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Euromillions 2022 - Ernie (The Fastest Milkman In The West)

  • 05-01-2022 12:29pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭


    2017 +1100 points

    2018 -160 points 2019 -530 points 2020 -1500 points 2021 - -141 points

    Overall -1231 points

    Happy New year everyone, in a land where hopes springs eternal (again, again)! First wager on Friday



«1

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    First wager on Friday, I said – just as well I didn’t say which Friday.

    Well, its been mad money time on all lottery fronts, and that continues tonight.

    The last three Euromillions jackpots have all been won in France, and then we had the Lotto heading to Mayo.

    That draw was the biggest played draw ever in Irish history.

    This was evidenced by the number of raffle winners.

    The previous 5 draws saw this number of winners 121, 137, 116, 141, 115 before 692 people won on Saturday.

    That means that more people played the draw for Saturday, than the previous 5 combined, even though the jackpot was the same.

    I know that it was guaranteed this time round, so more value for money.

    149 runners up got 36,000 each, but if Mr. Mayo hadn’t won, then their share would have been increased by 126,000 each.

    Nobody would have been retiring on 150k.!

     

    So tonight, we switch back to the Euromillions, and there will be 100 more millionaires made tonight, as all raffle numbers get put into a very big hat after the main draw. Twice before, in 2016 and 2018, we had draws like this, but in both cases only 25 millionaires were created. Sadly, none were Irish.

     I have also done my first set of homework for 2022, and have a nice wager for tonight.

    I’m being influenced tonight by the returns of #03 after a 22 draw absence and #24, who went on holidays for over 50 draws

    As my optimism hasn’t been hit yet, it’s a 50 point bonanza to start the year (albeit 21 days in!)

     

    Type of bet   Number(s)     Stake            Running total

    Single            #05,11,19     5 points         15 points

    Patent            #05,11,19     7x5 points    50 points

    one number guarantees we start the year in profit!

    2022 bankroll -0050  

    GLTM and GLTY



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Type of bet   Number(s)     Stake            Running total

    Single            #05,11,19     5 points         15 points

    Patent            #05,11,19     7x5 points    50 points

    one number guarantees we start the year in profit!

    2022 bankroll -0050  

    Results          05-14-35-36-39          

    Return 90 points

    2022 bankroll +0040



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Type of bet   Number(s)              Stake            Running total

    Lucky 15      #17,#22,#27,#49    1 point         15 points

    Lucky 15      #22,#27,#37,#49    1 point         30 points

    2022 bankroll +0010 GLTM and GLTY



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Nothing here, unfortunately.

    Two draws after #24 ends a 51 draw drought, we see #18 end a 55 draw drought. That leaves #08 as the longest not drawn, a mere 37 draw gap for that one.

    Back Friday.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    When I typed that last comment I had convinced myself that I was right, even though I knew I was wrong !!!!

    Two draws after #24 ends a 51 draw drought, #16 ended a 55 draw drought. Following that mathematical progression, we get to #08 as the longest not drawn, a mere 37 draw gap for that one. I had homework done based on #18 - now have to re-visit :(



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Never got to get the stats together.

    Two more long absentees dropped last night,

    #10 appeared after 26 draws while #45 was a little more shy, having been away for 35 draws.

    The long absentees are now #08 38 draws, #27 36 draws and on 31 draws #13 , reminding me of The Offspring! Homework to be done, as I am planning for a massive win in one of the next 3 draws!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Type of bet   Number(s)     Stake            Running total

    Single          #35             10 points      10 points      

    Single          #40             10 points      20 points

    Double         #14,#20        5 points        25 points

    2022 bankroll -0015 points



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    February starts off with a loss, as draw #1499 gives us nothing.

    This Friday I will be playing draw #1500 in the shops as well, as the jackpot is a guaranteed €130,000,000!

