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D's Football log

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  • 18-12-2013 5:27pm
    #1
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭


    Hi all, some might remember that I pop up now and then with logs, decided to head towards the new year with a new log. The hope is to stick to this and only this for my flutters for the future.

    I will do a good bit of research into each bet and the aim is basically to win every day, odds will be very low as they will be the safest i can find and we will bank now and then to make sure we are only betting with profits and i am setting a max of 10 Eu to be deposited on a Tuesday if we run out of money. Putting in 20 Eu to start me off tonight, will be single bets, no multiples, a bet a day.

    Not going to make me rich over night, but should have a bit of fun and keep track of profit and loss.


Comments

  • Options
    #2
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    well bugger not a good way to start but i had a nice long post made up and i just lost it.

    In Brief.
    First bet is
    Atletico Madrid v Sant Andreu
    18th of Dec 2013 6:30 pm
    Over/Under 2.5 Goals
    Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.22

    At home second team with 3 youth squad should be easy 3:0 still for Atletico Madrid if not more, if Sant Andreu manage a goal all the better for us.

    Bet 10 Eu
    Bank 10 Eu


  • Options
    #3
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    well F me that was close....
    ( Must say having the bet really added to the excitement )

    Spanish Copa Del Rey
    Atletico Madrid v Sant Andreu
    18th of Dec 2013 6:30 pm
    Over/Under 2.5 Goals
    Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.22

    Win Total Returns €12.22

    Bank 22.22


  • Options
    #4
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    MARITIMO V SPORTING BRAGA
    Portuguese Primeira Liga
    20:00 Thursday, 19th December 2013


    Héldon and Darley are having a great season for Marítimo and i have a feeling they might end their 8 in row match loses against Braga tonight. Will wait and see team lists thou
    update...
    Well MARITIMO had their chance and dident take it, 2:1 at half trime, Derley was one of the scorers, BRAGA equalised in the 81st min and Derley was sent off in the 83rd min. 2:2 FT result. Would have gone for over 1.5 goals so would have been another win for us.


  • Options
    #5
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    ok decided on change of plans,

    French Ligue 2 Lens v Istres
    19-12-2013 19:45
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30

    Lens have won 7 of their last 8 home matches in Ligue 2.
    Currently 2nd in Ligue 2.

    Istres have conceded at least 2 goals in 7 of their last 8 away matches in Ligue 2.
    Currently 19th in Ligue 2.

    Istres are having a nightmare of a season and i can see Lens getting 2 goals past them.

    Bank €10
    Bet €12.22 @ 1.3

    Win Total Returns €15.89


    update

    0-0 at half time, Lens went a goal down in the 53rd, came right back 1:1 in the 55th, then conceded another in the 69'th and lost 1:2. A well needed win for Istres and a disappointing result for Lens.


  • Options
    #6
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    2 missed penalties and a disallowed goal in the first half, its going to be one of those days :(


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  • Options
    #7
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    and 3 minutes later its a win for us LOL

    Football Matches
    French Ligue 2
    Lens v Istres
    19th of Dec 2013 7:45 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30

    Win Total Returns €15.89


  • Options
    #8
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    First glance this morning..
    FC Eindhoven v Telstar looks like tonights bet, they always score goals against each other and they both having a great +2.5 goals per game season

    --
    edit.. odds are a bit low thou...
    FC Eindhoven 3 : 1 Telstar (we would have won the bet but 1.14 odds for 1.5 goals was a bit low)


  • Options
    #9
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    ok after much deliberation i decided to go with..

    French Ligue 1 Monaco v Valenciennes
    20-12-2013 19:30
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.22

    €15.89 Bet
    €10.00 Bank
    Monaco are missing Falcao and Yannick Ferreira-Carrasco but they are in decent form winning the last 5 games.
    Average goals scored at home: 1.78
    ( RIVIERE has a great chance to score tonight)

    Valenciennes are having overall a poor season and are missing some of the best players namely
    Maor Melikson, Anthony Le Tallec,

    also unavilable for them are Gregory Pujol, Lindsay Rose, Marco da Silva, Opa Nguette

    They just look really weak on paper and going to Stade Louis II i can see >2 goals!


  • Options
    #10
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    76th min

    so far its 0:2

    Monaco
    Total Shots: 17
    On Target: 8
    Off Target: 3
    Hit Woodwork: 1
    Blocked: 6

    Valenciennes
    Total Shots: 5
    On Target: 4
    Off Target: 1
    Hit Woodwork: 0
    Blocked: 0

    With 15 mins left, Monaco look like they could not score in a brothel with 500 quid in their wallet. But main thing is 0:2 so we win our bet.

