The Daily bets, Banter & Accumulators thread IV

JaMarcusHustle

2 down, 2 to go for inforfun!

Rooting for you!

ShamoBuc

Babel !!!

mailburner

great shout on babel infor

that's one of the hard ones out of the way
wait and see ibra will draw a blank

mailburner

mailburner wrote: »

on aspas as usual 6/5 888
and ajax 13/10

one isn't too much to ask for surely
I thing we'll have a good night in the europa lads...money for jam

both in
cashed out on ajax for close to full amount

money for jam lol

mailburner

lyon very much a side to avoid lately, will be the third time in four games where they are odds on and fail to win as it stands
got burnt v ten men rennes recently so they are on my sh1tlist

fuzzydunlop85

mailburner wrote: »

lyon very much a side to avoid lately, will be the third time in four games where they are odds on and fail to win as it stands
got burnt v ten men rennes recently so they are on my sh1tlist

Doggin my europa four fold at the moment!

mailburner

fuzzydunlop85 wrote: »

Doggin my europa four fold at the moment!

already dogged mine

Liordi

Liordi wrote: »

Gonna chance Ajax @2.4

At least this worked out. :pac:

jbt123

jbt123 wrote: »

Ajax - Schalke

Sergei Karasev is the Russian referee.

He has taken charge of 10 ties involving German teams in the Champs/Euro league.

In 5 of those 10 he has issued a red card.

Taken a red card to be shown 12/5.

Good luck all.

Not tonite but will keep a look out for Sergei again

fuzzydunlop85

fuzzydunlop85 wrote: »

Doggin my europa four fold at the moment!

Oh ffs United.

fuzzydunlop85

Had a look at the lower league tables there and going for a speculative acca of home teams fighting for promotion /survival vs teams who are already promoted/have nothing to play for. Bristol/Millwall/ Sheff Wednesday/Swindon/ Port Vale + 1 / Colchester + 1 and Luton -1 @ 300 back for 5er.

JaMarcusHustle

Acca for tonight:

Derry City/Finn Harps - over 1.5
Bilbao/Las Palmas - over 1.5
Norwich/Fulham - over 2.5
Birmingham DNB

Comes in somewhere between 2/1 and 3/1.

Shanotheslayer

Shanotheslayer wrote: »

Anderlecht +1AH, Ajax DC double 2.1

Win

Shanotheslayer wrote: »

Also on united o5.5 corners 1.73 1.5pt

Loses

Tiny lose.

Division

Is anybody here making a profit on corners and willing to talk about their strategy?

Liordi

Free bet so I did a big accumulator.

Shanotheslayer

Division wrote: »

Is anybody here making a profit on corners and willing to talk about their strategy?

I usually back corners. What are you looking to know mate?


Also for tomorrow:

Palace Win 1.8 1pt
BTTS Spurs V Bourne 1.8 1pt
Everton WTN 2.25 1pt
Stoke/City to Concede double 2.1 1pt
Everton/Spurs Double 1.85 3pt

hefferboi

Division wrote: »

Is anybody here making a profit on corners and willing to talk about their strategy?

Look at corner stats. I use simplesoccerstats.com, very easy use it. Also look at what teams have good wingers and a target man.

The likes of Man City play out on the wing a lot and crosses will get blocked. Liverpool have Mane on the wing who is key to most of their good play (he's out for the season tho) and since Xmas they're crossing the ball a lot for some reason.

The bigger teams will obviously have a lot more attacks when playing smaller teams so corner match betting or team corners is the market for that. When bigger teams are playing each other there'll be corners for both sides so corner multi betting is the market here.

Example, Liverpool were playing city last month and the corners were 9-8. That was the multi corners up.

Edit: 2 or 3 years ago the odds for corners were unreal, these days bookies have copped it and harder to find value.

famagusta

hefferboi wrote:

Edit: 2 or 3 years ago the odds for corners were unreal, these days bookies have copped it and harder to find value.

That's exactly what I'm finding, had a great few years with corners and cards, bookies have really tightened up now

hefferboi

famagusta wrote: »

That's exactly what I'm finding, had a great few years with corners and cards, bookies have really tightened up now

Powers may be the worst for odds but funnily enough they offered serious value on cards 2 years ago compared with bet365. 365's line was often over 4.5 cards at 1.83 where as powers could offer over 30 booking points for the same match at evens

Hollister11

Derby DC
Fulham - Norwich BTTS

@ 2.08

mailburner

I think its next to impossible to make a profit in corners if just betting pre match on it, too often I've seen corner bets dead by half time
it might only take one team to take a two goal lead and you're bet is dead
I only ever look at them in play anymore, been burnt too often

maybe other leagues are easier but from my experience betting in the prem I think its pot luck a lot of the time

evosteo

I find the best value for corners is in play on 1st half corners. Between 30 - 45 mins. The line is usually @ evens and you need 2 corners in the last 15 odd mins of the half.

I keep my eye out for certain scenarios where either the away team is winning and the home team is pushing forward

Or

The pre game favourite is loosing to an early goal and like wise dominating possesion

Chance and attempts = corners.

Very rarly back pregame as some teams have burnt me bad before

Juve a year or two back left me short of 1 corner in a champions league game that let my accum that night down for €9500. The pre game team line was 3.5. They only got 3. Will never forget it

dan185

Fulham over 1.5 goals @ 2.05

magherakid

Grimsby v Cambridge BTTS 1/1

mailburner

singles/treble

abrahams anytime 2.12 888
luton -2 8/5 hills
gregory anytime 13/10 coral

inforfun

Division wrote: »

Is anybody here making a profit on corners and willing to talk about their strategy?

Only take them serious in the Dutch league because i know how teams play, who is playing on the wing, et cetera.
Most of the times prefer team corners when i think odds are great.

thelad95

Corners are really unpredictable even if you think you have a great strategy.

I thought Dortmund-Monaco would be a banker for multi-corners but at half time it was 1 each and Monaco sat back so much in the second half that they didn't have another corner.

clairewithani

Like mailburner I usually just corners in-play. Might do some coming up to half time as that ten minutes is usually good for corners. Apart from that if an attacking team goes a goal down I back them for race to 7. I find it was easier to win on these markets before but not so much now.

Division

Practical examples usually work best.

If someone that is good at corners were to pick a game and go into detail pre game about how they analyse this market and decide on a win percentage for over X corners, team A to have more corners than team B or multi corners that would be useful to a lot of people.

Simply looking at things like team A average X corners per game and team B average Y corners per game so (X + Y)/2 is unlikely to allow you to do much with this market so stats alone for this one would be almost useless in isolation.

dan185

dan185 wrote: »

Fulham over 1.5 goals @ 2.05

scored 5 mins in but Chris Martin's just been sent off before half time.