Boards weather forecast contest for February 2025

M.T. Cranium

1. Predict the IMT (Irish mean temperature, an average for five stations, Casement, Claremorris, Mullingar, Oak Park and Shannon). The 1981-2010 "normal" value is 5.3 C.
2. Predict the MAX, the highest daily maximum at any reporting station as confirmed at end of month in the Monthly Summary.
3. Predict the MIN, the lowest daily minimum at any reporting station as confirmed at end of month in the Monthly Summary.
4. Predict the PRC, the average rainfall expressed as percentage of normal at the eleven stations we normally use, which include the five mentioned for IMT and also Ballyhaise, Belmullet, Malin Head, Johnstown Castle, Cork and Valentia.
5. Predict the SUN, the total sunshine expressed as a percentage of normal at the six stations used (Belmullet, Casement, Dublin, Shannon, Cork, Valentia).
6. For the BONUS question, predict the maximum daily temperature for 14 Feb at Valentia.

Deadline as always 0300h 1st of month with 1% penalties each portion of 4 hours late to 1500h 2nd, after which, 1% per hour.

M.T. Cranium _____ 6.7 __ 17.3 _ -4.0 _ 060 _ 130 ___ 11.2

NormaL __________5.3 __ 16.0 _ -6.5 _ 100 _ 100 ___ 10.5

Bsal

Bsal __________5.7 __ 16.9 _ -5.0 _ 125 _ 110 ___ 8.0

John mac

john mac __________5.8 __ 17.2 _ -5.5 _ 104 _ 103 ___ 12.5

pauldry

john mac __________6.5__ 17.5 _ -5.5 _85 _ 110 ___ 14

dasa29

Dasa29 __________5.5 __ 17.0 _ -5.0 _ 100 _ 110 ___ 10.0

esposito

Esposito __________6.2 __ 16.5 _ -4.8_ 90_ 120___ 11.7

DOCARCH

DOCARCH __________5.8 __ 16.8 _ -5.2_ 95_ 105___ 12.2

kindredspirit

Kindred Spirit ___ 5.8 ___ 16.8 ___ -4.0 ___ 115 ___ 105 ___ 12.0

sryanbruen

sryanbruen _____ 5.4 __ 16.4 _ -6.8 _ 070 _ 100 ___ 12.2

WolfeEire

WolfeEire _____ 5.3 __ 15.2 _ -6.1 _ 080 _ 105 ___ 9.2

mr.stonewall

Mr stonewall____5.7_____15.6____-6.6____75____95___11.2

appledrop

Appledrop__5.9____16.0__-6.0__89__100__12.5

waterways

waterways _____5.7 __ 15.9 _ -3.7 _ 93 _ 104 ___ 9.3

sunflower3

Sunflower3_________5.5 __ 16.8 _ -6.0_ 108 _ 90 ___ 8.5

mrskinner

MrsKinner____6.6___15___-2.4___100___125___10.5

Tae laidir

Tae laidir _________ 6.0 __ 16.6 _ -6.0 _ 85 _ 116 ___ 8.8

Gonzo

Gonzo __________5.5 __ 16.2 _ -7.3 _ 072 _ 118 ___ 11.3

dacogawa

Dacogawa ___ 6.3 __ 16.5 __ -5.9 __ 97 __ 105 __ 11.2

Cornerstonelad

Cornerstonelad___5.0____15.0____-7.0___80_____115_____12.0

Jpmarn

Jpmarn __________5.0 __ 15.2 _ -6.8 _ 120 _ 110 ___ 8.5

pauldry

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123118493#Comment_123118493

Not changing but when I copied and pasted from John macs forgot to change name sorry.

adam240610

Adam240610_________6.2 __ 17 _ -4.8_ 94 _ 113 ___ 11.9

Joe Public

Joe Public __________4.9__ 14.9 _ -7.8 _ 85_ 130 ___ 12.9

Happy St Brigid's Day

Artane2002

Artane2002 __________5.8 __ 14.8 _ -7.1 _ 090 _ 095 ___ 9.7

waterways

Dublin Airport -2.8 yesterday

M.T. Cranium

__ Table of forecasts for February 2025 __

FORECASTER _____IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN __ Max 14 Val

