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Is it a good time to buy a new EV in late 2018

  • 21-09-2018 9:44pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,134 ✭✭✭


    Hi,

    I am strongly considering buying an Niro EV later this year. At a predicted cost of nearly 40k for the 64kWh version, would waiting a year or two make more sense?

    In two years, I would guess the Tesla Model 3 would be available here. There will be upgraded Ionics and Leafs. VW and others will have a few affordable cars out. Even Dyson are looking at bringing out an EV in a few years!

    So in 2020, there will be more choice and possibly a lower initial cost, or perhaps even good value second hand Model S's, or a Niro for 25k second hand at that point?

    Do people think the competition will drive down prices overall?

    Or do people think, get what you can now, supply will be limited for many years to come?

    I would save 3.5k per year by switching to an EV, so in theory if I was to keep the Nero for about 10 years it would have cost me nothing!

    Trying to decide to take the plunge now, or wait 18 to 24 months. It feels like we are at a tipping point in EVs and don't want to commit too early at too high a cost!

    Thanks,
    BigAl.

    ps: for me a long range 64kWh+ would be a requirement due to regular trips up north, and not wanting to stop / have to depend on the public chargers!


«1

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,936 ✭✭✭ewj1978


    TBH its really your own personal choice.
    I personally won't be buying a car at ~€40k. I'll be waiting till next year when 2nd hand models with low mileage will come available.
    If you did wait till 2020 then the choices you have will obviously be greater, but again its down to your personal choice and reasons.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,186 ✭✭✭✭KCross


    BigAl81 wrote: »
    I am strongly considering buying an Niro EV later this year. At a predicted cost of nearly 40k for the 64kWh version, would waiting a year or two make more sense?

    I dont think so. A predicted €40k is a high price to pay though so thats a personal decision whether you want to splash €40k on a car or not.

    BigAl81 wrote: »
    So in 2020, there will be more choice and possibly a lower initial cost, or perhaps even good value second hand Model S's, or a Niro for 25k second hand at that point?

    Wishful thinking! :)
    BigAl81 wrote: »
    Or do people think, get what you can now, supply will be limited for many years to come?

    This

    BigAl81 wrote: »
    I would save 3.5k per year by switching to an EV, so in theory if I was to keep the Nero for about 10 years it would have cost me nothing!

    Enough said, go for it and hope you get one in the first batch of deliveries. Waiting until 2020 will just mean you have missed €7k in fuel savings!!!!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,933 ✭✭✭daheff


    KCross wrote: »
    Enough said, go for it and hope you get one in the first batch of deliveries. Waiting until 2020 will just mean you have missed €7k in fuel savings!!!!!

    But missed about the same in depreciation?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,186 ✭✭✭✭KCross


    daheff wrote: »
    But missed about the same in depreciation?

    Normally yes, but EV depreciation isn't anywhere near normal at the moment. I'd be surprised if the Niro EV depreciates €7k and either way he is talking about buying a car in 2020 so that will depreciate too so that doesn't really matter. Get the fuel savings now.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,134 ✭✭✭BigAl81


    daheff wrote:
    But missed about the same in depreciation?

    daheff wrote:
    But missed about the same in depreciation?

    Yeah that's part of my thinking alright, but if I save 3.5k per year on fuel etc, I'd effectively be getting a brand new high spec car for free!!


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,134 ✭✭✭BigAl81


    A few other things that annoy me are things like no cooling for batteries (Leaf), lower spec cars here in Ireland than in UK (Kona) and a very big thing for me is no smart phone app (Niro/Ionic).

    The lack of apps is particularly annoying as they are available elsewhere like Korea, but not in Ireland, manufacturers actively chose to remove this from their Irish offerings ;(

    So paying full price for a car lacking spec / features that are available elsewhere doesn't sit well with me.

    I think increased competition from other car companies in the next two years could resolve all that? Or is that wishful thinking?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,958 ✭✭✭✭Shefwedfan


    I am not sure what your questions is.....you mention about buying a Niro but that is not available till next year.....

    If it is roll out plans then
    VW Neo - in showroom next year, delivery 2020
    Leaf larger battery - in showroom end 2019, delivery 2020
    ioniq - no idea, potentially something announced next year with delivery in 2020
    Dyson - prob 2022
    Model 3 - maybe deliveries will start late 2019/early 2020 if you have it reserved. For someone looking to buy/reserve now, 2021
    Kona/Niro - delivery next year but in restricted numbers

    Based on your actual requirements
    eGolf 2 - available now but limited
    Leaf 40 - available now
    Ioniq - limited.....

