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Texas girls' summer camp flood tragedy.

13

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,741 ✭✭✭Hamsterchops


    Looks like aftermath from a tsunami. Total devistation created by fast rising running water on land, sweeping everything before it.

    Very sad for so many families including those of young children. Just wondering should the camping accommodation (shacks & cabins) have been so close to the river. And has the river swelled up before during torrential rain.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,778 ✭✭✭Pa ElGrande


    The reality is that flash floods (like tornadoes) don’t come with multiple days of warning as do slow moving tropical hurricanes . Hours at best, if one is fortunate. Their national weather service assuredly provided those warnings the evening before that flood risk was high and to get up to high ground.

    However, how do those warnings get communicated to individuals in harms way? Only local emergency responders and local broadcasters can do that, if at all. That is the challenge. People don’t sit around constantly refreshing their device screens to find out the latest is from the weather service or their local TV station weather forecasters. People have lives, and people do things that don’t revolve around the internet or TV.

    Even when people are fairly and effectively warned, a small percentage simply ignores the warnings, thinking “It won’t happen to me!”. It is not unheard of that people drown in the desert, due to camping or being on a dried river channel, the rain falls miles from them and last thing they experience is a wall of water and mud bearing down on them. Local situation awareness, knowledge and assessment of potential circumstances counts more than political narratives.


    Local flash floods are not unheard of events in Ireland. Here is an example from 2008 in Newcastle West Co Limerick. Where was the warning from the EU agencies (US federal government equivalent), how did the national weather service in Ireland (Met Eireann) fare in advance of this?. They had no alerts for this/ A weather front stalled and dumped 3.5 inches of rain in a few hours upstream of Newcastle West, you can see from the map where the water goes in the area. In Texas they got about 10 inches of rain.

    Net Zero means we are paying for the destruction of our economy and society in pursuit of an unachievable and pointless policy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,321 ✭✭✭thatsdaft




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,053 ✭✭✭SuperBowserWorld


    Yes it does and has. It's an area prone to flash floods. There have been similar disasters in the past. They didn't want an early warning system. They are gutting meteorological services. They have all the science, technology and money in the world. I bet the native Indians would not have camped there during flood risk weather.

    Greed, wilful ignorance and arrogance killed those girls.

    .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,044 ✭✭✭plodder


    There was supposed to be a national alert system setup here by some time last year (according to the article below). Was mandated to be EU wide by 2022.

    https://www.thejournal.ie/public-warning-system-ireland-6042385-Apr2023/

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/EU-Alert

    Since it is based on cell broadcast technology, it's supposed to be possible to direct it to specific areas.

    “Fanaticism is always a sign of repressed doubt” - Carl Jung



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,946 ✭✭✭kowloonkev


    Please explain to us how the funding that was cut would have helped those girls? Was there a plan about to be rolled out between January and July this year to install technology that would alert people in the area that an avalanche of water was running down the hill?

    Simon Harris is monitoring the situation...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,403 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    definitely nothing to do with the (in)actions of this admin, definitely!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,946 ✭✭✭kowloonkev


    A lot of sick minds here getting off on a tragedy

    Mod: Warning issued for attacking posters

    Post edited by Trigger on

    Simon Harris is monitoring the situation...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,778 ✭✭✭Pa ElGrande


    The particular camp that was devastated had been around for 100 years. I don't know what the previous weather history at the site had been over that time, presumably they had flooding previously, but nothing as severe as the tragedy that struck them this time, hence there may have been an element of complacency. Presumably the people who made decisions concerning risks took their experience into account and decided a 1 in 100 year statistical event is unlikely. Another factor to consider is the earths population has risen dramatically in that time, for many people who have arrived in the area living memory of experience of severe weather patterns might only be 10 or 30 years. Look at your own locality, there are few if any people around that can tell you about severe storms or weather events that caused damage prior to 1980, likely the people who had experience of previous flooding events at that location and how to mitigate loss of life were all dead.

