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Coronavirus Pandemic Information- Local and Worldwide

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,622 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    What % of the older pop would, to paraphrase a NI Sec of State said, be 'an acceptable level of death?

    BTW I would have more faith in the terapuatics improving than a vaccine.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,621 ✭✭✭✭Buford T. Justice XIX


    Long twitter thread, 26 posts, explaining the current situation here and comparing it to Florida in June.
    https://twitter.com/firefoxx66/status/1296080742607355904?s=19


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,764 ✭✭✭✭Say my name


    If for all the grandstanding and outrage and condemnation of people's carry on these past few weeks and we're still not seeing an increase in hospital cases.
    What does that tell us?

    Does it tell us it's ok to come out from under the duvet yet?

    I honestly don't understand the same logic that stops six people from gathering how it's going to translate to 300/400/500 pupil schools opening as ok.

    And it's not as if there weren't people mixing over the summer. Local cul camps had 200 children running around together.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,622 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    Just read the above post by Buford. Iv'e been following Covid in the US and it's not pretty. More older people will be infected and the number in hospital will rise and the death tally rise will then follow.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,764 ✭✭✭✭Say my name


    Water John wrote: »
    Just read the above post by Buford. Iv'e been following Covid in the US and it's not pretty. More older people will be infected and the number in hospital will rise and the death tally rise will then follow.

    But first contact with Covid will be the worst. Second contact not as bad. Third fourth fifth etc.
    You do know it's been made up as we go along. A fluid situation they call it.
    We don't get immune well we do for two to six months. And then we catch it again and again.
    Hospital numbers have to be the key. I know what they're doing on the testing and presuming it's first contact but if it's not and we keep going on test cases we could be here for a very long time.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,622 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    Less than 2% of the pop has had Covid. It will take an awful long time to get, herd immunity.

    You're statement that you get 'two months immunity. And then we catch it again and again.'
    That statement is simply, untrue.
    Let's base any discussion on what we know, accepting their is still a lot we don't know.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,764 ✭✭✭✭Say my name


    Water John wrote: »
    Less than 2% of the pop has had Covid. It will take an awful long time to get, herd immunity.

    We were told this spreads faster and easier than the common cold. Travelled all across the globe in a few months.
    We nearly had school closures in February with children off sick. And only 2% of the population has had covid.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,621 ✭✭✭✭Buford T. Justice XIX


    But first contact with Covid will be the worst. Second contact not as bad. Third fourth fifth etc.
    You do know it's been made up as we go along. A fluid situation they call it.
    We don't get immune well we do for two to six months. And then we catch it again and again.
    Hospital numbers have to be the key. I know what they're doing on the testing and presuming it's first contact but if it's not and we keep going on test cases we could be here for a very long time.

    I don't think you're right there, Say. The severity of the disease seems to depend on the exposure level to the virus. A long exposure to it bringing more virus load, bigger immune response and higher likelihood of hospitalisation and need for ICU.
    The doctor in the tweet above covers it well saying there's no change in the genetics of the virus to indicate a reduced virulence.
    We're currently in a slow waltz to a major breakdown again, i think.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,764 ✭✭✭✭Say my name


    Water John wrote: »
    Less than 2% of the pop has had Covid. It will take an awful long time to get, herd immunity.

    You're statement that you get 'two months immunity. And then we catch it again and again.'
    That statement is simply, untrue.
    Let's base any discussion on what we know, accepting their is still a lot we don't know.
    This is how a coronavirus operates.
    Yosemitesam had a better and different study link in a previous message here.
    I think the subjects were actually given a coronavirus. But it showed immunity decreasing over time open for reinfection.

    https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/BF01317914


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,622 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    That's a 31 year old experiment!!!
    Covid 19 is just over six months old.

    We know that 4 common cold types are coronavirus. More relevant would be MEERS and SARS studies.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,764 ✭✭✭✭Say my name


    I don't think you're right there, Say. The severity of the disease seems to depend on the exposure level to the virus. A long exposure to it bringing more virus load, bigger immune response and higher likelihood of hospitalisation and need for ICU.
    The doctor in the tweet above covers it well saying there's no change in the genetics of the virus to indicate a reduced virulence.
    We're currently in a slow waltz to a major breakdown again, i think.

    Doctors differ and patients die. Isn't that what they say?

    Times I feel we are the guinea pigs.

    How herd immunity works is every cow is always exposed to a slight virus load the whole time. Immunity is there in the wild beast. Alive and grazing.
    Take your cow out of the shed and introduce it to that wild outdoor herd and the common cold will kill it.
    Same explanation for the Europeans when they first discovered the Americas. Europeans were fine they had immunity to their own viruses. The native Americans had zero contact before with these viruses that the Europeans carried. It wiped out nearly half maybe more of their population.


    The key is information, testing, stats, knowing what's what and where we are in the contact with the virus.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,531 ✭✭✭tanko


    Water John wrote: »
    Less than 2% of the pop has had Covid. It will take an awful long time to get, herd immunity.

    You're statement that you get 'two months immunity. And then we catch it again and again.'
    That statement is simply, untrue.
    Let's base any discussion on what we know, accepting their is still a lot we don't know.

    How do you know that less than 2% percent of the population has had Covid??