    Might be better to giev your requirements, would a PHEV keep you ticking over for 2 years?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,134 ✭✭✭BigAl81


    Thanks for the info above.

    My understating is Niro is available for purchase this November with delivery before February 2019.

    Looking 18 to 24 months ahead of that I see many changes and new cars coming out.

    That would theoretically address my concerns in my post above regarding spec and apps etc? Also spending 40k at a time when there could be cheaper alternatives coming some would be a concern.

    Just wondering is people agree with that, or if the sense is by the time all these other models are launched and actually available to buy, it's realistically more like 3 to 4 years away.

    Thanks,
    BigAl.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,958 ✭✭✭✭Shefwedfan


    I expect the majority of cars for the next few year will have 2 option, 40kWh and 60kWh batteries.....all car manufacturers will release a car with those and keep them for 4-5 years as the dev costs to get to this point are huge, they will need to see a return, even Tesla cannot carry on losing money

    VW have invested 80 million or so recently in company on solid state battery but that is 5 years off

    VW have said with ID range it will spawn 20+ cars across its brand but they could be 2020/21/22 before they arrive....

    A lot of people might hold on for The Seat/skoda version of the VW Crozz but you might be 2024 before that hits market after they saturate with the higher cost Crozz

    You could buy a 60kWh now and in 5 years be changing for a 60kWh with some fancier features.....who really needs over 500km, they just need better charging


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,186 ✭✭✭✭KCross


    BigAl81 wrote: »
    A few other things that annoy me are things like no cooling for batteries (Leaf), lower spec cars here in Ireland than in UK (Kona) and a very big thing for me is no smart phone app (Niro/Ionic).

    The lack of apps is particularly annoying as they are available elsewhere like Korea, but not in Ireland, manufacturers actively chose to remove this from their Irish offerings ;(

    So paying full price for a car lacking spec / features that are available elsewhere doesn't sit well with me.

    I think increased competition from other car companies in the next two years could resolve all that? Or is that wishful thinking?

    There wont be huge competition in the next 2yrs and you cant control the Paddy spec stuff. They are trying to maximise profit and when they know they will sell every single one of their allocation they have no incentive to please you so I'd say wishful thinking if you think there are going to be big changes in the next 18-24 months that will result in your Niro EV being considered out of date or over priced.

    I agree with you on the app side of things. I use the app alot for the Leaf and would miss that with a switch to Hyundai or Kia but what you dont know wont hurt you. Its not a deal breaker either, just handy. The main thing is, does the car give you what you need in terms of range, comfort, savings etc.

    I'm trusting your statement that you will save €3.5k on fuel per year so I think the lack of an app shouldn't inhibit you from making those savings asap. The app isn't worth missing out on that kind of saving.... and bear in mind thats out of your net earnings. You'd get an extra holiday a year for that kind of money!

    BigAl81 wrote: »
    My understating is Niro is available for purchase this November with delivery before February 2019.

    Niro EV should be with us for 191. Get your deposit down early though as its likely to sell out quickly with limited supply.

    BigAl81 wrote: »
    Looking 18 to 24 months ahead of that I see many changes and new cars coming out.

    What cars are you referring to and what changes? I dont see it.
    VW and Dyson should have one car each in 2020. No idea on spec or price but I'd bet the Dyson will be Tesla Model S/Jag iPace price (€80k+). Are you willing to spend that kind of money?

    BMW iNext is going to be 2022.

    VW might have something <€40k in 2020 and that could even be for their short range version. You seem to want/need a long range 60kWh+ EV so I'd be surprised if VW deliver one of those for <€40k as they will almost certainly price themselves above Hyundai/Kia.

    Apart from that I'm not sure there is much else. Load of rumours and marketing and concepts etc but I wouldn't be holding your breath for those.

    BigAl81 wrote: »
    That would theoretically address my concerns in my post above regarding spec and apps etc? Also spending 40k at a time when there could be cheaper alternatives coming some would be a concern.

    The word "could" is your problem here. And it has always been thus in the EV space... cries of "dont buy a 24kWh Leaf cause when the next model comes out the old one will depreciate like a stone". It hasn't happened, in fact the opposite has happened.

    The same happened with the 30kWh... dont buy it because the Gen 2 40kWh Leaf will kill the old Leaf.

