June 2022 Boards weather forecast contest

Table of forecasts for June 2022

FORECASTER _________ IMT _MAX _MIN _PRC _SUN ___ Max sun 21st

Tae laidir ____________ 14.5 _ 25.0 _ 3.9 _ 115 _ 094 ___ 3.0h Johnstown

Sunflower3 __________ 14.4 _ 28.2 _ 3.0 _ 115 _ 105 __ 10.0h Johnstown*

Joe Public ___________ 14.4 _ 27.3 _ 2.1 _ 089 _ 120 ___ 8.4h Shannon

Adam240610 _________14.3 _ 25.2 _ 1.8 _ 107 _ 105 __ 14.0h Dublin

Danno ______________ 14.2 _ 26.7 _ 3.1 _ 065 _ 125 __ 14.9h Dublin

Dasa29 _____________ 14.2 _ 24.5 _ 3.5 _ 090 _ 110 __ 11.0h Belmullet

Pauldry _____________ 14.2 _ 24.2 _ 1.5 _ 097 _ 105 ___ 7.4h Casement

Artane2002 __________ 14.1 _ 26.1 _ 3.6 _ 090 _ 105 ___ 6.8h Dublin

Dacogawa ___________ 14.1 _ 26.1 _ 2.2 _ 115 _ 097 ___ 8.2h Dublin

M.T. Cranium _________14.1 _ 25.5 _ 2.3 _ 105 _ 105 __ 10.8h Johnstown

sryanbruen __________ 14.1 _ 25.1 _ 3.5 _ 105 _ 090 ___ 2.5h Casement

___ Con Sensus ______ 14.1 _ 25.5 _ 2.8 _ 097 _ 100 ___ 8.4h (see below)

MrSkinner ___________14.0 _ 26.5 _ 1.8 _ 100 _ 100 __ 12.0h Dublin

Bsal _______________ 14.0 _ 25.2 _ 2.8 _ 090 _ 103 __ 11.0h Valentia

Jpmarn _____________13.9 _ 27.5 _ 1.1 _ 090 _ 103 ___ 9.0 hours Belmullet

waterways __________ 13.9 _ 27.4 _ 2.9 _ 091 _ 109 ___ 6.0h Valentia

DOCARCH ___________13.9 _ 24.9 _ 1.8 _ 095 _ 108 ___ 8.8h Casement

Mr stonewall ________ 13.7 _ 26.2 _ 2.8 _ 130 _ 088 ___ 7.8h Johnstown*

Kindred Spirit _______ 13.6 _ 26.0 _ 3.0 _ 095 _ 105 ___ 8.0h Dublin

johnmac ____ (-1) ____13.6 _ 26.0 _ 2.0 _ 103_ 107 ___ 7.0h Belmullet

___ NormaL _________13.6 _ 26.0 _ 2.0 _ 100 _ 100 ___ 7.0h (loc'n score tbd)

Appledrop __________ 13.4 _ 24.5 _ 1.9 _ 130 _ 080 __ 12.3h Johnstown

Gonzo _____________ 13.4 _ 24.2 _ 3.8 _ 098 _ 095 ___ 6.3h Dublin

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*two entries have Oak Park which is not a sunshine recording location, changed to Johnstown, can alter that if requested (see list in first post or below this note ...)

Note also that (as far as I know) the Dublin sunshine site is at the airport not in Phoenix Park but they would probably get similar readings -- maybe somebody could look into the actual location, I had always thought it was at the same location as the rest of the weather station instruments for Dub(A) but possibly not.

Breakdown of sunshine forecasts (not including Normal or Con Sensus) ... the numbers in brackets are the average number of sunshine hours in June as per 30-year normals section of met.ie website, Rosslare used for JC:

12.0 or more ___ 4 __________ Belmullet (5.2h) 3

10.0 - 11.9 _____4 __________ Casement (5.3h) 3

8.0 - 9.9 ______ 5 __________ Dublin (5.8h) 7

6.0 - 7.9 ______ 6 __________ Johnstown (6.2h) 5

4.0 - 5.9 ______ 0 __________ Shannon (5.2h) 1

under 4.0 _____ 2 __________ Valentia (5.3h) 2

__________________________ Cork (5.8h, no picks)

Based on your selections, Con Sensus scores 6/6 for Dublin, 5/6 for Johnstown, 4/6 for Belmullet or Casement, 2/6 for Shannon, 1/6 for Shannon, and 0/6 if Cork comes out ahead.

For your own forecast, you score 6/6 if your pick has the most sunshine, and 5/6 if second, etc. If Cork wins, for our scores that will be ignored. The daily averages are fairly close together, but Normal will score by the rank of the sunniest location in terms of normal sunshine hours. Thus Johnstown would score 6/6 for Normal, Dublin or Cork 5/6, Casement or Valentia 3/6, and Belmullet or Shannon 1/6.

Our consensus forecast for the month is slightly warmer than average with no significant departures for rainfall or sunshine.