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Covid19 Part XIX-25,802 in ROI (1,753 deaths) 5,859 in NI (556 deaths) (21/07)Read OP

1204205207209210329

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,599 ✭✭✭timsey tiger


    And I've a qual as you say in Data Analytics so when it comes to data I've a fair idea what I'm on about.

    The full data is there to see, there's multiple reports on it issued by HSE along with testing numbers, swabs taken etc.

    So yes there are legitimate queries as to what way data is reported FROM HSE to HPSC and how that data is then reported in terms of daily cases annoucned as the 24hr totals and the numbers reported dont add up especially in the last few days theres been a wide margin which would suggest yesterday's cases included a large proportion from the weekend.

    This will either be confirmed or cleared up slightly with the county data which is 48hrs behind.

    Its not an attitude of thats not right because we say so, there's quite clear data which you've clearly not looked at which would when you look at it show that 32 for example was not yesterday's accurate 24hr cases.

    I'll gladly have an open discussion regarding data if you know what your talking about.

    If you had any experience in data analytics and working with data coming from a large organisation you would be highly suspicious of perfect data.

    If you used your data analytics...

    I can't be bothered with this. Apply what you have learned in your data analytics course to answer yourself why your points are rubbish.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 92,394 ✭✭✭✭JP Liz V1


    Heard a report today that said that GPs are seeing (predominantly young) people who are exhibiting COVID-19 like symptoms but are refusing to be tested, looking only for medication to treat respiratory conditions.

    I find this strange since COVID is a notifiable disease
    https://www.hpsc.ie/notifiablediseases/listofnotifiablediseases/Immediate%20preliminary%20notification%20to%20a%20MOH%2004032020.pdf

    I would have thought that testing in such circumstance would virtually be mandatory? :eek:

    Why refuse a free potentially life saving test, are they even self isolating


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,802 ✭✭✭Deeper Blue


    Ireland have done brilliantly since we started to reopen the country and we need to be vigilant but extinguishing the virus completely just isn't an option.

    What Tomas Ryan and his ilk are proposing can't and won't happen and they're well aware of this.

    However I believe they see this as a good opportunity to get their name out there and since they're researchers I can understand that completely.

    I just don't think their opinions should be glorified to the extent that we're currently seeing.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,627 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    JP Liz V1 wrote: »
    Why refuse a free potentially life saving test, are they even self isolating

    Sure it’s a hoax!
    It’s the 5g!
    It only affects old people!
    It’s just a slightly worse flu!

    These are some of the reasons.


  • Posts: 5,121 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    El Weirdo wrote: »
    I think you'll find we had a referendum to rescind our claim on the six counties in 1999. It passed, you might be interested to know.

    Can you also tell me why we would need a referendum to end the CTA with the UK?

    And the whole free movement of EU citizens bit is more to do with being able to work and live all across the EU, not really actual travel. We certainly wouldn't have to leave the EU if we wanted to close our borders for health reasons.

    Borders can be closed to the EU. They can’t be closed to the UK (and I don’t just mean the NI land border).

    We are unique in that, as part of the CTA, a British passport automatically gives full residency rights in Ireland, with no other documentation or permission needed. There is nothing that says they have to be working. This is not the case even in schengen, where a french person, for example, would still have to register and get a residency card if he/she wanted to settle in Spain, and therefore border could be closed to someone not in possession of such a card

    So it is impossible to know whether a British person trying to cross the border is resident in Ireland and whether should be allowed to enter, without sight of bank statements or utility bills that might infer residency (and even then they might be in a partners name and not the specific individual)

    Basically we are tied to the UK, and inability to restrict movement of British people, come hell or high water unless the CTA is ripped up, and there are many many Irish people and families in the UK who would have a problem with this


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,385 ✭✭✭schmoo2k


    With respect that graph, is not at all similar to the US graph. They had gotten the new case level down to close to zero, the US never got it's new incidence cases below 3/4 of the peak.

    Unfortunately they took their eye off the ball and completely relaxed everything hence the rebound. They have resignations from the health area in disgust of the top leadership over the recent handling.

    We are in immenent danger of following them back up the curve, I'm glad I'm only responsible for my immediate family and can work from home.

    Since we are handling the relaxation of lockdown restrictions in a completely different way and our population density and demographics are completely different, I fail to see how we will follow them in any way?

    We should however take note of what they have learned about schools reopening.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,553 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    If you had any experience in data analytics and working with data coming from a large organisation you would be highly suspicious of perfect data.

    If you used your data analytics...

    I can't be bothered with this. Apply what you have learned in your data analytics course to answer yourself why your points are rubbish.

    yes there is rarely perfect data. No need for the smug condescending post, but thanks I will apply my degree here.

    The positive tests figure have always been bigger than the confirmed cases since the start but for the last 3 days this has been reversed so yes there is something up with the data being reported. If something reverses trend then there's an underlying issue with the data set or a change in reporting mechanism which seems to stem from the weekend in this case, it may even itself back out today, we'll soon find out.

