Cork East, GE16

Manach

As there does not seem to be a thread on this.

Current sitting TDs
Labour Party Seán Sherlock
Fine Gael David Stanton
Fine Gael Tom Barry
Sinn Féin Sandra McLellan


Candidates
Party Candidate
Fianna Fáil Barbara Ahern
Fine Gael Tom Barry
Renua Ireland Paul Bradford
Sinn Féin Pat Buckley
Independent Claire Cullinane
Social Democrats Ken Curtin
Green Party Natasha Harty
AAA–PBP Ciara Leonardi-Roche
Independent Mary Linehan-Foley
Independent Kieran McCarthy
Fine Gael Noel McCarthy
Labour Party Seán Sherlock
Fine Gael David Stanton
Fianna Fáil Kevin O'Keefe


and a history of the constituency
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cork_East_(D%C3%A1il_%C3%89ireann_constituency)

Satts

My prediction for Cork East :

David Stanton FG
Pat Buckley SF
Noel McCarthy FG
The last seat will be a fight between Sean Sherlock Lab and Kevin O'Keeffe FF, with Sherlock to take it by a nose.

Manach

Cork East news.
Tweet count: http://www.irishexaminer.com/election2016/election2016-social/candidates-are-chasing-votes-online-382147.html

Manach

Cork East news:
http://www.independent.ie/irish-news/election-2016/sherlock-fighting-to-keep-labour-flag-flying-in-cork-east-34467187.html

TheDriver

Stanton definitely but I wouldn't put money on anyone else. O'Keeffe would be next as Sherlock Nd Barry have done nothing for mallow side. SF vote is split as is labour with mccarthy. It will be interesting

I'm in Dublin Bay South but Cork East was my old home constituency so I've been keeping an eye on it. I think David Stanton will retain his seat but after that it's very hard to predict where it will all go.

I'd like to see the hopeless Tom Barry lose his seat, and I also hope "Mr Lucinda" Paul Bradford fails to get elected. I think Sherlock will hold on, if only because Labour are not running anyone else (although there's a slight chance that former Labour, now FG, Noel McCarthy may eat into his first preferences).

I'd like to see Ken Curtin do well, though I doubt he'll poll enough. He is ex FF, which may either work for or against him. As for FF, I reckon their support will go up from last time enough to see Kevin O'Keeffe over the line. He'll definitely be favoured over Ahern, who comes across as someone who doesn't really want to be there and is just doing it for the sake of the family name.

Sinn Féin is an interesting one, it remains to be seen how the whole fallout from the Sandra McLellan debacle will affect party support in the constituency. Kieran McCarthy running as an independent may eat into some of Pat Buckley's vote.

Ciara Leonardi-Roche of AAA-PBP and Natasha Harty of the Greens will be in a fight for the wooden spoon.

Prediction:
2 FG (Stanton and, hopefully, McCarthy)
1 FF (O'Keeffe)
1 Lab (Sherlock)
Buckley, Bradford and possibly Mary Linehan Foley will be in the chasing pack.

daviecronin

Interesting constituency at the moment.

I'd like to see Bradford do well although I can't imagine Renua being too popular in Cork East. Apart from that I would deem Stanton and Tom Barry to be safe enough bets.
I think Sean Sherlocks seat is very unpredictable. Not a fan of the man.

1st David Stanton
2nd Tom Barry
3rd Kevin O' Keeffe
I can imagine the last seat being between Sherlock, Buckley, and Bradford... Interesting to see how it will play out

Corholio

It's a pretty soft and uninspiring constituency to be honest when Stanton will almost certainly get back in. The epitome of a head down and stay quiet politician. Been quite impressed with Leonardi-Roche in everything I've seen and heard, most interviewers etc have also said similar things, and she came across very well in the TV3 debate. She has a very slim chance of being anywhere of course.

Manach

Latest tallies: http://www.rte.ie/news/election-2016/constituencies/cork-east/

Manach

Final result:
SEAN SHERLOCK , LAB Count 9elected
DAVID STANTON , FG Count 9elected
KEVIN O'KEEFFE , FF Count 9elected
PAT BUCKLEY , SF Count 10elected