    French Ligue 1
    Monaco v Valenciennes
    20th of Dec 2013 7:30 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.22
    Win Total Returns €19.42

    ended 1:2


  • Options
    #11
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    todays bet .

    Spanish La Liga Matches Villarreal v Sevilla
    21-12-2013 15:00
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28


    Bet €19.42
    Bank €10

    ---
    update
    I am trying to keep to safe bets this was down my list cause the odds on the easy pics like the premier league were all silly 1.14 and lower for 1.5 goals, i might consider odds that low much later when we hopefully have a bank built up and our bets are a larger size.


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  • Options
    #12
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    Villarreal 1 : 2 Sevilla

    Football Matches
    Spanish La Liga Matches
    Villarreal v Sevilla
    21st of Dec 2013 3:00 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28
    Win Total Returns €24.97

    Bank 34.97


  • Options
    #13
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    Todays bet

    Premier League Matches Southampton v Tottenham
    22-12-2013 13:30
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30

    €20 bet

    Bank 14.97

    Going to add a little to the bank now and then, to start getting ready for a rainy day.


  • Options
    #14
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    Southampton v Tottenham
    22nd of Dec 2013 1:30 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30
    Win Total Returns €26.00


    Bet was won 25 mins into the match, finished 2:3

    Bank 40.97

    ---
    may have a bet tonight, will have a good look now


  • Options
    #15
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    I had a 5 match list made up and i think i will pick number 3 for a second bet tonight, did not aim for 2 bets a day and will be very seldom this happens but which will be

    Spanish La Liga Matches Athletic Bilbao v Rayo Vallecano
    22-12-2013 18:00
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.16

    €26.00 Bet

    €14.97 Bank

    Rayo Vallecano have conceded at least 2 goals in 6 of their last 7 matches in La Liga.

    Rayo Vallecano have scored at least 2 goals in 5 of their last 6 matches against Athletic Bilbao in all competitions

    Athletic Bilbao have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 3 matches against Rayo Vallecano in all competitions.

    Athletic Bilbao are undefeated in their last 8 home matches in La Liga.
    Watching the match on line http://cricfree.tv/live/watch/athletic_bilbao_vs_rayo_vallecano/20470


  • Options
    #16
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    Spanish La Liga Matches
    Athletic Bilbao v Rayo Vallecano
    22nd of Dec 2013 6:00 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.16
    Win Total Returns €30.33


    Bank €45.30
    ---
    Calling it a night rest of the games are either not value enough or a bit iffy..
    PSG V LILLE, Lille have a annoying 1-0, 0-1 tendency....
    VALENCIA V REAL MADRID, 1.10 for +1.5 goals not worth it.
    INTER MILAN V AC MILAN, i don't like betting on these type of Derby's.
    BELENENSES V ESTORIL, don't know enough about them.
    CELTA VIGO V OSASUNA, god only knows, both pretty ****e
    CD MIRANDES V ALCORCON, dont know enough about them

    ----
    if i was going to bet it would be REAL MADRID to win with Ronaldo to score for just a few quid to make it interesting to watch.


  • Options
    #17
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    Real Madrid won and Ronaldo did score, didn't have money on it thou :)


  • Options
    #18
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    ok not much football on today but looking forward to ARSENAL V CHELSEA tonight, both teams must win and it should be a good match if they both go all out.

    Premier League Matches Arsenal v Chelsea
    23-12-2013 20:00
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.22

    €25 bet
    €20.30 in bank

    Going to leave the bank at €20 for a few bets now and try to build up the betting.


  • Options
    #19
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    Well that was disappointing to say the least, i wont go into an anti Arsenal rant, but lets all just blame the weather...#

    It does show a big hole in this log, after fifteen minutes of watching, i told the guy beside me to stick on a under 2.5 goals bet. If i was doing in play bets there was no way i would have went for our original bet. It does show banking your money is a good thing and its always advisable to gamble with your winnings not your bank.

    Going to have to think about the log and how i want to continue, still want this to be my betting log, just not sure how to run it, in the last few days i have passed up on a few winning bets due to the rules i set myself. Will be back Boxing Day for the ful


  • Options
    #20
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    Well had a think, and i decided i will turn turn this into a 5 bet log, start with 20 quid a week (Tuesday) and have 5 bets, as many a day as i like, what every i like football wise (be mostly over 1.5 cause i like em) no banking along the way. Will see how this goes over the next few weeks!