    I don't know if you recall the Ahr Valley flooding event in Germany in 2021. Over 130 people were killed. In Germany houses and roads were built in areas that were formerly riverbeds. Earlier floods that has occurred in history were simply ignored despite the previous flood levels being permanently marked by their predecessors in the area The previous tragedy in 1910 in the same region and previously in the 19th century were outside most peoples living memory. People are always going to take their chances, a new generation will arrive in an area with no collective experience of what can happen.

    image.png

    Take Ireland today, 22% of the population are born outside Ireland. They have no experience of the 1976 heatwave, the 1982 snow storms, 1985 lightning event, hurricane Charlie. They are logically going to move into areas that are subject to the effects of weather extremes that are regarded as 1 in 100 years statistical events. Who is going to tell them they are greedy, willfully ignorant and arrogant?

    Net Zero means we are paying for the destruction of our economy and society in pursuit of an unachievable and pointless policy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,053 ✭✭✭SuperBowserWorld


    @Pa ElGrande

    I'm saying the administration is greedy, willfully ignorant and arrogant and people vote for this.

    Also, regarding Ireland, you can use the Internet to find out about flood prone areas, the effects of climate change, etc etc etc

    Anyway. Over and out.

    Post edited by SuperBowserWorld on


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  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,066 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    He cut those jobs, yes, but it seems to have had no impact on this particular matter. Indeed, the appropriate NWS desk was overstaffed that night, normally the staffing is two but they were expecting trouble so there were five on duty.

    I live in the area, am well familiar with the area around Kerrville.

    The problem was severalfold.

    1. The NWS themselves weren't sure about the level of the pending problem until the early hours when most folks are asleep. We've had a very wet week, but though the rain was constant, it never hit the "heavy" levels we had seen before. Until it did.
    2. Kerr County is the size of Limerick, with a population of 55k. Further, being in Hill Country, it is by definition, hilly. There are a lot of mobile 'phone black spots with no coverage, even on the I10 interstate. A lot of folks would not get the warning, and even sirens would not be as effective as they would be in tornado country which is flat. Remember that it was 4am, you need a loud siren to wake folks up. I'm sure a better county system would have reduced the death toll, but there woukd still have been tragedy.
    3. It was at 4am. Few people are awake to notice 'phone warnings. In theory an emergency alert coming through the 'phone will still wake you up, but i personally often put my 'phone in airplane mode overnight because I'm tired of being woken up at 4am by the various rainbow alerts. Granted, i don't live in a flood zone so it's a relative statement, but the reality is a lot of folks wouldn't get the warning, wouldn't wake up to a warning, and likely would not have thought to change their routine on the basis of the warning as it existed when they went to bed.

    I will also add that while flash floods with this high a casualty list are rare in this part of Texas, fatalities due to flash floods are certainly not rare. It's an occupational hazard of living around here.

    Post edited by Manic Moran on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,602 ✭✭✭thereiver


    There was a warning sent 1.14 pm and again around 4pm at night .the water rose very fast more than any forecaster expected maybe most people were sleeping. There was a siren flood warning system proposed but it was rejected as being too expensive . That area is in a area that's prone the flooding .hundreds of people were saved by rescuers or by simply swimming out of the buildings . There needs to be a system to call and txt all the people were working in the camp eg move out move to a higher area. Asap there is a risk of flooding in the area staff should be ready to move all campers out quickly



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,403 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    i.e. significant state investment is needed, and since the current admin is strongly against increasing state spending, and in fact has significantly slashed funding, for such, best of luck with all of the above!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,716 ✭✭✭ceadaoin.


    The county commissioners of Kerr County voted against installing the sirens in 2017. I dont know why people are tying themselves up in knots to blame trump and to use the deaths of these children to get a dig in at the current admin but its really nothing to do with them, or with any cuts that might have happened or not.

    The president doesn't really have any control over how a state, let alone a small county, spends their money. Anyway, the state of Texas has now offered to install these sirens in this county to bring it in line with neighbouring ones. As stated several times, there already is a system in place to broadcast warnings to cell phones, TVs and radios in the area, and these alerts were issued



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,602 ✭✭✭thereiver


    Doge has sacked people from the national weather service which means it's less effective at local weather forecasting it,ll take a detailed investigation to find out if the forecasts in the area were due to lack of staff in the office .Trump also intends to shut down Fema which deals with flooding wildfires and extreme weather events which are more common due to global warming . There were layoffs in the staff of the office which deals with coordination of emergency response to flooding in Texas



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,805 ✭✭✭standardg60


    The elephant in the room here is a populace, local Government, and administration given to climate change denial.