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,240 ✭✭✭ruwithme


    Jayus ,isn't living through this not enough ,without discussing something most of us know little about. Its not as if anyone on here has the ear of decision makers.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,622 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    tanko wrote: »
    How do you know that less than 2% percent of the population has had Covid??

    Read POST 1437


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,162 ✭✭✭Neddyusa


    But first contact with Covid will be the worst. Second contact not as bad. Third fourth fifth etc.
    You do know it's been made up as we go along. A fluid situation they call it.
    We don't get immune well we do for two to six months. And then we catch it again and again.
    Hospital numbers have to be the key. I know what they're doing on the testing and presuming it's first contact but if it's not and we keep going on test cases we could be here for a very long time.

    That's exactly it - that twitter thread Buford posted was interesting and broad ranging.
    However, one factor she didn't consider was that Europe was basically three months ahead of Florida.
    As you say the first peak is the worst, followed by progressively declining peaks as herd immunity builds.
    So she was comparing the first peak in Florida to the second peak in Europe, basically apple's with oranges.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,162 ✭✭✭Neddyusa


    Water John wrote: »
    Read POST 1437

    The problem with testing for antibodies is that they are only detectable for a short period of time after being infected.
    They then drop down to a low and undetectable level. This doesn't necessarily mean no immunity, as T-cell response can often be sufficient to fight off re-infection.

    But it does mean that if you were infected with an asymptomatic case ofCv19 in say March and tested this week, the antibodies may not be detected.
    That's why the 2% represents the numbers of people in that study who were recently exposed to the virus that than all the people who had been exposed to it at any time.

    So it's extremely likely that far more than 2% of the population has been exposed at this stage.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,796 ✭✭✭paddysdream


    Will admit to not really following all this Corona debate over the past couple of months.Been busy and its been gone as a topic of conversation around here till very recently.
    Local family got a few confirmed cases recently.Looks very likely that it came from one person attending hospital.None bar that person showed any symptoms and all were actually wondering if the test was even accurate.All would be 50 plus
    Bit of a 7 day wonder really.

    Thing I have noticed since the latest round of "recommendations" is the amount of people staring to question all these new guidelines.These are ones that up to now were all for protecting the elderly etc etc and went along with everything without question.
    Whether its the GAA/sport bits,all the contradictions or the realisation that very very few are dying or even being hospitalised with Covid 19 I dont know.

    Feel people are figuring out that the "holiday" mood of the past few months (good weather,working from home,people out walking,corona money,kids off school etc etc) is not gonna last forever and life will actually have to get back to normal at some stage.
    Was at a funeral last week and the family done the usual thing of lining up beside the grave.Noticable the amount of people going up to shake hands compared to even a few weeks ago


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,324 ✭✭✭alps


    Mindset is going to take a radical change...

    It's amazing what a simple golf outing can do..

    **** me pink......I'm disgusted


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,796 ✭✭✭paddysdream


    Did you really expect anything different?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,324 ✭✭✭alps


    Did you really expect anything different?

    I did


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,796 ✭✭✭paddysdream


    God you must be awfully young !!!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,324 ✭✭✭alps


    God you must be awfully young !!!!

    Yep


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,533 ✭✭✭awaywithyou


    alps wrote: »
    Mindset is going to take a radical change...

    It's amazing what a simple golf outing can do..

    **** me pink......I'm disgusted


    well another minister gone.... our new administration is making the Donald's administration look like a team of All-Stars


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,570 ✭✭✭Mooooo


    Ffs. A basic lack of fcuking cop-on. At that level inexcusable tbh. Where all attendees members of the oireacthas?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,324 ✭✭✭alps


    Mooooo wrote: »
    Ffs. A basic lack of fcuking cop-on. At that level inexcusable tbh. Where all attendees members of the oireacthas?

    And associates..


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,677 ✭✭✭✭Reggie.


    :)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,621 ✭✭✭✭Buford T. Justice XIX


    The figures behind the decision to open schools.
    https://twitter.com/President_MU/status/1296760361228673027?s=19


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,796 ✭✭✭paddysdream


    All this stuff re. our esteemed former Minister for Ag. encapsulates everything that is contradictory and annoying about Covid restrictions for me.

    If its as dangerous as we are led to believe then anyone who had Nphet in to meet them personally (Cabinet) either heard something different to what we are being told or are irredeemebly thick.

    All this goes back to how much all this affects someone personally.If it has no real impact on your life ie go where you want ,no income issues etc then its all hunky dory.
    Does any of this have any real input into the lives of Ministers.people involved with nphet etc?More work perhaps with a major increase in recognition and most importantly funding.Its their time in the Sun and could you blame them for basking in the "reflected glory"

    To be honest the only issue I have had so far is no pub(not a drop since 14th March!!).Everything else no real change apart from school closed.Other than that its really been business as usual in farming.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,622 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    FFS I'd say Tony Holohan would rather have been at home with his family than working 7 days a week.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,719 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    I was in 2 hardware / builder provider stores today. Everyone wearing a mask. Perspex screens up at the counter... workers with screens over their faces. ...And there was a party last night in Galway with over 80 people at it, one of them a minister, all talking sh1te into each other's faces with no precautions.


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