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Northern Ireland Census

  • 20-02-2003 11:40pm
    #1
    Victor
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 78,579 ✭✭✭✭


    I found information from the Northern Ireland Census here:

    http://www.nisra.gov.uk/census/Census2001Output/PopulationReport/populationreport.html
    http://www.nisra.gov.uk/census/Census2001Output/KeyStatistics/keystatrep.html

    Points to note:

    The ratio of Catholics to "Protestants" was approximately 43% to 53% (definitions vary).

    All constituencies with a nationalist MP have a catholic majority (52-76%). All constituencies with a non-nationalist MP have a non-catholic majority (59-93%).

    If nationalism is equated to catholicism, it is unlikely that any further nationist gains will be made immediately. Fermanagh and South Tyrone (SF, 52% cath) and Belfast North (DUP, 41% cath) are the most at risk of change.

    Constituencies vary in population from 79,261 to 105,066. This represents a 33% variation, presumably boundary changes will follow. Throughout the UK constiuencies vary from about 35,000 to 106,000 voters. Boundary changes are the most likely factor to change representation from nationalist to unionist and vice versa.

    The three constituencies (South Down, Newry and Armagh, Foyle) with SDLP MPs are among the 6 most populous constituencies. SF constituencies are in the lower middle. DUP & UUP are spread from lowest to upper middle.

    The Belfast constituencies are in the lower-middle range population wise and may need to be increased in area.

    The "east of the Bann -v- west of the Bann" doesn't strictly hold true seat wise (East Londonderry and South Down are odd). However religion does hold true for seat. A more accurate description would be Noarth-East -v- South West

    The Electorate : MP ratio varies by 27%. The higher number of catholic / nationalist children is slightly evident, but neither uniform not absolute. This results in marginally better representation for Unionists and those east of the Bann, but not to a profound effect.

    Additional source: http://www.electionsireland.org


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