The Prince of Burma appreciation thread

fangee · 23-08-2013 11:44AM

droidman123 wrote: »

Think i might invest a bob or two on the hammers drawing away to newcastle.we have a decent record at st james park,but newcastle will be licking their wounds after the man city debacle, a draw looks the bet.maybe the colonel will oblige me and check the price? I,m in work watching porn..ahem...i mean working!

Draw or away win. I'd nearly go away win.

Sam will be well up for it.

fangee · 23-08-2013 11:45AM

Overthelast wrote: »

Man U v Chelsea will have a real edge this w/e. I would fancy Chelsea/Murinho to throw everything at it & win. Moyes first big test. If he comes through this, then he'll get great confidence & probably kick on. If Utd lose, I can see a bit of fireworks as the transfer window closes (further push for Baines/Fellani etc) with Rooney rattling his cot trying to get out of Old Trafford. All great fun really.

Couldn't agree more. Strongly fancy a Chelsea win.

23-08-2013 12:25PM

fangee wrote: »

Draw or away win. I'd nearly go away win.

Sam will be well up for it.

Problem is our away form last season was diabolical, hopefully big sam can sort that out.

Colonel Sanders · 23-08-2013 12:56PM

fangee wrote: »

I think you called it right first time but i know youve missed the price. Southampton win.

Would be mad for you to have a bet at all especially if you're changing your mind.

Nah I bet prices not teams.

Slattsy · 23-08-2013 01:05PM

Found an app to watch the racing, there wont be much work done this afternoon

Colonel Sanders · 23-08-2013 02:22PM

Bet365 going their offer again on the Chelsea v Man U game

Have a bet before kick off and get a free in play bet to the same stake (up to a max of €50)

Overthelast · 23-08-2013 02:24PM

Colonel Sanders wrote: »

Bet365 going their offer again on the Chelsea v Man U game

Have a bet before kick off and get a free in play bet to the same stake (up to a max of €50)

Back Chelsea to win & back them to win again :pac:

23-08-2013 04:46PM

Slattsy wrote: »

Found an app to watch the racing, there wont be much work done this afternoon

What app is it?

Johner · 23-08-2013 05:32PM

UrbanSea wrote: »

That was absolutely shocking

Same thing happened today with that horse The Black Russian! Went clear and was never caught. You think the jockeys would have been clued in from the last time.

NewApproach · 23-08-2013 06:48PM

fangee wrote: »

I think you called it right first time but i know youve missed the price. Southampton win.

Would be mad for you to have a bet at all especially if you're changing your mind.

Stop being a mug. He's not 'changing his mind'. He had his mind made up all along. Southampton were value at the original price. Now Sunderland are considered value at this price.

Hulk Hands · 23-08-2013 09:41PM

Cant be having Southampton at that price anyway, its gone too far. Think stoke and spurs are decent prices this weekend. I've layed Everton at 1.6 also. I've posted in the football gambliing thread about United being too big a price at 6/4 using normal football gambling theory.

Juwwi · 23-08-2013 09:55PM

A new angle I'm watching with the football is in running corner handicap.

Its a waiting game to find the right moment but usually if your watching the game with the market open in a few bookies its usually common sense.

Johner · 23-08-2013 10:16PM

Benteke is still 3/1 to be player of the month? A sure thing if he scores tomorrow against Liverpool? And a good chance even if he doesn't I would imagine. Decent bet, was 6/1 the other day though.

fangee · 23-08-2013 10:38PM

NewApproach wrote: »

Stop being a mug. He's not 'changing his mind'. He had his mind made up all along. Southampton were value at the original price. Now Sunderland are considered value at this price.

I find the premiership really easy to make money on. I'm not being a Fúckin mug. I think Saints will win. How does that make me a mug ?

NewApproach · 23-08-2013 11:01PM

fangee wrote: »

I find the premiership really easy to make money on. I'm not being a Fúckin mug. I think Saints will win. How does that make me a mug ?

You're implying that he shouldn't bet the other way, despite the price on one team moving from 2.1 to 1.676. You are demonstrating zero understanding of price vs expectation and its importance when it comes to placing a bet. You don't make money in this game by 'thinking' such and such a team will win.

fangee · 23-08-2013 11:08PM

NewApproach wrote: »

You're implying that he shouldn't bet the other way, despite the price on one team moving from 2.1 to 1.676. You are demonstrating zero understanding of price vs expectation and its importance when it comes to placing a bet. You don't make money in this game by 'thinking' such and such a team will win.

I look at the fixtures and decide my bets.

Then I look at the odds and finalise my bets.

If the bookies make a mistake (by my reckoning) then I get stuck in.

He is right (in my opinion) about the Saints winning. So why back against it ?

West ham are the value bet tomorrow.

NewApproach · 23-08-2013 11:11PM

fangee wrote: »

I look at the fixtures and decide my bets.

Then I look at the odds and finalise my bets.

If the bookies make a mistake (by my reckoning) then I get stuck in.

He is right (in my opinion) about the Saints winning. So why back against it ?

West ham are the value bet tomorrow.

Wow, that seems a very solid approach. Very thorough. No wonder you find it so easy to make money betting on the premiership. To be fair, to make money on the premiership you only need to be better than all the odds compilers employed by the bookmakers combined, plus the over round factored into their prices. No big deal like...

fangee · 23-08-2013 11:25PM

NewApproach wrote: »

Wow, that seems a very solid approach. Very thorough. No wonder you find it so easy to make money betting on the premiership. To be fair, to make money on the premiership you only need to be better than all the odds compilers employed by the bookmakers combined, plus the over round factored into their prices. No big deal like...

