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How would the government work in a "United Ireland"?

  • 12-12-2018 10:02am
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,863 ✭✭✭


    So at the moment it looks as if the UK will leave the EU without a deal.

    If this happens, it will mean a border between the ROI and NI, and if that happens, it's more than likely a border poll will be triggered.

    In this hypothetical scenario, both the ROI and NI vote for reunification.
    In terms of government how will that work?

    There are 90 seats in the NI Assembly, with a population of 1.875M
    That means 20,833 people per seat
    There are 158 seats in the Dail, with a population of 4.784M
    That means 30,278 people per seat

    So first off, the Numbers per seat don't add up, so the below is adjusted for that.

    So,
    Will NI Seats be reduced to 62 Seats ( 1.875M / 30,278 ) and then those 62 added to the Dail to make a total of 220?
    Will 220 people even fit in the Dail?
    OR
    Will we still have 158 Seats in the Dail and the number per seat increased to 42,145 (6.659M / 158 )
    In this version some areas in the south stand to lose a seat in the Dail. (Areas in the North stand to lose a seat too but not as much, NI population density 133/km2 -vs- ROI population density 69.1/km2)

    The next thing is what will happen the non-Sinn Fein parties? Will they "rebrand"? Will they merge with Parties from the South? Or will their members just leave and join parties in the south?

    One thing is for sure, Sinn Fein stand to do very well, if reunification were to happen.
    In a Dail with 220 seats they would have a total of 21+(27/3)*2 = 39
    In a Dail with 158 seats I think they would do even better, as a lot of their votes come from working class in cities, which now would have more votes. I'd guess maybe 32 or 33 seats
    Note: that this doesn't take into account SDLP which currently have 12 seats, those seats could easily be lost to Sinn Fein.

    In theory, could we be looking at a Sinn Fein led Government in the 2020's with Gerry Adams as President of Ireland?

    Will we have a Sinn Fein led government in the 2020's if unification were to happen? 145 votes

    Won't happen
    0% 1 vote
    Unlikely
    53% 78 votes
    Likely
    37% 55 votes
    Will happen
    7% 11 votes


«13

Comments

  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    grahambo wrote: »
    So at the moment it looks as if the UK will leave the EU without a deal.

    If this happens, it will mean a border between the ROI and NI, and if that happens it's more than likely a border poll will be triggered.

    In this hypothetical scenario, both the ROI and NI vote for reunification.
    In terms of government how will that work?

    There are 90 seats in the NI Assembly, with a population of 1.875M
    That means 20,833 people per seat
    There are 158 seats in the Dail, with a population of 4.784M
    That means 30,278 people per seat

    So first off, the Numbers per seat don't add up, so the below is adjusted for that.

    So,
    Will NI Seats be reduced to 62 Seats ( 1.875M / 30,278 ) and then those 62 added to the Dail to make a total of 220?
    Will 220 people even fit in the Dail?
    OR
    Will we still have 158 Seats in the Dail and the number per seat increased to 42,145 (6.659M / 158 )
    In this version some areas in the south stand to lose a seat in the Dail. (Areas in the North stand to lose a seat too but not as much)

    The next thing is what will happen the non-Sinn Fein parties? Will they "rebrand"? Will they merge with Parties from the South? Or will their members just leave and join parties in the south?

    One things is for sure, Sinn Fein stand to do very well, if reunification were to happen.
    In a Dail with 220 seats they would have a total of 21+(27/3)*2 = 39
    In a Dail with 158 seats I think they would do even better, as a lot of their votes come from working class in cities, which now would have more votes. I'd guess maybe 32 or 33 seats
    Note: that this doesn't take into account SDLP which currently have 12 seats, those seats could easily be lost to Sinn Fein.

    In theory, could we be looking at a Sinn Fein led Government in the 2020's with Gerry Adams are President of Ireland?

    i think it highly unlikely SF could rely on maintaining their ratio from NI if other political parties on the island had an increased onus to run there


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,329 ✭✭✭✭loyatemu


    I'd expect some sort of constitutional convention with a new constitution emerging, so who knows really.

