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Fugly flucking Flop! Call or fold?

  • 04-07-2005 10:23pm
    #1
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,124 ✭✭✭


    I pick up KK out of position here and thankfully I get a raise in front of me. I don't know a lot about the player but from what I've seen he has no respect for preflop raises. I get a seriously nasty flop for KK but I have to bet out on it. He makes a huge all in behind and I put him on atleast the Queen. I don't put him on a made straight because this is such a huge overbet but a set is possible. My gut feeling is he is drawing here but even if he is he might be favourite. What do you think he has and what do you make of my call?

    Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ Hero (6 max, 6 handed) converter

    MP ($99.1)
    CO ($129.15)
    Button ($87.5)
    SB ($125.06)
    Hero ($129.51)
    UTG ($65.05)

    Preflop: Hero is BB with Kc, Ks. SB posts a blind of $0.5.
    1 fold, MP raises to $3, 3 folds, Hero raises to $8, MP calls $6.

    Flop: ($18.50) 9s, Js, Tc (2 players)
    Hero bets $15, Hero calls $75.10.

    Final Pot: $108.60


Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 15,116 ✭✭✭✭RasTa


    Call


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,124 ✭✭✭NickyOD


    RasTa wrote:
    Call

    Why?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,696 ✭✭✭Hectorjelly


    Against a good player you are either behind or are up against a good draw. Id fold here normally. However this player doesnt seem to fit that profile, so I think you could fit more hands into the profile, like any flush draw, AQ and AJ. Id probably call against a very bad player. The hand would be easier to play if youd raised a lot more preflop - I dont know if he would of called more.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,124 ✭✭✭NickyOD


    I almost folded this at first. I really don't know why. Given the money already in the pot figured the only hand I could be afraid of here is a set which just seemed unlikely.

    I think this is a pretty good range for this really bad player (although I didn't know how bad before the hand), but even if I tighten up the range considerably I can't see it going below 55%. The fact that I'm holding some of his outs made it an easier dfecision.

    equity (%) win (%) / tie (%)

    Hand 1: 62.3312 % [ 00.60 00.02 ] { KsKc }
    Hand 2: 37.6688 % [ 00.36 00.02 ] { JJ-99, AQs, KJs-KTs, QJs-QTs, JTs, AQo, KJo-KTo, QJo-QTo, JTo }

    TheSqueeze79 calls [$75.1].
    ** Dealing Turn ** [ 6h ]
    ** Dealing River ** [ As ]
    TheSqueeze79 shows [ Kc, Ks ] a pair of kings.
    ktarik doesn't show [ Qd, Td ] a pair of tens.
    TheSqueeze79 wins $196.7 from the main pot with a pair of kings.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,806 ✭✭✭Lafortezza


    From the flop and the preflop action I'd put him on Qd Td.


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