    There will ALWAYS be something newer and better on the horizon. imo, in 2yrs time you will be here again saying the same thing.... "I think I'll hold off because BMW or Ford or whoever have announced a new EV for 2022". The EV space is going to be constantly changing for decades to come as newer batteries and more tech gets released.... in the meantime you are paying €3.5k in fuel per year.... If I were you, I'd buy now if the car suits you and you are happy with its looks, drivability, space etc and by all accounts the Niro EV is a cracking car albeit a tad expensive... but if its saving you €3.5k and you have no range anxiety you have hit the jackpot in my eyes.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,888 ✭✭✭✭Calahonda52


    OP: I bought a new 30 kWh Leaf in March 2017.
    It halved in value in 15 months

    “I can’t pay my staff or mortgage with instagram likes”.



  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,958 ✭✭✭✭Shefwedfan


    OP: I bought a new 30 kWh Leaf in March 2017.
    It halved in value in 15 months


    Yes because you bought a car which was been replaced less than 12 months later....


    A friend bought a brand new A6 at the start fo this year, the got a deal on it because the new model was coming out.....his car was dropped like a stone because the new A6 model is out....Their is nothing strange about a car dropping in value when the new model comes out


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,958 ✭✭✭✭Shefwedfan


    KCross wrote: »
    There will ALWAYS be something newer and better on the horizon. imo, in 2yrs time you will be here again saying the same thing.... "I think I'll hold off because BMW or Ford or whoever have announced a new EV for 2022". The EV space is going to be constantly changing for decades to come as newer batteries and more tech gets released.... in the meantime you are paying €3.5k in fuel per year.... If I were you, I'd buy now if the car suits you and you are happy with its looks, drivability, space etc and by all accounts the Niro EV is a cracking car albeit a tad expensive... but if its saving you €3.5k and you have no range anxiety you have hit the jackpot in my eyes.




    I think the market will hold now at 64kWh. The cost to go above that is too much and the car manufacturer will be sick of R&D money with little to no return. The distance in Kona/Niro and the other cars coming out is more than enough if you have a proper charger network.



    Look how many leaf 2 have sold.....Leaf 2 with a proper network in Ireland and you would only need a 40kWh. People are only looking for more range because of the **** network....


    In the US/UK they have decent network so why would car companies need to push more range out of cars?


    What the car companies will do is start to push out their own networks and make money off people charging cars, Ionity, you cant make money from Ionity if your cars can be 1200km without a recharge


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,592 ✭✭✭✭Dont be at yourself


    I'd say the best approach would be to import from UK/NI in January 2018:

    - With Brexit coasting towards a no-deal, Sterling will be weakening against the Euro
    - You'll get a better spec/more choice -- at least with the Ioniq & Kona
    - You'll get it on 191 plates

    The 64Kw Niro & Kona are perfect for Ireland, they eliminate range anxiety, and will have access to the Ionity CCS network whenever a charge is needed.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 66,130 ✭✭✭✭unkel
    Chauffe, Marcel, chauffe!


    OP: I bought a new 30 kWh Leaf in March 2017.
    It halved in value in 15 months

    I don't want to be a dick, but you paid top dollar for a car that was on the way out (about to be replaced by a new model). The depreciation of your car is pretty much the exception in the EV market. Many second hand EVs actually went up in value (negative depreciation) since last year, even most older Leafs (2011-2015)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,053 ✭✭✭Casati


    KCross wrote: »
    There wont be huge competition in the next 2yrs and you cant control the Paddy spec stuff. They are trying to maximise profit and when they know they will sell every single one of their allocation they have no incentive to please you so I'd say wishful thinking if you think there are going to be big changes in the next 18-24 months that will result in your Niro EV being considered out of date or over priced.

    I agree with you on the app side of things. I use the app alot for the Leaf and would miss that with a switch to Hyundai or Kia but what you dont know wont hurt you. Its not a deal breaker either, just handy. The main thing is, does the car give you what you need in terms of range, comfort, savings etc.

    I'm trusting your statement that you will save €3.5k on fuel per year so I think the lack of an app shouldn't inhibit you from making those savings asap. The app isn't worth missing out on that kind of saving.... and bear in mind thats out of your net earnings. You'd get an extra holiday a year for that kind of money!




    Niro EV should be with us for 191. Get your deposit down early though as its likely to sell out quickly with limited supply.