    It would be nice to think such an awful tragedy would change hearts but I doubt it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,602 ✭✭✭thereiver


    The first warning said there ,ll be flooding the river will rise by 7 inch's it seems no one was ready for a river rising up by 30 foot in one hour there needs to be new sensors or technology to monitor water levels minute by minute



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 823 ✭✭✭technocrat


    Abbot doing a live press conference now.

    Anyone know why he’s in a wheelchair?



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 12,675 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    Terrible news update: 161 still missing and 109 dead. RIP :(

    There will be questions that must be answered after this.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 992 ✭✭✭InAtFullBack


    As @Manic Moran said above, there were three extra staff on as they were expecting trouble. So, no investigation needed. Warnings were issued for the area well in advance.

    The FEMA restructuring is to have their budget allocated to the states themselves to direct where it's most needed. Biden's inaction over the Carolina flooding is one of the major reasons for this. People on both sides of the isle should welcome that move as it effectively stops a President using FEMA as a political football directing more funding to disaster responses that 'vote a certain way'.

    Natural Disasters have happened, are happening and will continue to happen. Technology can only do so much, there have been ten new sensors added to this area's rivers in 2017. In 2023 Pepsi part funded a project to replace flood gates. There has been and will continue to be investment in technology and rightfully so.

    But it seems here the main thing is to have a go at Trump and every single natural disaster is being attributed to him. Amazing, as there was no such scrutiny of Biden and how he failed the people of the Carolinas.

    Least of all, our own Irish flood systems are virtually non-existent. The long running Lough Funshinagh in Co. Roscommon is an easy fix, but nothing done. Regular flooding in Midleton, Cork and nothing being done despite promises and promises over the decades. Plenty more examples too - but at the risk of going off-topic, I'll leave it there.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,750 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    Have you told Trump about this reallocation to the States and not using it as a political football?

    Giving it out directly from the Presidents office sure seems like making it a political football in a way it wasnt before.

    Do you have a source for any of these claims?

    Because thats not what he said:

    "We’re going to give out less money,” he said.

    “We’re going to give it out directly. It’ll be from the president’s office. We’ll have somebody here, could be homeland security.”

    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jun/11/trump-fema-phase-out-hurricane-season

    More information below on the risks of the Trump gutting of FEMA and weather related agencies, which may not have manifested in this crisus but it is only a matter of time before it does and costs lives.

    And contrary to your baseless claim of political football, it is clear that is what the Trump administration is doing:

    There is no Senate-confirmed FEMA administrator because the White House has not nominated someone who meets the congressionally mandated basic qualifications for the role... In previous years, the federal government has typically reviewed disaster declarations quickly and in a nonpartisan way, and the review process happens in step with the pace of disasters so that the system isn’t slowed down with backlogs. Now, a bottleneck has emerged.

    https://carnegieendowment.org/emissary/2025/06/trump-abolish-fema-states-fiscal-disaster?lang=en

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,716 ✭✭✭ceadaoin.


    A tree fell on him when he was out jogging years ago



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 992 ✭✭✭InAtFullBack


    After Hurricane Milton in 2024, a subsequent investigation resulted in the firing of several FEMA employees who were deliberately skipping over affected properties where any 'Vote Trump' material was seen. So it already a political football and again, I point you to Biden's response to the Carolinas.

    Trump says alot of BS, especially to the Media. So, The Guardian and others trying to make something out of a few words in a press conference does not a policy make. FEMA will be reshaped by Noem and others after the Summer and nobody knows yet what FEMA 2.0 will exactly look like.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,156 ✭✭✭✭banie01




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,118 ✭✭✭✭volchitsa


    if we can get away from the attempts at political football here (from both sides) there seems to be a question about using mobile phone apps as a way to warn populations of dangers: it’s easy to see why that sounds like an obvious choice these days - but it seems the children hadn’t got their mobile phones with them as one aspect of being at camp was doing a “digital detox”.

    So without blaming anyone for that, is that a reason not to use phone apps as the only means of warning? Or does it just mean that the camp counsellors in each cabin needed to have one despite the children not having theirs? Would a detox work if everyone knows that the leaders can’t participate themselves?

