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Tips thread.

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Comments

  • #542
    Yosserh
    Closed Accounts Posts: 89 ✭✭Yosserh


    I knew nothing about the horse I backed it purely on the posts that said one of his horses was going to win. I had 20 on Steig to win in Ballinrobe and won 120 so I siad I would put a tenner each way on 3 of P Flynn's horses and pocket the rest! After the first one lost convincingly (keoghs tradebar) I hadn't much confidence and left the bookies but put a tenner each way on Tennormore and Koh Samui (never heard of any of them before today!!) but will look out for that one again - didnt even see the race but saw it won by 3 lengths!


  • #543
    bassy
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,675 ✭✭✭bassy


    fair play a nice 1520.00 to collect then.

    Yosserh wrote: »
    I knew nothing about the horse I backed it purely on the posts that said one of his horses was going to win. I had 20 on Steig to win in Ballinrobe and won 120 so I siad I would put a tenner each way on 3 of P Flynn's horses and pocket the rest! After the first one lost convincingly (keoghs tradebar) I hadn't much confidence and left the bookies but put a tenner each way on Tennormore and Koh Samui (never heard of any of them before today!!) but will look out for that one again - didnt even see the race but saw it won by 3 lengths!


  • #544
    Sizzler
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,430 ✭✭✭Sizzler


    careca wrote: »
    I think thats Paul Flynn (Celbridge) not Pat, but I could be wrong. He said in paper a few weeks ago that the next horse he sent to England would win. Now technically this is the next one, but he has about 3/4 other runners this evening. Koh Samui is also being backed (8s-5s) in the 8.30 and its his also. Just so you know.
    Well he wasnt exactly right, the first one (that I backed) is still running :o But he well and truly made up for that with the 100/1 shot! Even a 25 e/w for the owners would have made their evening!

    Fair play! That horse was off the track for over 400 days and looked to be the one that was sent over to keep the other 2 company...how wong was I :eek:

    I was right about Koh Samui though.An utter dog! The pox couldnt even manage to jump the first fence and ran out.


  • #545
    careca
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,832 ✭✭✭careca


    Sizzler wrote: »
    Well he wasnt exactly right, the first one (that I backed) is still running :o But he well and truly made up for that with the 100/1 shot! Even a 25 e/w for the owners would have made their evening!

    Fair play! That horse was off the track for over 400 days and looked to be the one that was sent over to keep the other 2 company...how wong was I :eek:

    I was right about Koh Samui though.An utter dog! The pox couldnt even manage to jump the first fence and ran out.

    Sick. Just seen the result now. Had checked Koh Samui last night and saw it was nowhere. Of all the horses running he was the last one I would have put a cent on.

    At least someone made some cash from it.


  • #546
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,968 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    I reckon the whole thing was a betting coup for Mr Flynn. Send over 4 horses say one of them WILL win, then put out a word for one of them - Koh Samui plus this mention see that attract the cash meanwhile those in the know or who take a chance clean up (I briefly did think about sticking a euro e/w on all four!).


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  • #547
    Sizzler
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,430 ✭✭✭Sizzler


    I see Keagan Latham has gone over to Thirsk today for two rides for P Morris which would be fairly unusual?

    Winrob - 16/1 (2nd last time out)
    Secret Millionaire - 5/2 (also 2nd last time out)


  • #548
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,968 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Winrop is friendless while the other race looks a pretty hard to call Maiden.


  • #549
    sgthighway
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,577 ✭✭✭sgthighway


    Sizzler wrote: »
    I see Keagan Latham has gone over to Thirsk today for two rides for P Morris which would be fairly unusual?

    Winrob - 16/1 (2nd last time out)
    Secret Millionaire - 5/2 (also 2nd last time out)

    THANKS!
    :D


  • #550
    abouttobebanned
    Closed Accounts Posts: 6,943 ✭✭✭abouttobebanned


    Well done Sizzler


  • #551
    Sizzler
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,430 ✭✭✭Sizzler


    mike65 wrote: »
    Winrop is friendless while the other race looks a pretty hard to call Maiden.

    Winrob may have been fairly friendless but managed to win @ 14/1 :)


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  • #552
    Sizzler
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,430 ✭✭✭Sizzler


    sgthighway wrote: »
    THANKS!
    :D
    abouttobebanned wrote: »
    Well done Sizzler
    No bother!
    Lets hope the other lad comes in now for the double :D


  • #553
    Sizzler
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,430 ✭✭✭Sizzler


    Sizzler wrote: »
    I see Keagan Latham has gone over to Thirsk today for two rides for P Morris which would be fairly unusual?

    Winrob - 16/1 (2nd last time out)
    Secret Millionaire - 5/2 (also 2nd last time out)

    Secret Millionaire backed into 6/4 fav and finishes 3rd.

    Hopefully Winrob made up for that though ;)


  • #554
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,968 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Feck! :(


  • #555
    Sizzler
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,430 ✭✭✭Sizzler


    Achak in the first race at Ascot today. Nina Carberry for Ger Lyons.

    13/2 and paying e/w on the first 4. Supposed to have a reasonable chance...


  • #556
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,968 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Should do, Secret Night looks the most likely to me. My Learned Friend and Halsion Chancer at bigger odds are tempting.

    Achak is a Pricewise Extra pick so I'm on it! :)


  • #557
    argosy2006
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭argosy2006


    hey do you ever back 4 horse in the same race to win? or is that stupid, but doing the calculations there is a profit if any of the four win, like if i bet 15 euro on four horses each my bet is 60, but if any of the 4 won i win 90, i win a third more,? if this is stupid tell me!


