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Ireland 500/1 for Eurovision

  • 14-04-2016 8:01am
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 3,716 ✭✭✭ 3DataModem


    I've made a bit in previous years backing countries to lay in running, and planned to do the same with Ireland this year. The price was an incredible 500/1 (currently 430/1 or so).

    Anyone got any idea why it's quite so big? I get that they won't win, but surely coming into 50/1 isn't out of the question on the night?


Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭ Salma Chilly Mariner


    Did you say you were going to back or lay against Ire?

    See the other thread here: I'm expecting it to have a good chance to place in the top 4, the other top 5 will be Malta, Latvia, maybe Russia. France, Spain & Germany should do well also (top 10).

    Best price to win (enhanced) is around 300/1, e/w at 150/1, worst prices 50/1(x2) 66/1(x2). It opened at around 26/1.
    To risk 500 notes laying against it, for a potential profit of '1' seems a bit incomprehensible.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,716 ✭✭✭ 3DataModem


    I've backed it at 500 with the intent of laying it off when it shortens.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭ Salma Chilly Mariner


    That's a nice price, only around 300 today.
    Essentially most prices likely will shorten over the next few weeks as interest increases, 1m so far matched on BFE.

    Top10 position is a safe-ish market e.g. Latvia 1.5, Malta 2.8, Chez 2.2, Spain has a chance 2.8, Germany 6.4, Ire 20.

    Overrated, yet high in the top 10 leaderboard are: Ukraine, Sweden, Serbia, all worth laying.
    Also: Croatia's version of Ellie Goulding making a lighthouse coastal tourism track/video.
    San Marino's singer needs a few strong expressos and/or medical attention.

    The UK's entry may solely be responsible for inflaming a midsummer's Brexit reaction due to nul points.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 14,521 ✭✭✭✭ mansize


    you can't lay in running if we don't get out of the semi- our song is dreadful, but the west life thing might get us into the final.


    Sweden looking strong again


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭ Salma Chilly Mariner


    You would never buy the Ire record, but for it's intended environment it's perfectly suited and very well crafted.

    Sweden's lacking substance, layering and any musical depth, some negative reviews. Then again that writer likes Croatia's - don't listen to it, else you'll be singing about lighthouses for weeks on end.


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