    2022 bankroll -0015 points



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Type of bet   Number(s)     Stake           Running total

    Single            #12,#17,#22     5 points         15 points

    Patent            #12,#17,#22     7x5 points    50 points

    one number guarantees a profit!

    2022 bankroll -0065 



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Nothing for me as the €130,000,000 goes to one winner in the UK. BTTDB.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    2022 bankroll -0065  up to today

    Tonight we go again. Lucky31 @ 1pt

    New bankroll -0096

    This is the 6 month anniversary of #27 last appearance !!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Results 07-17-21-29-40

    One number, return of 9 points

    New bankroll -0087



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    2022 draws here - haven't had time to get into the data

    Previous draw saw #27 return after 6 months in the wilderness. That mads #11 the shyest number, but that popped out last night.

    That leaves only four numbers now that haven't appeared in the last twenty draws.

    #15, #28, #04 and #46. The absences have seen #04 and #15 drop out of the top 10 most selected number overall.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Old bankroll -0087

    Two 0.5 pt. Lucky 31s tonight based on yet more amazing analysis 😀

    This is based on averaging out the numbers that have fallen in this pattern previously #09 - #14 - #24 - #35 - #38

    This is based on predictive view of same pattern #04 - #11 - #20 - #35 - #44

    New bankroll -0118 GLTM



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Old bankroll -0118

    Tonight's bet: 4 point patent #11,#12,#41 28 points

    New bankroll -0146 GLTM



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Result 10 - 11 - 20 - 36 - 37

    "4 point patent #11,#12,#41 28 points"

    old bankroll -0146 winnings 32 points

    new bankroll -0114



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Old bankroll -0114

    Tonight's bet: 4 point patent #18,#28,#42 28 points

    New bankroll -0142 GLTM

    In other news, the jackpot will be well over €200m tonight !!!! Off to the shops for me!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Another single, which is actually a 36 point return, so new bankroll actually -0102

    Inching it back 4 points per draw!

    UK winner of €215m with 03-25-27-28-29



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Since September 2019 we have only had two three-in-a-rows

    Tuesday 30 March 2021      27-28-29         and

    Tuesday 10 May 2022          27-28-29 making this the third time these numbers have appeared together. The first time was Friday 31 May 2013.

    This triplet join 22-23-24 as the only treble three-in-a-rows.

     

    This draw was the 8th draw that followed successive draws where #08 had been selected.

    For one of those draws, we also saw a three-in-a-row.

    146 five eight seventeen twentyfive forty 05 - 08 - 17 - 25 - 40

    147 four eight sixteen thirtyseven fortyone 04 - 08 - 16 - 37 - 41

    148 sixteen seventeen eighteen thirtysix fortyseven  16 - 17 - 18 - 36 - 47

    Early indications for Friday are #35 and #42



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Results from the last few draws see that the 10 least ever drawn numbers have been as present as the 10 most drawn numbers.

    So much so in fact, that #44 and #50 are now the two “shyest” balls, both absent since mid-February.

    I am convinced one of them will re-appear so tonight’s bets are

    Old bankroll -0102

    10 point double #35,#42

    2 point patent #35,#42,#44 14 points

    2 point patent #35,#42,#50 14 points

    New bankroll -0140 GLTM



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    results

    03 - 11 - 17 - 45 - 48 04 - 08

    bankroll -0140

    First ever three-in-a-row appearance by #03



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Old bankroll -0140

     0.5 pt. point Lucky 31 #01,#16,#29,#34,#43 15.5 points

    0.5 pt. point Lucky 31 #05,#19,#23,#28,#42 15.5 points

     New bankroll -0171 GLTM



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    result #49. #28, #30, #05, #48

    0.5 pt. point Lucky 31 #01,#16,#29,#34,#43 15.5 points

    0.5 pt. point Lucky 31 #05,#19,#23,#28,#42 15.5 points

    Old bankroll -0140

    Winnings 2 singles 4.5 + 4.5 plus one double 50.5 points = total 59.5😀 best draw in 2022!

