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(Ernesto) Warning for High Intensity Rain Sat 18 PM / Sun 19 AM

  • 17-08-2018 12:22pm
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 6,449 ✭✭✭ pad199207


    High intensity rainfall over a relatively short period of time for many areas on Saturday night associated with the remnants of Tropical Storm Ernesto. Situation to be monitored

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Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 5,376 ✭✭✭ Wheety


    Do you know where the heaviest rainfall will be? Met says Dublin will have a mostly dry day.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,005 ✭✭✭ Ray Donovan


    Going to All Ireland on Sunday so could do with a dry day in Dublin!!


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,005 ✭✭✭ Ray Donovan


    Going to All Ireland on Sunday so could do with a dry day in Dublin!!


  • Registered Users Posts: 12,573 ✭✭✭✭ average_runner


    Wheety wrote: »
    Do you know where the heaviest rainfall will be? Met says Dublin will have a mostly dry day.

    He does say "Saturday night" in his post


  • Registered Users Posts: 12,560 ✭✭✭✭ sryanbruen


    Let it rain, let it rain, in the southeast and east anyway.

    Weather and climate site - https://www.ukandirelandclimate.com/ (advised to view on PC, not optimised for mobile)

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/



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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,734 ✭✭✭ Planet X


    Can't wait......going camping in Wicklow tomorrow :):)


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,829 Cork Boy 53


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    Let it rain, let it rain, in the southeast and east anyway.

    And the south as well.


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,715 ✭✭✭ igCorcaigh


    Finally some interesting weather!


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,853 ✭✭✭ pauldry


    All Ireland will be dry as will most of Sunday

    Saturday night could see 30mm of rain in the West overnight so expect to see figures like 10mm when you look at Met Hourly reports Saturday night as opposed to the normal 1.5mm like a lot of todays hourlies


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,685 Mobhi1


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    Let it rain, let it rain, in the southeast and east anyway.

    If it happens at night, great.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 30,554 ✭✭✭✭ Graces7


    Glad to see the humour back!

    Fierce wind here; all but blown over when I went to feed the hens. Hanging on to brambles is not good,...;)

    autumn off to a flying start..the ocean is a glorious wild sight...

    West Mayo, offshore island


  • Registered Users Posts: 21,821 ✭✭✭✭ Kermit.de.frog


    I think some of these warnings are becoming totally unneeded.

    The idea of a warning system is that you want people to take notice. It won't work if 'wolf' is being constantly cried for minimal "events".

    There is nothing that suggests to me any warning level is justified here.

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    Aside from some normal marine warnings this is nothing out of the ordinary.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,817 ✭✭✭ redsteveireland


    Graces7 wrote: »
    Glad to see the humour back!

    Fierce wind here; all but blown over when I went to feed the hens. Hanging on to brambles is not good,...;)

    autumn off to a flying start..the ocean is a glorious wild sight...

    West Mayo, offshore island

    I spotted some large branches down today on the way home, very windy with the trees still full of leaves.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,449 ✭✭✭ pad199207


    I think some of these warnings are becoming totally unneeded.

    The idea of a warning system is that you want people to take notice. It won't work if 'wolf' is being constantly cried for minimal "events".

    There is nothing that suggests to me any warning level is justified here.

    tempresult_pjl1.gif

    tempresult_tzx1.gif

    Aside from some normal marine warnings this is nothing out of the ordinary.

    Come Sunday morning the country is under feet of water ;)


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,449 ✭✭✭ pad199207


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    Lord Kermit has spoken, MÉ for shame.

    There’s no shame in letting the public be aware that there is the chance of some rather nasty weather coming tomorrow evening and tomorrow night.


  • Registered Users Posts: 17,985 ✭✭✭✭ Drumpot


    I am due to be getting a boat to Skellig Michael to get my picture with a Porg at around 8.30 sunday morning and returning later that morning. What do people think the weather will be like that morning ?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,378 ✭✭✭ HighLine


    pad199207 wrote: »
    There’s no shame in letting the public be aware that there is the chance of some rather nasty weather coming tomorrow evening and tomorrow night.

    Perhaps not shame but the effectiveness of such warnings is hampered. There were too many yellow warnings last winter for such systems and people start to ignore warnings once they find out it's just another typical Atlantic driven windy and wet day.