    If Martin McGuinness couldn't get elected president I can't see Gerry getting in even with the addition of northern votes, though if he was up against the same calibre of candidates we saw this year...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,758 ✭✭✭Laois_Man


    Its a well thought out post - but even the best case scenario presented (32/33 seats) wouldn't be enough to cause a SF led Government

    It would also require an attitude change in SF whereby today, does anybody believe they actually want to be in Government?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,863 ✭✭✭Beta Ray Bill


    Laois_Man wrote: »
    Its a well thought out post - but even the best case scenario presented (32/33 seats) wouldn't be enough to cause a SF led Government

    It would also require an attitude change in SF whereby today, does anybody believe they actually want to be in Government?

    If they took the SDLP seats that could go above 40, wouldn't that be enough to be a major party in a coalition government?

    Bare in mind all the other Southern parties stand to lose seats (158 Dail) or have their majority watered down (220 Dail).

    I'd find it hard to believe that anyone in NI would vote for Labour/FF/FG (could be wrong though)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,841 ✭✭✭Squatter


    Laois_Man wrote: »

    It would also require an attitude change in SF whereby today, does anybody believe they actually want to be in Government?

    My view is that whereas they don't want to "be in government" i.e. be the hind tit in some coalition arrangement; but they would love to govern.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 61 ✭✭FredFunk


    Theoretically there would be no need for half the parties if unification occurred. Most of the northern parties especially SF (in the north) and DUP only exist to oppose each other, they can't even form an assembly. Parties are already teasing out alliances, example being FF and SDLP.
    If the assembly up North was working properly then it could act as a functioning body during some sort of transition period. There are enough representatives in the Dail, so the numbers up North would need to reduce. Note they also elect MPs up north and I am sure the ratio between MP and average number of voters is much greater.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,863 ✭✭✭Beta Ray Bill


    Squatter wrote: »
    My view is that whereas they don't want to "be in government" i.e. be the hind tit in some coalition arrangement; but they would love to govern.

    That's my thought on it too.
    They'll go in, but only as the Major party.


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 28,119 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    grahambo wrote: »
    If they took the SDLP seats that could go above 40, wouldn't that be enough to be a major party in a coalition government?

    Bare in mind all the other Southern parties stand to lose seats (158 Dail) or have their majority watered down (220 Dail).

    I'd find it hard to believe that anyone in NI would vote for Labour/FF/FG (could be wrong though)

    There has to be a member of the Dail for at least every 30,000 people and not more than for every 20,000.

    Of course, considering the constitution will probably need wholesale changes if not complete re-writing that may not be relevant.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,863 ✭✭✭Beta Ray Bill


    Podge_irl wrote: »
    There has to be a member of the Dail for at least every 30,000 people and not more than for every 20,000.

    Of course, considering the constitution will probably need wholesale changes if not complete re-writing that may not be relevant.

    So does that mean we'd have a Dail of 220 then?
    I'm not overly familiar with the rules, but +40k is a no-go... is that what you're saying?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39,446 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    A United Ireland won't happen. If they want to leave the UK they can go it alone.
    We can't afford it and we don't want the troubles back either.


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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 28,119 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    grahambo wrote: »
    So does that mean we'd have a Dail of 220 then?
    I'm not overly familiar with the rules, but +40k is a no-go... is that what you're saying?

    Yes. There is a (current) constitutional requirement for at least one member for every 30,000 people.

    In reality what would likely happen is an larger Dail but with some element of autonomy for NI that would be faded out over time.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,237 ✭✭✭ceegee


    What would Sinn Fein's selling point be post-unification? Take out a united Ireland from their sales pitch and you're mostly left with some half baked plans with little economic reality.
    Particularly in a situation where unification comes about through the UK imploding rather than anything SF are doing


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,863 ✭✭✭Beta Ray Bill


    eagle eye wrote: »
    A United Ireland won't happen. If they want to leave the UK they can go it alone.
    We can't afford it and we don't want the troubles back either.