So you're being smart arse ?

Yeah. You're probably right. The bookies never make a mistake.

Well I've paid for many a weekend or holiday when they get it wrong.

Well I'll collect big tomorrow when the hammers win. Over priced.

I'd call that a mistake.

But by your rationale EVERY favourite wins.

ps, why the animosity ? I'm all about the love.

NewApproach · 23-08-2013 11:44PM

fangee wrote: »

So you're being smart arse ?

Yeah. You're probably right. The bookies never make a mistake.

Well I've paid for many a weekend or holiday when they get it wrong.

Well I'll collect big tomorrow when the hammers win. Over priced.

I'd call that a mistake.

But by your rationale EVERY favourite wins.

ps, why the animosity ? I'm all about the love.

Ah I'm just a bit grumpy this evening. Don't mind me. What price should Hammers be out of interest? I won't be having a bet btw.

fangee · 24-08-2013 12:17AM

NewApproach wrote: »

Ah I'm just a bit grumpy this evening. Don't mind me. What price should Hammers be out of interest? I won't be having a bet btw.

Fúck you. I'm way more grumpy than you.

Shame on me. Retired and living on the Costa Brava and soon to be living in Oz. it's not really a hard life but these locals are soooo racist.

Anyway , I think the Hammers are the stand out bet tomorrow. Safely, draw no bet.

I'd have them less than 2/1 to win.

carpothepunk · 24-08-2013 02:41AM

I would love to see your book for the game fangee. can you be a little more specific than less than 2/1? surely you must make them a 6/4 chance if you are getting involved at 3s.

Colonel Sanders · 24-08-2013 06:50AM

1.86 Liverpool from evens.

Is there team news or is it simply the usual weekend punt on Liverpool?

fangee · 24-08-2013 07:39AM

carpothepunk wrote: »

I would love to see your book for the game fangee. can you be a little more specific than less than 2/1? surely you must make them a 6/4 chance if you are getting involved at 3s.

Punk my Arsè. Have you even heard of Rumble ?

Where are you getting 3's ?

They are best priced 12/5.

fangee · 24-08-2013 07:45AM

droidman123 wrote: »

Problem is our away form last season was diabolical, hopefully big sam can sort that out.

I love when a manager / player goes back to the club that got rid of them.

Sam, Nolan and Carroll (if he's fit) ?

Yes please.

24-08-2013 07:54AM

fangee wrote: »

I love when a manager / player goes back to the club that got rid of them.

Sam, Nolan and Carroll (if he's fit) ?

Yes please.

Carroll wont be fit.worst buy ever for the hamners and we have had some stockings of ****e over the years! Everyone and their uncle knows carroll will spend more time injured than actually playing.what do the hamners do? Pay over 50 million for him over 6 years!

fangee · 24-08-2013 08:06AM

droidman123 wrote: »

Carroll wont be fit.worst buy ever for the hamners and we have had some stockings of ****e over the years! Everyone and their uncle knows carroll will spend more time injured than actually playing.what do the hamners do? Pay over 50 million for him over 6 years!

I'm just sayin that I don't think Newcastle can beat them. Draw no bet but I'm backing them to win.

24-08-2013 08:12AM

fangee wrote: »

I'm just sayin that I don't think Newcastle can beat them. Draw no bet but I'm backing them to win.

I,m just lumping on the draw.

Hulk Hands · 24-08-2013 08:35AM

NewApproach wrote: »

Wow, that seems a very solid approach. Very thorough. No wonder you find it so easy to make money betting on the premiership. To be fair, to make money on the premiership you only need to be better than all the odds compilers employed by the bookmakers combined, plus the over round factored into their prices. No big deal like...

Exactly! Have to laugh at the suggestion that its easy to make money on the most scrutinized gambling league in the world. You may find small leans each week but there's never much margin there, the sole exception being Liverpool's price since 07, but that's an anomaly that's starting to correct itself. These markets aren't even made by conventional oddscompilers, they're made by Asian syndicates who's employee can spend up to 2 days focusing on pricing one game. The mainstream European bookies are only taking opinions, eg we may lay A a bit or try and duck B, but they're only slight opinions on odds already made for them, which is why everyone is generally in or around the same odds, usually within the betfair line.

UrbanSea · 24-08-2013 08:59AM

Have to cut the grass now. It's like a ****ing meadow

fangee · 24-08-2013 08:59AM

Hulk Hands wrote: »

Exactly! Have to laugh at the suggestion that its easy to make money on the most scrutinized gambling league in the world. You may find small leans each week but there's never much margin there, the sole exception being Liverpool's price since 07, but that's an anomaly that's starting to correct itself. These markets aren't even made by conventional oddscompilers, they're made by Asian syndicates who's employee can spend up to 2 days focusing on pricing one game. The mainstream European bookies are only taking opinions, eg we may lay A a bit or try and duck B, but they're only slight opinions on odds already made for them, which is why everyone is generally in or around the same odds, usually within the betfair line.

Nice one. I made you laugh.

Happy Saturday.

Maybe you should follow my weekly premiership bets if you're not making any money yourself.

The Prince of Burma appreciation thread

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