no franchise quarterback? He isn’t worth 18 mill, I’d have him at 15 but he’s got all the leverage and he knows it. The heat is on Emery to draft well at D and do a job in free agency. I have total faith.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,794 ✭✭✭raze_them_all_


    I actually don't think the bears are sold on the new college hybrid qbs, and want to give it a few years to see if its a fad or if it really can work in the nfl. As a packers fan I'm delighted ye took Cutler on for so long, but can also see the logic of it. Ye did over pay but thats flaccos fault


  • Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 16,589 Mod ✭✭✭✭adrian522


    They've only really committed to him for 3 years with this contract, no way he'll play all 7 under that deal.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,724 ✭✭✭✭Oat23


    As a packers fan I'm delighted ye took Cutler on for so long, but can also see the logic of it. Ye did over pay but thats flaccos fault

    It's basically a 3 year deal. He can be cut loose after that at no cost to the team as there is no signing bonus and all his guaranteed money is in the first 3 years (22.5m + 15.5m + 16m = 54m).

    It's a great deal for the team. People can look at the numbers and see $126m and 7 years or whatever, but Cutler agreed to a team friendly deal. His cap hits after this year are right around where most Bears fans said would be acceptable ($15m).

    As the article on BR says, it allows the team to analyse the QB draft class over the next few years without forcing them to make a pick (like we would have had to this year without Cutler). If a QB comes along in 2015 or 2016 that they like, roll with him after 2016 and let Cutler go. No cap penalties.

    The alternative is Cutler finally shines in this offense and the Bears win a superbowl. Then he will be here for another few years and the cap hits then are team friendly as well:
    • 2017: $12.5 million
    • 2018: $13.5 million
    • 2019: $17.5 million
    • 2020: $19.2 million
    Very happy with this deal.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,608 ✭✭✭cathalio11


    Thank you for summing that up, Oats.

    I love watching football but just haven't gotten my head around the financial regulations and all that lark.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 805 ✭✭✭SameOleJay


    Brad Biggs ‏@BradBiggs 4m
    #Bears CB Tim Jennings gets a 4-year contract worth $22.4 million with $11.815 guaranteed. Pretty good contract for 30-year-old at position.

    5.6 million per would make Jennings the 18th highest paid CB (2013 salaries). 11.8 million guaranteed dollars would put him 16th.

    I think that’s fair and, I imagine, he could have garnered more elsewhere.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,875 ✭✭✭Spongey1975


    SameOleJay wrote: »
    5.6 million per would make Jennings the 18th highest paid CB (2013 salaries). 11.8 million guaranteed dollars would put him 16th.

    I think that’s fair and, I imagine, he could have garnered more elsewhere.

    Its a good contract for Jennings. Do we know the yearly breakdown. I would imagine its backloaded so this years cap hit is closer to 4 million

    EDIT: Ugh i just found the details. No signing bonus. Cap Hits are 2014 - 7.5m, 2015 - 4.5m, 2016 -5m, 2017 - 5.4m


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,725 ✭✭✭kennyb3


    I'm busy now and for the weekend, but will reply properly if i get a chance (11 week old twins) but I wrote a general response here.

    It's not just about Cutler or no Cutler, it's about value - this home town, help the team discount that was spouted went out the window for sure - totally overpaid imho for an injury prone, interception laden and unsucessful in big game QB. Market value? Compared to other failures like Romo and Stafford? At least Flacco did something to deserve his contract.

    As I've said before give me McCown for a year, let Trestman work with a drafted QB - if he really is a QB guru we shouldn't have to worry, and give me the extra $13-$15m to spend on defence. If McCown can play like Kurt Warner under Trestman well Cutler better play like Dan Marino next year. Or i'll take Cutler at $14/15m per annum and use the extra $3/4m on a DT, safety or CB. Someone like Artur Jones at DT wouldn't work out at much more than $4m per year for example.

    This is like Lovie and JA in reverse, we'll have a good offence and a **** defence for years to come.

    Honestly I see no way we can beat out the Packers for the division with Arod around, let alone win a superbowl. So if you're asking me do I think Cutler can win a superbowl the answer is a firm NO! For loads of reasons. If we do I'll be the first one on here to apologise.

    As I've said in the linked post - look at the make up of the teams in the playoffs and you'll see where this is going (and last year).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,724 ✭✭✭✭Oat23



    EDIT: Ugh i just found the details. No signing bonus. Cap Hits are 2014 - 7.5m, 2015 - 4.5m, 2016 -5m, 2017 - 5.4m

    My salary cap estimate had his hit this year at 8m. It had Cutler at 18.5m though and not 22.5m.

    I estimated Slauson at 5m. So maybe around $17m - $20m left with Peppers gone.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,725 ✭✭✭kennyb3


    If that's the deal then it's pretty good. He's obviously not worth 22 million but we can absorb that this year with the space we have.