    So Today we start.
    As its a full day of football all over, going to bite the bullet and go for a 5 fold! If it loses we have to wait till next Tuesday to refund :)

    English League 1 Matches Coventry v Peterborough
    26-12-2013 12:00
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.16
    English Championship Matches Doncaster v Ipswich
    26-12-2013 15:00
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28
    Premier League Matches Tottenham v West Brom
    26-12-2013 15:00
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.16
    Premier League Matches Chelsea v Swansea
    26-12-2013 15:00
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.16
    Premier League Matches Man City v Liverpool
    26-12-2013 17:30
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.12


  • Options
    #21
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    Football Matches
    English League 1 Matches
    Coventry v Peterborough
    26th of Dec 2013 12:00 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.16
    Win


    Football Matches
    English Championship Matches
    Doncaster v Ipswich
    26th of Dec 2013 3:00 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28
    Win


    Football Matches
    Premier League Matches
    Tottenham v West Brom
    26th of Dec 2013 3:00 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.16
    Win


    Football Matches
    Premier League Matches
    Chelsea v Swansea
    26th of Dec 2013 3:00 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.16
    Lose


    Football Matches
    Premier League Matches
    Man City v Liverpool
    26th of Dec 2013 5:30 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.12
    Win



    Gah Chelsea again, Ok no more bets on Chelsea again!!!


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  • Options
    #22
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    Won a few quid on a horse bet yesterday so..

    Scottish League Two Matches Stirling Albion v Clyde
    28-12-2013 15:00
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20
    English Conference National Matches Alfreton v Southport
    28-12-2013 15:00
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.16
    English Conference National Matches Hyde v Wrexham
    28-12-2013 15:00
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.16
    English Conference National Matches Luton v Kidderminster
    28-12-2013 15:00
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20


    25 quid


  • Options
    #23
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    Selection Selection Details Result
    1
    Football Matches
    Scottish League Two Matches
    Stirling Albion v Clyde
    28th of Dec 2013 3:00 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20
    Win

    Selection Selection Details Result
    2
    Football Matches
    English Conference National Matches
    Alfreton v Southport
    28th of Dec 2013 3:20 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.16
    Win

    Selection Selection Details Result
    3
    Football Matches
    English Conference National Matches
    Hyde v Wrexham
    28th of Dec 2013 3:00 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.16
    Win

    Selection Selection Details Result
    4
    Football Matches
    English Conference National Matches
    Luton v Kidderminster
    28th of Dec 2013 3:00 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20
    Win

    Stake and Return Details
    Bet placed at 28th of Dec 2013 10:12 am Total Stake €25.00
    Bet type Accumulator (4) (To Win) Tax@Tax free 0
    Number of lines 1 Total stake due €25.00
    Stake per line €25.00 Freebets Redeemed €0.00
    Channel Internet Total amount paid €25.00
    Number of win lines 1
    Number of void lines 0 Returns €49.00
    Total Returns €49.00


  • Options
    #24
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    English Championship Matches Watford v QPR
    29-12-2013 15:00
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33
    English Championship Matches Doncaster v Millwall
    29-12-2013 15:00
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30
    English League 1 Matches Coventry v Oldham
    29-12-2013 15:00
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20

    24 Bet

    ---

    Coventry 20/22 previous games have been +2.5 goals

    Doncaster last 11 games have all had +0.5 first half goals
    Doncaster v Millwall both need a win,
    Millwall has a 90% over 2.5 goals away per game,
    Doncaster has a 80% over 2.5 goals at home per game


  • Options
    #25
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    Had to take some time off from the log but back again.