    What cars are you referring to and what changes? I dont see it.
    VW and Dyson should have one car each in 2020. No idea on spec or price but I'd bet the Dyson will be Tesla Model S/Jag iPace price (€80k+). Are you willing to spend that kind of money?

    BMW iNext is going to be 2022.

    VW might have something <€40k in 2020 and that could even be for their short range version. You seem to want/need a long range 60kWh+ EV so I'd be surprised if VW deliver one of those for <€40k as they will almost certainly price themselves above Hyundai/Kia.

    Apart from that I'm not sure there is much else. Load of rumours and marketing and concepts etc but I wouldn't be holding your breath for those.




    The word "could" is your problem here. And it has always been thus in the EV space... cries of "dont buy a 24kWh Leaf cause when the next model comes out the old one will depreciate like a stone". It hasn't happened, in fact the opposite has happened.

    The same happened with the 30kWh... dont buy it because the Gen 2 40kWh Leaf will kill the old Leaf.

    There will ALWAYS be something newer and better on the horizon. imo, in 2yrs time you will be here again saying the same thing.... "I think I'll hold off because BMW or Ford or whoever have announced a new EV for 2022". The EV space is going to be constantly changing for decades to come as newer batteries and more tech gets released.... in the meantime you are paying €3.5k in fuel per year.... If I were you, I'd buy now if the car suits you and you are happy with its looks, drivability, space etc and by all accounts the Niro EV is a cracking car albeit a tad expensive... but if its saving you €3.5k and you have no range anxiety you have hit the jackpot in my eyes.

    I’d agree with this, the ev space is changing and improving range but it appears that all the newer/ longer range cars have one thing in common - bigger price tags!

    40k is a fair bit for any new car but you can be sure the next one will be dearer, and the massive incentives for ev’s Inc the 10k grant, free charging, reduced tolls, tax and in some locations free parking, won’t last forever. If the car suits you, Don’t fear about buying now and enjoying the benefits while they are guaranteed


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 552 ✭✭✭enumbers


    Casati wrote: »
    I’d agree with this, the ev space is changing and improving range but it appears that all the newer/ longer range cars have one thing in common - bigger price tags!

    40k is a fair bit for any new car but you can be sure the next one will be dearer, and the massive incentives for ev’s Inc the 10k grant, free charging, reduced tolls, tax and in some locations free parking, won’t last forever. If the car suits you, Don’t fear about buying now and enjoying the benefits while they are guaranteed

    How are the continued tax supports going to be continued. Government supporting tech that will take from the 2.3billion plus vat they take every year from road fuel in taxes. I know they will be fined for not reducing co2 emmisions but were is all the missing money going to be found. If ice was taxed the way electric is the cost analysis would be very different.this is not allowing for the road tax levels been much lower also


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,936 ✭✭✭ewj1978


    Dont you worry about revenue finding ways to fill its coffers. I'm sure they've worked it out already.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 761 ✭✭✭Zenith74


    OP: I bought a new 30 kWh Leaf in March 2017.
    It halved in value in 15 months
    That seems a little unlikely. I’ve been looking at L30s for quite a while now and don’t see any 2016s at half their new price, nevermind 2017s. Are you basing this on what a garage is offering as a trade-in maybe?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,888 ✭✭✭✭Calahonda52


    Zenith74 wrote: »
    That seems a little unlikely. I’ve been looking at L30s for quite a while now and don’t see any 2016s at half their new price, nevermind 2017s. Are you basing this on what a garage is offering as a trade-in maybe?

    Would the trade in not be more unless they did not want it?
    At the time , May 2018, he had no 40's available
    Donal Ryan Nenagh

    “I can’t pay my staff or mortgage with instagram likes”.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 761 ✭✭✭Zenith74


    Would the trade in not be more unless they did not want it?
    At the time , May 2018, he had no 40's available
    Donal Ryan Nenagh
    Any time I've looked to trade anything in I've felt I could better privately, they tend to give you less so they can add something to the price when they sell it on and make a profit.

    But anyway, the 2017 L30s on Carzone at the moment are listed for €22/23/24k. If you paid close €30k new then you should have lost 20-30% tops, which is not unreasonable for any secondhand car, but especially one that a significantly improved newer model was on the horizon at the time.

    Having said that, if your L30 is a low-mileage SVE and you'll let it go for €15k I'd be an interested buyer :).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 66,130 ✭✭✭✭unkel
    Chauffe, Marcel, chauffe!


