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National: Severe Cold/ Snow Discussion (Thanks to all!)

ninebeanrows · 2010-12-15 23:25:53

As per poll results the return of the National thread.. A severe spell of weather approaching, all general chat in here please :) Absolutely no discussion of the national or regional thread debate.

Comments

#452 16-12-2010 01:43PM

rossc007

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gbee wrote: »

That was the point, but I like yours better.

Either of you watch The IT Crowd

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c4yffKvkt_s

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#453 16-12-2010 01:43PM

Rodar08

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Can anyone tell me where to find M.T's last forecast? I can't find it .. thanks

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#454 16-12-2010 01:43PM

average_runner

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met eirann data is from yesterday, they will now cause a panick and nothing will happen.

How can they make a mistake like this consider ye guys have more up to date info than them?

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#455 16-12-2010 01:44PM

maquiladora

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If the 12Z ECM dowgrades the snow potential like the 06Z GFS and NAE did with the low further south then we will see a downgrade from Met Eireann by tonight too.

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#456 16-12-2010 01:44PM

wildefalcon

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Starting to snow in North Laois. Temperature dropping too.

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#457 16-12-2010 01:45PM

force eleven

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I believe the 06z and 18z GFS are less reliable because they are fed less data than the 00 and 12z runs. So holding my fire till I see the 12z run, about 3.30pm or so and thereafter.

I agree with WC regarding Met Eireanns warning. That usually jinxes it, and I've been through many before....:rolleyes:

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#458 16-12-2010 01:46PM

davidsr20

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I think someone should change the heading to snow not approaching!

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#459 16-12-2010 01:47PM

gbee

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Rodar08 wrote: »

Can anyone tell me where to find M.T's last forecast? I can't find it .. thanks

The forecast thread. http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2055579971&page=124

This was earlier today though.

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#460 16-12-2010 01:47PM

[Deleted User]
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Rodar08 wrote: »

Can anyone tell me where to find M.T's last forecast? I can't find it .. thanks

There's a forecast thread sticked at the top of the weather forum here: http://boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2055579971

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#461 16-12-2010 01:48PM

MJohnston

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Kind of funny seeing everyone spend hours poring over dozens of scientific data and charts and in the same thread worry about the possibility of a jinxing

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#462 16-12-2010 01:48PM

millymoo

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I'm kinda getting excited it's near Meath now! Just waiting. I suppose nothing will stick today anyway!!

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#463 16-12-2010 01:48PM

ro_chez

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Dublin Airport gone from Temp 5.4, DP 2.4 to Temp 4.0, DP 1.0 between 12 and 1pm.

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#464 16-12-2010 01:49PM

maquiladora

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average_runner wrote: »

met eirann data is from yesterday, they will now cause a panick and nothing will happen.

How can they make a mistake like this consider ye guys have more up to date info than them?

Met Eireann don't use the most commonly looked at and talked about model on here, the GFS. They use ECMWF and HIRLAM models.

The main models are showing slighlty different outcomes and are changing a lot from run to run, thats why there is such a mixture of opinions.

Usually there is fairly good agreement on the models within 96 hours, but this is not the case at the moment.

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#465 16-12-2010 01:50PM

El Horseboxo

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Belting snow in Dublin

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#466 16-12-2010 01:50PM

ninebeanrows

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maquiladora wrote: »

If the 12Z ECM dowgrades the snow potential like the 06Z GFS and NAE did with the low further south then we will see a downgrade from Met Eireann by tonight too.

Ya think, at this stage i am thinking they're 12 hours behind the latest, there 6pm forecast certainly wont have 12z ECM data and i question if the 9pm will.

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#467 16-12-2010 01:50PM

decies

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Sunny 6.8 deg in waterford.Right nothing to see here move along ,come back midday tomorrow,move along i say.

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#468 16-12-2010 01:51PM

WolfForager

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El Horseboxo wrote: »

Belting snow in Dublin

Whereabouts? I'm in UCD atm and see nawthing.

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#469 16-12-2010 01:51PM

Vudgie

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WolfForager wrote: »

Whereabouts? I'm in UCD atm and see nawthing.

Thats because it's not snowing in Dublin.....yet

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#470 16-12-2010 01:52PM

maquiladora

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Weathercheck wrote: »

Ya think, at this stage i am thinking they're 12 hours behind the latest, there 6pm forecast certainly wont have 12z ECM data and i question if the 9pm will.

Agree about the 6pm forecast but surely by 9pm they won't be using the 0Z, especially if there is a major change.

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#471 16-12-2010 01:52PM

Avns1s

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Snowing here now!! Wettish but nice to see!

At work at the moment in East Mayo.

Edit: Stopped again!! :-(

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#472 16-12-2010 01:52PM

guideanna

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El Horseboxo wrote: »

Belting snow in Dublin

yea where abouts i'm in sandyford and nothing here either

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#473 16-12-2010 01:53PM

TheMilkyPirate

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davidsr20 wrote: »

I think someone should change the heading to snow not approaching!

Why would we do that now.

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#474 16-12-2010 01:54PM

NTC

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Wind has just picked up and sky has got dark.

A few drops of rain, nothing major.

Parkmore, Galway.

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#475 16-12-2010 01:55PM

El Horseboxo

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Vudgie wrote: »

Thats because it's not snowing in Dublin.....yet

Proof

http://tiny.cc/ezz4m

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#476 16-12-2010 01:55PM

gbee

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WolfForager wrote: »

Whereabouts? I'm in UCD atm and see nawthing.

Not on cams either

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#477 16-12-2010 01:55PM

LuckyLloyd

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El Horseboxo wrote: »

Belting snow in Dublin

Which part are you in? I'm seeing nothing down in Cherrywood. Though the winds have freshened up the last couple of hours and it feels a fair bit colder out.

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#478 16-12-2010 01:55PM

wildefalcon

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baraca wrote: »

Why would we do that now.

What's up? What's the panic? Is the snow called off? Cancelled? What's going on?

What Does MT Cranium say?

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#479 16-12-2010 01:56PM

cian1500ww

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El Horseboxo wrote: »

Proof

http://tiny.cc/ezz4m

:mad:

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#480 16-12-2010 01:57PM

IRCA

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Sleet in Ballina Co. Mayo ... a few flakes of the real stuff

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#481 16-12-2010 01:57PM

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maquiladora wrote: »

Met Eireann don't use the most commonly looked at and talked about model on here, the GFS. They use ECMWF and HIRLAM models.

The main models are showing slighlty different outcomes and are changing a lot from run to run, thats why there is such a mixture of opinions.

Usually there is fairly good agreement on the models within 96 hours, but this is not the case at the moment.

Hirlam by the way is now a sort of higher res ecm.
ECMWF control the model

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This discussion has been closed.