    Thanks for your concern though, we'll soon see in the county data on what day the cases arose and what the true confirmed cases number was because it sure as hell wasn't 32 yesterday in the 24hr period and of course nobody in the media bothers looking at the data in the 24hr period so it was plastered around 32 cases with no explanation as to when they actually occurred which is an issue with HPSC reporting in itself.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,395 ✭✭✭ZX7R


    El Weirdo wrote: »
    The Good Friday Agreement doesn't even mention the CTA.

    And what pieces of legislation say that we would need to have a referendum to change or get rid of it?

    Most recent in 2019 the sining of the memorandum of understanding linked both the good Friday agreement and TCA under legislation.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,553 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    Seeing as we've seen a few GAA clubs stood down recently with regards to postive tests and contacts, GAA have changed stance today

    Players who have been in "casual contact" with a Covid-19 case can continue to play unless symptoms develop, while those who have been in "close contact" with a suspected case are instructed to have no involvement until being cleared to return.

    https://m.independent.ie/sport/gaelic-games/gaa-rule-that-casual-contacts-with-covid-cases-can-keep-playing-39369170.html


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,959 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Thanks for your concern though, we'll soon see in the county data on what day the cases arose and what the true confirmed cases number was because it sure as hell wasn't 32 yesterday in the 24hr period and of course nobody in the media bothers looking at the data in the 24hr period so it was plastered around 32 cases with no explanation as to when they actually occurred which is an issue with HPSC reporting in itself.

    But sure if they don't know, much like yourself. How can they report on it?

    The media from the start report on the figures they have been given at 5.30ish every evening, nothing has changed.

    Also single daily figures are pretty much moot when it comes to assessing the trend of the virus.

    The problem is certain people on the thread are trying to guess the figures before they come out and when they are wrong they lose their shít.

    It's the 5/7/14 day trends that are important.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    I know we've got some very qualified people on here but Bill Gates knows something about this. No whether you believe him to be a philanthropist who has the best interests in the world at heart or he is a lizard and part of some 5g conspiracy and planned it you should probably listen to him.

    Spoiler alert:it's gonna get worse....His face says it all really.

    519968.png



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 92,394 ✭✭✭✭JP Liz V1


    tom1ie wrote: »
    Sure it’s a hoax!
    It’s the 5g!
    It only affects old people!
    It’s just a slightly worse flu!

    These are some of the reasons.

    Covididiots


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,647 ✭✭✭✭El Weirdo


    ZX7R wrote: »
    Most recent in 2019 the sining of the memorandum of understanding linked both the good Friday agreement and TCA under legislation.

    Fair enough. I still don't see how it would require a referendum to change it though.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,340 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    SeaBreezes wrote: »
    Italians disagree:

    https://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-warning-from-italy-effects-of-covid-19-could-be-worse-than-first-thought-12027348

    The long-term effects of COVID-19, even on people who suffered a mild infection, could be far worse than was originally anticipated, according to researchers and doctors in northern Italy.

    Psychosis, insomnia, kidney disease, spinal infections, strokes, chronic tiredness and mobility issues are being identified in former coronavirus patients in Lombardy, the worst-affected region in the country.

    So little is known of the virus that any long-term planning is guess work.

    Doctors believe that even the youngest and mildest infected are at risk of their lives being changed forever, and it could take years to become apparent. Whole workforces could become less productive as a consequence.

    The advice from Italy is simple: Don't get infected.


    https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/07/01/coronavirus-autopsies-findings/

    These people who might suffer severe long term consequences - exactly what percentage of the population of Italy would they represent? A bit of context would be nice.


  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 18,061 Mod ✭✭✭✭ixoy


    SeaBreezes wrote: »
    There's very little evidence though there that it will cause issues in any significant numbers to most people. All it says is, "we're not sure" which is different to "we disagree".


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭gipi


    JP Liz V1 wrote: »
    Why refuse a free potentially life saving test, are they even self isolating

    https://twitter.com/jerosullivanRK/status/1282959677660307456?s=19

    Have a look at one of the replies to this tweet - claims young people don't trust the system, won't get tested and won't download the tracker app!

    https://twitter.com/arclight2011/status/1283089901446201347?s=19


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,395 ✭✭✭ZX7R


    El Weirdo wrote: »
    Fair enough. I still don't see how it would require a referendum to change it though.

    The wording iof it it's protected by law and can't be over turned by any government.
    So the only way for it to be changed is if the people call for it hence you would require a referendum.
    That in turn would cause a domino effect
    And a **** storm that would case more damage than the pandemic


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,080 ✭✭✭✭bodhrandude


    gipi wrote: »
    https://twitter.com/jerosullivanRK/status/1282959677660307456?s=19

    Have a look at one of the replies to this tweet - claims young people don't trust the system, won't get tested and won't download the tracker app!

    https://twitter.com/arclight2011/status/1283089901446201347?s=19

    The only reply I seen was that Mary Lou didn't download the tracker app.