    I'd be in the same boat as you, and would vote against reunification.

    There would be a couple of things that could change my mind though.
    If the EU were to give us massive support, which they probably would given Land is the only thing they aren't making more of. (unless you're Dutch).

    And if it were a case of "Them joining us" and not "Us joining together"
    IE status quo maintained in the South, NI does all the adapting.
    ceegee wrote: »
    What would Sinn Fein's selling point be post-unification? Take out a united Ireland from their sales pitch and you're mostly left with some half baked plans with little economic reality.
    Particularly in a situation where unification comes about through the UK imploding rather than anything SF are doing

    I think you're assuming the average SF voter is quite intelligent, and thinks about these things
    SF are coming into a position similar to a position FF were in 20 years ago, IE "my Dad voted for his Dad, So my Son will vote for his Son".


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,841 ✭✭✭Squatter


    eagle eye wrote: »
    A United Ireland won't happen. If they want to leave the UK they can go it alone.
    We can't afford it and we don't want the troubles back either.

    I suspect (and fear) that the outcome of an island-wide referendum might shock you! Especially if we (in the South) allow our emigrants to vote in future referenda, as has been discussed.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,201 ✭✭✭troyzer


    grahambo wrote: »
    So at the moment it looks as if the UK will leave the EU without a deal.

    If this happens, it will mean a border between the ROI and NI, and if that happens, it's more than likely a border poll will be triggered.

    In this hypothetical scenario, both the ROI and NI vote for reunification.
    In terms of government how will that work?

    There are 90 seats in the NI Assembly, with a population of 1.875M
    That means 20,833 people per seat
    There are 158 seats in the Dail, with a population of 4.784M
    That means 30,278 people per seat

    So first off, the Numbers per seat don't add up, so the below is adjusted for that.

    So,
    Will NI Seats be reduced to 62 Seats ( 1.875M / 30,278 ) and then those 62 added to the Dail to make a total of 220?
    Will 220 people even fit in the Dail?
    OR
    Will we still have 158 Seats in the Dail and the number per seat increased to 42,145 (6.659M / 158 )
    In this version some areas in the south stand to lose a seat in the Dail. (Areas in the North stand to lose a seat too but not as much, NI population density 133/km2 -vs- ROI population density 69.1/km2)

    The next thing is what will happen the non-Sinn Fein parties? Will they "rebrand"? Will they merge with Parties from the South? Or will their members just leave and join parties in the south?

    One thing is for sure, Sinn Fein stand to do very well, if reunification were to happen.
    In a Dail with 220 seats they would have a total of 21+(27/3)*2 = 39
    In a Dail with 158 seats I think they would do even better, as a lot of their votes come from working class in cities, which now would have more votes. I'd guess maybe 32 or 33 seats
    Note: that this doesn't take into account SDLP which currently have 12 seats, those seats could easily be lost to Sinn Fein.

    In theory, could we be looking at a Sinn Fein led Government in the 2020's with Gerry Adams as President of Ireland?

    Any United Ireland solution would require a federal system which could even reduce the amount of national representatives required.

    Something like a 100 body parliament in each province and a 150, four province federal Oireachtas in Dublin.

    The SDLP are already merging with Fianna Fáil. The Greens would merge with the southern Greens and the Alliance would likely merge with the Soc Dems or Labour after a few years.

    The UUP and DUP would carry on. The UUP would possibly lose support to Fine Gael but would likely still exist long term. The DUP and their support would only harden. There are no other Northern Irish parties of note.

    The Sinn Féin vote would start to die away in the North in a United Ireland. Most of their support even at the moment is conditional on a FPTP system and simply opposition to unionism. Both of these would be gone in a United Ireland. It's an artificial party in the North made up by inner city Trotskyites and rural conservatives united only be their common Republicanism. There's no way that coalition survives in a united Ireland.


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 28,119 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    grahambo wrote: »

    And if it were a case of "Them joining us" and not "Us joining together"
    IE status quo maintained in the South, NI does all the adapting.