    New bankroll -0080.5



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Old bankroll -0080.5

    Can't see anything over 30 appearing tonight, so jackpot will be won in Spain or France.

    Here keeping it simple

    8 points singles #11, #21 3.5 point double #11, #21 stake 19.5 points

    New bankroll -0100



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Old bankroll -0100 Well I was on the under 30s for the first three balls and then it went pear-shaped

    Tonight’s stakes

    10 points single        #16

    4 point double         #16, #32

    4 point double         #16, #39

    2 point treble            #16, #32, #39

    New bankroll -0120  GLTM



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Results :: 15 - 23 - 28 - 34 - 48 03 - 05 Nothing to see here

    Bankroll remains at -0120



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Old bankroll -0120

    Tonight’s stakes

    5 points singles       #38, #39, #40, #41, #42  cost 30 points

    1 point Lucky 31     #38, #39, #40, #41, #42  cost 31 points

    New bankroll -0181  GLTM

    One number guarantees a (tiny) profit



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    result #42 #13 #10 #49 #03

    old bankroll -0181

    winnings 63 points

    new bankroll -0118 colossal 2 point profit - watched draw - had first number out and thought I was on for a good night



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Old bankroll -0118

    Tonight’s stakes

    5 points singles       #01, #05, #15  cost 15 points

    1 point patent         #01, #05, #15  cost 7 points

    New bankroll -0140



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    12 - 28 - 29 - 34 - 48

    Nothing here. Can't recall the last time I've seen 28 - 34 - 48 out together

    Oh hang on - that would be two draws ago!

    15 - 23 - 28 - 34 - 48

    No work today so I can stare at these numbers to see what pops out!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Old bankroll -0140      

    Tonight’s stakes

    2 points singles       #15, #34, #50  cost 6 points

    2 point patent         #15, #34, #50  cost 14 points

    New bankroll -0160



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Old bankroll  -0160

    Tonight’s stakes

    12 cross doubles      @ 1pt #27,#28,#29,#30     x         #36,#37,#38             12 points

    3 singles                  @ 6pt #28,#29,#37                                                      18 points

    New bankroll            -0190

    GLTM

    This Friday will be a €130m jackpot, swamping this 17m tiddler!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Results 02 - 07 - 27 - 34 - 40

    In wrong range in the 30s sadly! Bankroll -0190 - roll on Friday!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Old bankroll  -0190

     Tonight’s stakes

     20 trebles @ 1pt       #09,#17,#25,#32,#33,#36  20 points

     New bankroll           -0210



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Three of the top 5 numbers ever drawn alongside one of the joint shyest. Nobody wins €130,000,000

    Nothing for me either ☹

    19-21-22-31-38 these numbers have been drawn 174-170-128-147-170 times thus far. Average expected per number 154. #19 moved to most drawn.

    Worryingly this number is "bigger" than all those -0210



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    The 2022 statistics are throwing up these numbers        #07, #18, #42 and #48

    However, I am going back to trending and have ended up with these three #04, #22, #41

    Therefore, I am going with a 2 point patent tonight on the last three numbers there

    I’ll be playing “in shop” for the €140m+ jackpot as well.

    New bankroll -0224 points



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Results 06 - 23 - 36 - 39 - 47

    Nothing for me.

    Mega jackpot not won again, so Friday will be €160,000,000!

    Bankroll still -0224 and we are almost at halfway.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    10 point single #19

    2 point double #19, #27

    2 point double #14, #26

    2 point double #15, #25 GLTM

    New bankroll -0240



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    We head into the second half of the year, and we are down!