    Zenith74 wrote: »
    the 2017 L30s on Carzone at the moment are listed for €22/23/24k.

    Only a complete fool would pay anything near 24k for a '17 Leaf. That said, I agree with you about what dealers offer as trade ins. I'd say they saw Calahonda52 coming in from miles away and they reckoned another very profitable deal was ready to be made :pac:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,958 ✭✭✭✭Shefwedfan


    Zenith74 wrote: »
    Any time I've looked to trade anything in I've felt I could better privately, they tend to give you less so they can add something to the price when they sell it on and make a profit.

    But anyway, the 2017 L30s on Carzone at the moment are listed for €22/23/24k. If you paid close €30k new then you should have lost 20-30% tops, which is not unreasonable for any secondhand car, but especially one that a significantly improved newer model was on the horizon at the time.

    Having said that, if your L30 is a low-mileage SVE and you'll let it go for €15k I'd be an interested buyer :).


    I doubt anyone paid close to 30k for a L30 in 2017. The top spec L24 was been sold off for 20-22k last year. So probably close to 25k for a L30 depending on spec


  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators, Regional East Moderators Posts: 8,134 Mod ✭✭✭✭liamog


    Shefwedfan wrote: »
    What the car companies will do is start to push out their own networks and make money off people charging cars, Ionity, you cant make money from Ionity if your cars can be 1200km without a recharge

    I don't think it makes any sense for manufacturers to get into the energy retailing business. The big plays will be into vehicles as a service. I can sell you a car or a subscription to a car.

    They'll still be R&D into batteries, but I suspect your correct in a hold at approx 500km range. Now is the time to start reducing cost rather than increasing range.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 66,130 ✭✭✭✭unkel
    Chauffe, Marcel, chauffe!


    Shefwedfan wrote: »
    I doubt anyone paid close to 30k for a L30 in 2017.

    Probably not many, but Calahonda52 did by his own account


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,134 ✭✭✭BigAl81


    Thanks everyone for all the thoughts and posts.

    My sense before the thread was more towards the wait and see mindset. Now after reading the above I'm more so thinking to go for it ;)

    I know there will always be something new out when ever you buy anything, but I think there is a tipping point with more models and longer range on the horizon. Just now think that horizon is a few years away at best!

    My savings calculations will get blown away when the government inevitably do something to recoup the lost tax and fuel excise, but all the more reason to go EV sooner rather than later!

    We've a test drive of the Niro coming up so if that goes well might be time to put the deposit down!!

    Thanks,
    Al.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 761 ✭✭✭Zenith74


    BigAl81 wrote: »
    Thanks everyone for all the thoughts and posts.

    My sense before the thread was more towards the wait and see mindset. Now after reading the above I'm more so thinking to go for it ;)

    I know there will always be something new out when ever you buy anything, but I think there is a tipping point with more models and longer range on the horizon. Just now think that horizon is a few years away at best!

    My savings calculations will get blown away when the government inevitably do something to recoup the lost tax and fuel excise, but all the more reason to go EV sooner rather than later!

    We've a test drive of the Niro coming up so if that goes well might be time to put the deposit down!!

    Thanks,
    Al.

    FWIW I spent a long time debating going EV, planning on saving up enough money to get something 200mile range etc. In the end I test drove a Leaf24, noticed you could buy low mileage ones for €12k and figured I’d take a chance and give one a try. Best decision ever, absolutely love it and ended up buying a second one for my wife within weeks! Just do it! But don’t overreach, buy one you can afford, so if you’re not happy it’s not the end of the world...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 93 ✭✭Bixler3


    Hi, I have just bought a 40KwH Renault Zoe because they are doing 0% apr and offered me a great trade in on my toyota. Not sure what your travel distance is but its rated at 280km summer and 220km winter, thought others here may have a view on how realistic that is. Very happy with the car so far, best of luck with your decision.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 66,130 ✭✭✭✭unkel
    Chauffe, Marcel, chauffe!


    Bixler3 wrote: »
    its rated at 280km summer and 220km winter, thought others here may have a view on how realistic that is.

    Renault themselves say 300km summer and 200km winter. I'd say that's realistic enough in mixed driving, but include driving at 120km/h real speed on motorways and you won't get anywhere near it

    Best of luck with your car though. Once you go EV for your main car, you'll never want to go back to ICE :D


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,134 ✭✭✭BigAl81


    Bixler3 wrote:
    Hi, I have just bought a 40KwH Renault Zoe because they are doing 0% apr and offered me a great trade in on my toyota. Not sure what your travel distance is but its rated at 280km summer and 220km winter, thought others here may have a view on how realistic that is. Very happy with the car so far, best of luck with your decision.