  • #558
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,968 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    High risk stuff, in races where the odds are long the fields are big and very competitive - none of the 4 might place never mind win. In more straighforwrd races, the odds are much shorter, backing half the field nearly guarentees a loss I'd say

    I'm presuming you'd go e/w.

    example big handicap http://www.paddypower.com/racing/daily-racing/york/3%3A45-HANDICAP-6f-1524518.html

    example classic

    http://www.paddypower.com/racing/daily-racing/ascot/4%3A25-KING-GEORGE-VI-AND-QUEEN-ELIZABETH-STAKES-1m-4f-1515034.html

    oddly enough your tactic could work in the above race, apart from the fav all are e/w prices. If you got the winner and 2 other places you might turn a decent profit.


  • #559
    argosy2006
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭argosy2006


    do you bet on any other sports, like football? those horses at 1.25 ascot didnt do well. i didnt back any though


  • #560
    wb
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,744 ✭✭✭wb


    argosy2006 wrote: »
    hey do you ever back 4 horse in the same race to win? or is that stupid, but doing the calculations there is a profit if any of the four win, like if i bet 15 euro on four horses each my bet is 60, but if any of the 4 won i win 90, i win a third more,? if this is stupid tell me!

    That's known as dutching.

    I used to do it quite a bit and still do sometimes. I ran a thread on it here many moons ago, where I dutched 100 races:

    http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2054926691

    You have to carefully select the races to do it in though.


  • #561
    ybbi
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 80 ✭✭ybbi


    Any Tips today for the UK races?


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  • #562
    Nulty
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,838 ✭✭✭Nulty


    High Heeled @ 11/1 PP

    Stupid Price

    Edit-

    Goodwood 3.05 Nassau

    Get in early


  • #563
    bassy
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,675 ✭✭✭bassy


    any reasons as to why you posted those horses,form etc ?.

    Nulty wrote: »
    High Heeled @ 11/1 PP

    Stupid Price

    Edit-

    Goodwood 3.05 Nassau

    Get in early


  • #564
    Nulty
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,838 ✭✭✭Nulty


    I'm calling an E/W because nothings a certainty but for anyone studying the race it should be obvious she's over priced but then for the benefit of others....

    She's OR 114, with only Midday rated higher and other rated the same at lower odds, with the 3 YO weight allowance against older horses (weight-for-age), was 3rd in the Epsom Oaks this year on fast ground behind Midday & Sariska (Good to Firm lovers) and performs better with cut at 9-10f, Midday (main danger) has best form and only successes over good to firm and at 12f = ?uestion.

    Rain forecast
    GOING: GOOD (GoingStick 8.2) (Fresh ground top bend). (Cloudy with outbreaks of rain, possibly heavy at times; fresh south-westerly winds)

    Barshiba decent, older, shout also at long odds (11/1) almost same reasons as HH.

    High Heeled: will run only if there is significant rain, states trainer; SOFT-
    Midday: will run only if the ground is suitable, states trainer GOOD+


  • #565
    Nulty
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,838 ✭✭✭Nulty


    Nulty wrote: »
    I'm calling an E/W because nothings a certainty but for anyone studying the race it should be obvious she's over priced but then for the benefit of others....

    She's OR 114, with only Midday rated higher and other rated the same at lower odds, with the 3 YO weight allowance against older horses (weight-for-age), was 3rd in the Epsom Oaks this year on fast ground behind Midday & Sariska (Good to Firm lovers) and performs better with cut at 9-10f, Midday (main danger) has best form and only successes over good to firm and at 12f = ?uestion.

    Rain forecast
    GOING: GOOD (GoingStick 8.2) (Fresh ground top bend). (Cloudy with outbreaks of rain, possibly heavy at times; fresh south-westerly winds)

    Barshiba decent, older, shout also at long odds (11/1) almost same reasons as HH.

    High Heeled: will run only if there is significant rain, states trainer; SOFT-
    Midday: will run only if the ground is suitable, states trainer GOOD+

    Looks like it wont rain at Goodwood til around 5pm unfortunately:mad:


  • #566
    Lord TSC
    Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 42,996 Mod ✭✭✭✭Lord TSC


    Goin to Naas today. Not all that into Horses tbh, so not much knowledge. Family day out. Anyone got any tips though? <_<


  • #567
    k_d
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 231 ✭✭k_d


    heading down this eve? anything looking interesting?


  • #568
    fintonie
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,390 ✭✭✭fintonie


    ok


  • #569
    admiralofthefleet
    Closed Accounts Posts: 15,515 ✭✭✭✭admiralofthefleet


    judge 'n' jury looks good in the 1.10 in tomorrows shergar cup at ascot


  • #570
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,968 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Sweet Lightening who was a winner waiting to happen at Goodwood last weekend (jockey put him in a hole) runs at 3:15 HANDICAP 1m 2f 95y (HAYD), Dancourt is the obvious rival but 11/2 looks a good price.


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  • #571
    bassy
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,675 ✭✭✭bassy


    have put a few euros ew on cold quest @ 66/1

    mike65 wrote: »
    Sweet Lightening who was a winner waiting to happen at Goodwood last weekend (jockey put him in a hole) runs at 3:15 HANDICAP 1m 2f 95y (HAYD), Dancourt is the obvious rival but 11/2 looks a good price.


This discussion has been closed.
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