    Old bankroll -0240      

    Friday night’s stakes

    12 points singles      #25, #36, #38  cost 36 points

    2 point patent         #25, #36, #38  cost 14 points

    New bankroll -0290



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    old bankroll  -290

    results            06 - 18 - 24 - 34 - 46  

    nothing to see here with #25,#36,#38

    the €196m jackpot went unwon as #18 and #46 two of the four least drawn numbers were both selected.

    tonight’s jackpot will be €215m or thereabouts

    back later



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Got it down to these two lines

    07 - 14 - 16 - 17 - 39

    07 - 36 - 38 - 39 - 47

    So playing 6 point single #07 2 point double #07,#39 1 point double #07,#47

    Five four-timers @0.1 pt. from first line

    Five four-timers @0.1 pt. from second line Total cost 10 points

    New bankroll -0300



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Death by analysis

    I have pored over the numbers over the weekend

    Numbers I don’t want to see are

    03-11-17-19-33-39

    Numbers favoured are

    01-04-07-12-14-15-20-22-27-29-30-35-36-37–41-46-49

    There are 6188 combinations of 5 from that lot so I have narrowed it down 😊

    Stakes for tonight

    3 point single #37

    Three 1 point doubles #01,#30,#37

    2 point patent          #01,#30,#37

    Total stake 20 points

    New bankroll -0320

    GLTM

     

    It is of course the best night to play the main draw tonight as all money wagered goes into the 5+1 or lower buckets, with the top prize capped at €230m

    Last week saw the jackpot arrive at €230 from a starting pot of €215m.

    Despite that the runners up, 9 of them, got €1.4m each. That means that €15m + €12.6 = €27.6m at least will be there for sharing out at the second tier tonight!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    old bankroll -320

    the 5+1 winners on Tuesday got €4.5 m. each which was nice.

    I, of course, got nothing!

    Tonight I will be playing "for real" but in Paddy's I'll have these stakes

    10 point singles #05,#50 10 point double

    New bankroll -350



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Old bankroll -0350

    Wading back in again – this time with a Lucky 15 as the backbone of the bet

    Lucky 15        Stake 1 point            #26,#27,#28,#29

    Single             Stake 2 points           #06

    Single             Stake 2 points           #50

    Double          Stake 1 point            #06, #50

    Total stake 20 points

    New bankroll -0370

    GLTM

     

    Third last draw:         9 people matched 5+1 and got €1.4m each. €12.6m

    Second last draw:   5 people matched 5+1 and got €4.6m each. €23m

    Last draw:                14 people matched 5+1 and got €1.9m each. €26.6m

    Serious money out there in the actual draw.

    If its not going to be won, the consolations prizes are nice!

    Just checked the rules and this is the last draw before you can empty out your bank account and weigh in on Friday, because if its still €230m on Friday, then that becomes a “Must Be Won” draw. Fingers crossed, either way!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    A huge 27 point win there brings the bankroll to -0343 for 2022

    Sadly a huge win for a UK player means my money is still in the bank, thankfully not AIB, or I might not see it again!

    No bets tonight as no homework done.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Old bankroll -0343

    Tonight’s stakes

    11 points singles       #19, #28, #48  cost 33 points

    2 point patent          #19, #28, #48  cost 14 points

    Total cost 47 points

    New bankroll -0390



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Nothing to see here as we get 5 odds less than 31, with #03,#05,#17, #25, #27.

    One last stab Friday before the holidays!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    Old bankroll -0390

    Got it down to these two lines

     01 - 20 - 23 - 37 - 39

     04 - 23 - 33 - 39 - 42

     Playing two Lucky 31's @0.5 point each

    Total stake    31 points

     new bankroll -421 😕



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    03 - 23 - 38 - 43 - 48

    results - very close to the numbers but just the match 1 winnings 9 points

    resultant bankroll -412

    tonight sees me confident with this Lucky 31 with stake of 1 point per !!

    #02, #10, #23, #24, #46

    new bankroll -443



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,233 ✭✭✭jacool


    First number out #10 !!

    and that was that ! #10,#25,#14,#39,#32

    New bankroll -434



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