    Sounds like a perfect recipe for success...

    Firstly, it remains unlikely to happen in the short-term. Secondly, there will be a huge amount of upheaval and change required on both sides to make it a success. The EU would definitely provide a lot of support for it though.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39,446 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    Squatter wrote:
    I suspect (and fear) that the outcome of an island-wide referendum might shock you! Especially if we (in the South) allow our emigrants to vote in future referenda, as has been discussed.
    I know it would never get to a referendum because the guns would be out long before that.


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 28,119 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    troyzer wrote: »
    Any United Ireland solution would require a federal system which could even reduce the amount of national representatives required.

    Something like a 100 body parliament in each province and a 150, four province federal Oireachtas in Dublin.

    A federal system in a country the size of Ireland would be nonsensical. On top of which a federal system based on provinces would not be acceptable to the unionist element in the current North anyway - only one that gave the current country of Northern Ireland some autonomy.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,515 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    troyzer wrote: »
    Any United Ireland solution would require a federal system which could even reduce the amount of national representatives required.

    Something like a 100 body parliament in each province and a 150, four province federal Oireachtas in Dublin.


    What you propose increases the number of representatives though?


    Also it sounds horrendous and completely pointless in a country the size of Ireland


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,201 ✭✭✭troyzer


    Podge_irl wrote: »
    A federal system in a country the size of Ireland would be nonsensical. On top of which a federal system based on provinces would not be acceptable to the unionist element in the current North anyway - only one that gave the current country of Northern Ireland some autonomy.
    VinLieger wrote: »
    What you propose increases the number of representatives though?


    Also it sounds horrendous and completely pointless in a country the size of Ireland

    I don't propose increasing the number of national representative.

    Federal systems do exist in small countries. A United Ireland would have a population of around 6.5 million and a proposed four province federation.

    Switzerland is around 8.4 million and has a 26 canton federation. It works.

    Belgium is around 11.4 million, it has three federal regions. It doesn't work as well.

    Austria is around 9 million and has nine states. Works pretty well.

    Bosnia probably has the smallest federation in the world with around 3.5 million and is divided in two. This could also work in Ireland because of the similar issues that forced the federal settlement in the 90s. Their system does work but their federal parliament is probably one of the weakest in the world. Nearly all of the real governing is done at the state level.

    It's not impossible, small countries can be divided up quite finely and we're only talking about four in the case of Ireland. Not to mention that it would largely replace county councils and would lead to more joined up thinking.

    It would also take much of the Parish pump out of the Oireachtas which is desperately needed. Federalism is something we should consider even without the North.

    The Unionists being unwilling to accept their vote being diluted by Donegal, Cavan and Monaghan is a realistic concern. These could be added to Connacht to bring their numbers up.

    You could also have a US style carve out in the Seanad with a set number of spots for each province which means the Unionists will have a proper voice in the upper chamber.


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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 28,119 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Switzerland was created as a federation though. If they replace county councils then fine, they are basically glorified county councils. But they would not have any real federal powers. Cantons can set their own tax rates and have all manner of power which these set-ups would realistically not have. We are over-represented for sure and you need too few votes to be elected to the Dail which is the source of so much parish-pump politics. But I do not think federalism is the answer to that. A carve-out of some kind of federalist state for NI would be a necessary but preferably temporary solution I think.

    The best thing about unification would be having Belfast as a city that could actually act as a proper counterpoint to Dublin politically.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,515 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    troyzer wrote: »
    I don't propose increasing the number of national representative.


    You are proposing 400 new regional representatives, unless you are saying we should scrap all city, town and county councils and subsume them into the provincial assemblies?


    I don't see how such an idea would ever work given how localised Irish people like their politicians and issues.


    Having 100 body provincial assemblies in the current regional politics Irish mindset where everyone is a "Me feiner" me nothing ever got done as nobody could ever reach a consensus on anything as everyone would be looking to take care of their own issues first.

