Price Changes 19/20

ScummyMan

No changes last night.

FPL statistics is the most accurate place to monitor changes.

http://www.fplstatistics.co.uk/Home/IndexAndroid2

km79

My fav thread on boards
Can’t wait to see some Mick in the morning

KathleenGrant

km79 wrote: »

My fav thread on boards
Can’t wait to see some Mick in the morning

I like a bit of Mick in the mornings too.

KevIRL

Ederson 11% away from a rise. I know it won't happen cause the formulas still need tweaking etc but it would be mental if it did happen tonight.

nullObjects

KevIRL wrote: »

Ederson 11% away from a rise. I know it won't happen cause the formulas still need tweaking etc but it would be mental if it did happen tonight.

He's at 91% now.
Wonder if there will be a price spike with MOTD

Scorpion Sting

nullObjects wrote: »

He's at 91% now.
Wonder if there will be a price spike with MOTD

manual_man

KathleenGrant wrote: »

I like a bit of Mick in the mornings too.

c.p.w.g.w

Can anyone explain how to read the website in OP

macraignil

c.p.w.g.w wrote: »

Can anyone explain how to read the website in OP

When the opening page loads it lists the top 10 players who are most likely to go up in price with the most likely to go up at the top. At the moment Ederson is 101% to their target of players buying him in to be likely to go up in price so it is fairly likely that the official game will put up his price soon. De Gea is at 50.2% so he has a way to go in people buying him before you would expect a price rise.



There is a box in the top right of the table where you can enter a player name and the figures for that specific player will be displayed. You can also go to the last page in the table and it shows the players most likely to go down in price which currently has Alisson on -94.3 so with some extra sales in the next few days you could expect him to go down in price on the official site.


The rate at which players are bought in or sold can be very variable so while De Gea for example is at 50.2% currently if a large number of people are buying him in that % could go up very quickly and it would be worth checking to see if it is changing at a faster rate to know when an increase in actual price is likely. If he doesn't get a price rise and then concedes 5 goals next week you could also have lots of players selling him and so the % will go down and the chance of a price rise will be reduced.

ScummyMan

c.p.w.g.w wrote: »

Can anyone explain how to read the website in OP

The numbers to the right of each player denotes the likelihood that a player's price will change overnight. Values in excess of 100, or lower that -100, indicate players that are likely to change in price.

c.p.w.g.w

Cheers guys, so each 100 accounts for a price increase/decrease yeah

ElTel

c.p.w.g.w wrote: »

Cheers guys, so each 100 accounts for a price increase/decrease yeah

Yes, according to their algorithm, but it's still a guess.
Hovering over the column titles will reveal a brief explanation and clicking on it will "reverse" the column.

A search of the other topics/options at the top of the page will provide you with more info.

ScummyMan

No movement last night.

KevIRL

no change again. This is good.

Cartman78

This is weird.....can't believe Lucas Perez hasn't dropped :pac:

c.p.w.g.w

Have they put a freeze a price changes for week one?

steve_r

c.p.w.g.w wrote: »

Have they put a freeze a price changes for week one?

There must be something up. Fair enough Allison and Ederson would need a lot of transfers to move price as high ownership but I would have expected guys like Pukki and McGinn to have moved at this point, being at low prices and having a good opening day.

That said, a lot of premiums delivered the opening day so maybe people are happy enough with how week 1 went and banking towards week 3. I know I am

PARlance

First action last year was after 3 days. Less kneejerkery going on this year in comparison, think we'll have pics in the morning.

Invincible

Possible that some players are waiting for Supercup to finish before making transfers.

c.p.w.g.w

Might is also be possible that a lot of folks aren't willing to take points hit, that's teams with Allison having already used their FT on getting him out already

honeybear

Anyone likely to rise tonight?

dsmythy

honeybear wrote: »

Anyone likely to rise tonight?

Unlikely. Ederson is close but hard to tell.

Always Be Closing

PEA gonna shoot up after his Burnley brace this weekend

KevIRL

Changes happened about half an hour ago

Ederson sterling rashford ddg martial all up

KevIRL

Ozil matip Allison sane all down

dsmythy

Well must have been some late transferring action, wasn't that many showing changes on the site.

ScummyMan

Wow that's the latest I've ever seen changes come through. The site seems to be having a few technical issues this season

Trimm Trabb

Damm they really caught me out with that Martial rise. Was only 60% on fplstatistics.

Tweaked the algorithm perhaps..

You would expect all those to rise again now too.

Green&Red

Trimm Trabb wrote: »

Damm they really caught me out with that Martial rise. Was only 60% on fplstatistics.

Tweaked the algorithm perhaps..

You would expect all those to rise again now too.

Tony is a trap, a massive trap. Since he’s come to the club he’s been talked about like he’s the messiah, he consistently disappoints.

The second United come up against a team that actually looks at some game tape and sees that United are only good on the counter then Martial will be back to being the flash in a pan player he’s been since he joined them

Trimm Trabb

Green&Red wrote: »

Tony is a trap, a massive trap. Since he’s come to the club he’s been talked about like he’s the messiah, he consistently disappoints.

The second United come up against a team that actually looks at some game tape and sees that United are only good on the counter then Martial will be back to being the flash in a pan player he’s been since he joined them

I somewhat agree and I still expect Utd to go off the rails this season too. Wolves is a tough game alright so wouldn't expect much but he is a no.9 this season and looks certain to start as they haven't got many options. Even if he doesn't fulfill his potential as a Utd player can still see him being good value in fpl.

Green&Red

Green&Red wrote: »

Tony is a trap, a massive trap. Since he’s come to the club he’s been talked about like he’s the messiah, he consistently disappoints.

The second United come up against a team that actually looks at some game tape and sees that United are only good on the counter then Martial will be back to being the flash in a pan player he’s been since he joined them

I agree but kind of disagree at the same time

I'm interested to see what Ole plan is for the games, where the teams defend deeper and they can't counter as a pogba owner I'm hoping he pushes forward.

The next few games should give us a better insight into what the tactics will be, so I'm not rushing to get Martial.

As a United fan, Martial is a very frustrating player and someone who I think is just awful on the wing, Ole sees him more as a striker a position he has got no regular time in since his first season. A position which Martial thinks is his best.

So again it will be interesting to see how he gets on there, the big upside this year to Martial is he looks like playing lots of minutes as there really is no one else to compete with, all we really have is him and Rashford for striker and left sided attacker.

So even if playing badly he can't really be rotated as has happened in previous seasons.

I'm not getting him in yet and it sucks to see him rising so soon but I'll be a wait and see on this. An OOP midfielder playing as a striker for a probable top 6 side is tempting though.

gammygils

Martial & Rashford both up. And a tricky fixture v. Wolves coming up?

claw

gammygils wrote: »

Martial & Rashford both up. And a tricky fixture v. Wolves coming up?

Very hard to tell how good or bad Wolves are, all you have is last season's information. As good a record as any outside the top 6 against the top 6, they also lost home and away to Huddersfield.

I have Martial from the start and he has already delivered. He would have to go on a very bad run for me to dump him.

ElTel

ScummyMan wrote: »

Wow that's the latest I've ever seen changes come through. The site seems to be having a few technical issues this season

Yeah but for the prediction sites I think understanding the Martial rise/non Origi rise is a bigger problem.

ScummyMan

Up:



Down:



Batshuayi
Otamendi

KevIRL

Origi up

PARlance

1 riser! Who I think I'll be selling today.

eagle eye

Any of the sites predict that rise last night?

Scorpion Sting

Up:



Pukki, McGinn


Down:



Alonso, Vertonghen, Fernandinho, Rodriguez, Vrančić, Angeliño, Dalot

KevIRL

Back to the more regular time

machiavellianme

Hadn't expected Pukki to go up. Blast.

Western Pomise

machiavellianme wrote: »

Hadn't expected Pukki to go up. Blast.

Wonder will he be first bandwagon of the year?

Scorpion Sting

Western Pomise wrote: »

Wonder will he be first bandwagon of the year?

Most certainly.

gandalfio

Is Pukki likely to rise again tonight or will we get away with waiting until tomorrow?

km79

gandalfio wrote: »

Is Pukki likely to rise again tonight or will we get away with waiting until tomorrow?

I’m hoping he won’t rise tonight AND tomorrow night
He is an absolute certainty to rise tonight
Before 3 games have been played
I hope we get to Monday without a second rise

machiavellianme

gandalfio wrote: »

Is Pukki likely to rise again tonight or will we get away with waiting until tomorrow?

Fix thinks tonight.

Irishphotodesk

Do I get the points rise if I do a free hit?

dsmythy

Irishphotodesk wrote: »

Do I get the points rise if I do a free hit?

Not from your free hit team but you would from your original team.

ElTel

Irishphotodesk wrote: »

Do I get the points rise if I do a free hit?

Assume you mean prices. Your current squad, which you will have back for GW4 with one FT, will get price rises/falls.

If a player in your FH team rises 0.2M you can sell him for 0.1M profit (open to correction here) and use the extra budget for your FH squad.

Irishphotodesk

dsmythy wrote: »

Not from your free hit team but you would from your original team.

Original team will possibly drop in price, it's wildcard or free hit time

PARlance

3 risers and just the 17 fallers:

https://twitter.com/FPLSecrets/status/1162900825284304896?s=19

https://twitter.com/FPLSecrets/status/1162900573751930880?s=19