    Kenny, I'm not saying by any means that Cutler is an ideal quarter back but we are paying market value. He had his best season so far this year, with a good o line for one. Presumably emery and trest regard his production this year as indicative of his future potential. They may be wrong, I dunno. Personally I think the big gamble here is not on his ability, I think he well get things done and continue to improve. The real risk, and its a big one, is his health. If he can't stay upright fir 16 games or as close as possible, year on year, then we are basically screwed. But his playoff record notwithstanding I agree with the decision.

    So apart from the injuries and play off record your happy with the decision?Oh and the fact you reckon they've overpaid by $3m per year? just because the Titans or Tampa might be interested.

    And we don't have the cap space - not if we don't want to break more 50 year defensive records for being incredibly shi't.

    Lets remember we've to sign (re-sign) at least 3/4 DT's unless we plan to go into the season with 2 guys coming off ACL's, Ratliff (who I really want to keep) who has an injury history. If we keep Ratliff and Paea you need 3 other DT's minimum - one could be Collins or Melton but you can't go with both, and if you go with Ratliff, Paea and Melton you need 2 others who you'll certain will be fit. We also need a safety (really 2), a CB, two defensive ends, a MLB, possibly at least one other LB.

    The draft isn't going to fix all those needs certain not with players that can perform year 1 (Bostic, Greene anyone?) so we need a lot of FA signings.

    We'll be getting quantity rather than quality imho. Emery is going to have to work magic.

    I love Emery and his attitude and really think he could hit on a few players but he isn't god - he's drafted some bad players and will continue to do so (like all GM's), has made mistakes - going into the season with 3DT's and us ending up with an UDFA DT (Minter) and Cohen off the street both who performed hopelessly and having way too many receivers on the roster (Bennett, Wilson, Weems and Anderson at one point all behind BMarsh and Jeffrey when we usually only have 2 on the field most of the time), wasting stupid money on Michael Bush who isn't used much.

    If someone who thinks this cap situation is fine after Cutler getting $22m this year wants to do up a mock re-signings, free agency and draft and then Roster with realistic cap hit figures I'd like to see how they'll structure it.

    Again looking at the Jennings contract too and I can see what Emery is trying to do - front load the older players so we don't end up with a Peppers situation, but with Cutler and Jennings getting so much in year one ($30m combined) we are going to be restricted in FA for sure.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,262 ✭✭✭✭Realt Dearg Sec


    I didn't say anything about the playoffs, just the injury situation. His time at the bears has involved constant change at OC, terrible o line play, and either one receiver or more usually none. The main thing this contract brings is stability. Whether they can fix the d is on them now, I think it'll take more than a year no matter what they do in free agency this year.

    Regarding the draft this does ensure that we can draft for the d, obviously not all of the picks will work out, but with fourteenth pick and an anticipated run on quarterbacks, it's reasonable to expect some high calibre defensive options falling to us (and not reasonable to expect to get a quality quarter back imo).

    Anyway, it's done now, hopefully my optimistic view turns out correct, meanwhile it'll be interesting to see what moves they make in the off-season having so quickly close the book on what promised to be a drawn out quarterback issue.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,725 ✭✭✭kennyb3


    Oat23 wrote: »
    Instead of letting Pep go and eating the dead money (think it is around $8m?), you could restructure with a cap hit around that amount if he would agree to it. That would be one less position needed and he could be better in 2014 with another good pass rusher the other side. He was basically the only threat this year and every team knew it.

    Edit: According to pro football talk, Cutler just has a base salary and no signing bonus or anything else. So his cap hits don't need to be estimated and are $22.5m, $15m and $16m the next 3 seasons if I understand it right? It's big this year but the next two years are good. I always had confidence that Cliff Stein would make it work for the team.

    Think I addressed most of your other points in my posts - as I said I'd like Peppers to stay and get a 'free' player but no way can you rely on him as an every down every game player now. He declined massively this year and age is not on his side. There is no evidence to suggest he can bounce back - you simply can't take this chance and end up short a DE. And yes he was the only threat till Ratliff arrived but if you do the video analysis plenty of time he was 1 on 1 and couldn't beat his man - the whole he was double teamed all the time is a fable. He didn't show up for many a game end of.

    And yes year 2 and 3 are better on Cutler's contract, big hit this year but that doesn't help the 'rebuild the defence, win now situation' this year and I'd imagine year 2 and 3 are built like that as Bmarsh has to be extended, Briggs too and Jeffrey will be due to get paid in year 3 no? The overall number is still the same and we need a defence now and the $22.5m in the current year kind of further strengthens what i'm getting at.

    Bottom line - expect one decent FA signing defensively and a bunch of journeymen. Hope Tucker isn't left to work with them. Pray Emery has a knock out draft (we'll need it).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,725 ✭✭✭kennyb3


    I didn't say anything about the playoffs, just the injury situation.

    The bottom line of the previous post did. anyway off out - enough of my moaning:)


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,262 ✭✭✭✭Realt Dearg Sec


    kennyb3 wrote: »
    The bottom line of the previous post did. anyway off out - enough of my moaning:)

    Sorry my mistake, what I meant was I don't regard his playoff record as very telling because of the teams he was with.

    Anyway this is like the mccown debate insofar as we're unlikely to agree.


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