York Tips Thursday

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scargill

My Lucky 15 for today...

2:30 Strike Up The Band
3:05 Something Exciting
4:20 Notability
4:55 Indigo Cat

Might make it a Lucky 31 with Westerner but dont want to bet against Vinnie Roe cos I'd love to see him win it !!

fade2black

I'm going to avoid York completely today cause i think it will be a day of upsets. Something Exciting SHOULD win, but how often do we say that? She's had a tough season so far and may not handle York so well. She is versatile when it comes to the ground though. I think Secret History will benefit if there's something a miss with the favourite.

I like Strike up the Band for the opener. Dandy Nicholls is master of the sprints and this horse is improving with every race. Classic encounter will follow her home.

The Gold Cup is tricky but the good thing about a race like this is that it's a fairly exclusive trip so we're seeing the same bunch of horses and the form should be there for all to see. There's a bit of money around for percussionist at the minute but he's a risky proposition because he's stepping up a good bit in trip into unknown territory and a lot of his best for is on softer ground...still, Howard Johnston knows his stuff and it wouldn't be a major surprise. As much as I'd love to see Vinne Roe win, I think i'm, going to have to side with Westerner...both impressive stayers but Westerner has a nice turn of foot and would have won this last year had it not been for hitting the front too soon.

Elsewhere today there's a massive plunge on a horse at Wolerhampton....the 2.55 race - Montini Royale...from 66s into 8s. A relative newcomer, the yard obviously think he's alot better then his first outing and probably expect a true performance today...there could have been a good excuse last time...as with everything though, it's all guesswork.

scojones

scargill wrote:

My Lucky 15 for today...

2:30 Strike Up The Band
3:05 Something Exciting
4:20 Notability
4:55 Indigo Cat

Might make it a Lucky 31 with Westerner but dont want to bet against Vinnie Roe cos I'd love to see him win it !!

I'm goin with that lucky 15 also, although I don't think Notability or Indigo Cat will come anywhere...

Cheers though!

/crosses fingers

eirebhoy

From a decent tipster:
http://www.free-horse-racing-info.co.uk/

2.30: Green Park - 15/2 (e/w or win. up to you. Yesterday's tip was a 7/1 winner)

3.05: Twyla Tharp e/w - 7/1

4.55: Indigo Cat - 3/1 - NAP!!

CiaranC

That 2:55 race at Wolverhampton is seriously dodgy f2b, the fav is being seriously laid on betfair when it was supposed to be the cert of the week.

*edit* RP still shows the going at York as GD-FM. Surely that wasnt anything near good to firm yesterday?

Nea

As Mickey Joe is now top jockey does anyone recommend any of his mounts today?

CiaranC

OK, for today:

Large ew double:
1 16/06/2005 2.30 Royal Ascot at York
(Win and Each Way) Strike Up The Band
2/1 3 Places 1/4 Odds
2 16/06/2005 3.05 Royal Ascot at York
(Win and Each Way) Something Exciting
2/1 3 Places 1/4 Odds

Reasoning being: Both should be there or thereabouts whatever happens. Both should win, and if not the same reason - this dodgy ground, will acount for both of them making singles pointless. Im thinking both will win or neither.

Small ew single:
1 16/06/2005 2.30 Royal Ascot at York
(Win and Each Way) Green Park
8/1 3 Places 1/4 Odds

Form here is on a par with everything other than Strike Up The Band, and represents real value, unless I am overlooking something.

Will see how they go first, have a long day in at work in front of ATR, BBC and RUK ahead of me. Its a hard life.

Crumbs

sjones wrote:

I'm goin with that lucky 15 also, although I don't think Notability or Indigo Cat will come anywhere...

Eh, call me crazy but when I don't think a horse will come anywhere, I lay it instead of backing it.

CiaranC wrote:

RP still shows the going at York as GD-FM. Surely that wasnt anything near good to firm yesterday?

The times for yesterday's races were still a bit faster than standard, indicating that it was still good-to-firm. The top of the ground was obviously a bit loose but it must have been firm underneath. A lot of horses don't stride out fully on that type of ground because it just doesn't feel safe to them. It's a "punter beware" type of ground.

scojones

I have done that too many times and they have come in. That's why I'm going with them

scargill

slight change of plans for Lucky 15 I did at lunch:

2:30 Strike Up The Band
3:05 Something Exciting
3:45 Vinnie Roe
4:20 Notability


Indigo Cat could be a nut case - one nut case a week is enough for me (Rakti!).

I reckon Strike Up The Band and Something Exciting are certs - i've done a €20 double on those.
I put a small few quid e/w on Wolfe Tone in the Gold Cup. He is certainly on the up but the distance is an unknown. Should be interesting race.

The ground is the big question mark - so no big bets today !!

scojones

doh!

scargill

first one sunk - just missed the break. the other 3 will definitely win now !!

CiaranC

Best horse lost IMO.

To hell with this, Im not breaking even for the third day in a row, time to lump on Something Exciting.

scojones

bad day today

eirebhoy

eirebhoy wrote:

From a decent tipster:
http://www.free-horse-racing-info.co.uk/

2.30: Green Park - 15/2 (e/w or win. up to you. Yesterday's tip was a 7/1 winner)

3.05: Twyla Tharp e/w - 7/1

4.55: Indigo Cat - 3/1 - NAP!!

That e/w horse came 2nd at 11/1.

scargill

getting silly now - bookmakers are raking it in.

each-ways for me:

Wolfe Tone
Darasim
Sun Bird

scargill

one back for the punters at last. Westerner was very impressive.

CiaranC

Getting murdered here. Belenus to dig me out of a big hole.

eirebhoy

eirebhoy wrote:

From a decent tipster:
http://www.free-horse-racing-info.co.uk/

2.30: Green Park - 15/2 (e/w or win. up to you. Yesterday's tip was a 7/1 winner)

3.05: Twyla Tharp e/w - 7/1 2nd at 11/1

4.55: Indigo Cat - 3/1 - NAP!! 1st at 7/2

They also got 7/1 e/w winner yesterday and a nap winner yesterday. I'll be putting big money on their tips tomorrow. I'll post them up as soon as they're up.

scojones

Get in there you beauty.

CiaranC

Nice, hope you backed them.

Typical that the one I took an interest in was nowhere

Done 50% of my Ascot Bank today. Hope tommorrow is better.

scojones

Yeah I had them, see! If I hadn't have went with them it'd have happend to me again (:

scargill

i throw my hat at it now. Indigo Cat was my first choice but steered away from it - i'll never learn.

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fade2black

Ok I just mentioned it....I also mentioned that Westerner would win and that Something Exciting was not a safe bet today....and eh....that classic encounter would follow strike up the band home.....:D

Fandango

Breaking News!!!!Breaking News!!!!Breaking News!!!!Breaking News!!!!Breaking News!!!!Breaking News!!!!
Something exciting has reportedly changed his name to Something Disappointing


Awful joke eh?

Crumbs

Fandango banned for a week.




Oh wait, I'm not a mod.

Fandango

Good point, about time somebody banned my jokes