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Heavy Rainfall Thurs 2nd & Storm Amy Watch Fri 3rd -Sat 4th Oct 2025
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Met Eireann's website says that they use a combination of AROME and Harmonie to do their short range forecasting. Harmonie has most of Mayo firmly in the red tomorrow afternoon, AROME not really going for the same intensity. But given the factors already mentioned like school runs, flooding, trees in leaf I am honestly amazed that they haven't gone red. They might yet but at this stage they're leaving it late. No point issuing it when the kids are in school tomorrow, causes even more chaos. The only thing I will say is that they are the professional forecasters and we are not so possibly they are not expecting it to be as bad, time will tell.
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Not in the same league as Eowyn but still strong enough for the time of year to cause damage and bring down branches and trees being more or less in full leaf. Some power outages are inevitable I would say and Saturday remains quite a windy blustery day so might take time to get power back for some.
Strongest winds going through in about 3 or 4 hours I would think, It does look like the W /NW will have some of the strongest winds in the mid afternoon around school pick up time so a bit of a dilemma for forecasters. I think should be considered at least a high end Orange and with the Red Marine Warning those near the coast should treat it as Red.
Wind following the cold front crossing the country tomorrow, under a colder airmass after the cold front so introducing much cooler fresher air. Could be in the high teens and muggy on Fri and around 12 or 13C on Sat and feeling cooler in the wind. Parameters increasing for some thunderstorms activity tomorrow night ,more so along Atlantic coastal areas and maybe moving a bit inland but isolated in nature.
Tomorrow
Storm Amy will bring heavy rain and very windy or stormy conditions tomorrow. There will be strong to gale force south to southwest winds, veering westerly, along with severe and damaging gusts. Winds will increase to storm or violent storm force in western and northwestern coastal areas at times during the afternoon and evening. Rain will extend across the country from the southwest during the morning and will be heavy at times, possibly causing localised flooding. The rain will gradually clear eastwards through the afternoon and will be followed by scattered showers and some sunny spells. Highest temperatures of 16 to 19 degrees.
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