    Do you mind me asking about what you paid for it? Zero apr and a good trade in could make for a good deal!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 66,130 ✭✭✭✭unkel
    Chauffe, Marcel, chauffe!


    BigAl81 wrote: »
    Do you mind me asking about what you paid for it? Zero apr and a good trade in could make for a good deal!

    I'd like to know too. The list price at €27.5k ex works is ludicrous, mind. I'd want a good 20% off for a cash deal.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 93 ✭✭Bixler3


    unkel wrote: »
    I'd like to know too. The list price at €27.5k ex works is ludicrous, mind. I'd want a good 20% off for a cash deal.

    I was trading in so there was no cash discount but I got about 2.5k over market value for the trade in. Including metallic etc the price was €28.8k but with the 0%apr I'm paying the same as I was on the Toyota PCP. So without any petrol costs that's a saving of €150 per month straight away. Add to that the reduced toll costs, reduced motor tax and cheaper service every 30000km, it added up to a very compelling business case. Did a lot of research and the Zoe seems a reliable car.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 93 ✭✭Bixler3


    unkel wrote: »
    Renault themselves say 300km summer and 200km winter. I'd say that's realistic enough in mixed driving, but include driving at 120km/h real speed on motorways and you won't get anywhere near it

    Best of luck with your car though. Once you go EV for your main car, you'll never want to go back to ICE :D

    I generally do about 95kmph on the motorway, would that give a much better range than doing 120kmph?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 66,130 ✭✭✭✭unkel
    Chauffe, Marcel, chauffe!


    Yes it will. Huge difference. 95km/h indicated is probably less than 90km/h real speed too. You'd have a good chance of making it from Dublin to Cork (250km) without charging at those speeds in good circumstances :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 93 ✭✭Bixler3


    unkel wrote: »
    Yes it will. Huge difference. 95km/h indicated is probably less than 90km/h real speed too. You'd have a good chance of making it from Dublin to Cork (250km) without charging at those speeds in good circumstances :)

    Great, thanks, i'm heading to Lahinch soon so that should give me an idea of motorway consumption rates. Thanks again and good luck to OP with the decision, i'll never go back to ICE. :):)


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,134 ✭✭✭BigAl81


    Hi all,

    Since starting this thread back in September, The eNiro seemed to be very near and the Model 3 and VW Neo et al seemed to be very veryfar away at the end of 2019 or early 2020.

    With only about 10 or 12 weeks left in 2018, the eNiro seems just as far away (even up to Q2 2019 possibly!), and the VN Neo and Tesla seem slightly nearer, albeit still distant.

    Given all that, I've a test drive booked in a Model S next week to see if I like the Tesla style and if so, would I then put a deposit down for the Model 3!

    My initial thinking was get the eNiro, it will be years before anything else comes out and I'll save 3.5k each year in the meantime.

    Now I'm thinking, jasus, 40k is a lot for a Kia, and if it is Q2 2019 before I can actually get one, in Q2 2020 there'd be hope of a Tesla Model 3 which would be the dream.

    I guess the crux of it is, I think we at a tipping point, where in 24 to 36 months, there'll be a lot of choice both in upgraded Leaf, Ionics etc, but also new entrants from VM, Skoda, Tesla etc, so is it mad to drop 40k on a Kia do people think?

    Does anyone have a crystal ball and can tell me ;)

    Thanks,
    Al.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,639 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    BigAl81 wrote: »
    Hi all,

    Since starting this thread back in September, The eNiro seemed to be very near and the Model 3 and VW Neo et al seemed to be very veryfar away at the end of 2019 or early 2020.

    With only about 10 or 12 weeks left in 2018, the eNiro seems just as far away (even up to Q2 2019 possibly!), and the VN Neo and Tesla seem slightly nearer, albeit still distant.

    Given all that, I've a test drive booked in a Model S next week to see if I like the Tesla style and if so, would I then put a deposit down for the Model 3!

    My initial thinking was get the eNiro, it will be years before anything else comes out and I'll save 3.5k each year in the meantime.

    Now I'm thinking, jasus, 40k is a lot for a Kia, and if it is Q2 2019 before I can actually get one, in Q2 2020 there'd be hope of a Tesla Model 3 which would be the dream.

