Saturday 11/07

Mostly Harmless

Not really my usual price in a big field handicap but one I really like tomorrow is Famous Kid (2.20 York) who ran a real eye catching race at Royal Ascot when getting no luck in running at all. Step up in trip a positive tomorrow and makes obvious appeal off the same mark. He's by far and away the most likely winner IMO and the standout 6/1 with Ladbrokes is worth taking while it's available.

sdoc13

Is it just me or is Sole Power starting to look like real value at 16s. 18s on the machine even. i know his record over 6 is stink but he is miles better than a lot of these even on this years form. Views Please.

Gregk961

I fancy another Godolphin horse in the 1st at Newmarket in Good Contact. I think his reappearance can be forgiven after a long absence, not ideal trip and Chester isn't every horses cup of tea. He has the form over this trip to be bang there and looks worth a few to win at 10-1

Muthmir seems to be written off in the July cup but ill have a punt as I still believe the horse is quality, maybe not the same league as the favourite but you never know with these group level sprints. Would love to see Sole Power shake this 6f hoodoo aswell, unlikely as it seems.

Mostly Harmless

sdoc13 wrote: »

Is it just me or is Sole Power starting to look like real value at 16s. 18s on the machine even. i know his record over 6 is stink but he is miles better than a lot of these even on this years form. Views Please.

Price is about right all things considered IMO, as you say record over 6f is shocking and hard to see why that is likely to change now he's an 8yo.

Realistically I think the top two in the market are likely to be too good for the rest and although they are priced accordingly it's very hard to find anything to go against them with. G Force could be the joker in the pack but is real leap of faith material given the way he's run this season.

kccfc

Got a shout for firmdecisions 3:10 newmarket tomorrow. Worth a few quid ew.

sdoc13

Have done 3 for tomorrow.

14 10 Ascot Kingsgate Choice. Unlucky not to win the last day when second off two pounds lower has won off 100 and 104 and over C and D. Off 100 tomorrow and when I saw this 1 entered yesterday I did not expect to be getting 20/1 V generous in my view. 2 pts win.

15 25 York. Educate 20/1. Ran poorly the last day but should get the strong pace it requires tomorrow. Again I think the 20s available is decent and think he is more than capable of winning a race like this off this mark. 1 pt win

20 15 Hamilton. Jordurra C and D winner and has won off marks of 69 to 63. off 54 tomorrow and I think the 16/1 available is decent value. 1.5 pt win

If sole power gets any bigger in the betting I will be having a bet and will keep an eye on the W/O markets as well

the groutch

sdoc13 wrote: »

15 25 York. Educate.

knew somebody had to post that.

Mostly Harmless

Going through the rest of the card at York and cannot fathom how Stepper Point can be 10/1. He has form in the top G1 sprints and would have finished much closer if he hadn't been nearly put over the rails LTO. Presence of other front runners is a concern but 10/1 is just plain silly IMO and he should be half that.

sdoc13

the groutch wrote: »

knew somebody had to post that.

Someone was going to so I said i would get in there first. Have backed the horse plenty of times but I really think the 20s is value

sdoc13

Mostly Harmless wrote: »

Going through the rest of the card at York and cannot fathom how Stepper Point can be 10/1. He has form in the top G1 sprints and would have finished much closer if he hadn't been nearly put over the rails LTO. Presence of other front runners is a concern but 10/1 is just plain silly IMO and he should be half that.

Agree. i have has 2 pts win

BorneTobyWilde

One Word More 16-1 3.10
Has run 3 good races out of 4 over this trip this year.
With 4 places I'm liking its chances to at least place.

BorneTobyWilde

Eastern Impact 50-1 3.45
3 time winner over C&D in fast times. With 4 placing again I think
it's potentially great ew bet.

Francie Barrett

Best bet of the day for me is Castilo Del Diablo in the last at Newmarket. This one went very close last time out in a race that was slightly stronger than this one. Only question for me is whether 12f is the ideal trip for this one. 8/1 with a rake of bookies.

Sirtoyou

Mostly Harmless wrote: »

Going through the rest of the card at York and cannot fathom how Stepper Point can be 10/1. He has form in the top G1 sprints and would have finished much closer if he hadn't been nearly put over the rails LTO. Presence of other front runners is a concern but 10/1 is just plain silly IMO and he should be half that.

Non runner, same case can be made for Kingsgate Native? Currently 14.5 on BF.

Francie Barrett

Sirtoyou wrote: »

Non runner, same case can be made for Kingsgate Native? Currently 14.5 on BF.

Kingsgate Native was my pick too.

sdoc13

sdoc13 wrote: »

Have done 3 for tomorrow.

14 10 Ascot Kingsgate Choice. Unlucky not to win the last day when second off two pounds lower has won off 100 and 104 and over C and D. Off 100 tomorrow and when I saw this 1 entered yesterday I did not expect to be getting 20/1 V generous in my view. 2 pts win.

15 25 York. Educate 20/1. Ran poorly the last day but should get the strong pace it requires tomorrow. Again I think the 20s available is decent and think he is more than capable of winning a race like this off this mark. 1 pt win

20 15 Hamilton. Jordurra C and D winner and has won off marks of 69 to 63. off 54 tomorrow and I think the 16/1 available is decent value. 1.5 pt win

If sole power gets any bigger in the betting I will be having a bet and will keep an eye on the W/O markets as well

Added Sole power 1 pt at 20s. That price is ridiculous. Have done a yankee as well for the miricle on the 4.

Johner

Just backed Brazen Beau with Paddy Power enhanced to 10/3, will be tough giving 6 pounds to Muhaarar but with a proper jockey on top I'm on BB.