    "If a woman cannot stand in a public space and say, without fear of consequences, that men cannot be women, then women have no rights at all." Helen Joyce



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,305 ✭✭✭CelticRambler


    This is something I've been observing in relation to a good many "emergency" situations (some of which are not really emergencies, but seem like that to the people concerned) : there's an assumption on the part of "the authorities" that everything digital will work fine. But it doesn't. Over and over again I see a complete breakdown of digital communications, either because networks go offline, or are saturated, or send out warnings too late, or the intended audience simply doesn't have access (no coverage, batteries dead, phone in the wrong place at the wrong time … )

    I don't believe in national military service, but I do think we should all be made to do national disaster service on a regular basis, so that lessons learnt from catastrophes fifty years ago aren't forgotten, and so that we learn the limits of modern convenience technology.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,051 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/nov/09/fema-supervisor-fired-milton-relief-team-trump-signs

    It was a single employee and they were fired at the time. I can point you to Kerr county council meetings where they refused federal funding from the Biden administration due to them viewing it as a communist plot if you want though...

    Given the fact that they're cutting national weather services, it's pretty clear that FEMA will be less capable of functioning to extreme weather events or limiting the fallout in general.

    Those Kerr county meetings on federal funding. Document is horrible to look at but search "communist". It somewhat shows the mentality of those in charge which is frankly disturbed tbh.

    https://legacy.co.kerr.tx.us/commcrt/minutes/2021/110821%28CC%29.txt

    Post edited by eightieschewbaccy on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,750 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    That's not what you were claiming in the previous post. Desperate whataboutery to distract from being caught out inventing fictional policies.

    In this post "nobody knows yet what FEMA 2.0 will exactly look like."

    But in the previous post you were made the following specific statements of fact as to what FEMA 2.0 would be like:

    "The FEMA restructuring is to have their budget allocated to the states themselves to direct where it's most needed… it effectively stops a President using FEMA as a political football directing more funding to disaster responses that 'vote a certain way'."

    Self discrediting. Your claims have no credibility.

    Meanwhile, what Trump's public remarks are:

    "We’re going to give out less money,” he said. “We’re going to give it out directly. It’ll be from the president’s office. We’ll have somebody here, could be homeland security.”

    You claimed to be concerned about it being a political football, but obviously don't, or you would be critical of any such intention coming from the White House.

    The only consistent line is defend Trump and attack Democrats even when that means contradicting yourself, ignoring Trump's public comments and inventing policies for the administration that contradict their public comments.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,508 ✭✭✭Field east


    the following points crossed my mind while reading your posts.

    (1) it’s the adults/adults in charge of camps/ gov and agency officials living in the area that should have been targeted re receiving warnings by mobile. Adults would faster realise the importance of of such warnings and alert , in as much as they can, all around them. I assume that there are pockets where mobiles work. In Ireland when such disasters happen there is always a real spontaneous local/community response to help out. Is the same approach not in place amongst American communities or is everyone looking out for themselves?

    (2)/ why did the planning authority allow residential accommodation to be constructed ‘on flood plains’ and if it did why did it not insist on building in a safety element into them . Eg a stairs that leads up to a flat roof.

    (3) I am puzzled by the claim that staff was not a problem , that there was normally three on duty but on this occasion there were 5 because they were expecting a 7 inch rise in the river . A 7 inch rise in the river in question is NOTHING. And by the way were the two extra staff cleaners, drivers , caretakers , weather experts or what

    (4) one does not have to continuously keep an eye on the rise in river levels . IMO it is more accurate to keep an eye on the rain fall in the river catchment area- and especially up stream . It should be then easy for the experts to predict the impact that rain fall will have on water levels and the rate of the rising water.


    I t will be of interest to see what the final outcome of any objective report will be when the full story is documented



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,044 ✭✭✭plodder


    It's not even an app that needs to be installed, it's already built into both Android and iphone. The highest level of warning can't be opted out from and sounds a very loud (unignorable) sound even if the phone is on silent. I think there was an issue with phone coverage in that hilly region though. That said, I think the tech should work in areas where there is coverage. Again though as someone pointed out a few days ago - when you put systems like this in place, there is a temptation to use them when they aren't really needed (under an abundance of caution) which can make people complacent about the warnings. But, I'm sure this will all come out afterwards.

    The political point scoring here is sad though.

    “Fanaticism is always a sign of repressed doubt” - Carl Jung



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