    I guess the crux of it is, I think we at a tipping point, where in 24 to 36 months, there'll be a lot of choice both in upgraded Leaf, Ionics etc, but also new entrants from VM, Skoda, Tesla etc, so is it mad to drop 40k on a Kia do people think?

    Does anyone have a crystal ball and can tell me ;)

    Thanks,
    Al.
    Yes.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,958 ✭✭✭✭Shefwedfan


    32k for a Kia PHEV is very good value

    40k for a BEV is not, after all when you go to sell the first thing people will see is that it is a Kia....

    No badge snobbery or anything but 40k is just too much. You can buy the Sorento for 40k.....that would be 40k spent better


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,958 ✭✭✭✭Shefwedfan


    BigAl81 wrote: »
    Does anyone have a crystal ball and can tell me ;)

    Thanks,
    Al.


    The car manufacturers do but I doubt they will give it to you :P


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,639 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    Shefwedfan wrote: »
    The car manufacturers do but I doubt they will give it to you :P
    Agree with your point above though, you don't need a crystal ball to know that spending €40k on a Kia BEV is silly expensive/crazy money.


    You'd get an early model S for that


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,134 ✭✭✭BigAl81


    ELM327 wrote:
    You'd get an early model S for that


    Don't be giving me ideas!! *currently on auto trader looking for a Model S that would be cheaper than an eNiro ;)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,958 ✭✭✭✭Shefwedfan


    BigAl81 wrote: »
    Don't be giving me ideas!! *currently on auto trader looking for a Model S that would be cheaper than an eNiro ;)


    Go direct to Tesla UK


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,134 ✭✭✭BigAl81


    Shefwedfan wrote: »
    Go direct to Tesla UK

    Cheapest from Tesla direct in Ireland or UK is 70 grand tho ;( That would be stretching my budget "just a bit"!

    Could maybe just stretch to the cheapest UK one at 37k sterling...

    https://www.autotrader.co.uk/classified/advert/201810061248942


    Cheapest Irish one is 50k euro...

    https://www.carzone.ie/used-cars/tesla/model-s/used-2014-142-tesla-model-s-85-dublin-fpa-201808109348051

    I wonder will the price drop come 191 or more come up for sale?!

    I've a test drive booked for a Model S next weekend with Tesla, I'll see if wifey will approve the PO then ;)

    I have a Saab 93 at the moment, and the Model S is only about 6 inches wider and a foot longer so not as big as I thought... hummm!!??


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 66,130 ✭✭✭✭unkel
    Chauffe, Marcel, chauffe!


    Does it have to be between a 40k Kia that's at least 4 months away and a Tesla that is far more expensive and far longer away?

    Why not a 28k Leaf or Ioniq now brand new, or why indeed not a second hand EV?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,134 ✭✭✭BigAl81


    One of my requirements is to be able to do about a 340km round trip in winter with 70% of that on motorway without charging.

    That really narrows it down!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,027 ✭✭✭Lantus


    Everyone has a budget for their car. Mines less than 20k so there is no achievable saving by spending 45k after interest and other costs on an EV. And I do 100km a day.

    If you normally spend 40k on a car then it makes sense but spending more to save is often flawed unless you have got tangible figures to back it up.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 66,130 ✭✭✭✭unkel
    Chauffe, Marcel, chauffe!


    BigAl81 wrote: »
    One of my requirements is to be able to do about a 340km round trip in winter with 70% of that on motorway without charging.

    That really narrows it down!

    Yeah. That narrows it down. Probably more than you think.

    Why without charging? You will struggle doing a mostly motorway trip on a bad day in winter in either the 64kWh Hyundai or Kia unless you drive below the speed limit and in the Tesla Model 3 won't make that trip at all unless you get the extremely expensive (and bad value for money long range model)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,958 ✭✭✭✭Shefwedfan


    BigAl81 wrote: »
    One of my requirements is to be able to do about a 340km round trip in winter with 70% of that on motorway without charging.

    That really narrows it down!


    Buy a PHEV


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 66,130 ✭✭✭✭unkel
    Chauffe, Marcel, chauffe!


    Shefwedfan wrote: »
    Buy a PHEV

    Keep the Saab.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,958 ✭✭✭✭Shefwedfan


    unkel wrote: »
    Keep the Saab.


    Loved my Saab!!!


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