Johner

sdoc13 wrote: »

Added Sole power 1 pt at 20s. That price is ridiculous. Have done a yankee as well for the miricle on the 4.

0/10 at 6f though, still decent each way value but can't see him winning.

mailburner

Johner wrote: »

Just backed Brazen Beau with Paddy Power enhanced to 10/3, will be tough giving 6 pounds to Muhaarar but with a proper jockey on top I'm on BB.

365 doing same (only 26 max tho, for anyone thinking of laying at 3.6)

wish they were enhancing muhaarar

sdoc13

Johner wrote: »

0/10 at 6f though, still decent each way value but can't see him winning.

Agree but is he a 20/1 shot?

another36

Gabriel s Kaka in this

BorneTobyWilde

Justice Day 14-1 2.55
Has run decent in defeat in some big races this year, it's best run 4 back when
staying on to push Golddream to the line. It finished ahead of Kingsgate Native and Stepper Pint that day. I think this race is slightly easier than what it has faced recently and at 14-1 I think it has a good place chance.

Peintre Celebre

None I'd go balls deep in but did chance two. Eshtiaal was backed in the apprentice Derby as if defeat wasn't an option, and fared better than the bare result. Elliott sends him to York for the 2 miler, there msy be stamina doubts but at 9/1 was worth the risk.

Joe Packet is hard to win with but often runs well at Salisbury and is seriously well handicapped. He ran well here last time having been drawn worst of all and is well drawn today. Backed it at 10/1 last night but there'll be a rule 4

BumperD

Your following Joe Packet to the death pc!!!

bmcc10

I've gone with They seek him here in this

BumperD

Is Champagne City a little over-priced?

Peintre Celebre

BumperD wrote: »

Your following Joe Packet to the death pc!!!

I'm nearly sure this is the first time I backed him, I was tempted to last time but didn't because of the draw, might be someone who backed it

BumperD

BumperD wrote: »

Is Champagne City a little over-priced?

Evidently not

BumperD

Peintre Celebre wrote: »

I'm nearly sure this is the first time I backed him, I was tempted to last time but didn't because of the draw, might be someone who backed it

I had it in my head it was one of yours. My bad. I always look up the ones you recommend in handicaps - you've a good record (understatement of the day :pac:)

Johner

Bit of a shocker there from Oisin Murphy.

another36

Unforgiving minute and sole power singles and a small EW double

Peintre Celebre

BumperD wrote: »

I had it in my head it was one of yours. My bad. I always look up the ones you recommend in handicaps - you've a good record (understatement of the day :pac:)

I haven't blushed so much since my mum said I looked handsome in my new suit

Andalucia

Makin nearly had a worse shocker there on Out Do, lucky horse got him out of trouble

David O'Meara though, what a trainer, would love to see him get some decent two year olds

BorneTobyWilde

BorneTobyWilde wrote: »

One Word More 16-1 3.10
Has run 3 good races out of 4 over this trip this year.
With 4 places I'm liking its chances to at least place.

2nd
Dam

BorneTobyWilde

BorneTobyWilde wrote: »

Eastern Impact 50-1 3.45
3 time winner over C&D in fast times. With 4 placing again I think
it's potentially great ew bet.

3rd

sdoc13

Sole power ran a cracker. BTW great call on eastern impact. You've been hitting he bar today but great place money

byronbay2

I hope the Sole Power e/w backers did their bets with PP - 4 places (1/5 the odds, mind you).

brassringclub

Saved by the Bell and Eshtiaal for 4 or 8 lines up in a decent placepot.

CH3OH

Peintre Celebre wrote: »

None I'd go balls deep in but did chance two. Eshtiaal was backed in the apprentice Derby as if defeat wasn't an option, and fared better than the bare result. Elliott sends him to York for the 2 miler, there msy be stamina doubts but at 9/1 was worth the risk.

Well Done PC followed you

THANKS

BumperD

Peintre Celebre wrote: »

None I'd go balls deep in but did chance two. Eshtiaal was backed in the apprentice Derby as if defeat wasn't an option, and fared better than the bare result. Elliott sends him to York for the 2 miler, there msy be stamina doubts but at 9/1 was worth the risk.

Joe Packet is hard to win with but often runs well at Salisbury and is seriously well handicapped. He ran well here last time having been drawn worst of all and is well drawn today. Backed it at 10/1 last night but there'll be a rule 4

BumperD wrote: »

I had it in my head it was one of yours. My bad. I always look up the ones you recommend in handicaps - you've a good record (understatement of the day :pac:)

QED

sdoc13

Cheers PC followed you on both. Saved a sh1t day so far. But if Joe Packet wins will be sweet did a small double as well as the two singles.

mick malones mauser

Well done on joe packet lads
Following Corby on his 2 rides at Hamilton, pabusar and pull the pin

CH3OH

Well done PC
Hope you made loads

Well deserved to both yourself and SDOC

jimjamcos

You are a legend PC, many thanks!

Peintre Celebre

Thanks lads, they were the two I fancied least of the five I planned to back this weekend. I've backed Strandfield Lady at Dundalk tomorrow 16/1. I'm waiting on hopefully better odds on the other two I'll post when I'm on

sdoc13

Peintre Celebre wrote: »

Thanks lads, they were the two I fancied least of the five I planned to back this weekend. I've backed Strandfield Lady at Dundalk tomorrow 16/1. I'm waiting on hopefully better odds on the other two I'll post when I'm on

PC u beauty. Will be v drunk tonight. You legend.

Peintre Celebre

Enjoy it

sdoc13

Peintre Celebre wrote: »

Enjoy it

Good god I will.