    Portuguese League Cup Benfica v Leixoes
    15-01-2014 20:45
    Win-Draw-Win
    Benfica @ 1.12

    FA Cup Matches Man City v Blackburn
    15-01-2014 20:15
    Win-Draw-Win
    Man City @ 1.12

    Turkish Cup Galatasaray v Tokatspor
    15-01-2014 17:00
    Win-Draw-Win
    Galatasaray @ 1.10


    5 euro win

    ***************************
    Bet won, 6.96 return, slow and steady ...


  • Options
    #26
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    Got a 5 euro free bet so went for a 15 fold over 1.5 on todays matches.... yep i know bit of a long shot :D

    Selection Selection Details Result
    1
    Football Matches
    Portuguese League Cup
    Benfica v Leixoes
    15th of January 2014 8:45 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.12
    Pending

    Selection Selection Details Result
    2
    Football Matches
    Spanish Copa Del Rey
    Osasuna v Real Madrid
    15th of January 2014 8:30 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.12
    Pending

    Selection Selection Details Result
    3
    Football Matches
    FA Cup Matches
    Man City v Blackburn
    15th of January 2014 8:10 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.08
    Pending

    Selection Selection Details Result
    4
    Football Matches
    Italian Cup
    Napoli v Atalanta
    15th of January 2014 8:00 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.16
    Pending

    Selection Selection Details Result
    5
    Football Matches
    Belgian Cup
    KV Oostende v Genk
    15th of January 2014 7:45 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.22
    Pending

    Selection Selection Details Result
    6
    Football Matches
    Belgian Cup
    Lokeren v Westerlo
    15th of January 2014 7:30 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20
    Pending

    Selection Selection Details Result
    7
    Football Matches
    Belgian Cup
    Cercle Brugge v Zulte Waregem
    15th of January 2014 7:00 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20
    Pending

    Selection Selection Details Result
    8
    Football Matches
    Portuguese League Cup
    Porto v Penafiel
    15th of January 2014 6:30 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.11
    Pending

    Selection Selection Details Result
    9
    Football Matches
    Spanish Copa Del Rey
    Athletic Bilbao v Betis
    15th of January 2014 6:30 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.16
    Pending

    Selection Selection Details Result
    10
    Football Matches
    Friendly Matches
    SC Verl v Paderborn
    15th of January 2014 6:00 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.14
    Pending

    Selection Selection Details Result
    11
    Football Matches
    Friendly Matches
    Chemnitzer v Kaiserslautern
    15th of January 2014 5:30 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20
    Pending

    Selection Selection Details Result
    12
    Football Matches
    Turkish Cup
    Galatasaray v Tokatspor
    15th of January 2014 5:00 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.10
    Pending

    Selection Selection Details Result
    13
    Football Matches
    Friendly Matches
    FSV Mainz 05 v FSV Frankfurt
    15th of January 2014 5:00 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.14
    Pending

    Selection Selection Details Result
    14
    Football Matches
    Italian Cup
    AC Milan v Spezia
    15th of January 2014 5:00 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.12
    Pending

    Selection Selection Details Result
    15
    Football Matches
    Portuguese League Cup
    Sporting Braga v Beira Mar
    15th of January 2014 4:00 pm
    Over/Under 1.5 Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.16
    Pending




    *********************
    Result
    13/15 so close....


  • Options
    #27
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    Portuguese League Cup Estoril v Belenenses
    16-01-2014 17:00
    Double Chance
    Estoril And Draw @ 1.10
    Spanish Copa Del Rey Getafe v Barcelona
    16-01-2014 21:00
    Win-Draw-Win
    Barcelona @ 1.22

    6.96 bet

    ****************************
    Bet won, 9.36


  • Options
    #28
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    Selection Selection Details Result
    1
    Football Matches
    Betting in Running
    Bayer Leverkusen v Fortuna Dusseldorf
    16th of January 2014 2:00 pm
    Win-Draw-Win
    Bayer Leverkusen @ 1.30
    Pending

    Selection Selection Details Result
    2
    Football Matches
    African Nations Championship
    Burkina Faso v Morocco
    16th of January 2014 6:00 pm
    Win-Draw-Win
    Morocco @ 1.80
    Pending

    Selection Selection Details Result
    3
    Football Matches
    Greek Cup
    Niki Volou v Apollon Smyrnis
    16th of January 2014 6:00 pm
    Win-Draw-Win
    Niki Volou @ 2.10
    Pending



    quick bet for 5 quid


    ***********************************
    Morocco let me down, damn them!
    No more quick bets in this thread, will stick to the safe bets :D


  • Options
    #29
    DelSutton
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    Australian A-League Perth Glory v Brisbane Roar
    17-01-2014 10:50
    Alternative Handicap
    Brisbane Roar (+1.0) @ 1.20
    Australian A-League Melbourne Heart v Newcastle Jets
    17-01-2014 08:35
    Alternative Handicap
    Newcastle Jets (+2.0) @ 1.11


    9.36 bet


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