The Daily bets, Banter & Accumulators thread IV

Division

Which do you think is the better bet in the Crystal Palace v Burnley game?

Crystal Palace to win or Under 2.5 Goals?

JaMarcusHustle

Not football related, but I only use this thread and figured you lot know more about this than me. I placed 2 large bets on the NFL Draft last night for Myles Garrett to be the first overall pick at 1/3 and 1/4 on BetVictor and Ladbrokes respectively. I bet the maximum stake available on each one which is why I used 2 sites. News was getting out that the Browns had informed him they'd be selecting him and a lot of well-regarded reporters both regionally and internationally were reporting it. Prices jumped up to 1/10 and higher in the minutes after I placed the bets and a few minutes later betting was suspended.

Garrett was picked and my bets paid out, but I've now been told by each that I'll no longer be able to use their sportsbooks :rolleyes:

Ladbrokes, I'm a long time customer. BetVictor, I specifically signed up for that bet last night. How typical is this? And I guess they can do whatever the hell they want?

thelad95

I think the bookies might have taken a bit of a hiding on the 0-0, I'm in a betting group chat and know someone who made over €1000 across under 2.5, under 0.5, BTTS no, 0-0 scorecast, no FGS, a red card to be shown, and BTTS no in 1st half/2nd half.

This guy always lumps on stupid stuff though, he'll lose it again at the weekend :pac:

Loafing Oaf

Division wrote: »

Which do you think is the better bet in the Crystal Palace v Burnley game?

Crystal Palace to win or Under 2.5 Goals?

Palace win definitely, could easily see a 3-0, 3-1...

Hollister11

Why are Juventus so big? Over evens

Division

JaMarcusHustle wrote: »

but I've now been told by each that I'll no longer be able to use their sportsbooks

Yes they can do this.
No you can't do anything about it.
There are other bookies.
Congrats on the win.

Division

Loafing Oaf wrote: »

Palace win definitely, could easily see a 3-0, 3-1...

Do you think 3-0 or 3-1 happens a large enough percentage of the time to make under 2.5 goals a bad bet @ 1.8?

I priced Crystal Palace up at 52% to win this game. If you had to put a percentage on a home win what you go for?

Loafing Oaf

Division wrote: »

Do you think 3-0 or 3-1 happens a large enough percentage of the time to make under 2.5 goals a bad bet @ 1.8?

I priced Crystal Palace up at 52% to win this game. If you had to put a percentage on a home win what you go for?

Well looking at Burnley's away premiership results in 2017, bar low-score draws against other relegation contenders, they've all been over 2.5 defeats. Palace are comfortably a top-half team on current form IMO.

Not confident setting specific odds, but I'd put chances of a Burnley win at 60% at least.

Edit: Spot the deliberate mistake

Division

Loafing Oaf wrote: »

Well looking at Burnley's away premiership results in 2017, bar low-score draws against other relegation contenders, they've all been over 2.5 defeats. Palace are comfortably a top-half team on current form IMO.

Not confident setting specific odds, but I'd put chances of a Burnley win at 60% at least.

Burley away goals conceded

0 - 3 times
1 - 2 times
2 - 6 times
3 - 5 times
4+ - 1 times

Palace home goals scored

0 - 5 times
1 - 6 times
2 - 2 times
3 - 2 times
4+ - 1 times


Burnley goals conceded may stretch to 3 but Palace recent form is confusing people, they are not the prolific scorers recent memory may make you believe.

robwen

Hollister11 wrote: »

Why are Juventus so big? Over evens

Was wondering the same, are they likely to rest a few with champs league next week?

JaMarcusHustle

Division wrote:

Yes they can do this. No you can't do anything about it. There are other bookies. Congrats on the win.

I like to think the bigwigs at Bet Victor saw me register, place a very large bet that won, and panicked thinking I was a shark of some sort.

Little do they know I've put most of Ladbrokes and Bet365 employees children through college

mailburner

Division wrote: »

Which do you think is the better bet in the Crystal Palace v Burnley game?

Crystal Palace to win or Under 2.5 Goals?

I'll be backing benteke myself at around 6/5
purely on recent form I'm thinking of having a decent bet on palace at 4/5 also.
Burnley have been a pretty good money spinner at home but against utd last weekend they were awful, hadn't a single shot on target
I thought palace might have been closer to 4/6/8/13 even if this is an important game for burnley

mailburner

dying to oppose lyon tonite thinking they'll be resting players but not sure what to do, angers at 3/1 or dc at 5/6, surely there's a bit of value in the dc when they are at home, I'd expect that price to drop

lyon in poor form in the league also recently failing to beat bottom side bastia along with mets and losing at home to lorient (15th/16th placed, all odds on defeats 1.3 1.9 1.4)
angers in 14th

JaMarcusHustle

Angers played on Tuesday in a competitive cup game whereas Lyon haven't played since Sunday - I'd just watch out for that. You've also got the fact that Angers might be content that they're pretty safe in Ligue 1 now and are looking ahead to their cup final.