    Also those countries and systems were created as federal states or have been that way for a long time, making such a change in this day and age from what we currently havewould be nowhere near as easy as you are trying to make out.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,201 ✭✭✭troyzer


    VinLieger wrote: »
    You are proposing 400 new regional representatives, unless you are saying we should scrap all city, town and county councils and subsume them into the provincial assemblies?


    I don't see how such an idea would ever work given how localised Irish people like their politicians and issues.


    Having 100 body provincial assemblies in the current regional politics Irish mindset where everyone is a "Me feiner" me nothing ever got done as nobody could ever reach a consensus on anything as everyone would be looking to take care of their own issues first.

    Also those countries and systems were created as federal states or have been that way for a long time, making such a change in this day and age from what we currently havewould be nowhere near as easy as you are trying to make out.

    You would be able to get rid of most of the county councils whilst giving the city councils some more teeth. This is something which is happening already.

    There are 949 local government representatives at the moment, you could get rid of most of them. I don't know how you can criticise my idea for both including too many representatives and also cutting representatives at the same time.

    I never said it would be easy, it would be incredibly difficult. But the only way a United Ireland would ever happen is with a federal system. I also think people in Dublin for the most part couldn't care less about the Parish pump issues and a lot of rural Irish people wouldn't be against the idea of bringing more power back to the locality and not have to worry about decision making in Dublin as much.


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 28,119 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    troyzer wrote: »
    I never said it would be easy, it would be incredibly difficult. But the only way a United Ireland would ever happen is with a federal system. I also think people in Dublin for the most part couldn't care less about the Parish pump issues and a lot of rural Irish people wouldn't be against the idea of bringing more power back to the locality and not have to worry about decision making in Dublin as much.

    Sure, but the real question is what power would they actually get? Without an ability to levy their own taxes and raise their own income they are not going to realistically actually have any real power.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,608 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    eagle eye wrote: »
    A United Ireland won't happen. If they want to leave the UK they can go it alone.
    We can't afford it and we don't want the troubles back either.

    I expect that some day it will happen. But not as an immediate consequence of Brexit. That would be ill conceived, reactionary and still too much resentment amongst communities for it to be accepted by all sides.

    Talking at least another 10 years and even then there are so many scenarios it is like predicting the weather that far out.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,201 ✭✭✭troyzer


    Podge_irl wrote: »
    Sure, but the real question is what power would they actually get? Without an ability to levy their own taxes and raise their own income they are not going to realistically actually have any real power.

    Give them rates, property taxes and maybe a small income tax. You run the risk of the provinces trying to undercut each as in the states but that's just the risk you take.

    The more responsibilities you give them, the more tax the exchequer would have to forgo.

    Give the provinces responsibility for policing and an NHS trust style system would be a start. You could also split responsibility for infrastructure and housing.

    It would be a hugely complicated job to sort out but it's definitely possible.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,700 ✭✭✭snotboogie


    Podge_irl wrote: »
    A federal system in a country the size of Ireland would be nonsensical. On top of which a federal system based on provinces would not be acceptable to the unionist element in the current North anyway - only one that gave the current country of Northern Ireland some autonomy.

    Amazing how this lie gets trotted out over and over again. There are federal systems all over Europe in countries which are a similar size and population to a United Ireland.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,758 ✭✭✭Laois_Man



    Talking at least another 10 years and even then there are so many scenarios it is like predicting the weather that far out.

    The most predictable thing about the United Ireland question is that, in my lifetime anyway, people will always be saying it's 10-years away!


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 28,119 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    snotboogie wrote: »
    Amazing how this lie gets trotted out over and over again. There are federal systems all over Europe in countries which are a similar size and population to a United Ireland.

    That doesn't necessarily mean they make any sense. The fact they exist elsewhere does not in any way invalidate the idea that they are not desirable for Ireland.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,608 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    snotboogie wrote: »
    Amazing how this lie gets trotted out over and over again. There are federal systems all over Europe in countries which are a similar size and population to a United Ireland.

    Examples please which you think are comparable to a country such as Ireland?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,758 ✭✭✭Laois_Man


    Podge_irl wrote: »
    That doesn't necessarily mean they make any sense. The fact they exist elsewhere does not in any way invalidate the idea that they are not desirable for Ireland.

    Wouldn't you at least have to redraw the provincial boundaries? Make them all 8 counties. Or split it equally by population rather than by number of counties? Or have more than 4


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,608 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    Laois_Man wrote: »
    The most predictable thing about the United Ireland question is that, in my lifetime anyway, people will always be saying it's 10-years away!

    In my case, what I mean by that is "it definitely will not happen within 10 years".

    There will come a time when that is not a true statement, but right now, in my view, it is.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,608 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    Laois_Man wrote: »
    Wouldn't you at least have to redraw the provincial boundaries? Make them all 8 counties. Or split it equally by population rather than by number of counties? Or have more than 4

    Not to mention how you'd convince Dublin to release funds (where the majority of taxes are currently raised) for the North or the West while their population complains about traffic and accommodation.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,280 ✭✭✭✭Eric Cartman


    The only chance we'd have of running a united Ireland would be to let renua be in charge, now that sounds like the maddest thing ever, but realistically unless we gut the welfare state, tell the unions to shove off and reduce our tax rates to the same as NI / harmonise on a flat tax , it would be completely unworkable


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,641 ✭✭✭✭Elmo


    Largely you'd see Unionist and Fine Gael governments. I'd say there be some devolution involved to Belfast.

    Later you'd see parties move to the left and to the right and merging.

    Those Liberals in FG/FF/SF moving with liberal unionists, and more conservatives in those parties moving with conservative unionists.

    Others from those parties moving towards Labour/SDLP/SocDems with left leaning unionist moving towards them (PUP not sure of other unionist left parties).

    It's unlikely the divisions between Unionist/Republican ideologies or Anti-treaty/pro-treaty politics could continue to survive.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,329 ✭✭✭✭loyatemu


    grahambo wrote: »
    And if it were a case of "Them joining us" and not "Us joining together"
    IE status quo maintained in the South, NI does all the adapting.

    there will only be unity if there is a referendum and there will be all sorts of promises made to the unionists to persuade them to support it.
    "Take it or leave it, our way or the highway" is not likely to be one of the slogans.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,329 ✭✭✭✭loyatemu


    Laois_Man wrote: »
    Wouldn't you at least have to redraw the provincial boundaries? Make them all 8 counties. Or split it equally by population rather than by number of counties? Or have more than 4

    this federation of provinces thing is bunk - if it's such a good idea why don't we have it already. If it's only to appease unionists they're not going to pleased that we're creating 3 new political entities in order to outnumber them.


  • Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators, Regional North East Moderators Posts: 10,878 Mod ✭✭✭✭PauloMN


    A "united Ireland" would cause Brexit levels of grief, and more - to the point where it is not worth it imo. Most people I've spoken to would be against the idea, as would I. Any I've spoken to who would be for the idea are purely interested in the romantic notion of a "united Ireland".

    In my opinion, there would never be such thing as a truly united Ireland. Just like the compromises (rightly) made to nationalists living under UK rule, we'd have to go through a huge and painful programme of making compromises to unionists living under Irish rule. The amount of time and money spent would be extraordinary, and there are far more important things to be done with Irish tax payers money in my view.

    Realistically, NI has made huge strides with the GFA and moving on from that point, I personally think we'd be stepping back decades and potentially reopening many wounds all over again if we went ahead with trying to create a "united Ireland". Is it really worth all the time, money, upheaval and risk just to essentially change the name of a place? Much more important that we fight tooth and nail to keep the border invisible through this Brexit fiasco, ensure people go about their daily lives and business can function smoothly and to maintain peace on the island.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,758 ✭✭✭Laois_Man


    loyatemu wrote: »
    this federation of provinces thing is bunk - if it's such a good idea why don't we have it already. If it's only to appease unionists they're not going to pleased that we're creating 3 new political entities in order to outnumber them.