    If you want to get into it, you got to get out of it. (Hawkwind 1982)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,630 ✭✭✭XsApollo


    https://www.itv.com/news/2020-07-15/positive-news-is-coming-on-oxford-covid-19-vaccine-writes-robert-peston


    Hopefully it’s true.
    Winter is going to be a right clusterf*ck if we don’t have something in the pipeline.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,613 ✭✭✭✭Jim_Hodge


    ZX7R wrote: »
    The wording iof it it's protected by law and can't be over turned by any government.
    So the only way for it to be changed is if the people call for it hence you would require a referendum.
    That in turn would cause a domino effect
    And a **** storm that would case more damage than the pandemic

    A referendum is not required if the law isn't enshrined in the constitution. Where is the CTA covered by the constitution?


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,969 ✭✭✭Assetbacked


    XsApollo wrote: »
    https://www.itv.com/news/2020-07-15/positive-news-is-coming-on-oxford-covid-19-vaccine-writes-robert-peston


    Hopefully it’s true.
    Winter is going to be a right clusterf*ck if we don’t have something in the pipeline.

    Wow, the article even claims it could go into mass production as early as September; that would put a definite lifespan on the crisis which wouldn't be very long. Very promising if true!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,591 ✭✭✭gabeeg


    ixoy wrote: »
    There's very little evidence though there that it will cause issues in any significant numbers to most people. All it says is, "we're not sure" which is different to "we disagree".

    There's very little evidence in either direction.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,109 ✭✭✭✭spookwoman


    Ref Long term effects of the virus, the number must be high enough for them to notice that it is happening. Even a small % means probably more people are going to need more medical care as they get older which is going to put more of a strain on a system that is near breaking point. It was mentioned a few months ago that more people are probably going to need lung transplants as well and we don't need to look far to read about it. People need to cop on, just because there are no definitive numbers on long term effects doesn't mean it's not happening.

    Cork consultant: Patients already presenting in need of lung transplants after surviving Covid
    https://www.echolive.ie/corknews/Cork-consultant-Patients-already-presenting-in-need-of-lung-transplants-after-surviving-Covid-2a3a2602-2c84-408f-a8ad-63a30ccc4b63-ds


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,651 ✭✭✭US2


    XsApollo wrote: »
    https://www.itv.com/news/2020-07-15/positive-news-is-coming-on-oxford-covid-19-vaccine-writes-robert-peston


    Hopefully it’s true.
    Winter is going to be a right clusterf*ck if we don’t have something in the pipeline.

    Same as the cluster**** after Easter, after May an June bank holidays. The Penney's opening cluster**** ect ??


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,630 ✭✭✭XsApollo


    US2 wrote: »
    Same as the cluster**** after Easter, after May an June bank holidays. The Penney's opening cluster**** ect ??

    Winter is different ballgame.
    There might won’t be any virus but there will be head colds galore.
    So if someone has a head cold in your work place does everybody isolate?
    Do they shut the company down awaiting test results?
    Schools? Kids with a cold? Shutting down classrooms every time a child has a cold.
    Coughs , the usual winter bugs can all be attributed to showing similar symptoms as this.

    How is that going to managed?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,809 ✭✭✭Hector Savage


    I know we've got some very qualified people on here but Bill Gates knows something about this. No whether you believe him to be a philanthropist who has the best interests in the world at heart or he is a lizard and part of some 5g conspiracy and planned it you should probably listen to him.

    Spoiler alert:it's gonna get worse....His face says it all really.

    519968.png



    I can hear people ripping the prick offa themselves ... probably have the whole choking whilst having a **** setup going on ...

    Mod: Threadbanned.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,857 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased


    Northern Ireland update:

    Zero deaths again today.
    9 additional cases.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,651 ✭✭✭US2


    XsApollo wrote: »
    Winter is different ballgame.
    There might won’t be any virus but there will be head colds galore.
    So if someone has a head cold in your work place does everybody isolate?
    Do they shut the company down awaiting test results?
    Schools? Kids with a cold? Shutting down classrooms every time a child has a cold.
    Coughs , the usual winter bugs can all be attributed to showing similar symptoms as this.

    How is that going to managed?

    Yeah that'll be a tough one alright.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,591 ✭✭✭gabeeg


    I can hear people ripping the prick offa themselves ... probably have the whole choking whilst having a **** setup going on ...

    You should probably get that seen to.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,089 ✭✭✭Non solum non ambulabit


    XsApollo wrote: »
    https://www.itv.com/news/2020-07-15/positive-news-is-coming-on-oxford-covid-19-vaccine-writes-robert-peston


    Hopefully it’s true.
    Winter is going to be a right clusterf*ck if we don’t have something in the pipeline.

    Very positive, I am hoping this vaccine is the winning one as we will get access to it. Any vaccine developed in the USA is very likely to be restricted to the the US, at least initially.


This discussion has been closed.
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