Fianna Fail / Sinn Fein coalition

Dickie10

what are the chances of this alternative to labour and fg? seems they would be both near enough on somto think itself issues , fianna fail likes to think itself centrre left while sinn fein is left.

I think it would be down to fianna fail and if they were the majority party then i think they would jump at the chance, i think they will get around 27% in election. a lot of fianna fail families/voters out there that will be back voting for them this time around. sinnfein to get 20%. sinn fein would definitly go in, sure they went in with ian paisly they will go in with anyone!

Quin_Dub

Something that I didn't know was that any coalition deal for FF needs to be approved by an open vote at a Special Ard Fheis..

Irish Times Article

To be honest I think that greatly reduces the chances of FF going into Coalition with either FG or SF.

A "Tallaght Strategy" however can be approved by the Parliamentary party..

I'm more inclined to see FF going that route as it allows them to appear "statesman-like" and to say that they are doing the best of the country etc. etc.

Then, when the time is right (for them) in 12-18 months time , they can pull the plug on the support over some specific issue or other and force another GE.

Harry Angstrom

It doesn't look like they'll have anywhere near enough seats to form a coalition in the first place.

Dickie10

i think fianna fail result could be a big shock, i genuinly believe there are a large amount of silent ff supporters who will vote for them, you dont go from 40% to 20% in under 10 years. would 25-28% be a good result for FF? and what impact would this have?

johnnyskeleton

Dickie10 wrote: »

you dont go from 40% to 20% in under 10 years.

You do if you catastrophically mismanage a country's finances and have to be bailed out by the IMF.

would 25-28% be a good result for FF? and what impact would this have?

It would be a great result for them and could result in up to 50 seats.

FreudianSlippers

On the numbers at present, from a rough calculation, neither FF/SF nor FG/LAB have enough support to form a majority government.

Quin_Dub

FreudianSlippers wrote: »

On the numbers at present, from a rough calculation, neither FF/SF nor FG/LAB have enough support to form a majority government.

Agreed - That's why I think you'll get a "Tallaght" from FF giving support to FG/Lab + extras..

Allows FF to remain as leaders of the opposition and to rattle the chains every now and again whilst they wait for the right time and issue to remove their support and force an election..

mikep

I wonder could FG/FF finally get together in the "national interest", the two "civil war parties" going into government would take the wind out of the SF sails with their focus on the 1916 centenary..

MajorMax

It'll probably be a minority Fine Gael Government with Fianna FAIL providing support to the Government, support which they will probably remove at some unfortunate time when they think they have regained popularity to gain political points and force a General election