    It wasn't my suggestion!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,700 ✭✭✭snotboogie


    Examples please which you think are comparable to a country such as Ireland?

    They have already been listed in this thread; Austria, Switzerland, Belgium and Bosnia are fully federal. Denmark, Serbia and Finland are Federacies (some states in a unitary system and others with Federal powers). Outside of Europe, our closest peer in terms of size, culture and economy, New Zealand, is also a Federacy.

    This idea that Federal governments are only for large countries is an absolute nonsense


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,608 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    snotboogie wrote: »
    They have already been listed in this thread; Austria, Switzerland, Belgium and Bosnia are fully federal. Denmark, Serbia and Finland are Federacies (some states in a unitary system and others with Federal powers). Outside of Europe, our closest peer in terms of size, culture and economy, New Zealand, is also a Federacy.

    This idea that Federal governments are only for large countries is an absolute nonsense

    Okay, let's just leave it as saying it is a nonsense idea to suggest Ireland should adopt such a system.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,515 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    The only chance we'd have of running a united Ireland would be to let renua be in charge, now that sounds like the maddest thing ever, but realistically unless we gut the welfare state, tell the unions to shove off and reduce our tax rates to the same as NI / harmonise on a flat tax , it would be completely unworkable


    Would you get over them for god sake? They are nonexistant at every level of the political system and yet for every political problem you keep harping on as them being the only solution to the problem.



    THEY.ARE.DEAD.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,201 ✭✭✭troyzer


    Okay, let's just leave it as saying it is a nonsense idea to suggest Ireland should adopt such a system.

    Why is it a nonsense idea? I've already named a few small countries in Europe which have a federal system.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,515 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    troyzer wrote: »
    Why is it a nonsense idea? I've already named a few small countries in Europe which have a federal system.


    While ignoring all the reasons it wouldnt work in Ireland and also ignoring the quite basic logic that just because it works elsewhere doesn't mean it is either A the correct solution or B would similarly work here.


    For many of the same reasons its ridiculous that some people claim we should adopt a similar tax structure to Scandinavian countries a federalised system simply wouldn't work or would take 3-4 decades to get even close to being considered functional and cost god knows how much economically, not too mention the cultural and social upheaval it would bring about


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,896 ✭✭✭sabat


    Unionists would more than likely demand some status for the monarchy in any new constitution - ie: the country would not be a proper republic. This alone would be too much of a red line for voters here.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,329 ✭✭✭✭loyatemu


    troyzer wrote: »
    Why is it a nonsense idea? I've already named a few small countries in Europe which have a federal system.

    Problem - we need to give representation to a community living mostly in 4 out of 32 counties, all in one historical province.

    Solution - create a federal system of 4 provinces where they'll be outvoted not only in the federation but within their own province as well.

    sounds like a real vote winner in the north alright.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,515 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    sabat wrote: »
    Unionists would more than likely demand some status for the monarchy in any new constitution - ie: the country would not be a proper republic. This alone would be too much of a red line for voters here.


    They could demand all they want but if a border poll passed they wouldn't have a leg to stand on.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,700 ✭✭✭snotboogie


    loyatemu wrote: »
    Problem - we need to give representation to a community living mostly in 4 out of 32 counties, all in one historical province.

    Solution - create a federal system of 4 provinces where they'll be outvoted not only in the federation but within their own province as well.

    sounds like a real vote winner in the north alright.

    Who said it would need to be four provinces? No way the likes of Donegal would be incorporated into a federal Ulster


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,201 ✭✭✭troyzer


    VinLieger wrote: »
    They could demand all they want but if a border poll passed they wouldn't have a leg to stand on.

    This 50% plus 1 strategy of "**** the unionists, we'll just outbreed them" isn't a recipe for long term success and reconciliation.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,700 ✭✭✭snotboogie


    Okay, let's just leave it as saying it is a nonsense idea to suggest Ireland should adopt such a system.

    Ok you don't like the facts so lets pretend your patently nonsense idea about Federal Governments only being for large countries is true


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