M.T. Cranium _____6.7 _ 17.3 _ -4.0 _ 060 _ 130 ___ 11.2

MrSkinner _______ 6.6 _ 15.0 _ -2.4 _ 100 _ 125 ___ 10.5

Pauldry _________ 6.5 _ 17.5 _ -5.5 _ 085 _ 110 ___ 14.0

Dacogawa _______ 6.3 _ 16.5 _ -5.9 _ 097 _ 105 ___ 11.2

Adam240610_(-1)_ 6.2 _ 17.0 _ -4.8 _ 094 _ 113 ___ 11.9

Esposito _________6.2 _ 16.5 _ -4.8 _ 090 _ 120 ___ 11.7

Tae laidir ________ 6.0 _ 16.6 _ -6.0 _ 085 _ 116 ____ 8.8

Appledrop _______ 5.9 _ 16.0 _ -6.0 _ 089 _ 100 ___ 12.5

john mac ________5.8 _ 17.2 _ -5.5 _ 104 _ 103 ___ 12.5

DOCARCH _______ 5.8 _ 16.8 _ -5.2 _ 095 _ 105 ___ 12.2

Kindred Spirit ____ 5.8 _ 16.8 _ -4.0 _ 115 _ 105 ___ 12.0

Artane2002 __(-2)_5.8 _ 14.8 _ -7.1 _ 090 _ 095 ____ 9.7

____ Con Sensus _ 5.8 _ 16.4 _ -6.0 _ 093 _ 105 ___ 11.2

Bsal ____________5.7 _ 16.9 _ -5.0 _ 125 _ 110 ____ 8.0

waterways _______5.7 _ 15.9 _ -3.7 _ 093 _ 104 ____ 9.3

Mr stonewall _____ 5.7 _ 15.6 _ -6.6 _ 075 _ 095 ___ 11.2

Dasa29 _________ 5.5 _ 17.0 _ -5.0 _ 100 _ 110 ___ 10.0

Sunflower3 ______ 5.5 _ 16.8 _ -6.0 _ 108 _ 090 ____ 8.5

Gonzo __________ 5.5 _ 16.2 _ -7.3 _ 072 _ 118 ___ 11.3

sryanbruen ______ 5.4 _ 16.4 _ -6.8 _ 070 _ 100 ___ 12.2

____NormaL _____ 5.3 _ 16.0 _ -6.5 _ 100 _ 100 ___ 10.5

WolfeEire ________ 5.3 _ 15.2 _ -6.1 _ 080 _ 105 ____ 9.2

Jpmarn __________5.0 _ 15.2 _ -6.8 _ 120 _ 110 ____ 8.5

Cornerstonelad ____5.0 _ 15.0 _ -7.0 _ 080 _ 115 ___ 12.0

Joe Public _ (-2) ___4.9 _ 14.9 _ -7.8 _ 085 _ 130 ___ 12.9

_________________________

In general, a majority expect a mild, dry and sunny Feb.

pauldry

A low of -5 in Mt Dillon at 8am.

appledrop

-5.2 confirmed for Mt Dillion.

M.T. Cranium

After first week (Shannon data est) …

IMT _ 5.6 (0.5 above normal)

MAX _ not tracked

MIN _ -5.2

PRC _ 110%

SUN _ 180%

Max 14 Val _ GFS predicts 10.5 C

WolfeEire

As far as I can find out, 13.1c at Casement on Feb 3rd is max temp so far

M.T. Cranium

Getting ready to score these 14 Feb forecasts for Valentia:

Pauldry _________ 14.0

Joe Public _______ 12.9

Appledrop _______ 12.5

john mac ________12.5

DOCARCH _______ 12.2

sryanbruen ______ 12.2

Cornerstonelad____12.0

Kindred Spirit ____ 12.0

Adam240610_____ 11.9

Esposito _________11.7

Gonzo __________ 11.3

M.T. Cranium _____11.2

Dacogawa _______ 11.2

Mr stonewall _____ 11.2

____ Con Sensus _ 11.2

MrSkinner _______ 10.5

____NormaL _____ 10.5

Dasa29 _________ 10.0

Artane2002 ______ 9.7

waterways _______ 9.3

WolfeEire ________ 9.2

Tae laidir ________ 8.8

Sunflower3 _______8.5

Jpmarn __________8.5

Bsal ____________ 8.0

appledrop

I think those with the lower values will be on the ball, awful miserable spell of weather we are having this week.

M.T. Cranium

Today is anniversary of storm Darwin (2014), and apparently Darwin (and Lincoln) were born on Feb 12, 1809.