  • Registered Users Posts: 12,560 ✭✭✭✭ sryanbruen


    pad199207 wrote: »
    sryanbruen wrote: »
    Lord Kermit has spoken, MÉ for shame.

    There’s no shame in letting the public be aware that there is the chance of some rather nasty weather coming tomorrow evening and tomorrow night.

    Where’s the evidence for this being nasty?

    Weather and climate site - https://www.ukandirelandclimate.com/ (advised to view on PC, not optimised for mobile)

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,449 ✭✭✭ pad199207


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    Where’s the evidence for this being nasty?

    Nasty as in very wet. Certainly looks to bring very wet weather.


  • Registered Users Posts: 33,549 ✭✭✭✭ RobertKK


    Drumpot wrote: »
    I am due to be getting a boat to Skellig Michael to get my picture with a Porg at around 8.30 sunday morning and returning later that morning. What do people think the weather will be like that morning ?

    If the trip goes ahead is your main concern.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 12,560 ✭✭✭✭ sryanbruen


    pad199207 wrote: »
    Nasty as in very wet. Certainly looks to bring very wet weather.

    I ask the question again, where's the evidence to suggest this? I see nothing more than 25mm at most bar mountaineous regions.

    Here's the rainfall charts from different models:

    Hspljl4.gif

    Am I missing something?

    Weather and climate site - https://www.ukandirelandclimate.com/ (advised to view on PC, not optimised for mobile)

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • Registered Users Posts: 681 ✭✭✭ jackrussel


    those charts/gifs would give someone a seizure


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 40,086 ✭✭✭✭ Harry Palmr


    Met Eireann are just not interested in this supposed level 1 event.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,829 Cork Boy 53


    RobertKK wrote: »
    If the trip goes ahead is your main concern.

    Indeed so. The force could be strong on Skellig Michael.


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,364 ✭✭✭ highdef


    I think some of these warnings are becoming totally unneeded.

    The idea of a warning system is that you want people to take notice. It won't work if 'wolf' is being constantly cried for minimal "events".

    There is nothing that suggests to me any warning level is justified here.

    Aside from some normal marine warnings this is nothing out of the ordinary.

    Completely agree. Typical weather for any Atlantic sourced weather system. No out of the ordinary levels of rain or wind are expected. The only thing of note is that it will be quite mild. Maybe we should have a warning out telling people it will be milder than normal as the weather system passes over. They might be expecting the usual cool weather normally associated with prolonged rain during low pressure systems and get a shock to feel it mild. Best to warn them in advance..... LOL.


  • Registered Users Posts: 9,183 ✭✭✭ sdanseo


    I think some of these warnings are becoming totally unneeded.

    The idea of a warning system is that you want people to take notice. It won't work if 'wolf' is being constantly cried for minimal "events".

    There is nothing that suggests to me any warning level is justified here.

    Aside from some normal marine warnings this is nothing out of the ordinary.

    Still not every day you see a structured, NHC-tracked post tropical storm over Ireland.
    FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 53.5N 10.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
    34 KT... 0NE 160SE 0SW 0NW.
    The post-tropical cyclone or its remnants are expected to spread
    gusty winds and locally heavy rain over portions of Ireland and the
    United Kingdom Saturday night and early Sunday. Information on
    rainfall and wind forecasts for Ireland can be found in products
    issued by Met Eireann at www.met.ie

    If that comes off (co-ordinates are over Galway) it's an (edit: Yellow) warning, whether we agree with that or not of course is different.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 10,470 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Meteorite58


    A small system relative to some of the big LP's we get but possibly having the potential to drop a large amount of rainfall in a very short time. Totally justified in my view to bring the public's attention to this in being prepared. High ground will get a lot of rainfall and there could be plenty of run off in a very short space of time causing spot flooding. An interesting system to observe over a number of days and watching how the models handle it. As Met Eireann said ' The situation will continue to be monitored'. :)

    Will begin to merge with a frontal system soon if it hasn't started already, that is where the totals could go up.



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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 10,470 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Meteorite58




  • Registered Users Posts: 17,666 ✭✭✭✭ JCX BXC


    Keep in mind it's an advisory, not a warning. There's a different!


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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,306 ✭✭✭ SleetAndSnow


    Looks like we will just get the wind down here in cork and not the rain! Ah I like going for a walk on the beach when it’s very windy!


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