2 teams looking ahead to bigger games with not much to play for in the league. That's a no-no to me!

mailburner

JaMarcusHustle wrote: »

Angers played on Tuesday in a competitive cup game whereas Lyon haven't played since Sunday - I'd just watch out for that. You've also got the fact that Angers might be content that they're pretty safe in Ligue 1 now and are looking ahead to their cup final.

2 teams looking ahead to bigger games with not much to play for in the league. That's a no-no to me!

I'd agree with you there but the final is four weeks away
we'll know more when teams are out at least
heading into that point of the season with quite a few teams wondering who's in holiday mode and who isn't

bigboss1986

Hollister11 wrote: »

Why are Juventus so big? Over evens

Im going high Atalanta DC and small on BTTS.Atalanta is good at home at Juventus will win the Serie A anyway so they will rest few platers tonite

ShamoBuc

Palace Stoke Southampton 7/1 on pp I think that's worth a go.

ShamoBuc

Cork dundalk villareal treble nearly 2/1 Main bet

Others
City -1 Dundalk-1 double at over 4/1
City HT dundalk HT btts in limerick game over 5/1

JonnyM

inforfun wrote: »

Going to keep an eye on Jong Ajax' line up.
They are away to VVV who won the league last week and i suppose they have been celebrating that a bit.
No Eredivisie this weekend so no need to keep players out of tonight's line up.

Last time i checked Jong Ajax was @ 4.5 for the win

Got Jong Ajax earlier DC@6/5 into 3/4 now

inforfun

JonnyM wrote: »

Got Jong Ajax earlier DC@6/5 into 3/4 now

Win only @3.5 now.
These are the times that i think the bookies follow this thread
Still dont know line ups

JonnyM

inforfun wrote: »

Win only @3.5 now.
These are the times that i think the bookies follow this thread
Still dont know line ups

I don't think VVV will be too arsed tonight!


Famous last words....

fuzzydunlop85

inforfun wrote: »

Win only @3.5 now.
These are the times that i think the bookies follow this thread
Still dont know line ups

I definitely think someone from powers follow on here, always get on yourself before you post here ! Learned that the hard way.

inforfun

Jong Ajax:

Boer, Tete, Zeefuik, Eiting, Riedewald; Van de Beek, Nouri, De Jong; Neres, Cassierra, Cerny

That should be enough to win that one

Ajax paid more for that team than Feyenoord did for theirs that is top of the Eredivisie

Guffy

Cork city no clean sheet 4/6 large stake

Finn harps or draw
Over 2.5 goals in city game
Dundalk -1 asian
Draw or limerick
2 or 3 goals derry/pats 18/1

JonnyM

JonnyM wrote: »

I don't think VVV will be too arsed tonight!


Famous last words....

Jong Ajax 3 nil up after 30mins. VVV defo not arsed tonight!!

PopePalpatine

I doubled it with Eindhoven DC like a f*cking moron.

inforfun

inforfun wrote: »

Jong Ajax:

Boer, Tete, Zeefuik, Eiting, Riedewald; Van de Beek, Nouri, De Jong; Neres, Cassierra, Cerny

That should be enough to win that one

Ajax paid more for that team than Feyenoord did for theirs that is top of the Eredivisie

Had a little doubt after the Ajax red card but guess the win for them is safe now.

Edit:

**** you PSV

bigboss1986

bigboss1986 wrote: »

Im going high Atalanta DC and small on BTTS.Atalanta is good at home at Juventus will win the Serie A anyway so they will rest few platers tonite

Ufff..... 2-2
Late goal but 2 wins tonite for me

PopePalpatine

PopePalpatine wrote: »

I doubled it with Eindhoven DC like a f*cking moron.

Everything that could've gone wrong today, did go wrong. The only saving graces were a couple of Punchestown winners I lucked into.

ShamoBuc

ShamoBuc wrote: »

Cork dundalk villareal treble nearly 2/1 Main bet

Others
City -1 Dundalk-1 double at over 4/1
City HT dundalk HT btts in limerick game over 5/1

Galway stuffed my 3 bets , they were 7/1! Win btts would have been:eek: